Vitesse Energy (VTS)
Market Price (5/4/2026): $18.75 | Market Cap: $735.0 MilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Vitesse Energy (VTS)
Market Price (5/4/2026): $18.75Market Cap: $735.0 MilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 62%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.8% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 34% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Onshore Oil & Gas Production. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -44%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -38% Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% | Key risksVTS key risks include [1] its reliance on the operational efficiency and development pace of third-party operators and [2] its dependence on executing an accretive acquisition strategy for growth. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 62%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.8% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 34% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Onshore Oil & Gas Production. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -44%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -38% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% |
| Key risksVTS key risks include [1] its reliance on the operational efficiency and development pace of third-party operators and [2] its dependence on executing an accretive acquisition strategy for growth. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Vitesse Energy reported a significant earnings miss for the fourth quarter of 2025 on March 2, 2026. The company posted an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of -$0.02, falling short of analysts' consensus estimates of $0.10 by $0.12. Additionally, quarterly revenue came in at $58.62 million, below analyst estimates of $67.10 million. This substantial underperformance likely contributed to negative investor sentiment.
2. A leadership transition at Vitesse Energy, announced on March 26, 2026, created investor uncertainty. Jamie Benard was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer, effective May 1, 2026, succeeding founder and former CEO Bob Gerrity, who resigned immediately. Such a significant change in top leadership, especially the immediate departure of a founder, can introduce instability and negatively impact stock performance.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -8.4% change in VTS stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/3/2026 was primarily driven by a -24.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 20.50 | 18.77 | -8.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 271 | 274 | 1.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.7% | 9.2% | 19.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 38.4 | 29.1 | -24.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 39 | 39 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -8.4% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VTS | -8.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | -6.3% |
| Sector (XLE) | 16.0% | 45.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -9.4% change in VTS stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/3/2026 was primarily driven by a -39.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 20.72 | 18.77 | -9.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 262 | 274 | 4.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 15.1% | 9.2% | -39.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 20.4 | 29.1 | 42.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 39 | 39 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -9.4% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VTS | -9.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.5% | -3.5% |
| Sector (XLE) | 35.6% | 49.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 0.9% change in VTS stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 13.2% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 18.60 | 18.77 | 0.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 242 | 274 | 13.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 26.6 | 29.1 | 9.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 30 | 39 | -23.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.9% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VTS | 0.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 30.4% | 15.4% |
| Sector (XLE) | 50.9% | 53.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 33.0% change in VTS stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 14.11 | 18.77 | 33.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 274 | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | � | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| P/E Multiple | � | 29.1 | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 28 | 39 | -28.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VTS | 33.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 78.7% | 33.9% |
| Sector (XLE) | 52.4% | 62.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| VTS Return | - | - | 37% | 24% | -15% | -0% | 44% |
| Peers Return | 189% | 26% | 7% | 2% | -26% | 45% | 325% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 5% | 92% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| VTS Win Rate | - | - | 50% | 50% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 67% | 58% | 58% | 52% | 40% | 85% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| VTS Max Drawdown | - | - | -18% | -9% | -19% | -7% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -1% | -5% | -22% | -14% | -33% | -6% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: NOG, GRNT, CHRD, MGY, SM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/1/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | VTS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -25.8% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.7% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 120 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -12.2% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.9% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 13 days | 24 days |
In The Past
Vitesse Energy's stock fell -25.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 34.7% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | VTS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -25.8% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.7% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 120 days | 79 days |
In The Past
Vitesse Energy's stock fell -25.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 34.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Vitesse Energy (VTS)
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
- Oil and Natural Gas Production: Vitesse Energy extracts crude oil and natural gas from its properties, primarily in the Bakken Formation.
- Oil and Natural Gas Property Development: The company develops its acquired properties through drilling and infrastructure build-out to enable hydrocarbon extraction.
- Oil and Natural Gas Property Acquisition: Vitesse Energy strategically acquires oil and natural gas assets and acreage to expand its operational footprint and reserves.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```htmlVitesse Energy (VTS) is an independent oil and gas company focused on the acquisition and development of non-operated oil and natural gas properties, primarily in the Bakken and Three Forks formations of the Williston Basin in North Dakota.
Given the nature of its business as an upstream oil and gas exploration and production (E&P) company, Vitesse Energy sells its products primarily to other companies rather than individuals. Its primary products are crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs).
