NVR (NVR)
Market Price (2/20/2026): $7520.1499 | Market Cap: $21.3 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Homebuilding
NVR (NVR)
Market Price (2/20/2026): $7520.1499Market Cap: $21.3 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Homebuilding
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.3%, FCF Yield is 5.1% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -37%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -21% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.7% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% | Key risksNVR key risks include [1] its mortgage banking subsidiary's exposure to secondary market instability, Show more. | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Energy Efficient Building Materials, Green Building Certification, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.3%, FCF Yield is 5.1% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Energy Efficient Building Materials, Green Building Certification, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -37%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -21% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.7% |
| Key risksNVR key risks include [1] its mortgage banking subsidiary's exposure to secondary market instability, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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NVR (NVR) stock has gained about 5% since 10/31/2025 because of the following key factors:
1. Stronger-than-Expected Q4 2025 Earnings Performance.
NVR reported its fourth-quarter 2025 earnings, surpassing analysts' consensus estimates for both diluted earnings per share (EPS) and revenue. The company announced diluted EPS of $121.54, exceeding estimates that ranged from approximately $104.96 to $105.53. Additionally, quarterly revenue of $2.74 billion also outperformed the consensus estimate of $2.41 billion. This beat on expectations likely fueled investor confidence, despite some year-over-year declines in overall net income and revenue.
2. Optimistic Outlook for the 2026 Housing Market.
The broader housing market saw an improving sentiment and a more positive forecast for 2026. Industry experts and economists projected a modest recovery in home sales, with some anticipating a nationwide increase of about 14%. Home values were expected to experience slight growth, ranging from 1.2% to 3%, and mortgage rates were predicted to gradually ease, potentially reaching the low-6% range by the end of 2026. This favorable macroeconomic backdrop for homebuilders contributed to NVR's stock appreciation.
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1. Stronger-than-Expected Q4 2025 Earnings Performance.
NVR reported its fourth-quarter 2025 earnings, surpassing analysts' consensus estimates for both diluted earnings per share (EPS) and revenue. The company announced diluted EPS of $121.54, exceeding estimates that ranged from approximately $104.96 to $105.53. Additionally, quarterly revenue of $2.74 billion also outperformed the consensus estimate of $2.41 billion. This beat on expectations likely fueled investor confidence, despite some year-over-year declines in overall net income and revenue.
2. Optimistic Outlook for the 2026 Housing Market.
The broader housing market saw an improving sentiment and a more positive forecast for 2026. Industry experts and economists projected a modest recovery in home sales, with some anticipating a nationwide increase of about 14%. Home values were expected to experience slight growth, ranging from 1.2% to 3%, and mortgage rates were predicted to gradually ease, potentially reaching the low-6% range by the end of 2026. This favorable macroeconomic backdrop for homebuilders contributed to NVR's stock appreciation.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 4.4% change in NVR stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 15.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7210.82 | 7526.14 | 4.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 10,599 | 10,342 | -2.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 14.3% | 13.0% | -9.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 13.8 | 15.9 | 15.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 3 | 3 | 3.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 4.4% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NVR | 4.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 0.4% | 11.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | -3.1% | 32.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -0.3% change in NVR stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -13.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7549.49 | 7526.14 | -0.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 10,613 | 10,342 | -2.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 15.0% | 13.0% | -13.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 14.2 | 15.9 | 12.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 3 | 3 | 5.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -0.3% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NVR | -0.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.6% | 17.7% |
| Sector (XLY) | 5.2% | 36.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -6.1% change in NVR stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -19.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8016.18 | 7526.14 | -6.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 10,130 | 10,342 | 2.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 16.1% | 13.0% | -19.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 15.1 | 15.9 | 5.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 3 | 3 | 8.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -6.1% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NVR | -6.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.7% | 32.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | 0.8% | 45.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 42.8% change in NVR stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 48.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312023 | 2192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5270.00 | 7526.14 | 42.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 10,055 | 10,342 | 2.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 16.0% | 13.0% | -18.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 10.7 | 15.9 | 48.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 3 | 3 | 15.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 42.8% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NVR | 42.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 74.7% | 39.4% |
| Sector (XLY) | 60.1% | 45.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NVR Return | 45% | -22% | 52% | 17% | -11% | 3% | 84% |
| Peers Return | 50% | -23% | 95% | 4% | -3% | 18% | 171% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 1% | 83% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NVR Win Rate | 75% | 33% | 58% | 67% | 33% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 72% | 43% | 63% | 58% | 47% | 100% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NVR Max Drawdown | -4% | -38% | -1% | -2% | -18% | -2% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -4% | -42% | 0% | -7% | -22% | -1% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: DHI, LEN, PHM, TOL, KBH. See NVR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/19/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NVR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -38.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 62.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 312 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -46.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 143 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -43.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 76.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 320 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -62.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 163.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,214 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to DHI, LEN, PHM, TOL, KBH
In The Past
NVR's stock fell -38.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/29/2021. A -38.4% loss requires a 62.4% gain to breakeven.
