Meritage Homes (MTH)
Market Price (12/28/2025): $66.74 | Market Cap: $4.7 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Homebuilding
Meritage Homes (MTH)
Market Price (12/28/2025): $66.74Market Cap: $4.7 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Homebuilding
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 2.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.8% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -66%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -24% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -11% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 38% | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.7%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.2% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Energy Efficient Building Materials, Renewable Integration in Buildings, Show more. | Key risksMTH key risks include significant pressure on profitability from [1] weakening buyer demand due to high mortgage rates, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 2.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.8% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 38% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Energy Efficient Building Materials, Renewable Integration in Buildings, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -66%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -24% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -11% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.7%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.2% |
| Key risksMTH key risks include significant pressure on profitability from [1] weakening buyer demand due to high mortgage rates, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
The public company Meritage Homes (MTH) experienced a notable downturn between August 31, 2025, and December 28, 2025, with its stock declining by 13%. Several key factors contributed to this performance:
1. <b>Deteriorating Financial Performance:</b> Meritage Homes reported a significant decline in its financial results during this period. Q2 2025 saw a 35.1% year-over-year decrease in diluted EPS and a 4.6% drop in home closing revenue. Home closing gross margins also substantially decreased to 21.1% in Q2 2025 from 25.9% in Q2 2024, attributed to higher lot costs and charges from terminated land contracts. Q3 2025 continued this trend, with home closing revenue down 12% year-over-year and gross margins further compressing to 19.1%. Net earnings for the first nine months of 2025 also decreased by 40%.
2. <b>Increased Incentives and Pricing Pressure:</b> To counteract softening demand and affordability concerns, Meritage Homes increasingly relied on financing incentives and price cuts. The average selling price (ASP) on closings fell by 6% year-over-year in Q2 2025 and 5% in Q3 2025, which, while helping to secure volume, significantly impacted profit margins. The company's Q3 2025 margins included $8.7 million in real estate inventory impairments and $5.8 million in walkaway charges for land deals.
3. <b>Bearish Technical Indicators and Analyst Sentiment:</b> Technical analysis in December 2025 indicated a deepening bearish trend for MTH, with a "sell" signal for both one-week and one-month timeframes, and the 50-day moving average falling below the 200-day moving average (a "death cross"). While some analysts maintained "Hold" ratings, others signaled a "Strong Sell." Several price target downgrades were issued by analysts in late 2025.
4. <b>Macroeconomic Headwinds and Housing Market Challenges:</b> The broader housing market faced ongoing challenges, including elevated interest rates and declining consumer confidence. High interest rates were cited as a significant challenge by a large percentage of homebuilders throughout 2025, impacting housing affordability and prompting buyers to delay purchases in anticipation of lower rates. These macroeconomic headwinds exacerbated profitability challenges for homebuilders like Meritage Homes.
5. <b>Caution in Land Investment and Slower Growth Projections:</b> Meritage Homes adopted a more cautious stance on land investment, lowering its full-year 2025 land spend target from $2.5 billion to $2 billion and significantly reducing net new lot acquisitions. This signals management's growing caution about the housing industry and suggests potential constraints on longer-term growth and volume recovery. Analysts projected that Meritage Homes' earnings growth would slow down, with revenue growth forecasts trailing broader US market expectations.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -7.1% change in MTH stock from 9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a -12.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| 9272025 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 71.90 | 66.80 | -7.10% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6219.26 | 6048.20 | -2.75% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 10.26% | 8.96% | -12.74% |
| P/E Multiple | 8.05 | 8.72 | 8.29% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 71.46 | 70.68 | 1.09% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -7.11% |
Market Drivers
9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MTH | -7.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.3% | 31.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | 1.8% | 43.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 1.2% change in MTH stock from 6/28/2025 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 32.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 6282025 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 65.98 | 66.80 | 1.24% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6287.51 | 6048.20 | -3.81% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 11.50% | 8.96% | -22.12% |
| P/E Multiple | 6.56 | 8.72 | 32.82% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 71.92 | 70.68 | 1.72% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 1.21% |
Market Drivers
6/28/2025 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MTH | 1.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.6% | 27.7% |
