Granite Ridge Resources (GRNT)
Market Price (4/16/2026): $5.36 | Market Cap: $699.4 MilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Granite Ridge Resources (GRNT)
Market Price (4/16/2026): $5.36Market Cap: $699.4 MilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 8.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.6% Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 66% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 38% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -42%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -63% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 52% Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.8% Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27% Key risksGRNT key risks include [1] rising leverage and significant cash burn from aggressive spending, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 8.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.6% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 66% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 38% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -42%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -63% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 52% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.8% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27% |
| Key risksGRNT key risks include [1] rising leverage and significant cash burn from aggressive spending, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Elevated oil prices due to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East drove a significant boost in the energy sector. The "US-Israel Iran war" starting in early March 2026 and restrictions in the Strait of Hormuz caused global oil supply to plummet, pushing Brent crude oil prices to historic levels near $150 per barrel. This created a "war premium" and improved the revenue and profitability outlook for oil and gas companies such as Granite Ridge Resources.
2. Granite Ridge Resources issued a positive production outlook for 2026. Despite reporting a miss on Q4 2025 earnings per share and revenue, the company provided initial 2026 guidance targeting a daily production of approximately 34,000 to 36,000 Boe, representing an increase of about 9% from 2025.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 16.3% change in GRNT stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/15/2026 was primarily driven by a 80.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4152026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.60 | 5.35 | 16.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 451 | 450 | -0.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.4% | 5.4% | -35.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 15.9 | 28.7 | 80.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 130 | 130 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 16.3% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/15/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GRNT | 16.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 13.4% |
| Sector (XLE) | 24.7% | 55.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 3.3% change in GRNT stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/15/2026 was primarily driven by a 37.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4152026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.18 | 5.35 | 3.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 433 | 450 | 4.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.5% | 5.4% | -27.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 20.9 | 28.7 | 37.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 130 | 130 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 3.3% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/15/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GRNT | 3.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 15.7% |
| Sector (XLE) | 25.9% | 59.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -4.5% change in GRNT stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/15/2026 was primarily driven by a -26.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4152026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.60 | 5.35 | -4.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 380 | 450 | 18.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.9% | 5.4% | 9.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 38.9 | 28.7 | -26.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 130 | 130 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -4.5% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/15/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GRNT | -4.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 47.3% |
| Sector (XLE) | 22.4% | 72.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 13.6% change in GRNT stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/15/2026 was primarily driven by a 1097.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4152026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.71 | 5.35 | 13.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 497 | 450 | -9.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 52.7% | 5.4% | -89.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 2.4 | 28.7 | 1097.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 133 | 130 | 2.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 13.6% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/15/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GRNT | 13.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 34.1% |
| Sector (XLE) | 47.5% | 54.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GRNT Return | -2% | -7% | -28% | 15% | -21% | 16% | -32% |
| Peers Return | 49% | 38% | 15% | 27% | -24% | 23% | 179% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 2% | 85% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GRNT Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 58% | 58% | 33% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 61% | 62% | 53% | 37% | 65% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GRNT Max Drawdown | -4% | -17% | -44% | -12% | -26% | -10% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -10% | -8% | -14% | -14% | -33% | -7% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: NOG, VTS, CRGY, REPX, VNOM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/15/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GRNT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -51.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 106.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to NOG, VTS, CRGY, REPX, VNOM
In The Past
Granite Ridge Resources's stock fell -51.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/22/2021. A -51.7% loss requires a 106.8% gain to breakeven.
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About Granite Ridge Resources (GRNT)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Granite Ridge Resources (GRNT):
- Like a smaller, independent Pioneer Natural Resources, but focused on oil and gas drilling.
- The oil and gas exploration and production division of a major energy company such as Chevron, operating independently.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Oil and Natural Gas Exploration and Production: Granite Ridge Resources is engaged in the acquisition, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas properties, primarily in the Permian Basin.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. (symbol: GRNT) is an independent oil and gas company focused on the acquisition and development of oil and gas properties, primarily in the Permian Basin. As such, it sells its produced crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids primarily to other companies in the energy sector.
Based on the company's public filings (such as its annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2023), Granite Ridge Resources does not have any single customer that accounted for 10% or more of its total revenues. This indicates a diversified customer base, and therefore, there are no individually named "major customers" that are required to be disclosed or are otherwise identifiable as accounting for a significant portion of the company's revenue.
