Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -37%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -27%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -57%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 57x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.7%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.4%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Digital Payments, Digital Insurance Platforms, Show more.
  Key risks
TWFG key risks include [1] substantial financial losses from a surge in claims following catastrophic events such as hurricanes and floods.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -37%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Digital Payments, Digital Insurance Platforms, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -27%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -57%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 57x
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.7%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.4%
8 Key risks
TWFG key risks include [1] substantial financial losses from a surge in claims following catastrophic events such as hurricanes and floods.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

TWFG (TWFG) stock has gained about 5% since 10/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. TWFG, Inc. (TWFG) reported strong third-quarter 2025 earnings that surpassed market expectations. The company exceeded expectations with Q3 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of $0.23 and revenue of $64.1 million, which led to a 6.27% increase in stock price to $26.55. Additionally, adjusted EBITDA for the quarter grew by 45% to $17 million, with margins expanding by 430 basis points to 26.5%, demonstrating robust operational efficiency.

2. The company provided an upward revised guidance for its full-year 2025 financial performance. Following the strong Q3 results, TWFG, Inc. raised its full-year revenue guidance to $240-245 million, projecting organic growth between 11-13% and adjusted EBITDA margins of 24-25%. This positive outlook for future growth contributes to investor confidence and stock appreciation.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 3.9% change in TWFG stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/2/2026 was primarily driven by a 5.1% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)103120252022026Change
Stock Price ($)24.3625.303.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2072185.1%
Net Income Margin (%)2.9%3.0%4.1%
P/E Multiple60.157.5-4.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1515-0.7%
Cumulative Contribution3.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 2/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TWFG3.9% 
Market (SPY)2.0%-5.5%
Sector (XLF)3.2%27.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -18.0% change in TWFG stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -49.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120252022026Change
Stock Price ($)30.8725.30-18.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2012188.5%
Net Income Margin (%)2.0%3.0%49.1%
P/E Multiple112.657.5-49.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1515-0.8%
Cumulative Contribution-18.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 2/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TWFG-18.0% 
Market (SPY)10.3%0.4%
Sector (XLF)3.5%27.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The -11.8% change in TWFG stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -12.3% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)13120252022026Change
Stock Price ($)28.6825.30-11.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2180.0%
Net Income Margin (%)3.0%0.0%
P/E Multiple57.50.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1315-12.3%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2025 to 2/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TWFG-11.8% 
Market (SPY)16.6%29.1%
Sector (XLF)6.1%39.3%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

1/31/2023 to 2/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TWFG  
Market (SPY)77.5%22.3%
Sector (XLF)54.5%31.8%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
TWFG Return---40%-7%-13%14%
Peers Return33%-23%36%38%-21%-8%40%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%1%85%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TWFG Win Rate---67%58%0% 
Peers Win Rate63%38%63%63%50%20% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TWFG Max Drawdown----1%-23%-14% 
Peers Max Drawdown-17%-36%-11%-8%-27%-8% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: GSHD, BWIN, BRO, AJG, MMC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/2/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

TWFG has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-26.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven525 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven295 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven338 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-83.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven515.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4,470 days1,480 days

Compare to GSHD, BWIN, BRO, AJG, MMC

In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/12/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.

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About TWFG (TWFG)

