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Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.6%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -160 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1198%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Oncology Treatments.
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -992%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -992%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -41%
3   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 26%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Oncology Treatments.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.6%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -160 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1198%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -992%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -992%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -41%
6 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 26%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

VSTM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock movement for Verastem (VSTM) from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025, was influenced by several key developments:

1. Positive Clinical Trial Data for VS-7375 and FDA Fast Track Designation: On August 14, 2025, Verastem's stock surged by 16.58% in pre-market trading following positive data from a Phase 1/2 trial in China by its partner GenFleet Therapeutics, which showed a 68.8% overall response rate in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients with a KRAS mutation. The U.S. Investigational New Drug (IND) for VS-7375 was also cleared, and a Phase 1/2a trial was initiated. Additionally, an August 11, 2025, announcement highlighted that the FDA granted Fast Track designation for Verastem's VS-7375, targeting KRAS G12D mutations in pancreatic cancer.

2. Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: On November 4, 2025, Verastem Oncology announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results, reporting net product revenue of $11.2 million for the quarter, compared to $0.0 million for the same period in 2024. The company ended Q3 2025 with $137.7 million in cash and cash equivalents, which, combined with expected product revenue and the exercise of cash warrants, was projected to extend the cash runway into the second half of 2026.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VSTM Return59%-4%-80%69%-36%105%-34%
Peers Return2%-1%6%8%-0%3%18%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VSTM Win Rate33%58%33%42%42%70% 
Peers Win Rate13%8%13%12%10%90% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VSTM Max Drawdown-17%-11%-86%-13%-73%-20% 
Peers Max Drawdown-2%-5%0%-0%-1%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVSTMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-93.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1543.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-73.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven278.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven272 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-91.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1058.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

Verastem's stock fell -93.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/21/2021. A -93.9% loss requires a 1543.0% gain to breakeven.

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About Verastem (VSTM)

Better Bets than Verastem (VSTM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Can Verastem Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn?Return
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VSTM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Verastem

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VSTMVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameVerastem Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Price10.60457.362.631.1711.5421.9311.07
Mkt Cap0.8116.9----58.8
Rev LTM1311,7230-01010
Op Inc LTM-160-92-5--93-70-92
FCF LTM-1333,337-6--60-64-60
FCF 3Y Avg-1052,064-10----10
CFO LTM-1333,718-6--60-64-60
CFO 3Y Avg-1052,419-10----10

Growth & Margins

VSTMVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameVerastem Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Rev Chg LTM33.8%10.3%----22.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.5%----10.5%
Rev Chg Q-11.0%----11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM526.1%2.7%----264.4%
Op Mgn LTM-1,197.7%-0.8%----700.7%-700.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.2%----26.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM6,128.3%1.0%----3,064.7%
CFO/Rev LTM-991.5%31.7%----635.6%-635.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-23.1%----23.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-991.5%28.5%----636.5%-636.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.8%----19.8%

Valuation

VSTMVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameVerastem Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Cap0.8116.9----58.8
P/S48.38.5----28.4
P/EBIT-2.722.4----9.9
P/E-2.727.2----12.3
P/CFO-4.926.9----11.0
Total Yield-37.3%3.7%-----16.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-48.4%2.3%-----23.0%
D/E0.10.0----0.1
Net D/E-0.1-0.0-----0.1

Returns

VSTMVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameVerastem Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
1M Rtn34.0%8.5%-23.2%-4.6%-15.8%
3M Rtn0.4%15.2%--14.5%-14.5%
6M Rtn71.5%3.1%----37.3%
12M Rtn93.1%-1.4%----45.8%
3Y Rtn110.3%44.0%----77.2%
1M Excs Rtn32.7%7.2%-22.0%-5.9%-14.6%
3M Excs Rtn-7.4%9.7%--10.8%-9.7%
6M Excs Rtn56.1%-12.4%----21.8%
12M Excs Rtn78.6%-15.2%----31.7%
3Y Excs Rtn44.0%-28.7%----7.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Business of researching, developing and commercializing drugs for the treatment of patients with15095   
Total15095   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity19,141,071
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120258.6%
Average Daily Volume2,664,653
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.18
Basic Shares Quantity73,157,000
Short % of Basic Shares26.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024320202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023314202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022314202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021328202210-K 12/31/2021