However, the company sells its production to a variety of purchasers. These customers typically fall into the following categories:
- Pipeline companies
- Natural gas gatherers and processors
- Refiners
- Other marketers of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Tyler S. Farquharson, President and Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Farquharson has over 16 years of experience in the energy industry. He was promoted to President and CEO on June 12, 2025. Prior to joining Granite Ridge in 2022 as Chief Financial Officer, he served as Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Treasurer at EXCO Resources, Inc., an independent oil and natural gas company, from October 2017 to May 2022. Granite Ridge Resources was formed in 2022 through a $1.3 billion deal that involved private equity firm Grey Rock Investment Partners, and the company explicitly states it operates with a publicly traded private equity strategy.
Kyle Kettler, Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Kettler was appointed Chief Financial Officer, effective February 9, 2026. He brings over 25 years of experience across energy finance and capital markets, with deep expertise in financing oil and gas companies in both public and private markets. Most recently, he was a Partner at Chambers Energy Management, where he helped lead the firm's investment sourcing, due diligence, valuation, and portfolio management efforts.
Kim Weimer, Chief Accounting Officer
Ms. Weimer has over 20 years of accounting experience, primarily in the energy industry. Prior to joining Granite Ridge, she served as the Chief Financial Officer of Titanium Exploration Partners, an oil and gas asset manager, from October 2018 through December 2023. She has also held executive and senior leadership positions as Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Enduro Resource Partners and Director of Investor Relations at Encore Acquisition Company and Encore Energy Partners.
Ryan Riggelson, Partner – Engineering
Mr. Riggelson provides engineering services to Granite Ridge through a Management Services Agreement with Grey Rock. He joined Grey Rock in 2016 and has nearly 25 years of experience in the oil and gas industry in various production, operations, and reservoir engineering roles. Most recently, prior to Grey Rock, his initiatives at EP Energy facilitated a significant increase in the value of EP's Haynesville asset, and he led the technical component of the resulting $420 million Haynesville asset sale in 2016.
Emily Fuquay, Corporate Secretary
Ms. Fuquay provides legal services to Granite Ridge through a Management Services Agreement with Grey Rock and joined Grey Rock in 2021. Prior to joining Grey Rock, she was Senior Counsel at EnLink Midstream, a publicly traded midstream company, and General Counsel and Chief Compliance Officer at Parallel Resource Partners, a private equity firm focused on investments in the upstream oil and gas sector.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Granite Ridge Resources (GRNT) are primarily associated with the inherent volatility of the energy sector and its specific operational model.
- Volatility of Oil and Natural Gas Prices: As an exploration and production company, Granite Ridge Resources' financial performance is highly susceptible to fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas prices. Extended declines in these commodity prices can negatively impact the company's revenue, profitability, and overall business operations. While Granite Ridge utilizes hedging strategies to mitigate price volatility, these instruments carry their own risks, such as potential liquidity issues if actual production falls short of hedged amounts.
- Reliance on Third-Party Operators: Granite Ridge Resources operates on a non-operated business model, meaning its development of successful operations relies extensively on third parties. This operational structure can limit the company's direct control over the timing, costs, and execution of drilling and development activities, introducing dependencies and potential inefficiencies.
- Cash Burn and Transition to Free Cash Flow: Granite Ridge Resources has been projected to experience a cash burn, with a reported net loss in the fourth quarter of 2025 and an anticipated cash burn for 2026, even amidst strong oil prices. The company's ability to transition to sustainable free cash flow generation by 2027 is crucial for its financial health. This risk is exacerbated by increasing debt and higher-than-expected lease operating expenses, which could also put its dividend at risk if free cash flow generation is not achieved.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```htmlThere are two clear emerging threats for Granite Ridge Resources:
-
Accelerating Energy Transition: The rapid advancements and increasing adoption of renewable energy sources (solar, wind) and battery storage, coupled with electrification trends (e.g., electric vehicles), pose a threat of an accelerated structural decline in long-term demand for fossil fuels. This could lead to lower commodity prices and reduced valuations for oil and gas assets faster than traditional industry models predict.