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About NVR (NVR)
NVR, Inc. operates as a homebuilder in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Homebuilding and Mortgage Banking. It engages in the construction and sale of single-family detached homes, townhomes, and condominium buildings under the Ryan Homes, NVHomes, and Heartland Homes names. The company markets its Ryan Homes products to first-time and first-time move-up buyers; and NVHomes and Heartland Homes products to move-up and luxury buyers. It also provides various mortgage related services to its homebuilding customers, as well as brokers title insurance; performs title searches in connection with mortgage loan closings; and sells mortgage loans to investors in the secondary markets on a servicing released basis. The company primarily serves in Maryland, Virginia, West Virginia, Delaware, New Jersey, Eastern Pennsylvania, New York, Ohio, Western Pennsylvania, Indiana, Illinois, North Carolina, South Carolina, Florida, Tennessee, and Washington, D.C. NVR, Inc. was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.
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1. Tesla for houses: Builds and sells new homes directly to consumers at scale, similar to how Tesla manufactures and sells its vehicles, often integrating financing services for its buyers.
2. Ford for houses: A large-scale manufacturer of standardized homes, akin to how Ford mass-produces vehicles, making homeownership accessible and efficient.
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- Homebuilding: Construction and sale of single-family homes, townhomes, and condominiums.
- Mortgage Banking (Financial Services): Provision of mortgage banking services to its homebuilding customers, including loan origination and settlement services.
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NVR, Inc. (symbol: NVR) primarily sells homes directly to individual customers rather than to other companies.
The company serves the following categories of individual homebuyers:
- First-time Homebuyers: Individuals and families purchasing their first home, often seeking entry-level to mid-range homes that are affordable and well-located.
- Move-up Homebuyers: Individuals and families who already own a home and are looking to purchase a larger, newer, or different home, typically due to changing family needs, job relocation, or a desire for upgraded features and communities.
- Active Adult / Empty Nesters: Older individuals or couples who are often downsizing from larger family homes, seeking properties with less maintenance, single-level living options, and access to specific community amenities.
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Eugene J. Bredow, President and Chief Executive Officer
Eugene J. Bredow was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of NVR in May 2022. He joined NVR in 2004, and prior to his current role, he served as President of NVR Mortgage from April 2019 to May 2022. Mr. Bredow also held positions as Senior Vice President and Chief Administrative Officer from March 2018 through March 2019, and as Vice President and Controller from June 2012, and Chief Accounting Officer from February 2016 through February 2018.
Daniel D. Malzahn, Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
Daniel D. Malzahn has served as the Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer at NVR Inc. since February 20, 2013, and as Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer. He joined the company in 1994.
