Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.5%, Dividend Yield is 3.6%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.3%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 58%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -37%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -46%
Key risks
PECO key risks include [1] accelerated e-commerce adoption undermining its grocery-anchored model and [2] the potential for financial difficulties at a major grocery anchor.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 19%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include ESG REITs, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.5%, Dividend Yield is 3.6%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 19%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include ESG REITs, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.3%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -37%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -46%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 58%
7 Key risks
PECO key risks include [1] accelerated e-commerce adoption undermining its grocery-anchored model and [2] the potential for financial difficulties at a major grocery anchor.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PECO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The following points highlight factors that have influenced Phillips Edison (PECO) stock movement in recent periods, which could contribute to a percentage change such as 4.4%:

1. Strong Earnings and FFO Growth: Positive financial results, particularly robust Funds From Operations (FFO), often reassure investors about a REIT's profitability and ability to sustain dividends, leading to upward pressure on the stock.

2. Dividend Announcements and Yield: As a retail REIT, PECO's dividend performance and attractive yield are crucial for income-focused investors. Any announcements regarding dividend increases or consistent payout can positively impact stock sentiment.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PECO Return-0%19%6%-2%
Peers Return-32%278%-13%9%18%-6%170%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PECO Win Rate80%42%58%67%33% 
Peers Win Rate33%72%37%55%58%43% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PECO Max Drawdown-15%-10%-14%-10% 
Peers Max Drawdown-60%-3%-26%-13%-10%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: REG, KIM, BRX, FRT, IVT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPECOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-24.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven31.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven314 days464 days

Compare to EPRT, CUZ, IRT, BXMT, SPG


In The Past

Phillips Edison's stock fell -24.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/21/2022. A -24.2% loss requires a 31.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Phillips Edison (PECO)

Better Bets than Phillips Edison (PECO)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PECO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-3.6%-3.6%-5.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-3.6%-3.6%-5.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Phillips Edison

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PECOREGKIMBRXFRTIVTMedian
NamePhillips.Regency .Kimco Re.Brixmor .Federal .InvenTru. 
Mkt Price36.2768.0520.4525.95101.7029.0732.67
Mkt Cap4.612.413.88.08.72.38.4
Rev LTM7121,5222,0951,3461,2542931,300
Op Inc LTM19157169248145153466
FCF LTM2018151,065635336109485
FCF 3Y Avg2087541,00860627694441
CFO LTM3368151,065635597150616
CFO 3Y Avg3137541,008606572135589

Growth & Margins

PECOREGKIMBRXFRTIVTMedian
NamePhillips.Regency .Kimco Re.Brixmor .Federal .InvenTru. 
Rev Chg LTM10.7%5.6%10.2%5.7%6.0%9.6%7.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.9%8.1%8.3%3.8%6.2%8.3%8.0%
Rev Chg Q10.4%7.6%5.0%6.3%6.1%8.7%6.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.5%1.8%1.2%1.5%1.5%2.1%1.7%
Op Mgn LTM26.8%37.5%33.0%35.7%36.0%18.0%34.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg25.6%36.1%32.7%36.1%35.1%15.7%33.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.2%0.6%0.3%0.2%-0.2%-0.0%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM47.2%53.6%50.8%47.2%47.6%51.1%49.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg48.1%53.3%52.8%47.2%48.2%49.6%48.9%
FCF/Rev LTM28.2%53.6%50.8%47.2%26.8%37.1%42.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg32.0%53.3%52.8%47.2%23.1%34.6%40.9%

Valuation

PECOREGKIMBRXFRTIVTMedian
NamePhillips.Regency .Kimco Re.Brixmor .Federal .InvenTru. 
Mkt Cap4.612.413.88.08.72.38.4
P/S6.18.77.06.36.97.67.0
P/EBIT21.821.318.715.416.214.617.4
P/E52.732.224.725.625.118.725.3
P/CFO12.816.313.813.414.614.814.2
Total Yield5.5%6.9%4.1%8.0%4.0%8.6%6.2%
Dividend Yield3.6%3.8%0.0%4.1%0.0%3.2%3.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.8%6.1%7.6%8.0%3.2%4.9%5.5%
D/E0.60.40.60.60.60.30.6
Net D/E0.60.40.50.60.50.30.5

Returns

PECOREGKIMBRXFRTIVTMedian
NamePhillips.Regency .Kimco Re.Brixmor .Federal .InvenTru. 
1M Rtn6.2%-0.5%3.0%-0.0%5.9%4.6%3.8%
3M Rtn4.3%-1.4%-5.6%-5.7%3.6%-0.8%-1.1%
6M Rtn4.5%-1.7%-0.3%2.8%8.8%5.5%3.7%
12M Rtn-3.5%-6.2%-11.7%-5.4%-7.0%-2.6%-5.8%
3Y Rtn25.6%22.7%11.4%34.4%12.9%38.4%24.1%
1M Excs Rtn5.4%-1.2%2.3%-0.8%5.2%3.9%3.1%
3M Excs Rtn1.8%-3.5%-7.9%-7.1%1.3%-3.2%-3.3%
6M Excs Rtn-7.8%-14.1%-12.6%-9.6%-3.6%-6.9%-8.7%
12M Excs Rtn-14.9%-16.2%-23.9%-17.3%-18.1%-14.0%-16.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-45.8%-48.7%-60.1%-36.9%-60.9%-34.6%-47.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Rental income598561519485522
Fees and management income1012101012
Other property income33333
Total610575533498537


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,210,391
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-28.5%
Average Daily Volume746,135
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.96
Basic Shares Quantity125,649,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/23/20250.7%-1.3%2.8%
7/24/2025-0.6%-2.8%0.5%
4/24/2025-0.4%-0.7%-3.4%
2/6/20251.9%1.7%-2.7%
10/24/2024-1.9%2.2%6.6%
7/25/20240.5%4.2%8.0%
4/25/2024-1.0%0.4%-4.3%
2/8/20240.5%1.1%3.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111210
# Negative131214
Median Positive1.6%4.0%4.6%
Median Negative-1.4%-3.4%-2.9%
Max Positive4.6%7.4%9.0%
Max Negative-2.3%-5.6%-6.2%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251024202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025725202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025425202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024211202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241025202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024726202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023212202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022221202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021216202210-K 12/31/2021