-
ESG-Driven Capital Constraints: The growing pressure from Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) considerations is increasingly influencing capital markets. This trend is making it more challenging and potentially more expensive for oil and gas companies, including non-operators like Granite Ridge Resources, to access capital for future acquisitions and development projects from institutional investors, banks, and other financial institutions.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. (GRNT) is an energy company primarily focused on the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas resources across various unconventional basins in the United States, including the Permian, Eagle Ford, Bakken, Haynesville, Denver-Julesburg, and Appalachian basins. The company also engages in midstream operations and has begun diversifying into renewable energy initiatives. The addressable market for Granite Ridge Resources' main products and services, primarily crude oil and natural gas exploration and production (the upstream sector), is the United States. The United States Oil and Gas Upstream Market was valued at approximately $103.94 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to about $138.08 billion by 2031, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.84% from 2026 to 2031. This growth is driven by factors such as technology-enabled cost optimization, disciplined capital deployment, and digital drilling analytics. More broadly, the U.S. oil and gas market was valued at approximately $474.5 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach around $717.39 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 4.7% from 2026 to 2034. Another estimate places the U.S. oil and gas market size at $252.6 billion in 2024, with a projected increase to $339.5 billion by 2033. The upstream sector accounted for 58.5% of the United States oil and gas market share in 2025.AI Analysis | Feedback
Granite Ridge Resources (NYSE: GRNT) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies centered on increasing production and optimizing its asset portfolio:
- Increased Production Volumes: Granite Ridge Resources anticipates growth in its overall production. The company is targeting 9% production growth in 2026. This follows a significant 27% year-over-year increase in average daily production during Q4 2025, reaching 35,120 barrels of oil equivalent per day (Boe/d). The company's Q1 2024 results also showed a 3% year-over-year production increase to 23,842 Boe/d. Management explicitly states a strategy to "compound production and cash flow growth."
- Strategic Shift to Operated Partnerships: A core component of Granite Ridge's strategy is its evolution from a traditional non-operated production company to one focused on controlled, short-cycle development through operated partnerships. This model provides the company with greater control over development timing, capital allocation, and execution. For instance, operated partnerships are expected to account for 90% of planned 2026 development capital.
- Accretive Acquisitions and Proprietary Deal Flow: The company emphasizes disciplined acquisition of high-quality inventory, leveraging its scaled platform to source proprietary deal flow. In 2025, Granite Ridge completed 107 transactions, adding 77.2 net wells at an average entry cost below $2 million per location, approximately 65% below recent Permian Basin market averages. In Q1 2024, the company closed four acquisitions in the Permian Basin to enhance its operational footprint. Their diversified platform is capable of sourcing around 700 proprietary opportunities annually.
- Disciplined Capital Allocation and Focus on High-Return Projects: While indirectly a revenue driver, Granite Ridge's commitment to disciplined capital allocation and underwriting projects for high returns supports sustainable future revenue growth. The company targets projects with greater than 25% internal rates of return (IRRs) at strip pricing, focusing on short-cycle investments for accelerated capital recovery. This approach ensures that capital is efficiently deployed into projects expected to generate substantial future production and cash flow.
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Share Repurchases
- Granite Ridge Resources authorized a stock repurchase program on December 15, 2022, allowing for the repurchase of up to $50 million of its common stock through December 31, 2023.
Outbound Investments
- In 2025, Granite Ridge Resources invested $122 million across 107 transactions, focusing on acquiring 77.2 net locations in operated partnerships and non-operated portfolios.
- Approximately 59.3 Permian Operated Partnership net wells were acquired in 2025 at an average cost of $1.4 million per location.
- For 2026, the company anticipates an additional $20 million to $30 million for acquisitions.
Capital Expenditures
- Total capital expenditures for the full year 2025 were $401 million, which included $279 million for drilling and completion activities and $122 million for property acquisitions. Fourth quarter 2025 capital expenditures were $127.5 million, with $66.4 million allocated to drilling and completion and $61.1 million to property acquisitions.
- For 2026, projected total capital expenditures are between $320 million and $360 million, with development capital estimated at $300 million to $330 million.
- Approximately 90% of the 2026 capital expenditures are planned for operated projects, primarily concentrated in the Permian Basin, aiming for 9% production growth while reducing spending by about 15% compared to 2025.