| Sector (XLY) | 11.9% | 43.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -11.1% change in MTH stock from 12/27/2024 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a -29.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| 12272024 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 75.18 | 66.80 | -11.15% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6431.29 | 6048.20 | -5.96% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 12.63% | 8.96% | -29.11% |
| P/E Multiple | 6.70 | 8.72 | 30.01% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 72.45 | 70.68 | 2.45% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -11.20% |
Market Drivers
12/27/2024 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MTH | -11.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 17.0% | 40.7% |
| Sector (XLY) | 7.0% | 50.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 57.0% change in MTH stock from 12/28/2022 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 171.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12282022 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 42.54 | 66.80 | 57.04% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5804.08 | 6048.20 | 4.21% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 16.67% | 8.96% | -46.27% |
| P/E Multiple | 3.22 | 8.72 | 171.04% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 73.14 | 70.68 | 3.36% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 56.87% |
Market Drivers
12/28/2023 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MTH | -20.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.0% | 38.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | 37.7% | 45.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MTH Return | 36% | 47% | -24% | 91% | -10% | -11% | 129% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 38% | -12% | 21% | 26% | 16% | 150% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 114% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MTH Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 50% | 67% | 42% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 65% | 42% | 68% | 57% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MTH Max Drawdown | -55% | -3% | -47% | 0% | -14% | -18% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -5% | -26% | -7% | -9% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MTH | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -46.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 87.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 300 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -62.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 168.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 70 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -41.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 69.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 263 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -86.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 635.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,580 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL
In The Past
Meritage Homes's stock fell -46.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -46.8% loss requires a 87.9% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Meritage Homes (MTH) is like:
- The Toyota of homebuilding, focusing on mass-producing reliable, energy-efficient, and value-oriented homes for a broad market.
- The Hyundai of new houses, known for delivering modern designs, good features, and strong value for a wide range of homebuyers.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Single-Family Homes: New construction homes designed for energy efficiency and modern living, primarily targeting first-time and first-move-up buyers.
- Mortgage Lending: Provides home financing solutions through a subsidiary to assist customers in purchasing Meritage homes.
- Title Services: Offers real estate settlement services and title insurance to facilitate the closing process for home purchases.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Meritage Homes (symbol: MTH) primarily sells homes directly to individual homebuyers. As a result, it does not have major corporate customers. The company serves the following categories of individual customers:
- Entry-Level Homebuyers: This category includes individuals and families who are purchasing their first home. They are typically seeking affordability, modern designs, and energy-efficient features in growing communities. Meritage Homes often targets this segment with more compact homes and efficient land use to keep prices competitive.
- First-Move-Up Homebuyers: These are individuals or families who already own a home but are looking to upgrade. They typically seek a larger home, more premium features, better community amenities, or a different location as their needs evolve. Meritage Homes offers a variety of floor plans and communities that cater to those looking for more space and enhanced living.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Phillippe Lord, Chief Executive Officer
Phillippe Lord became CEO of Meritage Homes in January 2021. He initially joined the company in 2008, where he was instrumental in creating the strategic operations and market research department. He served as President of the West Region from 2012 to 2015 and then as Chief Operating Officer and Executive Vice President from 2015 to 2020. Before joining Meritage Homes, Mr. Lord held leadership positions at Acacia Capital, Centex Homes, and Pinnacle West Capital.
Hilla Sferruzza, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer
Hilla Sferruzza was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Meritage Homes in April 2016. She began her career at Meritage Homes in 2006, serving as Corporate Controller (2010-2015) and Chief Accounting Officer (2010-2021). Prior to her tenure at Meritage Homes, Ms. Sferruzza held various management roles at Starwood Hotels and Resorts Worldwide, Inc., which was later acquired by Marriott International. She also worked as a public auditor for KPMG. She is a Certified Public Accountant (CPA).
Steven J. Hilton, Executive Chairman of the Board
Steven J. Hilton co-founded Monterey Homes, the predecessor to Meritage Homes, in 1985. He led Meritage Homes for 35 years as Chairman and CEO until his retirement as CEO in January 2021, and continues to serve as Executive Chairman. Under his leadership, Monterey Homes became a publicly traded company in 1997.
