Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.6%, FCF Yield is 6.2%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 5.0 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Energy Efficient Building Materials, Green Building Certification, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -61%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -68%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.7%

Key risks
NVR key risks include [1] its mortgage banking subsidiary's exposure to secondary market instability, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.6%, FCF Yield is 6.2%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
2 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 5.0 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Energy Efficient Building Materials, Green Building Certification, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -61%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -68%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.7%
7 Key risks
NVR key risks include [1] its mortgage banking subsidiary's exposure to secondary market instability, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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NVR (NVR) stock has lost about 15% since 12/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. NVR reported significantly weaker financial results for Q4 2025 and Q1 2026, falling short of analyst expectations in the most recent quarter. Consolidated revenues for Q4 2025 decreased by 5.0% year-over-year to $2.74 billion, with diluted earnings per share (EPS) down 13.1% to $121.54. The decline accelerated in Q1 2026, with consolidated revenues dropping 22% year-over-year to $1.88 billion, missing analyst estimates of approximately $2.10 billion. Diluted EPS for Q1 2026 plunged 29% year-over-year to $67.76, also missing analyst estimates of $77.56 or $79.17.

2. The company experienced notable pressure on its homebuilding gross profit margins due to higher lot costs and continued pricing challenges. In Q4 2025, the gross profit margin decreased to 20.4% from 23.6% in the prior year. This trend continued into Q1 2026, with the homebuilding gross margin further compressing to 19.6% from 21.9% in Q1 2025, which management attributed to pricing pressure and elevated lot costs.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -14.9% change in NVR stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -10.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120254292026Change
Stock Price ($)7292.776207.50-14.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)10,47610,342-1.3%
Net Income Margin (%)13.7%13.0%-5.3%
P/E Multiple14.613.1-10.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)331.5%
Cumulative Contribution-14.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 4/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NVR-14.9% 
Market (SPY)5.2%25.7%
Sector (XLY)-2.0%42.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The -22.7% change in NVR stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -14.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)93020254292026Change
Stock Price ($)8034.666207.50-22.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)10,59910,342-2.4%
Net Income Margin (%)14.3%13.0%-9.7%
P/E Multiple15.413.1-14.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)333.0%
Cumulative Contribution-22.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 4/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NVR-22.7% 
Market (SPY)8.0%25.6%
Sector (XLY)-2.1%43.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The -14.3% change in NVR stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -18.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)33120254292026Change
Stock Price ($)7244.396207.50-14.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)10,54410,342-1.9%
Net Income Margin (%)16.0%13.0%-18.8%
P/E Multiple13.113.1-0.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)337.9%
Cumulative Contribution-14.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2025 to 4/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NVR-14.3% 
Market (SPY)29.3%33.1%
Sector (XLY)19.3%47.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 11.4% change in NVR stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 26.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120234292026Change
Stock Price ($)5572.196207.5011.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)10,53810,342-1.9%
Net Income Margin (%)16.4%13.0%-20.9%
P/E Multiple10.413.126.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3313.3%
Cumulative Contribution11.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2023 to 4/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NVR11.4% 
Market (SPY)81.5%38.2%
Sector (XLY)60.1%45.4%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
NVR Return45%-22%52%17%-11%-12%58%
Peers Return50%-23%95%4%-3%2%133%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%4%90%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NVR Win Rate75%33%58%67%33%25% 
Peers Win Rate72%43%63%58%47%75% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NVR Max Drawdown-4%-38%-1%-2%-18%-13% 
Peers Max Drawdown-4%-42%0%-7%-22%-9% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: DHI, LEN, PHM, TOL, KBH. See NVR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/29/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNVRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-38.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven62.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven312 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-46.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven85.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven143 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-43.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven320 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-62.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven163.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,214 days1,480 days

Compare to DHI, LEN, PHM, TOL, KBH

In The Past

NVR's stock fell -38.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/29/2021. A -38.4% loss requires a 62.4% gain to breakeven.