Paul C. Saville, Executive Chairman
Paul C. Saville became Executive Chairman of NVR in May 2022. He previously served as President and Chief Executive Officer of NVR from 2005 to May 2022. Mr. Saville has been employed by NVR since 1981, having joined Ryan Homes, a predecessor of NVR, in 1989. His prior roles at NVR include Senior Vice President Finance, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer since September 1993, and Executive Vice President from January 2002 through June 2005. Before joining Ryan Homes, Mr. Saville worked at Rockwell International in their Automotive Operations after earning his MBA.
Matthew B. Kelpy, Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer and Controller
Matthew B. Kelpy has served as Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer, and Controller of NVR since 2018. He was previously Vice President and Controller from 2017 to 2018. Mr. Kelpy's expertise includes technical accounting areas such as revenue recognition, acquisition accounting, share-based payments, and goodwill, as well as audit committee and board communications, SEC filings, treasury management, credit facilities, and internal controls. He is an active Certified Public Accountant (CPA).
James M. Sack, Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary
James M. Sack serves as a Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary of NVR Inc.
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Key Business Risks for NVR (NVR)
- Economic Conditions and Interest Rate Fluctuations: NVR's business is highly sensitive to general economic and business conditions, including employment levels, consumer confidence, and particularly interest rates. An economic downturn or an increase in mortgage interest rates can significantly reduce the demand for new homes, impacting sales, profitability, and cash flows for NVR and its customers. Rising mortgage rates and affordability issues have already been noted to weaken demand for new homes, contributing to lower new orders and higher cancellation rates. The ability of NVR's mortgage banking subsidiary to sell loans in the secondary market is also tied to interest rate fluctuations and overall credit market stability.
- Availability and Cost of Building Materials, Labor, and Land: NVR faces ongoing challenges and cost pressures related to the availability and pricing of building materials, labor, and land. Shortages in these critical resources or significant increases in their costs can adversely impact the company's operations, increase construction costs, and compress profit margins. Although NVR employs a "land-light" strategy by acquiring finished lots rather than developing large parcels of land, it remains exposed to fluctuations in land values and the cost of acquiring suitable lots.
- Competitive and Cyclical Nature of the Housing Market: The homebuilding industry is highly competitive, with numerous participants vying for market share. This intense competition can lead to pricing pressures and affect NVR's growth and profitability. Furthermore, the housing market is cyclical, meaning demand for new homes can fluctuate significantly based on various factors, including consumer preferences and mortgage availability, posing a risk to the company's stability.
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The significant advancements and increasing scalability of industrialized home construction methods, including highly automated modular prefabrication and large-scale 3D printing, pose a clear emerging threat. These technologies promise to fundamentally transform the economics of homebuilding by enabling faster construction times, lower labor costs, reduced material waste, and potentially higher quality and consistency compared to traditional on-site building. As companies leveraging these innovative approaches continue to mature and expand their production capabilities, they could directly challenge established traditional homebuilders like NVR by offering a more efficient, cost-effective, and rapid alternative for delivering housing units at scale.AI Analysis | Feedback
NVR Inc. operates in two primary business segments: homebuilding and mortgage banking. The addressable markets for these services are primarily within the United States.
Homebuilding
For its homebuilding segment, which involves the construction and sale of single-family detached homes, townhomes, and condominium buildings, the addressable market is the U.S. Home Builders industry. This market is projected to be approximately $166.9 billion in 2025, within the United States.
Mortgage Banking
NVR's mortgage banking services, offered through NVR Mortgage Finance, Inc., primarily cater to its homebuilding customers. The addressable market for these services is the U.S. purchase-mortgage market, which is currently valued at approximately $1,145.4 billion within the United States.
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NVR (symbol: NVR) is expected to experience future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key factors:- Increased Homebuilding Deliveries and Land Sales: Management has projected year-over-year revenue growth for Q4 2025, specifically driven by an increase in homebuilding deliveries and land sales. This indicates a continued focus on completing existing orders and monetizing land assets.