Malissia Clinton, Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary
Malissia Clinton joined Meritage Homes in 2022. Before Meritage, she spent 12 years at The Aerospace Corporation, where her most recent role was Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary. From 1998 to 2009, she served as Senior Counsel for Special Projects at Northrop Grumman. She began her legal career as a litigator at Tuttle and Taylor. Ms. Clinton also serves as a board director for 3D Systems Corporation (NYSE: DDD) and Pacaso.
Javier Feliciano, Executive Vice President, Chief People Officer
Javier Feliciano joined Meritage Homes in November 2015 as Chief Human Resources Officer, a role now known as Chief People Officer. His prior experience includes leadership positions at Ford Motor Company, PepsiCo, Apollo Education Group, and Valeo. At Apollo Education Group, he was Vice President, Human Resources and HR Director from 2010 to 2015.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Meritage Homes' business are primarily driven by macroeconomic factors affecting the housing market and construction costs:
- High Mortgage Rates and Weakening Housing Demand: Elevated and volatile mortgage rates significantly suppress buyer demand and affordability, leading to slower sales and the need for increased sales incentives. This directly impacts the company's revenue and overall profitability.
- Rising Construction and Land Costs: Meritage Homes faces risks from increasing costs for construction materials, potentially exacerbated by tariffs, and rising lot acquisition costs. These higher input costs can squeeze profit margins.
- Pressure on Profitability and Margins: The combination of slower sales volume, the necessity of offering incentives to attract buyers, and increased operating expenses, such as Selling, General, and Administrative (SG&A) costs, places continuous pressure on the company's gross and net profit margins.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Meritage Homes (MTH) primarily focuses on designing and building energy-efficient, single-family homes for entry-level and first move-up buyers in the United States. The company operates in fast-growing markets across the West, Central, and East regions of the country, including states such as Arizona, California, Colorado, Utah, Texas, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Tennessee.
The addressable market for Meritage Homes' main products can be estimated by the U.S. single-family housing construction market. The market size for single-family housing construction in the U.S. was estimated at $771.08 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to $804.08 billion in 2025. This market is expected to reach $1.02 trillion by 2029, demonstrating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.2%.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Meritage Homes (MTH) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies and market dynamics:
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Expansion of Community Count: Meritage Homes is focused on increasing its active community count. The company anticipates mid-double-digit year-over-year growth in community count for 2025 and another double-digit increase for 2026. As of the third quarter of 2025, Meritage achieved a record community count of 334, marking a 20% increase from the prior year. This expansion of its footprint in various markets is a direct driver for higher sales volumes.
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Strategic Focus on Entry-Level and First Move-Up Buyers: Meritage Homes emphasizes building affordable, energy-efficient, and move-in-ready homes, primarily catering to entry-level and first move-up buyers. This strategy helps the company maintain a competitive edge in a volatile market by providing consumers with confidence and affordable payment options. In the fourth quarter of 2024, entry-level homes represented 91% of sales orders, up from 88% in the prior year.
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"Move-in Ready" Strategy and Efficient Backlog Conversion: The company's "move-in ready" speculative building approach and its "60-day closing commitment" are crucial to its operational efficiency and demand capture. This strategy leads to faster cycle times and strong backlog conversion rates, such as a company-record 177% in Q4 2024. More than 50% of closings in Q4 2024 were homes sold within the same quarter, demonstrating the effectiveness of this approach in meeting immediate buyer demand.
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Strategic Land Acquisitions: Meritage Homes has been actively investing in land acquisition and development to secure future growth. In 2024, the company allocated $2.5 billion to land spend, controlling approximately 14,400 net new lots, including those from the acquisition of Elliott Homes. As of March 31, 2025, Meritage owned or controlled approximately 84,200 lots, providing a multi-year supply for future community development.
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Potential for Stabilizing or Declining Mortgage Rates: Analysts and company management suggest that a stabilization or decline in mortgage rates could significantly boost demand and profitability. While Meritage currently utilizes financing incentives to drive sales, a more favorable interest rate environment could reduce the need for such incentives, improving gross margins and overall profitability. The company has a long-term gross margin target of 22.5–23.5%, which is contingent on improved economic conditions and reduced incentive burdens.
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Share Repurchases
- In 2024, Meritage Homes repurchased $125.9 million of its shares.
- For the first nine months of 2025, the company repurchased $145 million in stock.
- As of September 30, 2025, $664 million remained available under the authorized share repurchase program, with an additional $500 million approved by the Board in Q3 2025.