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About NVR (NVR)

NVR, Inc. operates as a homebuilder in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Homebuilding and Mortgage Banking. It engages in the construction and sale of single-family detached homes, townhomes, and condominium buildings under the Ryan Homes, NVHomes, and Heartland Homes names. The company markets its Ryan Homes products to first-time and first-time move-up buyers; and NVHomes and Heartland Homes products to move-up and luxury buyers. It also provides various mortgage related services to its homebuilding customers, as well as brokers title insurance; performs title searches in connection with mortgage loan closings; and sells mortgage loans to investors in the secondary markets on a servicing released basis. The company primarily serves in Maryland, Virginia, West Virginia, Delaware, New Jersey, Eastern Pennsylvania, New York, Ohio, Western Pennsylvania, Indiana, Illinois, North Carolina, South Carolina, Florida, Tennessee, and Washington, D.C. NVR, Inc. was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.

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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for NVR:

  • Like a Marriott or Hilton, but instead of hotels, they build and sell homes under different brands for various buyer segments.
  • Imagine a company like Ford or General Motors, but for building and selling houses rather than cars, complete with its own mortgage financing services.

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  • Single-family Detached Homes: Construction and sale of standalone residential properties.
  • Townhomes: Construction and sale of multi-story homes that share walls with adjacent properties.
  • Condominium Buildings: Construction and sale of individual residential units within a larger shared building structure.
  • Mortgage Related Services: Providing mortgage loans and financial services to homebuilding customers.
  • Title Services: Brokering title insurance and performing title searches for real estate transactions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

NVR (symbol: NVR) primarily sells to individuals.

The company serves the following categories of customers:

  • First-time buyers: Individuals purchasing their first home.
  • First-time move-up buyers: Individuals who have previously owned a home and are looking to upgrade for the first time.
  • Move-up and luxury buyers: Individuals seeking larger, more expensive, or more feature-rich homes, often with higher-end finishes and amenities.

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Here is the management team for NVR, Inc.:

Eugene J. Bredow, President and Chief Executive Officer

  • Eugene J. Bredow has served as President and Chief Executive Officer of NVR since May 2022. He first joined NVR in 1994 as a Senior Internal Auditor and rejoined the company in 2004 as Director of Internal Audit and Corporate Governance. His prior roles at NVR include Vice President of Internal Audit & Corporate Governance (January 2008 – June 2012), Vice President and Controller (June 2012), Chief Accounting Officer (February 2016 – February 2018), Senior Vice President and Chief Administrative Officer (March 2018 – March 2019), and President of NVR Mortgage (April 2019 – May 2022). Before his extensive career at NVR, Mr. Bredow started at KPMG LLP in 1991 and held various accounting management roles at INTELSAT and Interstate Hotels & Resorts, Inc. from 1995 to 2001. From 2001 to 2004, he served as Vice President and Controller at CRIIMI MAE, Inc.

Daniel D. Malzahn, Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

  • Daniel D. Malzahn has been the Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer at NVR since February 2013, and was elevated to Senior Vice President in February 2016. Mr. Malzahn has been with NVR since 1994, previously serving as Vice President of Business Planning and Investor Relations.

Paul C. Saville, Executive Chairman

  • Paul C. Saville became Executive Chairman of NVR's board in May 2022, after serving as President and Chief Executive Officer from July 2005. He began his career in the homebuilding industry in 1981, joining Ryan Homes, which later became a subsidiary of NVR. Mr. Saville's progression within NVR included roles such as Senior Vice President of Finance, Chief Financial Officer, and Treasurer (from September 1993) and Executive Vice President (from February 1998). Under his leadership, NVR grew to become one of the nation's largest homebuilders.

Paul W. Praylo, Senior Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

  • Paul W. Praylo joined NVR in January 2019 as Senior Vice President and Chief Operating Officer. Prior to joining NVR, Mr. Praylo had a career with AECOM spanning over 20 years, where he held multiple leadership positions. This included serving as Chief Operating Officer of the Construction Services Group from January 2017 to January 2019, and Chief Financial Officer of the Construction Services Group from July 2010 to December 2016. His early career also included finance and accounting positions with Deloitte & Touche.