We are a leading, high-growth, independent distribution platform for personal and commercial insurance in the United States. We are pioneers in the insurance industry, developing an agency model built on innovation and experience with what we believe is a more flexible approach than traditional distribution models. Our offerings are fulsome and flexible in that we offer all lines of insurance, multiple distribution contract options, M&A services, proprietary virtual assistants, proprietary technology, proprietary premium financing, unlimited continuing education, recognition programs, co-op funding, marketing support and overall lower costs to operate. Since our founding in 2001 by our Chief Executive Officer, Richard F. (“Gordy”) Bunch III, we have established a track record of creating solutions for independent agents, insurance carriers and our Clients, with sustainable growth regardless of economic and P&C pricing cycles. Our business model, developed by agents for agents, serves over 2,400 TWFG Agencies and offers a distinctive level of autonomy and entrepreneurial opportunity. We provide TWFG Agencies with resources, technology, training and insurance carrier access to succeed in an increasingly complex market. TWFG Agencies leverage our platform, long-standing relationships with insurance carriers and brand recognition in personal and commercial insurance products to win business and tailor coverage to meet our Clients’ specific needs. We operate on a singular, integrated agency management system that equips TWFG Agencies with advanced tools for efficient Client management, policy management and communication in a cost-effective manner. We have sustained our growth primarily using cash flow from operations to improve technology, fund M&A, recruit talent, create programs and expand services to support TWFG Agencies. As a P&C distribution company, our total P&C addressable market for Total Written Premium in the United States is approximately $868.1 billion as of 2022, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence. Based on revenue, we are the seventh largest personal lines agency in the United States and the 26th largest agency across all lines of business, according to the Insurance Journal’s 2023 Top 100 Property/Casualty Agencies. --- We have successfully worked with independent agents for over 20 years, building a platform that now exceeds $1.0 billion of Total Written Premium in each of the last two years. Currently, our distribution platform encompasses over 400 Branches across 17 states and the District of Columbia within our Insurance Services offering and over 2,000 MGA Agencies across 41 states within our TWFG MGA offering. Within our Insurance Services offering, we have (i) independent agencies or Agencies-in-a-Box, which we refer to as “Branches,” and (ii) branches that we wholly own, which we refer to as “Corporate Branches.” Both Branches and Corporate Branches have TWFG branding and can only write insurance business through TWFG. Clients can access all of our agencies with TWFG branding, i.e., Branches and Corporate Branches, through our website at TWFG.com. MGA Agencies are independent agencies that contract with our TWFG MGA offering to obtain access to additional insurance carriers or programs. MGA Agencies do not include TWFG branding and are not exclusive to TWFG. We maintain contracts with over 300 insurance carriers to support TWFG Agencies and drive our growth. We believe we offer a strong value proposition when compared to the thousands of independent agencies and captive agents across the country and that we are part of the future of insurance distribution. We have meticulously crafted our model and strategy to address the shortcomings of two distinct insurance distribution channels: (1) the captive agency channel, or agents that are part of the selling force of a particular insurance carrier and generally limited to selling insurance products from such insurance carrier and (2) the independent agency channel, or agencies that distribute insurance products from multiple insurance carriers but, depending on their size, can face difficulty in obtaining the level of insurance carrier access typically enjoyed by larger platforms like ours. Our independent distribution platform differs from the captive agency channel and the independent agency channel because we both support TWFG Agencies with the resources, technology, training and M&A growth opportunities that they need to build and scale their businesses and provide these agencies with access to multiple insurance carriers. We believe that our commission structure serves as a significant draw for skilled insurance professionals. Once part of TWFG, TWFG Agencies benefit from extensive training and development initiatives that are tailored to the individual agent based on the lines of business the agent wishes to pursue. Equipped with a comprehensive product portfolio, strong organizational backing and aligned incentives, TWFG Agencies are well positioned to expand our Books of Business and penetrate new market segments, which enhances our organic growth. Clients benefit from our industry-leading mobile application, and Branches benefit from our administrative and strategic support and access to markets, which helps them to better serve our Clients. Branches have the ability to choose from a wide range of products and services to help customize solutions for our Clients and grow their business. Our commitment to a Client-first approach results in high revenue retention in our Insurance Services offering, reinforcing TWFG’s brand reputation and our ability to recruit new agents. TWFG employs 44 insurance agents in its 14 Corporate Branches. All