Vitesse Energy typically sells its production into liquid commodity markets. Its public filings (e.g., annual reports on Form 10-K) do not identify specific major customers (i.e., those accounting for 10% or more of its total revenue). This is common for E&P companies as their products are fungible commodities often sold to a diverse group of purchasers, including:
- Midstream companies (for processing, transportation, and storage)
- Refineries (for crude oil)
- Utility companies and industrial users (for natural gas)
- Commodity marketing and trading firms
Therefore, it is not possible to list specific major customer companies by name and symbol.
```AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Bob Gerrity Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Gerrity has decades of experience in the energy industry, beginning in Colorado in 1982. He invested his own capital to purchase non-operated working interest acreage in the Bakken in 2010, laying the groundwork for Vitesse. He established and was Chief Executive Officer of Gerrity Oil & Gas Corporation, which went public in 1990. Gerrity Oil & Gas Corporation merged with Snyder Oil's Wattenberg assets in 1996 to form Patina Oil & Gas Corporation, which eventually merged into Noble Energy, Inc. Mr. Gerrity founded and has served as the Chief Executive Officer of Vitesse Energy since its inception in 2014, and also as CEO of Vitesse Oil since 2013.
James Henderson Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Henderson was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Vitesse effective September 1, 2023, and is responsible for all financial aspects of the company. He brings over 30 years of management, financial, and accounting experience in the oil and gas industry. Most recently, he served as Executive Vice President Finance and CFO of Whiting Petroleum from September 2020 until its merger with Oasis Petroleum in July 2022, forming Chord Energy. Previously, he held the same role at SRC Energy (which merged with PDC Energy, now Chevron) and Kodiak Oil & Gas (which was acquired by Whiting in 2014), growing each entity through acquisitions and capital investments. He was also a private investor from January 2020 to September 2020 and from July 2022 to August 2023. Mr. Henderson has been instrumental in public market capital raises of over $3.5 billion and oil and gas acquisitions exceeding $3.0 billion in transaction value. He has served as a board member of Dynamix Corporation III, a publicly traded special purpose acquisition company, since November 2025.
Brian Cree President
Mr. Cree is the President of Vitesse and is responsible for the financial, operational, and corporate/legal aspects of the Company. He has been involved in the oil and gas industry for over 25 years. In 1987, Mr. Cree joined the predecessor of Gerrity Oil & Gas Corporation and worked closely with Bob Gerrity for almost nine years to grow and eventually merge the company with Patina Oil & Gas. While at Gerrity Oil & Gas, he held various financial and operational roles, including CFO, SVP of Operations, and COO, and served as a Director on its Board. He significantly contributed to the early development of Vitesse Energy.
Gina Matero VP – Legal, Oil and Gas Operations
Ms. Matero is responsible for managing the legal affairs of Vitesse Energy. Prior to joining Vitesse, she was a Shareholder and founding member at Beatty & Wozniak, P.C., where she advised oil and gas clients for over 20 years. She began her career in oil and gas in a management role with a natural gas midstream company before attending law school.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks for Vitesse Energy (VTS) are primarily centered around the volatile nature of the energy industry and its specific non-operated business model.
- Commodity Price Volatility: Vitesse Energy faces significant exposure to fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas prices, which directly impact its revenue, financial position, and operating results. While the company utilizes hedging strategies to mitigate some of this volatility and increase cash flow predictability, these measures may not fully protect against substantial price declines and can limit potential gains during periods of rising commodity prices.
- Reliance on Third-Party Operators: As a non-operator, Vitesse Energy depends heavily on the operational and financial performance of third-party operators who manage the drilling and production activities on its properties. The company does not control crucial decisions such as drilling schedules, capital spending, or operational execution. The financial instability, operational failures, or changes in investment plans by these operators can adversely affect Vitesse Energy's production volumes, development pace, and overall financial performance.
- Regulatory and Environmental Risks: Vitesse Energy is subject to extensive federal, state, and local laws and regulations governing the oil and natural gas industry. Changes in these regulations, particularly those affecting exploration and production activities on federal lands or new environmental mandates related to climate change, could lead to increased operating costs, require significant capital expenditures, or even curtail operations. This regulatory uncertainty poses a material risk to the company's financial performance and operational flexibility.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Vitesse Energy (symbol: VTS) operates primarily in the crude petroleum and natural gas extraction industry within the United States, focusing on acquiring, developing, and managing non-operated oil and natural gas properties. The company's main products are crude oil and natural gas. The addressable market sizes for Vitesse Energy's main products in the U.S. are as follows:- The overall U.S. oil and gas market size was approximately USD 1.55 trillion in 2024, growing to USD 1.61 trillion in 2025. This market is projected to reach around USD 2.24 trillion by 2034, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.75% between 2025 and 2034.
