Kura Oncology (KURA)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $11.95 | Market Cap: $1.0 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Kura Oncology (KURA)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $11.95Market Cap: $1.0 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -68% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.4% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -240 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -231% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 84%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 80% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -91% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -32% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 11% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -68% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 84%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 80% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 11% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.4% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -91% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -240 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -231% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -32% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
KURA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points explaining Kura Oncology (KURA)'s stock movement from approximately August 31, 2025, to today:
**1. FDA Approval of KOMZIFTI.** Kura Oncology and Kyowa Kirin announced the FDA approval of KOMZIFTI (ziftomenib) on November 13, 2025. This marks the first and only once-daily targeted therapy for adults with relapsed or refractory NPM1-mutated Acute Myeloid Leukemia.
**2. Inclusion in NCCN Guidelines.** On November 25, 2025, KOMZIFTI was added to the National Comprehensive Cancer Network® (NCCN) Guidelines for Acute Myeloid Leukemia (AML) as a Category 2A recommended option. This inclusion supports early adoption of the drug following its FDA approval.
**3. First Commercial Sale and Milestone Payment.** Kura Oncology completed the first U.S. commercial sale of KOMZIFTI on December 2, 2025. This event triggered a $135 million milestone payment from its partner Kyowa Kirin, expected before the end of 2025, providing a significant non-dilutive cash influx.
**4. Upcoming AML Triplet Data Presentation.** The company announced it would host a virtual analyst and investor event on December 8, 2025, to discuss data on the triplet combination of ziftomenib with venetoclax and azacitidine in newly diagnosed and relapsed/refractory acute myeloid leukemia, with results scheduled for presentation at the 67th ASH Annual Meeting.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| KURA Return | 138% | -57% | -11% | 16% | -39% | 28% | -19% |
| Peers Return | 6% | -1% | -7% | -13% | -25% | 2% | -34% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| KURA Win Rate | 67% | 25% | 50% | 42% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 29% | 21% | 25% | 27% | 15% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| KURA Max Drawdown | -53% | -63% | -24% | -39% | -41% | -36% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -19% | -10% | -17% | -24% | -25% | -2% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS, APRI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | KURA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -80.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 416.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -54.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 117.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 41 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -54.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 120.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 671 days | 120 days |
Compare to VRTX, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS, APRI
In The Past
Kura Oncology's stock fell -80.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/8/2021. A -80.6% loss requires a 416.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Can Kura Oncology Stock Recover If Markets Fall? | Return | ||
| Day 5 of Gains Streak for Kura Oncology Stock with 35% Return (vs. -14% YTD) [8/18/2025] | Notification | ||
| Kura Oncology (KURA) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Kura Oncology (KURA) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| Kura Oncology (KURA) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Kura Oncology (KURA) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| Kura Oncology (KURA) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Kura Oncology (KURA) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| Kura Oncology (KURA) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Why Kura Oncology Stock Moved: KURA Stock Has Gained 31% Since 2024 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Favorable Change In Revenues | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| KURA Stock Up 35% after 5-Day Win Streak | August 19th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to KURA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Kura Oncology
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 7.26 |
| Mkt Cap | 59.7 |
| Rev LTM | 104 |
| Op Inc LTM | -92 |
| FCF LTM | 83 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -10 |
| CFO LTM | 88 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -10 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 13.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -115.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 26.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 17.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 58.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 54.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 59.7 |
| P/S | 8.0 |
| P/EBIT | 9.4 |
| P/E | 11.8 |
| P/CFO | 17.9 |
| Total Yield | -12.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -1.5% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 15.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 29.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 44.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 4.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 9.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 15.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 26.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 30.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -9.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -58.6% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2272024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |