Tearsheet

Northern Oil & Gas (NOG)


Market Price (5/11/2026): $23.41 | Market Cap: $2.3 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Northern Oil & Gas (NOG)


Market Price (5/11/2026): $23.41
Market Cap: $2.3 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 69%

Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 7.6%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -79%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -92%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 109%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.2%

Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.8%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -24%

Key risks
NOG key risks include [1] its substantial debt load and the potential inability to generate sufficient cash flow to meet its obligations, Show more.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 69%
1 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 7.6%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -79%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -92%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 109%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.2%
8 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.8%
9 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -24%
10 Key risks
NOG key risks include [1] its substantial debt load and the potential inability to generate sufficient cash flow to meet its obligations, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Northern Oil & Gas (NOG) stock has lost about 5% since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Northern Oil & Gas reported a substantial GAAP net loss of $522.8 million for Q1 2026. This significant loss, announced on April 28, 2026, was primarily driven by a $521.4 million non-cash unrealized mark-to-market loss on derivatives and a $268.3 million non-cash impairment charge. This company-specific financial performance likely contributed to negative investor sentiment during the period.

2. Adjusted EBITDA experienced a notable decline of 21% year-over-year in Q1 2026. The company's Adjusted EBITDA fell to $342.5 million, a decrease attributed to a 19% reduction in realized prices per barrel of oil equivalent (Boe), including settled commodity derivatives, and a shift in the commodity mix. This indicates a compression in operating profitability.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -5.0% change in NOG stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -6.1% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)13120265102026Change
Stock Price ($)24.6423.40-5.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,1932,059-6.1%
P/S Multiple1.11.12.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)9799-1.4%
Cumulative Contribution-5.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 5/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NOG-5.0% 
Market (SPY)3.6%-14.3%
Sector (XLE)9.8%80.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 9.6% change in NOG stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 18.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)103120255102026Change
Stock Price ($)21.3623.409.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,2232,059-7.4%
P/S Multiple0.91.118.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)9899-0.4%
Cumulative Contribution9.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 5/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NOG9.6% 
Market (SPY)5.5%-2.3%
Sector (XLE)28.3%76.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 3.0% change in NOG stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 10.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020255102026Change
Stock Price ($)22.7223.403.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,2092,059-6.8%
P/S Multiple1.01.110.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)99990.1%
Cumulative Contribution3.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2025 to 5/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NOG3.0% 
Market (SPY)30.4%17.1%
Sector (XLE)42.8%78.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -17.4% change in NOG stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -17.4% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)43020235102026Change
Stock Price ($)28.3223.40-17.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,9862,0593.7%
P/S Multiple1.21.1-3.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)8199-17.4%
Cumulative Contribution-17.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2023 to 5/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NOG-17.4% 
Market (SPY)78.7%42.7%
Sector (XLE)44.3%80.9%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
NOG Return137%55%26%5%-38%13%236%
Peers Return66%40%-0%46%-16%22%245%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%7%95%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NOG Win Rate67%67%50%58%25%60% 
Peers Win Rate64%56%62%62%38%64% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%60% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NOG Max Drawdown0%0%-14%-14%-44%-5% 
Peers Max Drawdown-1%-12%-24%-7%-24%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: VTS, GRNT, VNOM, TPL, FANG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/8/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventNOGS&P 500
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-22.5%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven29.0%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven25 days31 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-65.5%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven189.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven415 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-55.0%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven122.1%23.7%
  Time to Breakeven1683 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-49.1%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven96.4%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven204 days6 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-47.3%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven89.8%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven45 days62 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-45.7%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven84.3%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven80 days123 days

Compare to VTS, GRNT, VNOM, TPL, FANG

In The Past

Northern Oil & Gas's stock fell -5.1% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 5.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventNOGS&P 500
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-22.5%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven29.0%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven25 days31 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-65.5%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven189.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven415 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-55.0%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven122.1%23.7%
  Time to Breakeven1683 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-49.1%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven96.4%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven204 days6 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-47.3%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven89.8%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven45 days62 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-45.7%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven84.3%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven80 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-27.3%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven37.5%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven86 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-68.1%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven213.7%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven66 days1085 days

