Urban Edge Properties (UE)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $19.07 | Market Cap: $2.4 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Retail REITs
Urban Edge Properties (UE)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $19.07Market Cap: $2.4 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Retail REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.9%, Dividend Yield is 3.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.8%, FCF Yield is 7.2% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -29% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 63% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Experiential Retail, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.9%, Dividend Yield is 3.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.8%, FCF Yield is 7.2% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Experiential Retail, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -29% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 63% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
UE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the approximate -6.4% stock movement for Urban Edge Properties (UE) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Despite strong Funds From Operations (FFO) in Q3 2025, the stock experienced a negative initial reaction. Urban Edge Properties reported Q3 2025 FFO as adjusted per diluted share of $0.36, significantly exceeding analyst estimates. However, the company's revenue of $119.2 million slightly missed the market's expectation of $119.6 million, and shares saw a pre-market decline of approximately 1.08% following the earnings release on October 29, 2025, suggesting investors were cautious about factors beyond the FFO beat.
2. Significant net profit margin contraction raised concerns about future profitability. A report from October 31, 2025, highlighted that net profit margins plunged from 60.5% last year to 23.7% in recent results. This sharp drop was partly attributed to a $73.5 million one-off gain in the prior year that would not recur. Analysts forecasted further margin pressure and a projected decline in EPS over the next three years, challenging optimistic valuation narratives for the company.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| UE Return | -29% | 52% | -23% | 35% | 22% | -9% | 25% |
| Peers Return | -26% | 48% | -8% | 11% | 13% | 2% | 30% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| UE Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 42% | 50% | 67% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 75% | 47% | 50% | 57% | 56% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| UE Max Drawdown | -61% | -3% | -29% | -5% | -12% | -23% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -54% | -5% | -27% | -17% | -8% | -14% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: O, FRT, GTY, WSR, SPG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | UE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -35.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 55.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 649 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -63.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 172.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 435 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -43.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 75.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to O, FRT, GTY, WSR, SPG
In The Past
Urban Edge Properties's stock fell -35.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/11/2021. A -35.6% loss requires a 55.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to UE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.7% | 8.7% | -5.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.7% | 8.7% | -5.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Urban Edge Properties
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 43.22 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.4 |
| Rev LTM | 862 |
| Op Inc LTM | 288 |
| FCF LTM | 260 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 219 |
| CFO LTM | 391 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 367 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 40.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 38.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 54.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 53.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 45.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 44.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.4 |
| P/S | 7.0 |
| P/EBIT | 14.8 |
| P/E | 24.1 |
| P/CFO | 14.3 |
| Total Yield | 7.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.9% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.0% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.6 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 1.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 6.7% |
| 12M Rtn | -5.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 24.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -4.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -8.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -20.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -45.2% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10292025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2122025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2142024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10312023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2142023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2162022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |