Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -18%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -160 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1198%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Oncology Treatments.
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 48x
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 115%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -992%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -992%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -41%
5   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 25%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Oncology Treatments.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -18%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -160 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1198%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 48x
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 115%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -992%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -992%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -41%
8 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 25%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

VSTM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock of Verastem (VSTM) experienced a 3.9% movement during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 14, 2025, influenced by several key developments: 1. Positive Clinical Trial Data for VS-7375. Verastem's stock surged significantly in mid-August 2025 following the announcement of positive late-breaking data from a study conducted by its partner, GenFleet Therapeutics, for VS-7375 in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients, showing a 68.8% overall response rate. Additionally, the U.S. IND for VS-7375 was cleared, and a Phase 1/2a trial was initiated. Further encouraging preliminary data from an ongoing Phase 1/2a dose escalation trial of VS-7375 in KRAS G12D mutant solid tumors was reported in October 2025.

2. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Revenue Performance. The company reported net product revenue of $11.2 million for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, substantially exceeding analyst estimates of $5.77 million. This marked the first full quarter of commercial sales for AVMAPKI FAKZYNJA CO-PACK, which received FDA approval in May 2025, demonstrating strong initial commercialization success.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VSTM Return59%-4%-80%69%-36%82%-41%
Peers Return-34%-9%16%-0%30%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VSTM Win Rate33%58%33%42%42%67% 
Peers Win Rate58%35%52%48%57%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VSTM Max Drawdown-17%-11%-86%-13%-73%-20% 
Peers Max Drawdown-42%-29%-27%-20%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RVMD, KURA, BDTX, AMGN, BMY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVSTMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-93.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1543.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-73.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven278.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven272 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-91.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1058.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

Verastem's stock fell -93.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/21/2021. A -93.9% loss requires a 1543.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Verastem (VSTM)

Better Bets than Verastem (VSTM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VSTM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.1%-5.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.0%9.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.3%2.3%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.0%16.0%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.1%-5.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.0%9.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.3%2.3%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.0%16.0%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Verastem

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VSTMRVMDKURABDTXAMGNBMYMedian
NameVerastem Revoluti.Kura Onc.Black Di.Amgen Bristol-. 
Mkt Price9.6178.9210.222.79317.7452.4131.31
Mkt Cap0.714.90.90.2170.9106.77.9
Rev LTM1301047035,97148,03487
Op Inc LTM-160-1,037-240128,67111,420-74
FCF LTM-133-777832111,53915,30252
FCF 3Y Avg-105-543-68-389,06713,598-53
CFO LTM-133-762882113,12616,62155
CFO 3Y Avg-105-531-66-3810,32214,846-52

Growth & Margins

VSTMRVMDKURABDTXAMGNBMYMedian
NameVerastem Revoluti.Kura Onc.Black Di.Amgen Bristol-. 
Rev Chg LTM33.8%-100.0%--10.6%1.3%5.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--69.5%--11.2%1.0%1.0%
Rev Chg Q----12.4%2.8%7.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM526.1%-24.9%0.0%3.0%0.7%3.0%
Op Mgn LTM-1,197.7%--230.5%16.9%24.1%23.8%16.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg----25.4%19.0%22.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM6,128.3%-33.3%10.2%0.6%2.9%10.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-991.5%-84.4%30.5%36.5%34.6%34.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg----32.7%31.7%32.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-991.5%-79.9%30.5%32.1%31.9%31.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg----28.8%29.0%28.9%

Valuation

VSTMRVMDKURABDTXAMGNBMYMedian
NameVerastem Revoluti.Kura Onc.Black Di.Amgen Bristol-. 
Mkt Cap0.714.90.90.2170.9106.77.9
P/S48.3-7.52.34.21.94.2
P/EBIT-2.7-8.2-3.618.213.79.23.2
P/E-2.7-9.2-3.67.421.715.22.4
P/CFO-4.9-11.68.87.411.65.56.5
Total Yield-37.3%-10.9%-28.0%13.5%7.9%12.0%-1.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%3.3%5.4%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-48.4%-8.7%-5.3%-22.0%5.9%13.2%-7.0%
D/E0.10.00.00.10.40.60.1
Net D/E-0.1-0.2-0.7-0.50.30.4-0.1

Returns

VSTMRVMDKURABDTXAMGNBMYMedian
NameVerastem Revoluti.Kura Onc.Black Di.Amgen Bristol-. 
1M Rtn18.5%22.6%-4.3%-37.9%-4.8%7.8%1.7%
3M Rtn-1.1%69.5%24.8%-14.2%15.8%15.0%15.4%
6M Rtn71.6%94.4%58.7%20.8%9.3%8.2%39.7%
12M Rtn114.5%75.3%6.1%9.0%21.2%-1.4%15.1%
3Y Rtn82.0%225.2%-22.4%88.5%29.0%-22.4%55.5%
1M Excs Rtn13.3%20.2%-4.0%-42.4%-4.5%7.1%1.6%
3M Excs Rtn-5.3%67.6%21.3%-15.7%13.4%11.4%12.4%
6M Excs Rtn57.4%80.2%44.5%6.6%-5.0%-6.0%25.5%
12M Excs Rtn79.1%53.8%-13.8%1.2%5.8%-18.5%3.5%
3Y Excs Rtn26.7%153.2%-107.4%-4.5%-51.2%-98.7%-27.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Business of researching, developing and commercializing drugs for the treatment of patients with15095   
Total15095   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity18,393,487
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-3.9%
Average Daily Volume2,851,226
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.45
Basic Shares Quantity73,157,000
Short % of Basic Shares25.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/2025-20.1%-16.7%7.1%
1/13/2025-6.8%-7.0%0.2%
2/2/20238.6%5.5%-23.9%
8/8/20227.6%6.7%-3.4%
3/28/202210.9%20.2%26.1%
8/10/20200.0%-0.7%-25.0%
2/28/202046.1%59.2%31.9%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive544
# Negative233
Median Positive8.6%13.4%16.6%
Median Negative-13.5%-7.0%-23.9%
Max Positive46.1%59.2%31.9%
Max Negative-20.1%-16.7%-25.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024320202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023314202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022314202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021328202210-K 12/31/2021