Compare to VTS, GRNT, VNOM, TPL, FANG

In The Past

Northern Oil & Gas's stock fell -5.1% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 5.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Northern Oil & Gas (NOG)

Northern Oil and Gas, Inc., an independent energy company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, exploitation, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas properties in the United States. The company primarily holds interests in the Williston Basin, the Appalachian Basin, and the Permian Basin in the United States. As of December 31, 2021, it owned working interests in 7,436 gross producing wells; and had proved reserves of 287,682 million barrels of oil equivalent. The company is based in Minnetonka, Minnesota.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Northern Oil & Gas:

  • It's like a pure-play oil and gas producer, similar to the upstream division of ExxonMobil.
  • Think of it as a mining company like Barrick Gold, but for crude oil and natural gas.
  • It's like an asset management firm for oil and gas properties, acquiring and developing them for production, similar to how Blackstone manages real estate.
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AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Crude Oil: Northern Oil & Gas produces crude oil from its interests in various basins across the United States.
  • Natural Gas: Northern Oil & Gas produces natural gas from its interests in various basins across the United States.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Northern Oil & Gas (NOG) is an upstream energy company focused on the acquisition, exploration, exploitation, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas. As such, it sells its produced commodities (crude oil and natural gas) primarily to other companies within the energy sector, rather than to individuals. According to its public filings, Northern Oil & Gas has a diversified customer base and did not have any single customer that accounted for 10% or more of its revenues for the years ended December 31, 2022, or 2021. Therefore, NOG does not disclose individually named "major customers" in the traditional sense of companies representing a significant portion of its revenue. However, NOG sells its crude oil and natural gas production to a variety of purchasers that fall into the following categories:
  • Refiners: Companies that process crude oil into various refined products such as gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel.
  • Integrated Oil Companies: Large companies involved in multiple aspects of the oil and gas industry, from exploration and production to refining, marketing, and distribution.
  • Pipeline and Midstream Companies: Entities responsible for gathering, processing, and transporting crude oil and natural gas from production sites to market hubs or processing facilities.
  • Marketing Companies: Trading firms or marketing divisions of larger energy companies that purchase crude oil and natural gas for resale or further distribution.
While Northern Oil & Gas does not disclose the specific names of its individual customers due to their diversified nature, representative examples of public companies operating within these customer categories in the U.S. energy market include:
  • Representative Refiners:
    • Valero Energy Corporation (VLO)
    • Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC)
    • Phillips 66 (PSX)
  • Representative Integrated Oil Companies:
    • Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM)
    • Chevron Corporation (CVX)
  • Representative Pipeline and Midstream Companies:
    • Enterprise Products Partners L.P. (EPD)
    • Energy Transfer LP (ET)
    • The Williams Companies, Inc. (WMB)

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Nicholas O'Grady, Chief Executive Officer

Nicholas O'Grady has served as Chief Executive Officer of Northern Oil & Gas since January 2020 and was named to NOG's Board of Directors in 2024. He joined NOG in June 2018 as Chief Financial Officer and also held the title of President from September 2019 until his promotion to CEO. Mr. O'Grady leads the NOG team in all aspects of the business, including acquisitions, investments, financial management, and business strategy. Over his tenure, the NOG team has executed acquisitions and related financings worth billions of dollars. Prior to NOG, he had nearly two decades of energy-related finance experience as an investment banker and a principal investor. Mr. O'Grady began his career in the Natural Resources investment banking group at Bank of America. He later worked at asset management firms such as Highbridge Capital Management and Hudson Bay Capital Management, where he focused on energy-related equities, public credit, and private and direct investments.

Chad Allen, Chief Financial Officer

Mr. Allen leads all accounting, financial, and public company-related functions as Chief Financial Officer for Northern Oil & Gas. He previously served as Chief Accounting Officer since August 2016 and as the company's Corporate Controller since joining Northern in August 2013. Mr. Allen also served as the company's Interim Chief Financial Officer from January to May 2018. Before joining Northern, Mr. Allen was in the audit practice with Grant Thornton LLP from 2010 to 2013, and with McGladrey & Pullen, LLP from 2004 to 2010.