2. Share Issuance
- In 2024, Meritage Homes issued $575.0 million of convertible senior notes.
- In Q1 2025, the company issued $500 million in 10-year senior notes at 5.65%.
4. Outbound Investments
- Meritage Homes expanded into new markets in Alabama and the Gulf Coast in 2024, securing approximately 37,000 net new lots.
- The company made a strategic investment through the acquisition of Elliott Homes, contributing to community growth in regions like the Gulf Coast.
5. Capital Expenditures
- In 2023, Meritage Homes' land acquisition and development spend was $1.9 billion.
- The company invested approximately $1.5 billion in land acquisition and development during 2022.
- For Q2 2025, land acquisition and development spending was reduced to $509 million, and the full-year 2025 land spend target was lowered from $2.5 billion to $2.0 billion, indicating a disciplined approach to capital preservation.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to MTH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.7% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.0% | 6.0% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.8% | 3.8% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.7% | 19.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | MTH | Meritage Homes | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.7% | 0.7% | -3.3% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons for Meritage Homes
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 72.48 |
| Mkt Cap | 158.8 |
| Rev LTM | 56,496 |
| Op Inc LTM | 7,584 |
| FCF LTM | 7,327 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 7,366 |
| CFO LTM | 8,590 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 8,697 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 14.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 15.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 158.8 |
| P/S | 2.7 |
| P/EBIT | 21.2 |
| P/E | 33.0 |
| P/CFO | 16.2 |
| Total Yield | 5.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $66.80 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 4.7 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/16/1988 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -18.4% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $68.88 | $69.31 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | down |
| Distance from DMA | -3.0% | -3.6% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 32.8% | 38.4% |
| Downside Capture | 91.83 | 116.00 |
| Upside Capture | 37.73 | 86.28 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 32.4% | 40.8% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.11 | 0.76 | 0.91 | 1.06 | 0.81 | 1.02 |
| Up Beta | 1.12 | 1.39 | 2.07 | 1.98 | 0.83 | 1.02 |
| Down Beta | 1.05 | 1.13 | 0.76 | 0.50 | 0.44 | 0.54 |
| Up Capture | 177% | 41% | 35% | 99% | 75% | 194% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 26 | 39 | 74 | 142 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 23 | 31 | 62 | 116 | 383 |
| Down Capture | 75% | 46% | 87% | 98% | 113% | 105% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 18 | 31 | 62 | 129 | 363 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of MTH With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTH | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -11.4% | 7.5% | 17.8% | 72.1% | 8.6% | 4.4% | -8.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 38.2% | 24.3% | 19.4% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.24 | 0.24 | 0.72 | 2.70 | 0.34 | 0.09 | -0.08 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 50.9% | 40.9% | -2.5% | 0.4% | 56.0% | 26.7% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of MTH With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTH | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 9.7% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 30.8% |
| Annualized Volatility | 39.3% | 23.8% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.6% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.35 | 0.36 | 0.70 | 0.97 | 0.50 | 0.16 | 0.57 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 52.8% | 50.9% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 53.7% | 20.8% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of MTH With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTH | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 15.1% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 69.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 42.8% | 21.9% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.48 | 0.55 | 0.71 | 0.86 | 0.32 | 0.22 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 56.3% | 54.7% | 9.5% | 19.1% | 56.0% | 14.8% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/28/2025 | -5.6% | -8.1% | 4.1% |
| 7/23/2025 | -5.0% | -9.1% | 0.1% |
| 4/23/2025 | 1.0% | -0.1% | -5.7% |
| 1/29/2025 | 2.8% | -2.1% | -8.1% |
| 10/29/2024 | -1.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% |
| 7/24/2024 | 0.9% | 5.9% | 0.7% |
| 4/24/2024 | 6.7% | 7.7% | 11.6% |
| 1/31/2024 | -7.3% | -7.4% | -3.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 15 | 13 |
| # Negative | 8 | 8 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.5% |
| Median Negative | -5.3% | -7.7% | -5.2% |
| Max Positive | 11.7% | 16.6% | 47.5% |
| Max Negative | -7.8% | -10.9% | -10.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10312025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7252025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4252025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2202025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7262024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4262024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2142024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7282023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4282023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2152023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10282022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7292022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4292022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2162022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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