- Strategic Land Acquisition and Control: NVR's ability to control a significant number of lots is considered a critical factor for maintaining future building activity and supporting growth. As of June 30, 2025, the company controlled 171,400 lots, a 14% increase from the prior year. This robust land pipeline reinforces its capacity for sustained construction.
- Geographic Diversification and Expansion into New Projects: NVR's CEO has highlighted geographic diversification as a strategy to navigate market challenges. The company also continues to pursue significant new developments, such as the planned 950-home Suncrest project in Chesterfield, Virginia, which includes a mix of housing types. NVR operates in 36 metropolitan areas across sixteen states, suggesting potential for further strategic market penetration.
- Addressing the Underlying Housing Shortage and Targeting Key Buyer Segments: Analysts note an accumulated shortage of approximately 3.5 million homes in the U.S., providing NVR with ample opportunities for future growth. The company's strategic focus on catering to entry-level and first-time move-up homebuyers also positions it to capitalize on ongoing demand in these segments.
- Operational Efficiency and Product Refinement: NVR maintains a strong emphasis on cost control and operational efficiency, which supports profitability and growth. Furthermore, the company continuously refines its home designs and features to meet evolving consumer preferences and affordability needs, enhancing the appeal and competitiveness of its product offerings.
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Share Repurchases
- NVR has consistently engaged in significant share repurchases, with annual buybacks totaling approximately $2.058 billion in 2024, $1.082 billion in 2023, $1.5 billion in 2022, and $1.398 billion in 2021.
- The company's Board of Directors authorized a new $750 million share repurchase program in December 2024, which has no expiration date.
- Share repurchases are a long-standing capital allocation priority for NVR, initiated in 1994, and are consistent with its strategy of maximizing shareholder value, contributing to a decline in shares outstanding.
Share Issuance
- NVR issues new shares to employees and management as part of its equity plan.
- In fiscal years 2021 and 2022, the amount of share repurchases more than offset the dilutive effect of these new shares issued for the equity plan.
- The total shares outstanding have seen a decline, decreasing by 3.38% in 2024, 2.11% in 2023, and 9.07% in 2022.
Capital Expenditures
- NVR's capital expenditures were approximately $29.21 million in 2024, $24.88 million in 2023, and $18.43 million in 2022.
- Capital expenditures are projected to be around $24.35 million for 2025.
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| 06302022 | NVR | NVR | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.1% | 58.6% | -2.2% |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 149.91 |
| Mkt Cap | 24.2 |
| Rev LTM | 14,139 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,236 |
| FCF LTM | 1,062 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,555 |
| CFO LTM | 1,117 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,624 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -3.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 0.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | -6.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 14.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 9.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 24.2 |
| P/S | 1.4 |
| P/EBIT | 10.0 |
| P/E | 13.2 |
| P/CFO | 14.2 |
| Total Yield | 8.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.5% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 7.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 16.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 4.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 18.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 84.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 6.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 12.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -6.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 3.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 6.9% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and cash equivalents | 2,561 | 3,126 | 2,503 | 2,545 | 2,715 |
| Homebuilding Mid Atlantic | 1,338 | 1,252 | 1,153 | 1,323 | 1,141 |
| Homebuilding South East | 914 | 797 | 698 | 629 | 494 |
| Mortgage Banking | 485 | 452 | 406 | 372 | 555 |
| Homebuilding Mid East | 397 | 368 | 379 | 439 | 377 |
| Homebuilding North East | 368 | 315 | 250 | 235 | 203 |
| Deferred taxes | 142 | 148 | 144 | 133 | 133 |