Adam Dirlam, President

Mr. Dirlam leads the mergers and acquisitions (M&A) and capital allocation efforts at Northern Oil & Gas. He previously served as Chief Operating Officer since January 2020 and as Executive Vice President - Land since May 2018. Mr. Dirlam has held various other roles with the company since 2009. Prior to his tenure at Northern, Mr. Dirlam served in various finance and accounting roles for Honeywell International.

James Evans, Chief Technical Officer

Mr. Evans oversees all aspects of Northern Oil & Gas's engineering process, including the valuation of properties, reserves, and production forecasting. He was named Chief Technical Officer in April 2023, and prior to that, served as Executive Vice President & Chief Engineer since February 2021 and Senior Vice President of Engineering since January 2020. Mr. Evans has been with NOG since 2013, holding numerous progressive engineering roles. He began his career as a Reservoir Engineer with Cabot Oil & Gas and also worked for Cornerstone Natural Resources and Fidelity Exploration.

Erik Romslo, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary

Mr. Romslo oversees all legal, regulatory, and SEC-related matters as Chief Legal Officer and facilitates all Board functions as Secretary. He joined Northern Oil & Gas as General Counsel and Secretary in October 2011, and was promoted to Executive Vice President in January 2013, before becoming Chief Legal Officer in January 2020. Before joining the company, Mr. Romslo practiced law in the Minneapolis office of Faegre Drinker Biddle & Reath LLP (formerly Faegre & Benson LLP) from 2005 until 2011, where he was a member of the Corporate group.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Northern Oil & Gas (NOG) are primarily associated with the volatile nature of the energy industry and its operational model.

Key Risks to Northern Oil & Gas

  1. Commodity Price Volatility: As an independent energy company, Northern Oil & Gas's revenues are significantly influenced by the fluctuating prices of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs). These prices are highly volatile and subject to numerous factors beyond the company's control, including global supply and demand, geopolitical events, and actions by organizations like OPEC+. While Northern Oil & Gas employs hedging strategies to mitigate some of this volatility, these measures only partially reduce the risk and do not eliminate it entirely. Extended periods of low commodity prices can adversely affect the company's financial position, results of operations, cash flow, and the economic viability of its reserves.
  2. Dependency on Third-Party Operators: Northern Oil & Gas operates as a non-operator, meaning it acquires working interests in wells but relies on third parties for drilling, completion, and overall operational management. This business model means that NOG has limited control over operational decisions, the timing of well completions, and the execution of development plans. The success of its business, therefore, extensively depends on the performance and financial stability of these third-party operators. Operator deferrals or challenges faced by these operators, particularly in a low commodity price environment, can negatively impact NOG's production, cash flow, and financial condition.
  3. Financial Leverage and Debt: Northern Oil & Gas carries a significant debt load, which poses a substantial financial risk. The company's liabilities are considerable compared to its cash and near-term receivables, suggesting that shareholders should closely monitor its debt management. Historically, Northern Oil & Gas has experienced periods of negative free cash flow, raising questions about its long-term financial flexibility. High debt levels can lead to increased financing costs and may necessitate raising new equity capital at potentially unfavorable prices, leading to shareholder dilution. Furthermore, covenants within the instruments governing its indebtedness may restrict the company's ability to pay dividends.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The global energy transition away from fossil fuels, driven by the increasing adoption of renewable energy sources, the rapid growth of electric vehicles, and more stringent environmental policies aimed at decarbonization, poses a clear emerging threat to Northern Oil & Gas. This trend threatens to reduce long-term demand for crude oil and natural gas, potentially leading to declining asset values, stranded reserves, and diminished access to capital for exploration and production activities.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Northern Oil & Gas (NOG) primarily focuses on the acquisition, exploration, exploitation, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas properties across various basins in the United States, including the Williston, Appalachian, Permian, and Uinta Basins. Therefore, its addressable markets are the crude oil and natural gas markets within the U.S.

The overall U.S. oil and gas market was estimated at approximately USD 1.55 trillion in 2024 and is projected to grow to about USD 1.61 trillion in 2025. This market is expected to reach around USD 2.24 trillion by 2034, demonstrating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.75% between 2025 and 2034.

