Kura Oncology (KURA)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $10.11 | Market Cap: $886.1 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Kura Oncology (KURA)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $10.11Market Cap: $886.1 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -61% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -65%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -96% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -240 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -231% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 84%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 80% | Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33% | |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 9.6% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -29% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. | Key risksKURA key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on the pivotal trial success and regulatory approval of its lead drug, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -61% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 84%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 80% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 9.6% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -65%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -96% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -240 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -231% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -29% |
| Key risksKURA key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on the pivotal trial success and regulatory approval of its lead drug, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
KURA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for Kura Oncology's stock movement from August 31, 2025, to today:
1. FDA Priority Review and PDUFA Date for Ziftomenib: Kura Oncology announced on August 7, 2025, that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) accepted its New Drug Application (NDA) for ziftomenib with Priority Review for adult patients with relapsed or refractory NPM1-mutant acute myeloid leukemia (AML). A Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) target action date was set for November 30, 2025. This indicated an expedited review process for a potentially significant therapy.
2. Initiation of Pivotal Clinical Trials: In September 2025, Kura Oncology announced the dosing of the first patient in the Phase 3 KOMET-017 trial for ziftomenib in frontline AML. This was followed by the dosing of the first patient in a cohort of the KOMET-007 clinical trial in October 2025, evaluating ziftomenib in combination with quizartinib, cytarabine, and daunorubicin for newly diagnosed AML, further expanding the potential market for the drug.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| KURA Return | 138% | -57% | -11% | 16% | -39% | 13% | -28% |
| Peers Return | � | � | 0% | 16% | 6% | -0% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| KURA Win Rate | 67% | 25% | 50% | 42% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | 46% | 42% | 47% | 50% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| KURA Max Drawdown | -53% | -63% | -24% | -39% | -41% | -36% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | -49% | -32% | -33% | -31% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SNDX, BMEA, AGIO, TGTX, GILD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | KURA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -80.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 416.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -54.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 117.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 41 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -54.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 120.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 671 days | 120 days |
Compare to VRTX, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, CRMO
In The Past
Kura Oncology's stock fell -80.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/8/2021. A -80.6% loss requires a 416.4% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Kura Oncology Earnings Notes | |||
| Is Kura Oncology Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | Return | ||
| Day 5 of Gains Streak for Kura Oncology Stock with 35% Return (vs. -14% YTD) [8/18/2025] | Notification | ||
| Kura Oncology (KURA) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Kura Oncology (KURA) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| Kura Oncology (KURA) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Kura Oncology (KURA) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| Kura Oncology (KURA) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Kura Oncology (KURA) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| Kura Oncology (KURA) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| KURA Stock Up 35% after 5-Day Win Streak | August 19th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to KURA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.4% | 17.4% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.7% | -6.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.9% | 10.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.7% | 2.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.4% | 11.4% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.4% | 17.4% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.7% | -6.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.9% | 10.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.7% | 2.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.4% | 11.4% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Kura Oncology
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 22.62 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.6 |
| Rev LTM | 108 |
| Op Inc LTM | -170 |
| FCF LTM | -78 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -83 |
| CFO LTM | -78 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -82 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 68.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 71.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 68.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 17.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -230.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -1.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 33.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -13.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -15.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -13.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -15.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.6 |
| P/S | 8.5 |
| P/EBIT | -1.9 |
| P/E | -2.2 |
| P/CFO | -2.2 |
| Total Yield | -21.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -11.5% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 0.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 1.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 2.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | -14.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -2.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -11.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -16.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -89.4% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/4/2025 | 1.9% | 5.6% | 22.6% |
| 8/7/2025 | -7.0% | 10.7% | 36.6% |
| 5/1/2025 | -0.3% | -7.6% | -2.9% |
| 11/7/2024 | -0.5% | -7.2% | -40.7% |
| 8/8/2024 | -0.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% |
| 5/2/2024 | 0.2% | 0.9% | 2.9% |
| 1/30/2024 | 12.1% | 10.5% | 14.9% |
| 11/2/2023 | 7.0% | 2.1% | 21.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 13 | 12 |
| # Negative | 9 | 8 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 6.8% | 8.5% | 13.2% |
| Median Negative | -2.7% | -7.4% | -13.6% |
| Max Positive | 13.8% | 20.2% | 36.6% |
| Max Negative | -12.5% | -13.4% | -40.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2272024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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