Matthew B. Kelpy, Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer and Controller

  • Matthew B. Kelpy has been Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer of NVR since March 2018, and has served as Vice President & Controller since joining NVR in 2017. Prior to his time at NVR, Mr. Kelpy was the Chief Accounting Officer of GoDaddy Inc. until at least December 2016, and Controller and Chief Accounting Officer of AOL Inc. until at least July 2013.

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The key risks to NVR's business primarily revolve around the cyclical nature of the housing market, driven by external economic factors and supply-side challenges:

  1. Interest Rate Sensitivity and Affordability Challenges: NVR's business is highly susceptible to fluctuations in interest rates. High mortgage rates directly impact the affordability of homes for potential buyers, leading to reduced demand, fewer new home orders, and increased cancellation rates. This also exerts significant pressure on home pricing and profit margins. NVR's mortgage banking segment is also adversely affected by volatility in interest rates.

  2. Economic Downturns and Housing Market Fluctuations: Demand for new homes is intrinsically linked to broader economic conditions such as employment levels, job growth, and consumer confidence. An economic downturn or a decline in these indicators can lead to a significant decrease in new home sales, impacting NVR's revenues and profitability. The inherent cyclicality of the housing market means NVR's performance is sensitive to these broader economic shifts.

  3. Cost Pressures and Supply Chain Issues: NVR faces ongoing challenges from rising costs of building materials, labor shortages, and increased lot costs, which can compress its profit margins. While NVR's "land-light" model typically mitigates the financial risks of direct land ownership, the company still incurs contract land deposit impairments if market conditions change, rendering previously optioned land economically unviable. Additionally, supply chain bottlenecks can cause delays and further increase construction costs.

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The addressable markets for NVR's main products and services in the United States are substantial, reflecting the company's focus on homebuilding and mortgage banking across multiple states.

Homebuilding Market (U.S.)

The overall U.S. residential construction market was estimated at approximately USD 1.41 trillion in 2026 and is projected to grow to USD 1.76 trillion by 2031, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.53% between 2026 and 2031. Another estimate values the U.S. construction market, including residential, at USD 2.31 trillion in 2026, forecasted to reach USD 3.39 trillion by 2034 at a CAGR of 4.9% from 2026 to 2034.

Single-Family Detached Homes

NVR's focus on single-family detached homes, marketed under names like Ryan Homes, NVHomes, and Heartland Homes, targets a significant portion of the residential construction market. Single-family homes, also referred to as villas and landed houses, constituted 60.85% of the U.S. residential construction market size in 2025. This segment continues to dominate the U.S. home construction market, accounting for over 60% of the total market share.

Townhomes

Townhomes represent a growing segment within the broader housing market. In the third quarter of 2025, townhouses made up nearly 20% of all single-family housing starts. Over the last four quarters leading up to Q3 2025, approximately 179,000 townhomes were started. In Q2 2024, townhouses comprised almost 15% of single-family starts, with their one-year moving average market share reaching 17.2%. By Q2 2025, this share increased to 17% of single-family housing starts, with the one-year moving average at 18.3%.

Condominiums and Apartments

NVR also builds condominium buildings. The U.S. apartment and condominium construction market was valued at USD 91.1 billion in 202 year, and is projected to reach USD 124.2 billion by 2032, expanding at a CAGR of 4.1% from 2025 to 2032. This segment, which includes apartments and condominiums, accounted for 39.15% of the U.S. residential construction market output in 2025 and is expected to grow at a 6.02% CAGR through 2031. Revenue for the Apartment & Condominium Construction industry in the U.S. is estimated to reach USD 94.1 billion by the end of 2025.

Mortgage Banking Market (U.S.)

NVR's mortgage banking segment operates within the U.S. mortgage origination market. Total single-family mortgage origination volume in the United States is anticipated to increase to USD 2.2 trillion in 2026, up from an expected USD 2.0 trillion in 2025. Another forecast expects total mortgage origination volume to reach USD 2.3 trillion in 2025, increasing from USD 1.79 trillion in 2024. The total U.S. mortgage origination volume is projected to exceed the USD 2 trillion mark in 2026 for the first time since 2022.