Specifically for natural gas, the U.S. natural gas market size is valued at approximately USD 473.4 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 601.8 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 3.5% during this forecast period.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Northern Oil & Gas (NOG) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:

  1. Strategic Acquisitions and "Ground Game" Initiatives: Northern Oil & Gas consistently pursues strategic acquisitions, focusing on non-operated working interests and "ground game" opportunities. These involve acquiring small, accretive working-interest packages with near-term cash flow and low-risk proved undeveloped (PUD) conversions. For example, in October 2024, NOG acquired a 20% interest in Uinta Basin assets for approximately $511.3 million, and in February 2025, it expanded its Permian Basin footprint by acquiring 2,275 net acres for $40 million. This ongoing strategy of bolt-on acquisitions and ground game purchases contributes significantly to expanding its asset base and, consequently, its production capacity and revenue.
  2. Multi-Basin Diversification and Expansion: The company is strategically rebalancing its portfolio to mitigate basin-specific risks and enhance cash flow. This involves shifting from a concentration in the Bakken to an oil-weighted Permian footprint and incorporating gas optionality in the Marcellus and Appalachian basins. NOG's growth strategy emphasizes multi-basin diversification, including targeted expansion into the Permian and Marcellus, and has expanded its operational footprint into new territories like the Uinta Basin.
  3. Increased Production from Existing and New Assets: NOG aims to sustain and grow production volumes through capital efficiency and the development of its extensive inventory. The company targets thousands of future gross locations by adding de-risked locations across its various basins through quarterly bolt-ons. For instance, in Q4 2025, Northern Oil & Gas reported an average daily production of 140,000 barrels of oil equivalent (BOE) per day, a 7% increase from Q3 2025, with natural gas production reaching a record 392 million cubic feet (MMcf) per day, up 24% from Q4 2024. The company has also provided 2026 guidance projecting production between 139,000 and 148,000 BOE per day.
  4. Technological Innovation and Operational Efficiency: Northern Oil & Gas is focusing on leveraging data and advanced techniques to maximize performance across its diverse, non-operated portfolio. This commitment to technological innovation and operational efficiency helps to optimize production from its assets and can lead to increased output and potentially lower operating costs, thereby positively impacting revenue.
  5. Shift to Drill-Ready Projects: In 2026, Northern Oil & Gas plans to adjust its "ground game" strategy by transitioning from leasing activities to focusing more on drill-ready projects. This shift is anticipated to capitalize on opportunities that were previously less attractive, potentially leading to a more immediate realization of production and revenue.

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Share Repurchases

  • Northern Oil & Gas increased its share repurchase authorization by $100 million in March 2025, adding to an existing $100 million remaining on the program.
  • In 2024, the company repurchased 2,535,391 shares at a weighted average price of $37.27, contributing to approximately $260 million in total shareholder returns for the year.
  • During the first three quarters of 2025, NOG completed $50.0 million in common stock repurchases, as part of $179.7 million returned to shareholders. In Q2 2025, over 1.1 million shares were repurchased at an average price of $31.15 per share.

Share Issuance

  • In March 2026, Northern Oil & Gas completed a public offering of 7,207,208 common shares, raising approximately $200 million in gross proceeds. The net proceeds are designated for general corporate purposes, including the repayment of outstanding borrowings under its revolving credit facility.
  • The company issued $200 million in 3.625% convertible unsecured notes due April 2029 in September 2025, generating approximately $211.2 million in gross proceeds.

Outbound Investments

  • Since 2018, NOG has executed over $5.0 billion in bolt-on strategic acquisitions and numerous "Ground-Game" interests in wells and drill-cos.
  • In February 2026, NOG completed the acquisition of non-operated interests in the Utica Shale in Ohio from Antero Resources and Antero Midstream for a cash payment of $464.5 million, securing a 40% stake in these assets.
  • In October 2024, NOG finalized the acquisition of Uinta Basin assets from XCL Resources, LLC for $511.3 million in cash, and in September 2024, acquired Delaware Basin assets from Point Energy Partners for $205.0 million.

Capital Expenditures

  • Total capital expenditures for 2025 were approximately $1.0 billion, which included $173.5 million for elective ground game opportunities. Initial guidance for 2025 capex ranged from $1,050 million to $1,200 million, later reduced to $925 million to $1,050 million.
  • The primary focus of 2025 capital spending was on the Permian Basin (57-66%), followed by the Williston, Appalachian, and Uinta Basins.
  • For 2026, the capital budget is designed to drive growth, with an anticipated activity split of 40% in the Permian, 25% in Appalachia, 25% in Williston, and 10% in Uinta Basins.

