Granite Ridge Resources (GRNT)
Market Price (8/11/2026): $5.08 | Market Cap: $664.5 MilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Granite Ridge Resources (GRNT)
Market Price (8/11/2026): $5.08Market Cap: $664.5 MilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 52% Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 8.7% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 42% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -50%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -85% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 63% Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 907x Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21% Key risksGRNT key risks include [1] rising leverage and significant cash burn from aggressive spending, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 52% |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 8.7% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 42% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -50%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -85% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 63% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 907x |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21% |
| Key risksGRNT key risks include [1] rising leverage and significant cash burn from aggressive spending, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Granite Ridge Resources (GRNT) stock has lost about 15% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Declining Crude Oil Prices.
The energy sector experienced macroeconomic headwinds with a significant drop in crude oil prices during the period. Brent crude oil spot prices averaged $85 per barrel (b) in June 2026, a decrease of $32/b from its peak in April 2026. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasted further declines, with Brent averaging $74/b in fiscal Q3 2026 and $65/b in 2027, driven by increasing oil supply and moderating inventory draws.
2. Increased Lease Operating Expenses.
Granite Ridge Resources faced rising operational costs, reporting a substantial 47% increase in lease operating expenses (LOE) per barrel of oil equivalent (Boe) in fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026). LOE reached $10.27 per Boe, up from $7.00 per Boe in fiscal Q2 2025. Management also raised the full-year 2026 lease operating expense guidance to a range of $8.25 to $9.25 per Boe.
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Granite Ridge Resources (GRNT) stock has lost about 15% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Declining Crude Oil Prices.
The energy sector experienced macroeconomic headwinds with a significant drop in crude oil prices during the period. Brent crude oil spot prices averaged $85 per barrel (b) in June 2026, a decrease of $32/b from its peak in April 2026. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasted further declines, with Brent averaging $74/b in fiscal Q3 2026 and $65/b in 2027, driven by increasing oil supply and moderating inventory draws.
2. Increased Lease Operating Expenses.
Granite Ridge Resources faced rising operational costs, reporting a substantial 47% increase in lease operating expenses (LOE) per barrel of oil equivalent (Boe) in fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026). LOE reached $10.27 per Boe, up from $7.00 per Boe in fiscal Q2 2025. Management also raised the full-year 2026 lease operating expense guidance to a range of $8.25 to $9.25 per Boe.
3. Persistent Investment Ahead of Cash Flow and Commodity Derivative Losses.
Despite beating analyst estimates with an Adjusted Earnings Per Diluted Share of $0.09 and revenue of $149.27 million in fiscal Q2 2026, Granite Ridge Resources continued to outspend its operating cash flow. Capital expenditures for drilling, completions, and acquisitions totaled $95.2 million, significantly exceeding the $55.6 million generated from operating cash flow. Management indicated that 2026 is the "final year" the company expects to invest ahead of cash flow, targeting a free cash flow inflection in 2027. Additionally, the company incurred a $59.0 million loss on commodity derivatives in the first six months of 2026, which reduced realized pricing to $43.39 per Boe, compared to $51.19 per Boe before derivatives.
4. Weak Natural Gas Pricing.
The company's natural gas segment experienced a significant decline in sales despite a modest production increase. While natural gas production grew approximately 1% in fiscal Q2 2026, sales for natural gas and related products fell from $19.8 million in Q2 2025 to $9.6 million. This was primarily due to a sharp drop in the average natural gas sales price, which decreased from $2.32 per Mcf to $1.12 per Mcf. Permian natural gas realizations remained soft due to "record-low Waha basis weakness."