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For NVR, Inc. (NVR), several key drivers are expected to contribute to future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years:

  1. Vertical Integration of Homebuilding and Mortgage Banking: NVR's integrated business model, combining its homebuilding operations with NVR Mortgage Finance, Inc. (NVRM), is a significant growth driver. This synergy creates a seamless customer experience and a high capture rate for mortgage financing, allowing NVR to realize profits from both home sales and associated financial services. The strategic introduction of new mortgage products and incentives designed to enhance affordability is also anticipated to serve as a tailwind, improving capture rates and backlog conversion.
  2. Strategic Geographical Expansion and Increased Community Count: The company's strategy includes the careful expansion into new housing markets, with a continuous evaluation of opportunities within high-growth metropolitan areas. This is particularly evident in the Mid-Atlantic, Northeast, Southeast, and Mid-West regions, including infill expansion in high-velocity MSAs such as Raleigh–Durham, Charlotte, and the Baltimore–DC corridor. NVR's "land-light" strategy, which involves optioning rather than owning most of its land, supports this expansion by enabling quick pivots in response to market changes and reinforcing its capacity to increase building activity and community count without excessive capital commitment. As of June 30, 2025, NVR had 171,400 lots under control, representing a 14% year-over-year increase, bolstering its ability to maintain building activity.
  3. Product Diversification and Focus on Affordability: NVR utilizes a multi-brand strategy through Ryan Homes, NVHomes, and Heartland Homes to target diverse buyer segments, ranging from first-time and first-time move-up buyers to luxury customers. A particular emphasis on Ryan Homes, which offers entry-level and first move-up plans with smaller footprints and value engineering, alongside townhomes and paired homes in land-constrained suburbs, helps accelerate absorption and reach lower price points. This focus on delivering more affordable housing options is crucial for attracting a broader customer base and driving sales volume, especially in a challenging economic environment.
  4. Continued Market Share Gains: NVR's operational strengths, including its efficient land-light model and strong brand recognition, position it to gain market share in its existing and contiguous markets. Despite overall market pressures, the company has demonstrated an ability to secure new orders (e.g., a 3% increase in new orders in Q4 2025 and Q1 2024), which contributes to future revenue. With the broader housing market still recovering from years of under-building, there remains significant potential for NVR to expand its market presence and capture additional demand for new single-family homes.

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Share Repurchases

  • NVR's Board of Directors authorized a new share repurchase program of up to $750 million of its outstanding common stock on February 11, 2026, which has no expiration date.
  • The company repurchased approximately $1.833 billion of its stock in 2025, $2.058 billion in 2024, and $1.082 billion in 2023.
  • As of December 31, 2025, NVR had $549.6 million remaining under Board-approved share repurchase authorizations.

Share Issuance

  • The weighted average number of shares outstanding used to calculate basic EPS decreased from 3,285,562 in 2022 to 3,109,630 in 2024.
  • NVR's shares outstanding for the quarter ending December 31, 2025, were approximately 3 million, reflecting a 7.53% decline year-over-year.
  • Equity-based compensation costs, which often involve share-based awards, were $73.925 million in 2024, $99.507 million in 2023, and $82.537 million in 2022.

Capital Expenditures

  • NVR primarily utilizes a "land-light" strategy, focusing on acquiring land options and managing the entitlement process rather than outright purchasing large land tracts, which helps to reduce financial risk.
  • The company reported net pre-tax charges of approximately $75.9 million in 2025 and $7.2 million in 2024 related to the impairment of contract land deposits.
  • Capital expenditures related to land development are primarily associated with the limited direct acquisition of raw land parcels zoned for their intended use, including land acquisition costs, direct development costs, and capitalized interest.
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Better Bets vs. NVR (NVR)