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Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NOGVTSGRNTVNOMTPLFANGMedian
NameNorthern.Vitesse .Granite .Viper En.Texas Pa.Diamondb. 
Mkt Price23.4017.815.0046.79394.20188.7035.09
Mkt Cap2.30.70.78.527.253.45.4
Rev LTM2,0592754561,66083915,1081,250
Op Inc LTM54618757266244,724585
FCF LTM-20161-109-78843-785-155
FCF 3Y Avg-27031-71-470172-1,393-171
CFO LTM1,4211772791,1805518,231866
CFO 3Y Avg1,3841512848445017,165672

Growth & Margins

NOGVTSGRNTVNOMTPLFANGMedian
NameNorthern.Vitesse .Granite .Viper En.Texas Pa.Diamondb. 
Rev Chg LTM-6.8%11.4%10.1%84.4%15.3%17.7%13.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.9%--1.7%30.8%8.2%20.4%8.2%
Rev Chg Q-6.2%1.9%4.3%108.6%20.8%4.4%4.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.7%0.5%1.2%19.1%5.1%1.2%1.2%
Op Inc Chg LTM-31.1%-46.9%-36.7%24.5%12.9%-4.3%-17.7%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-21.8%--29.2%5.0%5.0%-6.4%-6.4%
Op Mgn LTM26.5%6.4%16.4%43.7%74.4%31.3%28.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg34.8%15.3%24.1%60.7%76.3%41.2%38.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.2%0.2%-3.9%-1.3%0.2%-1.4%-1.4%
CFO/Rev LTM69.0%64.3%61.2%71.1%65.7%54.5%65.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg66.1%59.4%67.9%74.8%67.6%59.9%66.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-9.8%22.0%-23.9%-47.5%5.1%-5.2%-7.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-13.2%11.7%-16.4%-39.1%25.4%-8.2%-10.7%

Valuation

NOGVTSGRNTVNOMTPLFANGMedian
NameNorthern.Vitesse .Granite .Viper En.Texas Pa.Diamondb. 
Mkt Cap2.30.70.78.527.253.45.4
P/S1.12.61.45.132.43.53.1
P/Op Inc4.240.48.811.743.511.311.5
P/EBIT-3.6-77.4-62.6-217.542.1120.2-33.1
P/E-3.7-36.3-20.1-184.454.0187.9-11.9
P/CFO1.64.02.37.249.36.55.3
Total Yield-19.4%-2.8%3.9%3.9%2.4%2.7%2.6%
Dividend Yield7.6%0.0%8.8%4.4%0.6%2.2%3.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-7.7%4.1%-9.1%-7.5%1.1%-2.5%-5.0%
D/E1.10.20.70.20.00.30.2
Net D/E1.10.20.60.2-0.00.30.2

Returns

NOGVTSGRNTVNOMTPLFANGMedian
NameNorthern.Vitesse .Granite .Viper En.Texas Pa.Diamondb. 
1M Rtn-13.1%-2.9%-10.2%3.7%-3.8%0.3%-3.4%
3M Rtn-7.4%-15.5%0.2%10.4%7.8%13.7%4.0%
6M Rtn12.2%-11.5%1.4%28.0%20.8%33.1%16.5%
12M Rtn-5.7%-8.6%4.8%21.8%-8.6%40.6%-0.5%
3Y Rtn-12.7%31.1%17.5%72.9%168.9%64.1%47.6%
1M Excs Rtn-22.1%-8.6%-19.4%-4.0%-4.1%-7.1%-7.9%
3M Excs Rtn-14.1%-22.3%-6.5%3.6%1.1%7.0%-2.7%
6M Excs Rtn9.5%-19.1%-10.0%22.6%20.2%30.4%14.8%
12M Excs Rtn-29.0%-34.3%-22.2%-5.9%-42.8%18.2%-25.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-92.5%-47.2%-68.6%-8.0%75.1%-17.2%-32.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Acquisition, exploration, development and production of oil and natural gas properties2,2262,166   
Gain (Loss) on Commodity Derivatives, Net  -415-478228
Natural Gas and Natural gas liquids (NGL) Revenues  51120219
Oil Revenues  1,475773305
Other  0 0
Total2,2262,1661,571497552