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -13.8% change in GRNT stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -21.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302026 | 8102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.90 | 5.08 | -13.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 450 | 496 | 10.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.7 | 1.3 | -21.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 130 | 131 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -13.8% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2026 to 8/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GRNT | -13.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.6% | -33.7% |
| Sector (XLE) | 0.9% | 67.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 5.8% change in GRNT stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 9.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 8102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.80 | 5.08 | 5.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 451 | 496 | 9.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.4 | 1.3 | -3.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 130 | 131 | -0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 5.8% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 8/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GRNT | 5.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.0% | -23.0% |
| Sector (XLE) | 18.7% | 65.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 6.6% change in GRNT stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 19.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 8102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.77 | 5.08 | 6.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 414 | 496 | 19.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.5 | 1.3 | -10.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 130 | 131 | -0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 6.6% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 8/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GRNT | 6.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 23.3% | -6.8% |
| Sector (XLE) | 41.3% | 64.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -12.8% change in GRNT stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -14.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312023 | 8102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.83 | 5.08 | -12.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 495 | 496 | 0.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.6 | 1.3 | -14.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 133 | 131 | 1.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -12.8% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2023 to 8/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GRNT | -12.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 74.8% | 26.9% |
| Sector (XLE) | 50.4% | 62.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GRNT Return | -2% | -7% | -28% | 15% | -21% | 9% | -36% |
| Peers Return | 49% | 38% | 15% | 27% | -24% | 15% | 160% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 13% | 107% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GRNT Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 58% | 58% | 33% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 61% | 62% | 53% | 37% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GRNT Max Drawdown | -6% | -20% | -44% | -18% | -31% | -28% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -52% | -44% | -33% | -20% | -40% | -30% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: NOG, VTS, CRGY, REPX, VNOM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/10/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GRNT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -25.2% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.7% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 60 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -19.3% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 23.9% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 205 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -28.6% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.0% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 90 days | 31 days |
In The Past
Granite Ridge Resources's stock fell -25.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 33.7% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | GRNT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -25.2% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.7% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 60 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -28.6% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.0% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 90 days | 31 days |
In The Past
Granite Ridge Resources's stock fell -25.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 33.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Granite Ridge Resources (GRNT)
Granite Ridge Resources is an independent oil and natural gas company primarily engaged in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and gas properties. The company focuses on identifying and optimizing hydrocarbon resources, with an emphasis on established and emerging resource plays across various basins within the United States. Its strategy aims to create shareholder value through efficient capital deployment and responsible resource management.
The company's main products are crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs), which it extracts from unconventional formations using modern drilling and completion techniques. Granite Ridge's operational footprint is diversified across multiple onshore shale basins, allowing it to maintain a robust and balanced portfolio of assets and production capabilities designed for long-term sustainability.
Granite Ridge Resources sells its produced commodities to a range of purchasers within the broader energy sector. Its primary customers typically include midstream companies, refiners, industrial users, and other marketers who further process or distribute these vital energy products. By supplying crude oil, natural gas, and NGLs, the company plays a role in meeting the energy demands of various economic sectors.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Granite Ridge Resources (GRNT):
- Like a smaller, independent Pioneer Natural Resources, but focused on oil and gas drilling.
- The oil and gas exploration and production division of a major energy company such as Chevron, operating independently.
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- Oil and Natural Gas Exploration and Production: Granite Ridge Resources is engaged in the acquisition, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas properties, primarily in the Permian Basin.
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Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. (symbol: GRNT) is an independent oil and gas company focused on the acquisition and development of oil and gas properties, primarily in the Permian Basin. As such, it sells its produced crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids primarily to other companies in the energy sector.
Based on the company's public filings (such as its annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2023), Granite Ridge Resources does not have any single customer that accounted for 10% or more of its total revenues. This indicates a diversified customer base, and therefore, there are no individually named "major customers" that are required to be disclosed or are otherwise identifiable as accounting for a significant portion of the company's revenue.
However, the company sells its production to a variety of purchasers. These customers typically fall into the following categories:
- Pipeline companies
- Natural gas gatherers and processors
- Refiners
- Other marketers of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids
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Tyler S. Farquharson, President and Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Farquharson has over 16 years of experience in the energy industry. He was promoted to President and CEO on June 12, 2025. Prior to joining Granite Ridge in 2022 as Chief Financial Officer, he served as Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Treasurer at EXCO Resources, Inc., an independent oil and natural gas company, from October 2017 to May 2022. Granite Ridge Resources was formed in 2022 through a $1.3 billion deal that involved private equity firm Grey Rock Investment Partners, and the company explicitly states it operates with a publicly traded private equity strategy.