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Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 21.97 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.6 |
| Rev LTM | 922 |
| Op Inc LTM | 289 |
| FCF LTM | -24 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -143 |
| CFO LTM | 675 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 531 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 15.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | -1.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 24.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 30.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -3.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 64.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 64.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -10.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.6 |
| P/S | 1.7 |
| P/EBIT | 9.4 |
| P/E | 28.3 |
| P/CFO | 2.9 |
| Total Yield | 7.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 4.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -6.4% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 21.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 25.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 26.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 8.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -2.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 22.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 16.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -4.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -58.9% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $5.35 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.7 | |
| First Trading Date | 11/06/2020 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -14.5% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $5.29 | $5.07 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | up |
| Distance from DMA | 1.1% | 5.6% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 40.3% | 38.4% |
| Downside Capture | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Upside Capture | 164.78 | 41.99 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 15.8% | 23.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.39 | 0.56 | 0.45 | 0.46 | 1.06 | 0.98 |
| Up Beta | 0.22 | 0.68 | 1.18 | 0.96 | 1.09 | 1.06 |
| Down Beta | -0.56 | 0.75 | 0.68 | 0.68 | 1.77 | 1.36 |
| Up Capture | 270% | 149% | 95% | 38% | 35% | 41% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 16 | 27 | 38 | 67 | 132 | 391 |
| Down Capture | -37% | -33% | -49% | 12% | 61% | 90% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 6 | 14 | 24 | 56 | 114 | 332 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GRNT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRNT | 18.8% | 38.3% | 0.53 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 45.2% | 19.8% | 1.76 | 62.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 22.0% | 12.9% | 1.36 | 23.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 49.0% | 27.5% | 1.44 | -6.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 25.0% | 16.1% | 1.38 | 43.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 17.3% | 13.7% | 0.92 | 10.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -10.4% | 42.6% | -0.14 | 13.8% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GRNT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRNT | -8.5% | 38.7% | -0.13 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 22.4% | 26.1% | 0.77 | 33.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 10.9% | 17.0% | 0.50 | 23.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.9% | 17.8% | 1.01 | 3.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.5% | 18.8% | 0.50 | 21.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.0% | 18.8% | 0.12 | 13.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 5.1% | 56.5% | 0.31 | 7.6% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GRNT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRNT | -4.6% | 37.5% | -0.13 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 10.5% | 29.5% | 0.39 | 29.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.8% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 22.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.3% | 15.9% | 0.75 | 3.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.7% | 17.6% | 0.41 | 20.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 13.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.8% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 6.7% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/5/2026 | -6.0% | -4.1% | 9.9% |
| 11/7/2025 | -1.4% | 0.6% | 6.5% |
| 8/7/2025 | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% |
| 3/6/2025 | 1.1% | 4.7% | -7.4% |
| 11/7/2024 | 2.7% | 4.6% | -1.7% |
| 8/8/2024 | -2.3% | 6.0% | -1.6% |
| 5/9/2024 | -3.6% | -1.8% | -2.2% |
| 2/2/2024 | 0.6% | 1.9% | 13.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| # Negative | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 3.3% | 4.6% | 8.1% |
| Median Negative | -3.0% | -3.0% | -4.8% |
| Max Positive | 15.6% | 12.2% | 13.1% |
| Max Negative | -6.0% | -4.1% | -11.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 03/06/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/06/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/08/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/27/2023 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2022 | 09/12/2022 | S-4/A |
| 03/31/2022 | 07/08/2022 | S-4/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 05/16/2022 | S-4 |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/5/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Annual production | 34,000 | 35,000 | 36,000 | 9.4% | Raised | Guidance: 32,000 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Oil production | 0.5 | 0.51 | 0.52 | -1.9% | Lowered | Guidance: 0.52 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Acquisitions | 20.00 Mil | 25.00 Mil | 30.00 Mil | -79.2% | Lowered | Guidance: 120.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Development capital expenditures | 300.00 Mil | 315.00 Mil | 330.00 Mil | 8.6% | Raised | Guidance: 290.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Total capital expenditures | 320.00 Mil | 340.00 Mil | 360.00 Mil | -17.1% | Lowered | Guidance: 410.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Lease operating expenses | 6.75 | 7.25 | 7.75 | 7.4% | Raised | Guidance: 6.75 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Production and ad valorem taxes | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 0.07 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Cash general and administrative expense | 25.00 Mil | 26.00 Mil | 27.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 26.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/7/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Annual production | 31,000 | 32,000 | 33,000 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 32,000 for 2025 | |
| 2025 Oil as a % of sales volumes | 0.51 | 0.52 | 0.53 | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 0.52 for 2025 |
| 2025 Acquisitions | 120.00 Mil | 120.00 Mil | 120.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 120.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Development capital expenditures | 280.00 Mil | 290.00 Mil | 300.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 290.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Total capital expenditures | 400.00 Mil | 410.00 Mil | 420.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 410.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Lease operating expenses | 6.25 | 6.75 | 7.25 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 6.75 for 2025 | |
| 2025 Production and ad valorem taxes | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 0.07 for 2025 |
| 2025 Cash general and administrative expense | 25.00 Mil | 26.00 Mil | 27.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 26.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miller, Matthew Reade | Direct | Buy | 12172025 | 5.13 | 648 | 3,324 | 6,659,592 | Form | |
| 2 | McCartney, John | Direct | Buy | 12092025 | 5.26 | 5,000 | 26,300 | 594,995 | Form | |
| 3 | McCartney, John | Direct | Buy | 12082025 | 5.41 | 4,000 | 21,640 | 584,913 | Form | |
| 4 | Miller, Matthew Reade | Direct | Buy | 12052025 | 5.33 | 9,388 | 50,038 | 6,915,771 | Form | |
| 5 | McCartney, John | Direct | Buy | 12022025 | 5.23 | 1,026 | 5,366 | 544,532 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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