- Specifically, the U.S. natural gas market is estimated to be valued at US$473.4 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach US$601.8 billion, growing at a CAGR of 3.5% during the forecast period from 2025 to 2032.
- In terms of production volume, U.S. crude oil production, including condensate, averaged 12.9 million barrels per day (b/d) in 2023 and exceeded 13.2 million b/d in 2024. It is expected to average 13.6 million barrels per day in 2025 and surpass 13.7 million barrels per day in 2026.
- U.S. marketed natural gas production reached a record of 118.5 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) in 2025.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Vitesse Energy (VTS) over the next 2-3 years:
- Strategic Acquisitions and Development Projects: Vitesse Energy consistently pursues near-term development and larger asset acquisitions to expand its operational footprint and boost production. For instance, the company recently announced the all-stock acquisition of non-operated assets in the Powder River Basin, effective January 1, 2026. This acquisition is projected to contribute an average of 1,400 net barrels of oil equivalent per day (BOE/d) in 2026, significantly enhancing its asset base and driving future production and revenue growth. Vitesse also focuses on converting its undeveloped asset base into producing wells, with 22 net wells in its development pipeline at the end of 2025.
- Increased Production Volumes: A primary driver of revenue growth for Vitesse is the expected increase in its oil and natural gas production volumes. The company has provided a 2026 production guidance of 16,000–17,500 BOE per day. This anticipated growth stems from the ongoing development of its existing asset base and contributions from recent acquisitions, reflecting a sustained effort to bring more wells online and optimize output.
- Optimized Capital Efficiency: Vitesse Energy is committed to directing its capital towards high-rate-of-return projects and implementing capital-efficient drilling programs, including the use of longer laterals. For 2026, the company anticipates a reduction in capital expenditures, guiding for $50–$80 million, down from 2025 levels. This disciplined approach aims to maximize output from investments, supporting increased free cash flow generation and, by extension, future revenue growth.
- Strategic Commodity Hedging: Vitesse employs a robust commodity hedging strategy to enhance the predictability and certainty of its cash flow. The company hedges a significant portion of its expected oil and natural gas production volumes. For 2026, approximately 64% of its oil production is hedged, providing a stable revenue outlook by mitigating the impact of oil price volatility. Favorable hedging prices secured for recent acquisitions further support future profitability and revenue stability.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Vitesse Energy has a Stock Repurchase Program authorizing the repurchase of up to $60 million of common stock.
- The company targets opportunistic share buybacks as part of its capital allocation strategy.
Share Issuance
- In March 2025, Vitesse issued 8,169,368 shares of common stock to finalize the Lucero acquisition.
- The number of shares outstanding increased by 20.19% in the year leading up to early 2026, reaching approximately 39.78 million shares.
Outbound Investments
- Vitesse Energy signed a definitive agreement to acquire non-operated assets in the Powder River Basin of Wyoming for $35 million of Vitesse shares, effective January 1, 2026.
- The company completed the Lucero acquisition in 2025, which contributed to a 19% year-over-year increase in proved reserves.
Capital Expenditures
- For 2026, Vitesse Energy anticipates cash capital expenditures to be between $50 million and $80 million, a decrease from the prior year.
- In 2025, the company's development capital expenditures totaled $121 million.
