Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -68%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.4%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -240 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -231%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 84%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 80%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -91%
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -32%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 11%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
  
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -68%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 84%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 80%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 11%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.4%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -91%
6 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -240 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -231%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -32%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

KURA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points explaining Kura Oncology (KURA)'s stock movement from approximately August 31, 2025, to today: **1. FDA Approval of KOMZIFTI.** Kura Oncology and Kyowa Kirin announced the FDA approval of KOMZIFTI (ziftomenib) on November 13, 2025. This marks the first and only once-daily targeted therapy for adults with relapsed or refractory NPM1-mutated Acute Myeloid Leukemia.

**2. Inclusion in NCCN Guidelines.** On November 25, 2025, KOMZIFTI was added to the National Comprehensive Cancer Network® (NCCN) Guidelines for Acute Myeloid Leukemia (AML) as a Category 2A recommended option. This inclusion supports early adoption of the drug following its FDA approval.

**3. First Commercial Sale and Milestone Payment.** Kura Oncology completed the first U.S. commercial sale of KOMZIFTI on December 2, 2025. This event triggered a $135 million milestone payment from its partner Kyowa Kirin, expected before the end of 2025, providing a significant non-dilutive cash influx.

**4. Upcoming AML Triplet Data Presentation.** The company announced it would host a virtual analyst and investor event on December 8, 2025, to discuss data on the triplet combination of ziftomenib with venetoclax and azacitidine in newly diagnosed and relapsed/refractory acute myeloid leukemia, with results scheduled for presentation at the 67th ASH Annual Meeting.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
KURA Return138%-57%-11%16%-39%28%-19%
Peers Return6%-1%-7%-13%-25%2%-34%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KURA Win Rate67%25%50%42%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate29%21%25%27%15%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KURA Max Drawdown-53%-63%-24%-39%-41%-36% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-10%-17%-24%-25%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS, APRI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventKURAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-80.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven416.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-54.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven117.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven41 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-54.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven120.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven671 days120 days

Compare to VRTX, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS, APRI


In The Past

Kura Oncology's stock fell -80.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/8/2021. A -80.6% loss requires a 416.4% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Kura Oncology (KURA)

Better Bets than Kura Oncology (KURA)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to KURA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Kura Oncology

Peers to compare with:

Financials

KURAVRTXACSBAIXCALPSAPRIMedian
NameKura Onc.Vertex P.Acesis AIxCryptoALPS Aprinoia. 
Mkt Price11.97463.13-2.541.07-7.26
Mkt Cap1.0118.4----59.7
Rev LTM10411,723-0--104
Op Inc LTM-240-92--5---92
FCF LTM833,337--6--83
FCF 3Y Avg-682,064--10---10
CFO LTM883,718--6--88
CFO 3Y Avg-662,419--10---10

Growth & Margins

KURAVRTXACSBAIXCALPSAPRIMedian
NameKura Onc.Vertex P.Acesis AIxCryptoALPS Aprinoia. 
Rev Chg LTM-10.3%----10.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.5%----10.5%
Rev Chg Q-11.0%----11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM24.9%2.7%----13.8%
Op Mgn LTM-230.5%-0.8%-----115.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.2%----26.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM33.3%1.0%----17.1%
CFO/Rev LTM84.4%31.7%----58.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-23.1%----23.1%
FCF/Rev LTM79.9%28.5%----54.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.8%----19.8%

Valuation

KURAVRTXACSBAIXCALPSAPRIMedian
NameKura Onc.Vertex P.Acesis AIxCryptoALPS Aprinoia. 
Mkt Cap1.0118.4----59.7
P/S7.58.5----8.0
P/EBIT-3.622.4----9.4
P/E-3.627.2----11.8
P/CFO8.826.9----17.9
Total Yield-28.0%3.7%-----12.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-5.3%2.3%-----1.5%
D/E0.00.0----0.0
Net D/E-0.7-0.0-----0.4

Returns

KURAVRTXACSBAIXCALPSAPRIMedian
NameKura Onc.Vertex P.Acesis AIxCryptoALPS Aprinoia. 
1M Rtn22.5%8.7%----15.6%
3M Rtn42.0%16.8%----29.4%
6M Rtn85.6%3.9%----44.7%
12M Rtn7.2%1.3%----4.3%
3Y Rtn-25.2%44.1%----9.5%
1M Excs Rtn22.6%8.7%----15.6%
3M Excs Rtn41.9%11.3%----26.6%
6M Excs Rtn70.9%-10.8%----30.0%
12M Excs Rtn-5.1%-14.6%-----9.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-91.4%-25.9%-----58.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Discovery and development of precision medicines for the treatment of cancer449456534647242
Total449456534647242


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,744,761
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120250.8%
Average Daily Volume2,609,233
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.35
Basic Shares Quantity87,645,000
Short % of Basic Shares10.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021