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5.6%5.6%0.0%
OLLI_3272026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy03272026OLLIOllie's Bargain OutletDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
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PATK_3272026_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V203272026PATKPatrick IndustriesInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
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NVR_3202026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03202026NVRNVRDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
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NVR_6302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302022NVRNVRDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
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16.1%58.6%-2.2%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NVRDHILENPHMTOLKBHMedian
NameNVR D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.Toll Bro.KB Home  
Mkt Price6,207.50151.6588.71120.71139.5752.30130.14
Mkt Cap17.643.721.723.213.43.319.6
Rev LTM10,34233,34833,17516,82811,2535,92114,041
Op Inc LTM1,6893,9202,2702,7471,7214311,995
FCF LTM1,0973,498-901,7781,4534941,275
FCF 3Y Avg1,3052,8151,9681,6211,1744781,463
CFO LTM1,1213,652721,8971,5405451,331
CFO 3Y Avg1,3312,9612,1291,7321,2515211,532

Growth & Margins

NVRDHILENPHMTOLKBHMedian
NameNVR D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.Toll Bro.KB Home  
Rev Chg LTM-1.9%-5.6%-7.2%-5.9%4.6%-13.6%-5.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.3%-0.1%-0.7%1.0%3.2%-4.6%-0.2%
Rev Chg Q-4.7%-2.3%-13.3%-12.4%15.4%-22.6%-8.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.3%-0.5%-3.0%-2.8%2.6%-5.0%-2.0%
Op Inc Chg LTM-15.3%-26.7%-51.1%-26.8%-11.8%-42.8%-26.7%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-8.2%-15.7%-27.5%-6.9%4.0%-23.4%-11.9%
Op Mgn LTM16.3%11.8%6.8%16.3%15.3%7.3%13.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg18.1%14.6%11.9%19.6%17.1%9.9%15.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.7%-0.5%-1.2%-0.9%-0.4%-1.1%-0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM10.8%11.0%0.2%11.3%13.7%9.2%10.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg13.2%8.5%6.0%10.2%11.7%8.3%9.3%
FCF/Rev LTM10.6%10.5%-0.3%10.6%12.9%8.3%10.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg12.9%8.1%5.6%9.5%10.9%7.6%8.8%

Valuation

NVRDHILENPHMTOLKBHMedian
NameNVR D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.Toll Bro.KB Home  
Mkt Cap17.643.721.723.213.43.319.6
P/S1.71.30.71.41.20.61.2
P/Op Inc10.411.19.68.47.87.69.0
P/EBIT9.811.19.68.77.87.69.1
P/E13.113.812.111.39.79.311.7
P/CFO15.712.0299.712.28.76.012.1
Total Yield7.6%8.4%10.6%9.6%10.7%11.3%10.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.1%2.4%0.8%0.4%0.5%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.8%6.6%4.7%7.1%9.7%10.8%6.8%
D/E0.10.20.20.10.20.60.2
Net D/E-0.00.10.1-0.00.10.50.1

Returns

NVRDHILENPHMTOLKBHMedian
NameNVR D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.Toll Bro.KB Home  
1M Rtn-4.5%14.4%5.1%6.1%7.2%3.5%5.6%
3M Rtn-18.6%1.3%-19.1%-1.9%-3.6%-9.4%-6.5%
6M Rtn-15.4%2.9%-27.9%2.5%4.1%-15.9%-6.4%
12M Rtn-12.7%23.0%-16.0%19.6%39.9%-0.1%9.8%
3Y Rtn6.3%42.2%-17.7%84.0%124.0%24.9%33.6%
1M Excs Rtn-17.0%1.9%-7.4%-6.3%-5.3%-8.9%-6.9%
3M Excs Rtn-20.9%-1.0%-21.4%-4.1%-5.8%-11.6%-8.7%
6M Excs Rtn-20.3%-7.8%-34.2%-3.0%-2.8%-20.2%-14.0%
12M Excs Rtn-40.9%-6.5%-45.5%-10.3%10.0%-30.4%-20.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-68.5%-28.5%-89.4%20.9%57.6%-42.1%-35.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Cash and cash equivalents2,5613,1262,5032,5452,715
Homebuilding Mid Atlantic1,3381,2521,1531,3231,141
Homebuilding South East914797698629494
Mortgage Banking485452406372555
Homebuilding Mid East397368379439377
Homebuilding North East368315250235203
Deferred taxes142148144133133
Operating lease right-of-use assets7870715953
Consolidation adjustments and other6863516693
Reorganization value and goodwill4949494950
Finance lease right-of-use assets3813141516
Contract land deposit allowance-59-53-57-30-52
Total6,3816,6025,6615,8345,777