| Operating lease right-of-use assets | 78 | 70 | 71 | 59 | 53 |
| Consolidation adjustments and other | 68 | 63 | 51 | 66 | 93 |
| Reorganization value and goodwill | 49 | 49 | 49 | 49 | 50 |
| Finance lease right-of-use assets | 38 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| Contract land deposit allowance | -59 | -53 | -57 | -30 | -52 |
| Total | 6,381 | 6,602 | 5,661 | 5,834 | 5,777 |
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $7,526.14 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 21.6 | |
| First Trading Date | 07/22/1985 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -11.9% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $7,577.12 | $7,599.07 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -0.7% | -1.0% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 27.5% | 28.0% |
| Downside Capture | -36.54 | 44.59 |
| Upside Capture | 1.03 | 43.84 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 10.7% | 32.4% |
NVR Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.72 | 0.70 | 0.47 | 0.61 | 0.50 | 0.66 |
| Up Beta | 3.64 | 2.92 | 1.52 | 1.63 | 0.73 | 0.78 |
| Down Beta | 0.79 | 0.54 | 0.25 | 0.41 | 0.07 | 0.26 |
| Up Capture | 40% | 38% | 44% | 27% | 40% | 51% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 19 | 30 | 62 | 117 | 387 |
| Down Capture | -70% | 29% | 15% | 52% | 77% | 93% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 22 | 31 | 63 | 133 | 364 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NVR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVR | 6.3% | 27.9% | 0.21 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 3.4% | 24.2% | 0.08 | 45.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.0% | 19.4% | 0.51 | 32.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 71.2% | 25.5% | 2.08 | -3.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.3% | 16.9% | 0.25 | 0.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.4% | 16.7% | 0.20 | 44.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -30.2% | 44.9% | -0.66 | 15.2% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NVR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVR | 10.4% | 27.6% | 0.37 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 7.3% | 23.7% | 0.27 | 55.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.4% | 17.0% | 0.62 | 53.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.0% | 17.1% | 1.05 | 7.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.0% | 19.0% | 0.47 | 5.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 18.8% | 0.16 | 55.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 6.9% | 57.1% | 0.34 | 21.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NVR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVR | 17.4% | 31.7% | 0.58 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 14.2% | 21.9% | 0.59 | 54.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.8% | 17.9% | 0.76 | 53.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.0% | 15.6% | 0.80 | 7.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.7% | 17.6% | 0.41 | 14.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.8% | 20.7% | 0.29 | 54.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.7% | 66.7% | 1.07 | 14.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 1/28/2026 | 1.7% | ||
| 10/22/2025 | -1.2% | -4.2% | -8.6% |
| 7/23/2025 | -0.1% | -1.1% | 1.5% |
| 4/22/2025 | -1.2% | -0.7% | -1.2% |
| 1/28/2025 | -1.2% | -3.4% | -10.9% |
| 10/22/2024 | -2.3% | -3.6% | -7.3% |
| 7/23/2024 | -0.5% | -0.5% | 1.7% |
| 4/23/2024 | 0.4% | -3.4% | -2.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 10 | 10 |
| # Negative | 17 | 14 | 14 |
| Median Positive | 1.9% | 2.8% | 6.8% |
| Median Negative | -1.2% | -1.8% | -5.9% |
| Max Positive | 10.7% | 12.3% | 23.0% |
| Max Negative | -3.6% | -9.1% | -10.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/11/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/12/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/14/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/15/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/03/2022 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Devito, Michael J | Direct | Buy | 11052025 | 7068.05 | 14 | 98,953 | 98,953 | Form | |
| 2 | Jung, Alexandra A | Direct | Sell | 8282025 | 8082.44 | 200 | 1,616,488 | 606,183 | Form | |
| 3 | Jung, Alexandra A | Direct | Sell | 8262025 | 8231.74 | 50 | 411,587 | 617,380 | Form | |
| 4 | Kelpy, Matthew B | VP, Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 8142025 | 8100.00 | 600 | 4,860,000 | 1,684,800 | Form |
| 5 | Ross, Susan Williamson | Direct | Sell | 8052025 | 7850.28 | 125 | 981,285 | 3,030,208 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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