- Vitesse's capital expenditures primarily focus on the acquisition, development, and production of non-operated oil and natural gas assets in the Bakken Field of North Dakota, and the Central Rockies, including the Denver-Julesburg and Powder River Basins.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Vitesse Energy Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Is Vitesse Energy Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | 10/17/2025 | |
| Vitesse Energy (VTS) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 02/17/2025 | |
| Vitesse Energy (VTS) Net Income Comparison | 02/16/2025 | |
| Vitesse Energy (VTS) Operating Income Comparison | 02/15/2025 | |
| Vitesse Energy (VTS) Revenue Comparison | 02/14/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
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| 12262025 | TPL | Texas Pacific Land | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 54.5% | 54.5% | -2.1% |
| 12122025 | NOV | NOV | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 25.4% | 25.4% | -6.5% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 28.30 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.1 |
| Rev LTM | 1,685 |
| Op Inc LTM | 493 |
| FCF LTM | 226 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -24 |
| CFO LTM | 1,150 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,134 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 0.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | -4.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.2% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -25.5% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -22.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 23.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 29.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -3.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 65.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 66.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.1 |
| P/S | 1.8 |
| P/Op Inc | 10.2 |
| P/EBIT | 13.1 |
| P/E | 23.0 |
| P/CFO | 3.4 |
| Total Yield | 5.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.2% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 0.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 20.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 29.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 33.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 35.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -5.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 16.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 23.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 7.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -50.8% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $18.77 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.7 | |
| First Trading Date | 01/10/2023 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -24.8% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $18.97 | $20.75 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -1.0% | -9.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 41.2% | 33.9% |
| Downside Capture | 0.03 | 0.18 |
| Upside Capture | -32.05 | 19.90 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -7.3% | 15.1% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -1.71 | -0.74 | -0.21 | -0.08 | 0.42 | 0.76 |
| Up Beta | -1.78 | -1.82 | -1.31 | -0.84 | 0.31 | 0.61 |
| Down Beta | -0.21 | 1.05 | 1.34 | 0.90 | 0.99 | 1.11 |
| Up Capture | -50% | -61% | -27% | -20% | 13% | 37% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 14 | 26 | 38 | 69 | 131 | 399 |
| Down Capture | -516% | -78% | 4% | 3% | 46% | 89% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 17 | 26 | 56 | 118 | 345 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VTS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VTS | 0.9% | 33.8% | 0.07 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 51.2% | 19.6% | 1.98 | 53.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 30.6% | 12.5% | 1.88 | 15.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 39.5% | 27.2% | 1.20 | -5.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 51.5% | 17.9% | 2.20 | 33.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.1% | 13.5% | 0.67 | 7.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -17.1% | 42.2% | -0.33 | 18.4% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VTS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VTS | 7.6% | 36.9% | 0.37 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 24.3% | 26.1% | 0.83 | 57.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.8% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 32.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.5% | 17.9% | 0.94 | 4.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 14.3% | 19.1% | 0.61 | 38.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.5% | 18.8% | 0.09 | 23.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.7% | 56.2% | 0.35 | 6.8% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VTS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VTS | 3.7% | 36.9% | 0.37 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 10.2% | 29.5% | 0.38 | 57.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.9% | 17.9% | 0.71 | 32.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.6% | 15.9% | 0.71 | 4.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.7% | 17.7% | 0.46 | 38.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.7% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 23.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.7% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 6.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/2/2026 | -4.9% | 1.3% | -5.1% |
| 11/3/2025 | -2.9% | -1.2% | 1.2% |
| 8/4/2025 | 9.9% | 5.6% | 10.2% |
| 3/12/2025 | -3.2% | -1.5% | -17.7% |
| 11/4/2024 | 4.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% |
| 8/5/2024 | -0.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% |
| 5/6/2024 | 6.7% | 4.7% | 8.5% |
| 2/26/2024 | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| # Negative | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| Median Positive | 6.0% | 5.3% | 9.4% |
| Median Negative | -2.9% | -1.5% | -3.2% |
| Max Positive | 9.9% | 9.3% | 40.5% |
| Max Negative | -4.9% | -1.7% | -17.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 03/02/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/03/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/12/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/04/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/26/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/31/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 08/31/2022 | 12/29/2022 | 10-12B/A |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/2/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Annual Production | 16,000 | 16,750 | 17,500 | -2.9% | Lowered | Guidance: 17,250 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Oil as a Percentage of Annual Production | 0.6 | 0.62 | 0.64 | -6.1% | -4.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 0.66 for 2025 |
| 2026 Total Cash Capital Expenditures | 50.00 Mil | 65.00 Mil | 80.00 Mil | -44.7% | Lowered | Guidance: 117.50 Mil for 2025 | |
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/3/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Annual Production | 17,000 | 17,250 | 17,500 | 7.8% | Raised | Guidance: 16,000 for 2025 | |
| 2025 Oil as a Percentage of Annual Production | 0.65 | 0.66 | 0.67 | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 0.66 for 2025 |
| 2025 Total Capital Expenditures | 110.00 Mil | 117.50 Mil | 125.00 Mil | 23.7% | Raised | Guidance: 95.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O, Leary Dan | Direct | Buy | 4012026 | 18.56 | 10,000 | 185,600 | 627,124 | Form | |
| 2 | Cree, Brian | President & Interim CEO | Direct | Sell | 4012026 | 18.51 | 50,000 | 925,500 | 7,273,819 | Form |
| 3 | Henderson, James P | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Buy | 4012026 | 18.67 | 5,000 | 93,350 | 3,289,729 | Form |
| 4 | Cree, Brian | President & Interim CEO | Direct | Sell | 4012026 | 18.65 | 70,142 | 1,308,148 | 8,261,335 | Form |
| 5 | Henderson, James P | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Buy | 4012026 | 18.71 | 5,000 | 93,550 | 3,203,227 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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