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$23.40 
Market Cap ($ Bil)2.3 
First Trading Date04/13/2007 
Distance from 52W High-24.1% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$27.34$24.18
DMA Trendindeterminateup
Distance from DMA-14.4%-3.2%
 3M1YR
Volatility45.9%44.9%
Downside Capture0.050.27
Upside Capture-26.7629.75
Correlation (SPY)-13.8%15.6%
NOG Betas & Captures as of 4/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-1.98-1.05-0.46-0.020.621.17
Up Beta-2.01-2.05-1.50-0.920.461.32
Down Beta-6.71-0.271.211.271.531.76
Up Capture-100%-63%-19%17%30%36%
Bmk +ve Days15223166141428
Stock +ve Days12263870130407
Down Capture-410%-101%-96%-53%40%96%
Bmk -ve Days4183056108321
Stock -ve Days10172655119339

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NOG
NOG2.4%45.7%0.19-
Sector ETF (XLE)42.9%20.1%1.6778.4%
Equity (SPY)29.0%12.5%1.8316.3%
Gold (GLD)39.8%27.0%1.22-5.2%
Commodities (DBC)50.6%18.0%2.2149.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.0%13.5%0.661.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-17.4%42.1%-0.3418.4%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NOG
NOG14.2%49.5%0.44-
Sector ETF (XLE)21.5%26.1%0.7478.9%
Equity (SPY)12.8%17.1%0.5940.6%
Gold (GLD)20.9%17.9%0.957.9%
Commodities (DBC)13.8%19.1%0.5959.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.4%18.8%0.0826.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)7.0%56.0%0.3415.0%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NOG
NOG-6.2%70.7%0.22-
Sector ETF (XLE)9.5%29.5%0.3663.0%
Equity (SPY)15.1%17.9%0.7236.1%
Gold (GLD)13.4%15.9%0.693.1%
Commodities (DBC)9.3%17.8%0.4447.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.8%20.7%0.2425.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.8%66.9%1.079.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date4152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity17.6 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 33120260.9%
Average Daily Volume2.0 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.7 days
Basic Shares Quantity98.5 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares17.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/28/20261.4%-3.3% 
2/10/20263.6%6.7%7.6%
10/21/20250.0%1.3%3.4%
7/24/20252.4%1.9%-15.5%
4/16/20255.5%3.6%24.0%
1/29/2025-1.7%-4.3%-16.7%
10/24/20240.1%-2.7%15.9%
7/29/20241.0%-8.9%-0.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141212
# Negative91110
Median Positive1.4%5.1%12.4%
Median Negative-1.7%-4.3%-13.7%
Max Positive7.1%23.7%128.3%
Max Negative-6.6%-12.2%-28.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202604/29/202610-Q
12/31/202502/26/202610-K
09/30/202511/07/202510-Q
06/30/202508/01/202510-Q
03/31/202504/30/202510-Q
12/31/202402/20/202510-K
09/30/202411/06/202410-Q
06/30/202407/31/202410-Q
03/31/202404/30/202410-Q
12/31/202302/23/202410-K
09/30/202311/02/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/05/202310-Q
12/31/202202/24/202310-K
09/30/202211/09/202210-Q
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/28/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Annual Production0.14 Mil0.14 Mil0.15 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 0.14 Mil for 2026
2026 Annual Oil Production68,00072,00076,0000 AffirmedGuidance: 72,000 for 2026
2026 Total Capital Expenditures850.00 Mil975.00 Mil1.10 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 975.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Net Total Wells Turned-in-Line67.577.2870 AffirmedGuidance: 77.2 for 2026

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/25/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Annual Production0.14 Mil0.14 Mil0.15 Mil7.7% RaisedGuidance: 0.13 Mil for 2025
2026 Annual Oil Production68,00072,00076,000-5.0% LoweredGuidance: 75,750 for 2025
2026 Total Capital Expenditures850.00 Mil975.00 Mil1.10 Bil-1.3% LoweredGuidance: 987.50 Mil for 2025
2026 Net Total Wells Turned-in-Line67.577.287   

Insider Activity

Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Easley, Roy Ernest DirectBuy1212202523.3810,000233,8371,943,934Form
2Easley, Roy Ernest DirectBuy1212202524.4615,000366,9331,788,970Form