Kyle Kettler, Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Kettler was appointed Chief Financial Officer, effective February 9, 2026. He brings over 25 years of experience across energy finance and capital markets, with deep expertise in financing oil and gas companies in both public and private markets. Most recently, he was a Partner at Chambers Energy Management, where he helped lead the firm's investment sourcing, due diligence, valuation, and portfolio management efforts.
Kim Weimer, Chief Accounting Officer
Ms. Weimer has over 20 years of accounting experience, primarily in the energy industry. Prior to joining Granite Ridge, she served as the Chief Financial Officer of Titanium Exploration Partners, an oil and gas asset manager, from October 2018 through December 2023. She has also held executive and senior leadership positions as Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Enduro Resource Partners and Director of Investor Relations at Encore Acquisition Company and Encore Energy Partners.
Ryan Riggelson, Partner – Engineering
Mr. Riggelson provides engineering services to Granite Ridge through a Management Services Agreement with Grey Rock. He joined Grey Rock in 2016 and has nearly 25 years of experience in the oil and gas industry in various production, operations, and reservoir engineering roles. Most recently, prior to Grey Rock, his initiatives at EP Energy facilitated a significant increase in the value of EP's Haynesville asset, and he led the technical component of the resulting $420 million Haynesville asset sale in 2016.
Emily Fuquay, Corporate Secretary
Ms. Fuquay provides legal services to Granite Ridge through a Management Services Agreement with Grey Rock and joined Grey Rock in 2021. Prior to joining Grey Rock, she was Senior Counsel at EnLink Midstream, a publicly traded midstream company, and General Counsel and Chief Compliance Officer at Parallel Resource Partners, a private equity firm focused on investments in the upstream oil and gas sector.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Granite Ridge Resources (GRNT) are primarily associated with the inherent volatility of the energy sector and its specific operational model.
- Volatility of Oil and Natural Gas Prices: As an exploration and production company, Granite Ridge Resources' financial performance is highly susceptible to fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas prices. Extended declines in these commodity prices can negatively impact the company's revenue, profitability, and overall business operations. While Granite Ridge utilizes hedging strategies to mitigate price volatility, these instruments carry their own risks, such as potential liquidity issues if actual production falls short of hedged amounts.
- Reliance on Third-Party Operators: Granite Ridge Resources operates on a non-operated business model, meaning its development of successful operations relies extensively on third parties. This operational structure can limit the company's direct control over the timing, costs, and execution of drilling and development activities, introducing dependencies and potential inefficiencies.
- Cash Burn and Transition to Free Cash Flow: Granite Ridge Resources has been projected to experience a cash burn, with a reported net loss in the fourth quarter of 2025 and an anticipated cash burn for 2026, even amidst strong oil prices. The company's ability to transition to sustainable free cash flow generation by 2027 is crucial for its financial health. This risk is exacerbated by increasing debt and higher-than-expected lease operating expenses, which could also put its dividend at risk if free cash flow generation is not achieved.
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There are two clear emerging threats for Granite Ridge Resources:
-
Accelerating Energy Transition: The rapid advancements and increasing adoption of renewable energy sources (solar, wind) and battery storage, coupled with electrification trends (e.g., electric vehicles), pose a threat of an accelerated structural decline in long-term demand for fossil fuels. This could lead to lower commodity prices and reduced valuations for oil and gas assets faster than traditional industry models predict.
-
ESG-Driven Capital Constraints: The growing pressure from Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) considerations is increasingly influencing capital markets. This trend is making it more challenging and potentially more expensive for oil and gas companies, including non-operators like Granite Ridge Resources, to access capital for future acquisitions and development projects from institutional investors, banks, and other financial institutions.
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Granite Ridge Resources (NYSE: GRNT) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies centered on increasing production and optimizing its asset portfolio:
- Increased Production Volumes: Granite Ridge Resources anticipates growth in its overall production. The company is targeting 9% production growth in 2026. This follows a significant 27% year-over-year increase in average daily production during Q4 2025, reaching 35,120 barrels of oil equivalent per day (Boe/d). The company's Q1 2024 results also showed a 3% year-over-year production increase to 23,842 Boe/d. Management explicitly states a strategy to "compound production and cash flow growth."
- Strategic Shift to Operated Partnerships: A core component of Granite Ridge's strategy is its evolution from a traditional non-operated production company to one focused on controlled, short-cycle development through operated partnerships. This model provides the company with greater control over development timing, capital allocation, and execution. For instance, operated partnerships are expected to account for 90% of planned 2026 development capital.
- Accretive Acquisitions and Proprietary Deal Flow: The company emphasizes disciplined acquisition of high-quality inventory, leveraging its scaled platform to source proprietary deal flow. In 2025, Granite Ridge completed 107 transactions, adding 77.2 net wells at an average entry cost below $2 million per location, approximately 65% below recent Permian Basin market averages. In Q1 2024, the company closed four acquisitions in the Permian Basin to enhance its operational footprint. Their diversified platform is capable of sourcing around 700 proprietary opportunities annually.
- Disciplined Capital Allocation and Focus on High-Return Projects: While indirectly a revenue driver, Granite Ridge's commitment to disciplined capital allocation and underwriting projects for high returns supports sustainable future revenue growth. The company targets projects with greater than 25% internal rates of return (IRRs) at strip pricing, focusing on short-cycle investments for accelerated capital recovery. This approach ensures that capital is efficiently deployed into projects expected to generate substantial future production and cash flow.
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Share Repurchases
- Granite Ridge Resources authorized a stock repurchase program on December 15, 2022, allowing for the repurchase of up to $50 million of its common stock through December 31, 2023.
Outbound Investments
- In 2025, Granite Ridge Resources invested $122 million across 107 transactions, focusing on acquiring 77.2 net locations in operated partnerships and non-operated portfolios.
- Approximately 59.3 Permian Operated Partnership net wells were acquired in 2025 at an average cost of $1.4 million per location.
- For 2026, the company anticipates an additional $20 million to $30 million for acquisitions.
Capital Expenditures
- Total capital expenditures for the full year 2025 were $401 million, which included $279 million for drilling and completion activities and $122 million for property acquisitions. Fourth quarter 2025 capital expenditures were $127.5 million, with $66.4 million allocated to drilling and completion and $61.1 million to property acquisitions.
- For 2026, projected total capital expenditures are between $320 million and $360 million, with development capital estimated at $300 million to $330 million.
- Approximately 90% of the 2026 capital expenditures are planned for operated projects, primarily concentrated in the Permian Basin, aiming for 9% production growth while reducing spending by about 15% compared to 2025.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 19.82 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.6 |
| Rev LTM | 1,266 |
| Op Inc LTM | 412 |
| FCF LTM | 44 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -125 |
| CFO LTM | 819 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 618 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 18.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 14.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 46.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 10.9% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -1.2% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 0.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 26.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 29.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 5.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 50.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 59.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 10.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -9.8% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $5.08 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.7 | |
| First Trading Date | 11/06/2020 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -15.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $4.69 | $4.91 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | 8.2% | 3.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 40.6% | 41.8% |
| Downside Capture | -122.30 | -57.30 |
| Upside Capture | -101.69 | -37.24 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -30.2% | -8.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -1.48 | -0.92 | -1.36 | -0.80 | -0.24 | 0.71 |
