Tearsheet

Granite Ridge Resources (GRNT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $5.37 | Market Cap: $700.6 Mil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Granite Ridge Resources (GRNT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $5.37
Market Cap: $700.6 Mil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 8.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.4%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -48%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -98%
Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 67%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 8.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.4%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 67%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -48%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -98%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GRNT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the stock movement of Granite Ridge Resources (GRNT) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Significant Stock Drop Despite Positive Q3 2025 Earnings.

Granite Ridge Resources' stock experienced a notable fall of 6.57% to $5.40 around December 3, 2025. This decline occurred despite the company reporting performance gains in its Q3 2025 results, including $78.6 million in Adjusted EBITDA and $14.5 million in net income, suggesting that positive operational outcomes were outweighed by negative market sentiment. 2. Issuance of High-Interest Unsecured Notes.

On December 2, 2025, Granite Ridge Resources enhanced its liquidity by issuing $350 million in 8.875% unsecured notes due November 2029. While this move aimed to boost financial flexibility, the relatively high interest rate on this new debt could have raised investor concerns about increased financing costs and the company's overall debt burden, potentially contributing to a negative stock reaction.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GRNT Return--2%-7%-28%15%-14%-36%
Peers Return-37%91%57%10%1%-1%109%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GRNT Win Rate100%58%50%58%58%40% 
Peers Win Rate40%68%62%58%50%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GRNT Max Drawdown--4%-17%-44%-12%-26% 
Peers Max Drawdown-71%-1%0%-14%-9%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BSM, COP, CNQ, EOG, FANG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGRNTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-51.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven106.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-3.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven29 days148 days

Compare to BSM, COP, CNQ, EOG, FANG


In The Past

Granite Ridge Resources's stock fell -51.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/22/2021. A -51.7% loss requires a 106.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Granite Ridge Resources (GRNT)

Better Bets than Granite Ridge Resources (GRNT)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GRNT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Granite Ridge Resources

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GRNTBSMCOPCNQEOGFANGMedian
NameGranite .Black St.ConocoPh.Canadian.EOG Reso.Diamondb. 
Mkt Price5.31-91.8134.13111.51158.3891.81
Mkt Cap0.7-114.371.360.345.760.3
Rev LTM45143159,78844,52122,57915,28418,932
Op Inc LTM11227812,5499,0227,5395,5846,562
FCF LTM-922247,0888,1243,891-1,0942,058
FCF 3Y Avg-503718,9108,2845,167-1,9662,769
CFO LTM30033619,93514,77010,1958,7569,476
CFO 3Y Avg30243720,72013,87411,4536,7309,091

Growth & Margins

GRNTBSMCOPCNQEOGFANGMedian
NameGranite .Black St.ConocoPh.Canadian.EOG Reso.Diamondb. 
Rev Chg LTM18.6%-8.5%8.2%8.3%-5.0%60.1%8.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.0%-16.4%-6.6%-2.4%-7.6%20.8%-4.5%
Rev Chg Q19.8%1.9%15.3%6.4%-2.3%48.2%10.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.3%0.5%3.4%1.5%-0.6%9.1%2.5%
Op Mgn LTM24.7%64.3%21.0%20.3%33.4%36.5%29.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg29.2%66.2%24.1%21.9%36.4%46.8%32.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.2%1.0%-1.0%-4.3%-0.8%-1.3%-1.1%
CFO/Rev LTM66.5%77.9%33.3%33.2%45.2%57.3%51.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg73.7%88.7%35.6%32.8%49.0%62.5%55.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-20.3%52.0%11.9%18.2%17.2%-7.2%14.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-11.6%73.9%15.3%19.6%22.1%-18.6%17.5%

Valuation

GRNTBSMCOPCNQEOGFANGMedian
NameGranite .Black St.ConocoPh.Canadian.EOG Reso.Diamondb. 
Mkt Cap0.7-114.371.360.345.760.3
P/S1.6-2.01.52.72.72.0
P/EBIT10.0-8.17.68.36.98.1
P/E18.7-13.310.011.09.911.0
P/CFO2.4-5.94.55.94.74.7
Total Yield13.5%-10.8%17.1%12.6%12.9%12.9%
Dividend Yield8.2%-3.3%7.1%3.5%2.7%3.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-6.7%-6.9%12.0%7.6%-5.2%6.9%
D/E0.4-0.20.30.10.40.3
Net D/E0.4-0.10.30.10.40.3

Returns

GRNTBSMCOPCNQEOGFANGMedian
NameGranite .Black St.ConocoPh.Canadian.EOG Reso.Diamondb. 
1M Rtn2.2%-4.6%6.8%5.6%12.9%5.6%
3M Rtn2.5%--2.1%10.7%-6.6%12.1%2.5%
6M Rtn-3.8%-8.7%13.4%2.5%15.3%8.7%
12M Rtn-10.4%--10.4%5.1%-12.5%-7.3%-10.4%
3Y Rtn-30.0%--16.5%31.6%-9.3%23.4%-9.3%
1M Excs Rtn2.2%-4.7%6.8%5.6%12.9%5.6%
3M Excs Rtn-5.3%--8.6%4.9%-12.8%6.4%-5.3%
6M Excs Rtn-18.5%--6.0%-1.4%-12.2%0.5%-6.0%
12M Excs Rtn-24.5%--25.9%-7.2%-27.0%-21.8%-24.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-98.0%--90.4%-39.2%-80.6%-47.9%-80.6%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,846,676
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120253.7%
Average Daily Volume524,000
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.43
Basic Shares Quantity130,472,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024306202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023308202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022327202310-K 12/31/2022
63020229122022S-4/A 6/30/2022
33120227082022S-4/A 3/31/2022
123120215162022S-4 12/31/2021