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$6,207.50 
Market Cap ($ Bil)17.6 
First Trading Date07/22/1985 
Distance from 52W High-27.3% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$6,820.58$7,485.00
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-9.0%-17.1%
 3M1YR
Volatility31.3%27.2%
Downside Capture0.390.37
Upside Capture-33.9530.94
Correlation (SPY)24.4%30.9%
NVR Betas & Captures as of 3/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.770.260.400.410.490.64
Up Beta2.061.721.861.240.700.78
Down Beta-0.050.720.770.640.110.27
Up Capture26%-77%-38%-16%32%41%
Bmk +ve Days7162765139424
Stock +ve Days7202959121382
Down Capture140%40%26%41%73%92%
Bmk -ve Days12233358110323
Stock -ve Days15223467130368

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NVR
NVR-9.6%27.2%-0.39-
Sector ETF (XLY)19.2%18.8%0.8046.2%
Equity (SPY)31.5%12.5%1.9330.7%
Gold (GLD)35.2%27.2%1.090.5%
Commodities (DBC)46.7%18.1%1.99-24.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.8%13.4%0.6544.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-19.6%42.1%-0.402.6%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NVR
NVR5.7%27.6%0.21-
Sector ETF (XLY)6.7%23.7%0.2455.4%
Equity (SPY)13.1%17.1%0.6052.7%
Gold (GLD)20.1%17.8%0.927.5%
Commodities (DBC)14.6%19.1%0.631.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.4%18.8%0.0856.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)8.1%56.2%0.3621.8%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NVR
NVR13.8%31.9%0.48-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.5%22.0%0.5254.8%
Equity (SPY)14.9%17.9%0.7152.9%
Gold (GLD)13.4%15.9%0.707.8%
Commodities (DBC)9.6%17.7%0.4512.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.5%20.7%0.2354.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.5%66.9%1.0714.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date4152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity0.1 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 3312026-0.4%
Average Daily Volume0.0 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.4 days
Basic Shares Quantity2.8 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares3.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/22/2026-4.7%-7.1% 
1/28/20261.7%3.6%-0.9%
10/22/2025-1.2%-4.2%-8.6%
7/23/2025-0.1%-1.1%1.5%
4/22/20250.5%-1.3%1.0%
1/28/2025-3.8%-7.7%-14.0%
10/22/2024-2.3%-3.6%-7.3%
7/23/2024-0.5%-0.5%1.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111012
# Negative141512
Median Positive1.7%3.1%3.2%
Median Negative-2.2%-1.9%-5.9%
Max Positive10.7%12.3%23.0%
Max Negative-4.7%-7.7%-14.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202502/11/202610-K
09/30/202511/05/202510-Q
06/30/202508/06/202510-Q
03/31/202505/05/202510-Q
12/31/202402/12/202510-K
09/30/202411/05/202410-Q
06/30/202408/06/202410-Q
03/31/202405/06/202410-Q
12/31/202302/14/202410-K
09/30/202311/03/202310-Q
06/30/202308/02/202310-Q
03/31/202305/02/202310-Q
12/31/202202/15/202310-K
09/30/202211/04/202210-Q
06/30/202208/03/202210-Q
03/31/202205/03/202210-Q

Insider Activity

Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Ross, Susan Williamson DirectSell21720267922.062001,584,4123,057,915Form
2Kelpy, Matthew BVP, Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell21020268100.005004,050,0001,684,800Form
3Ross, Susan Williamson DirectSell20520268000.002201,760,0003,088,000Form
4Devito, Michael J DirectBuy110520257068.051498,95398,953Form
5Jung, Alexandra A DirectSell82820258082.442001,616,488606,183Form