Tearsheet

United Homes (UHG)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.3 | Market Cap: $76.4 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Homebuilding

United Homes (UHG)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.3
Market Cap: $76.4 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Homebuilding

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Housing & Community Development. Themes include Residential Construction, Suburban & Exurban Growth, and Affordable Housing Solutions.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -124%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -155%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 38x
1   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -23%
2   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 59%
3   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 105%
4   Key risks
UHG key risks include [1] a mass leadership exodus and board turmoil due to conflict with its controlling chairman, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Housing & Community Development. Themes include Residential Construction, Suburban & Exurban Growth, and Affordable Housing Solutions.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -124%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -155%
2 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 38x
3 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -23%
4 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 59%
5 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 105%
6 Key risks
UHG key risks include [1] a mass leadership exodus and board turmoil due to conflict with its controlling chairman, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

UHG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the period from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, United Homes Group (UHG) experienced a significant stock price decline, evidenced by an 81.15% drop over the 12 months leading up to December 5, 2025, and hitting a 52-week low of $0.99 on November 20, 2025. Key factors contributing to this movement include:

1. Q2 2025 Financial Performance and Stock Slip: United Homes Group reported a net loss of $6.3 million for the second quarter of 2025, which included a $6.2 million fair value adjustment primarily related to contingent earn-out liability. Despite reporting improved gross margins, the company's stock experienced a decline following these earnings in early August 2025.

2. Weak Q3 2025 Preliminary Unit Statistics: In October 2025, United Homes Group announced preliminary third-quarter unit statistics, revealing a 5% year-over-year decline in net new orders. This was primarily attributed to weaker demand in July and delays in community openings earlier in the year, indicating operational challenges.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
UHG Return3%-16%-50%-68%
Peers Return25%48%-21%82%-0%0%166%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
UHG Win Rate56%75%67%42%33% 
Peers Win Rate67%73%42%60%58%43% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
UHG Max Drawdown-0%-48%-52%-76% 
Peers Max Drawdown-49%-4%-42%-0%-7%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DHI, LEN, PHM, NVR, MTH.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventUHGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-74.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven297.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to CVCO, DHI, LEN, PHM, NVR


In The Past

United Homes's stock fell -74.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/31/2023. A -74.9% loss requires a 297.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About United Homes (UHG)

Better Bets than United Homes (UHG)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to UHG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.0%13.0%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.4%6.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.0%13.0%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.4%6.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for United Homes

Peers to compare with:

Financials

UHGDHILENPHMNVRMTHMedian
NameUnited H.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR Meritage. 
Mkt Price1.30152.00112.23122.807,472.5568.29117.52
Mkt Cap0.245.028.724.121.54.822.8
Rev LTM41834,25034,76617,62310,4766,04814,049
Op Inc LTM14,4243,4703,3951,7826612,589
FCF LTM53,284-7131,5521,292-253649
FCF 3Y Avg123,1542,7831,8751,4301611,652
CFO LTM63,421-5681,6681,319-225663
CFO 3Y Avg133,3052,9181,9831,4571931,720

Growth & Margins

UHGDHILENPHMNVRMTHMedian
NameUnited H.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR Meritage. 
Rev Chg LTM-6.2%-6.9%-4.7%1.8%3.4%-6.0%-5.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-6.8%0.9%3.0%5.4%1.4%1.6%1.5%
Rev Chg Q-23.5%-3.2%-6.4%-1.6%-4.5%-10.7%-5.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-6.2%-0.9%-1.7%-0.4%-1.2%-2.8%-1.4%
Op Mgn LTM0.2%12.9%10.0%19.3%17.0%10.9%11.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg2.3%15.4%13.6%20.6%18.4%13.9%14.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.2%-1.2%-1.5%-0.7%-0.6%-1.6%-1.2%
CFO/Rev LTM1.5%10.0%-1.6%9.5%12.6%-3.7%5.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg3.1%9.4%8.4%11.6%14.4%2.9%8.9%
FCF/Rev LTM1.2%9.6%-2.1%8.8%12.3%-4.2%5.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.0%8.9%8.0%10.9%14.2%2.4%8.5%

Valuation

UHGDHILENPHMNVRMTHMedian
NameUnited H.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR Meritage. 
Mkt Cap0.245.028.724.121.54.822.8
P/S0.61.30.91.52.20.81.1
P/EBIT-10.29.37.612.27.39.3
P/E-12.912.512.09.916.19.510.9
P/CFO37.813.1-56.715.617.5-22.814.4
Total Yield-7.7%9.1%10.0%10.8%6.2%12.9%9.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.1%1.6%0.7%0.0%2.3%0.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-7.1%7.3%9.2%6.3%4.6%7.1%
D/E-0.10.20.10.00.40.1
Net D/E-0.10.10.0-0.00.20.1

Returns

UHGDHILENPHMNVRMTHMedian
NameUnited H.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR Meritage. 
1M Rtn4.8%10.3%-1.6%8.1%4.4%6.4%5.6%
3M Rtn-67.9%-10.3%-15.2%-8.2%-8.2%-8.9%-9.6%
6M Rtn-61.2%26.0%9.5%24.3%7.1%10.7%10.1%
12M Rtn-70.6%4.8%-24.6%6.8%-11.8%-14.5%-13.2%
3Y Rtn-87.0%75.1%27.1%171.6%55.2%55.6%55.4%
1M Excs Rtn4.1%9.6%-2.4%7.3%3.7%5.7%4.9%
3M Excs Rtn-71.8%-11.5%-16.5%-9.6%-10.0%-11.6%-11.5%
6M Excs Rtn-73.6%13.7%-2.9%11.9%-5.3%-1.7%-2.3%
12M Excs Rtn-81.9%-8.5%-37.1%-6.4%-24.1%-27.6%-25.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-155.5%13.1%-36.8%113.2%-9.6%-7.7%-8.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Great Southern Homes (GSH) South Carolina417    
Rosewood4    
Other0    
Corporate0    
Single Segment 477433327272
Total421477433327272


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Great Southern Homes (GSH) South Carolina224    
Rosewood31    
Corporate26    
Other17    
Total299    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity196,925
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202521.3%
Average Daily Volume143,807
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.37
Basic Shares Quantity58,798,898
Short % of Basic Shares0.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/2025-7.6%-7.6%-19.3%
8/7/20252.5%3.7%4.4%
3/12/2025-5.3%-3.4%-25.2%
11/8/20244.3%3.0%-26.3%
8/8/20243.7%6.1%-1.7%
3/14/2024-8.6%-5.4%-19.4%
11/9/20231.5%7.8%1.4%
8/10/2023-3.5%-10.5%-24.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive542
# Negative457
Median Positive2.5%4.9%2.9%
Median Negative-6.5%-5.4%-24.0%
Max Positive4.3%7.8%4.4%
Max Negative-8.6%-10.5%-26.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025514202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024314202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023315202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
123120227312023424B3 12/31/2022
630202210112022S-4 6/30/2022