| Up Beta | 1.31 | -1.18 | -1.98 | -1.58 | -0.65 | 0.77 |
| Down Beta | -1.17 | -0.09 | -0.72 | 0.11 | 0.49 | 1.33 |
| Up Capture | -165% | -109% | -133% | -49% | -20% | 7% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 35 | 67 | 138 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 17 | 25 | 66 | 129 | 389 |
| Down Capture | -338% | -123% | -128% | -133% | -69% | 68% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 28 | 59 | 114 | 326 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 24 | 36 | 56 | 117 | 335 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GRNT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRNT | 13.4% | 42.2% | 0.41 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 46.2% | 21.6% | 1.66 | 64.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 23.4% | 12.8% | 1.37 | -8.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 28.7% | 28.4% | 0.88 | -8.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 37.2% | 20.1% | 1.46 | 41.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.4% | 13.8% | 0.60 | -3.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -44.9% | 43.0% | -1.27 | 8.9% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GRNT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRNT | -8.8% | 40.5% | -0.12 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 24.0% | 25.8% | 0.82 | 36.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.2% | 0.61 | 19.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.9% | 18.6% | 0.83 | 0.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.2% | 19.6% | 0.36 | 24.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.1% | 18.9% | 0.01 | 11.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 10.6% | 52.9% | 0.39 | 7.2% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GRNT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRNT | -4.9% | 38.1% | -0.13 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 10.3% | 29.6% | 0.38 | 31.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 17.9% | 0.73 | 18.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.1% | 16.2% | 0.61 | 0.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.7% | 18.1% | 0.34 | 23.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.6% | 20.7% | 0.18 | 11.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.3% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 6.0% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 8/11/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/6/2026 | 4.7% | ||
| 5/7/2026 | -10.7% | -5.0% | -11.4% |
| 3/5/2026 | -6.0% | -4.1% | 9.9% |
| 11/7/2025 | -1.4% | 0.6% | 6.5% |
| 8/7/2025 | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% |
| 5/8/2025 | 1.4% | 9.0% | 16.1% |
| 3/6/2025 | 1.1% | 4.7% | -7.4% |
| 11/7/2024 | 2.7% | 4.6% | -1.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 11 | 7 |
| # Negative | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 3.3% | 4.7% | 9.7% |
| Median Negative | -2.8% | -4.1% | -7.4% |
| Max Positive | 12.7% | 13.2% | 30.1% |
| Max Negative | -10.7% | -5.0% | -11.8% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/6/2026 | 4.7% | ||
| 5/7/2026 | -10.7% | -5.0% | -11.4% |
| 3/5/2026 | -6.0% | -4.1% | 9.9% |
| 11/7/2025 | -1.4% | 0.6% | 6.5% |
| 8/7/2025 | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% |
| 5/8/2025 | 1.4% | 9.0% | 16.1% |
| 3/6/2025 | 1.1% | 4.7% | -7.4% |
| 11/7/2024 | 2.7% | 4.6% | -1.7% |
| 8/8/2024 | -2.3% | 6.0% | -1.6% |
| 5/9/2024 | -3.6% | -1.8% | -2.2% |
| 3/7/2024 | -2.5% | 2.1% | 8.7% |
| 11/9/2023 | 1.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| 8/10/2023 | 12.7% | 9.8% | -11.8% |
| 5/11/2023 | -2.8% | 13.2% | 30.1% |
| 11/14/2022 | 3.9% | 3.8% | -9.7% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 11 | 7 |
| # Negative | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 3.3% | 4.7% | 9.7% |
| Median Negative | -2.8% | -4.1% | -7.4% |
| Max Positive | 12.7% | 13.2% | 30.1% |
| Max Negative | -10.7% | -5.0% | -11.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 08/06/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/06/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/06/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/08/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/27/2023 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2022 | 09/12/2022 | S-4/A |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 08/06/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/06/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/06/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/08/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/27/2023 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2022 | 09/12/2022 | S-4/A |
| 03/31/2022 | 07/08/2022 | S-4/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 05/16/2022 | S-4 |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 8/7/2026Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/6/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Annual production | 34,000 | 35,000 | 36,000 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 35,000 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Oil as a % of sales volumes | 0.5 | 0.51 | 0.52 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 0.51 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Acquisitions | 45.00 Mil | 50.00 Mil | 55.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 50.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Development capital expenditures | 300.00 Mil | 315.00 Mil | 330.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 315.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Total capital expenditures | 345.00 Mil | 365.00 Mil | 385.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 365.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Lease operating expenses | 8.25 | 8.75 | 9.25 | 6.1% | Raised | Guidance: 8.25 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Production and ad valorem taxes | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 0.07 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Cash general and administrative expense | 25.00 Mil | 26.00 Mil | 27.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 26.00 Mil for 2026 | |
Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Annual production | 34,000 | 35,000 | 36,000 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 35,000 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Oil production | 0.5 | 0.51 | 0.52 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 0.51 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Acquisitions | 45.00 Mil | 50.00 Mil | 55.00 Mil | 1 | Raised | Guidance: 25.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Development capital expenditures | 300.00 Mil | 315.00 Mil | 330.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 315.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Total capital expenditures | 345.00 Mil | 365.00 Mil | 385.00 Mil | 7.4% | Raised | Guidance: 340.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Lease operating expenses | 7.75 | 8.25 | 8.75 | 13.8% | Raised | Guidance: 7.25 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Production and ad valorem taxes | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 0.07 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Cash general and administrative expense | 25.00 Mil | 26.00 Mil | 27.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 26.00 Mil for 2026 | |
Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/5/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Annual production | 34,000 | 35,000 | 36,000 | 9.4% | Raised | Guidance: 32,000 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Oil production | 0.5 | 0.51 | 0.52 | -1.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 0.52 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Acquisitions | 20.00 Mil | 25.00 Mil | 30.00 Mil | -79.2% | Lowered | Guidance: 120.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Development capital expenditures | 300.00 Mil | 315.00 Mil | 330.00 Mil | 8.6% | Raised | Guidance: 290.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Total capital expenditures | 320.00 Mil | 340.00 Mil | 360.00 Mil | -17.1% | Lowered | Guidance: 410.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Lease operating expenses | 6.75 | 7.25 | 7.75 | 7.4% | Raised | Guidance: 6.75 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Production and ad valorem taxes | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 0.07 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Cash general and administrative expense | 25.00 Mil | 26.00 Mil | 27.00 Mil | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 26.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/7/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Annual production | 31,000 | 32,000 | 33,000 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 32,000 for 2025 | |
| 2025 Oil as a % of sales volumes | 0.51 | 0.52 | 0.53 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 0.52 for 2025 | |
| 2025 Acquisitions | 120.00 Mil | 120.00 Mil | 120.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 120.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Development capital expenditures | 280.00 Mil | 290.00 Mil | 300.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 290.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Total capital expenditures | 400.00 Mil | 410.00 Mil | 420.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 410.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Lease operating expenses | 6.25 | 6.75 | 7.25 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 6.75 for 2025 | |
| 2025 Production and ad valorem taxes | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 0.07 for 2025 | |
| 2025 Cash general and administrative expense | 25.00 Mil | 26.00 Mil | 27.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 26.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Updated 7/1/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miller, Matthew Reade | Direct | Buy | 6162026 | 4.97 | 696 | 3,459 | 6,766,700 | Form | |
| 2 | McCartney, John | Direct | Buy | 6112026 | 4.96 | 4,000 | 19,840 | 729,829 | Form | |
| 3 | Miller, Matthew Reade | Direct | Buy | 6092026 | 4.75 | 10,600 | 50,350 | 6,463,862 | Form | |
| 4 | Kettler, Ronald Kyle | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Buy | 5292026 | 5.08 | 6,000 | 30,480 | 656,722 | Form |
| 5 | McCartney, John | Direct | Buy | 5222026 | 5.54 | 4,000 | 22,160 | 793,012 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miller, Matthew Reade | Direct | Buy | 6162026 | 4.97 | 696 | 3,459 | 6,766,700 | Form | |
| 2 | McCartney, John | Direct | Buy | 6112026 | 4.96 | 4,000 | 19,840 | 729,829 | Form | |
| 3 | Miller, Matthew Reade | Direct | Buy | 6092026 | 4.75 | 10,600 | 50,350 | 6,463,862 | Form | |
| 4 | Kettler, Ronald Kyle | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Buy | 5292026 | 5.08 | 6,000 | 30,480 | 656,722 | Form |
| 5 | McCartney, John | Direct | Buy | 5222026 | 5.54 | 4,000 | 22,160 | 793,012 | Form | |
| 6 | McCartney, John | Direct | Buy | 5202026 | 5.81 | 3,000 | 17,430 | 808,421 | Form | |
| 7 | Perry, Griffin | Direct | Buy | 5182026 | 5.49 | 100,000 | 549,000 | 6,389,827 | Form | |
| 8 | Farquharson, Tyler | President and CEO | Direct | Buy | 5132026 | 5.15 | 10,000 | 51,500 | 1,775,426 | Form |
| 9 | Miller, Matthew Reade | Direct | Buy | 5132026 | 5.21 | 18,180 | 94,718 | 7,034,610 | Form | |
| 10 | Miller, Matthew Reade | Direct | Buy | 3172026 | 5.15 | 658 | 3,389 | 6,843,521 | Form | |
| 11 | Kettler, Ronald Kyle | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Buy | 3162026 | 5.17 | 3,000 | 15,510 | 637,337 | Form |
| 12 | McCartney, John | Direct | Buy | 3162026 | 5.16 | 5,000 | 25,800 | 702,498 | Form | |
| 13 | Miller, Matthew Reade | Direct | Buy | 3112026 | 5.10 | 10,000 | 51,000 | 6,773,723 | Form | |
| 14 | Kettler, Ronald Kyle | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Buy | 3112026 | 5.18 | 5,000 | 25,900 | 623,030 | Form |
| 15 | Farquharson, Tyler | President and CEO | Direct | Buy | 3112026 | 5.21 | 12,500 | 65,125 | 1,744,011 | Form |
| 16 | Miller, Matthew Reade | Direct | Buy | 12172025 | 5.13 | 648 | 3,324 | 6,659,592 | Form | |
| 17 | McCartney, John | Direct | Buy | 12092025 | 5.26 | 5,000 | 26,300 | 594,995 | Form | |
| 18 | McCartney, John | Direct | Buy | 12082025 | 5.41 | 4,000 | 21,640 | 584,913 | Form | |
| 19 | Miller, Matthew Reade | Direct | Buy | 12052025 | 5.33 | 9,388 | 50,038 | 6,915,771 | Form | |
| 20 | McCartney, John | Direct | Buy | 12022025 | 5.23 | 1,026 | 5,366 | 544,532 | Form | |
| 21 | Lazarine, Kirk | Direct | Buy | 11212025 | 4.97 | 10,000 | 49,750 | 5,233,685 | Form | |
| 22 | McCartney, John | Direct | Buy | 11202025 | 5.05 | 4,000 | 20,200 | 520,610 | Form | |
| 23 | McCartney, John | Direct | Buy | 11202025 | 5.07 | 4,000 | 20,280 | 502,391 | Form | |
| 24 | McCartney, John | Direct | Buy | 11182025 | 5.18 | 4,000 | 20,720 | 492,571 | Form | |
| 25 | McCartney, John | Direct | Buy | 11172025 | 5.17 | 4,000 | 20,680 | 470,940 | Form | |
| 26 | McCartney, John | Direct | Buy | 11122025 | 5.26 | 4,000 | 21,040 | 458,099 | Form | |
| 27 | Miller, Matthew Reade | Direct | Buy | 9172025 | 5.35 | 600 | 3,210 | 6,872,952 | Form | |
| 28 | McCartney, John | Direct | Buy | 8252025 | 5.30 | 974 | 5,162 | 440,382 | Form | |
| 29 | McCartney, John | Direct | Buy | 8202025 | 5.25 | 5,000 | 26,250 | 431,114 | Form | |
| 30 | McCartney, John | Direct | Buy | 8182025 | 5.30 | 5,000 | 26,500 | 408,720 | Form | |
| 31 | McCartney, John | Direct | Buy | 8142025 | 5.41 | 3,000 | 16,230 | 390,153 | Form | |
| 32 | McCartney, John | Direct | Buy | 8132025 | 5.34 | 3,000 | 16,020 | 369,085 | Form | |
| 33 | Everard, Michele J | Direct | Buy | 8122025 | 5.33 | 1,000 | 5,330 | 267,124 | Form | |
| 34 | Miller, Matthew Reade | Direct | Buy | 8122025 | 5.36 | 18,700 | 100,232 | 6,882,583 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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