other agents are non-employees. For insurance carriers, our high-quality, national network of motivated agents, collaborative nature, geographic diversity and the strength of our distribution channels make TWFG an attractive company to work with. Although a significant portion of our business is concentrated in Texas, California and Louisiana, we are licensed in all 50 states and have a physical presence in 41 states and the District of Columbia across our Insurance Services and TWFG MGA offerings. Our insurance carriers benefit from the expertise of TWFG Agencies, including our over 400 Branches, which are led by Branch principals with an average of approximately 17 years of insurance industry experience. We maintain relationships with more than 300 insurance carriers to create tailored solutions and develop expansive coverage options. TWFG works with insurance carriers to offer agents specialized training so they can stay informed on changing underwriting requirements and risk appetites. As a result of our broad insurance carrier relationships, TWFG Agencies have more insurance products and solutions to offer our Clients, leading to higher Client satisfaction that promotes long-term relationships. We consider innovation a core competency, and we seek to collaborate with our insurance carriers and agents to anticipate and respond to market appetite shifts. We represent and assist insurance carriers in placing insurance contracts with our Clients. We have agency agreements with over 300 insurance carriers, which establish the terms of our agency relationship, define our authority, and set compensation for the services we provide. Commission rates vary across insurance carriers, states, and lines of business and typically range from 7% to 22%. Our average commission rate for 2023 was approximately 12%. The commission income that we receive from insurance carriers is a significant portion of our total revenues, comprising approximately 92% and 91% of our total revenues we earned in 2023 and 2022, respectively. We believe our expansive agency relationships with insurance carriers have enabled us to provide a wide variety of insurance products to sell to our Clients that are responsive to their needs at competitive prices. In certain cases, in our capacity as agent to the insurance carriers, we have the authority to underwrite risks on behalf of certain insurance carriers. However, we do not retain the risks related to any of the underlying insurance contracts we place on behalf of the insurance carriers. We derive our commission revenues from the placement of individual insurance contracts between insurance carriers and our Clients, pursuant to which all of our Clients enter into contracts with insurance carriers. We present insurance carrier coverage and pricing options to our Clients and ultimately complete the application process with them to secure the insurance policy. In each such case, we act as both the agent for our Clients as well as the appointed representative of the insurance carriers. We receive a percentage of the premium for each policy based on the commission rates determined by the insurance carriers, which may change at the discretion of the carrier at renewal. We share a percentage of commission revenue with our Branches and MGA Agencies based on the terms of the Branch Agreement or MGA Agency Agreement. The share of commission revenue we pay to our Branches or MGA Agencies is a commission expense and a component of our overall expenses. To the extent that a carrier changes commission rates, those changes are also reflected in the share of commissions we pay to Branches and MGA Agencies. The commission expenses paid to Branches and MGA Agencies are a component of our overall expenses, and therefore the greater the commission expense remitted, the lower our potential profitability. Solely for our Corporate Branches, we retain 100% of the commission income received from insurance carriers and are responsible for 100% of the Corporate Branches’ expenses. Our independent distribution platform offers our Branches and MGA Agencies a choice of contracts to execute with us, including Branch contracts, MGA contracts and producer contracts, and our programs include admitted and non-admitted insurance products, personal, commercial, life, and health lines of business, as well as proprietary programs only available through TWFG. We also participate in M&A activities with our Branches as part of our commitment to support their continued growth. TWFG Agencies are fundamentally entrepreneurial, and focused on building and scaling their business, and we provide them with speed to market, the benefits of scale, administrative support, training, tools, insurance carrier access and M&A growth opportunities that enable TWFG Agencies to take their agency to the next level and better assist our Clients. We embrace a simple philosophy: “Our Policy is Caring,” which is more than a motto. This philosophy informs the way we interact with all of our stakeholders and the communities in which they live and work. We seek to attract partners who come in every day with the commitment to making a difference in the lives of the people and communities we interact with. We treat our Clients, employees and stakeholders like family. Our principal executive offices are located at 1201 Lake Woodlands Drive, Suite 4020, The Woodlands, Texas.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe TWFG:

  • RE/MAX for insurance agencies: TWFG operates a large network of independent insurance agents, similar to how RE/MAX empowers independent real estate brokers.
  • Edward Jones for insurance advice: Like Edward Jones provides personalized investment advice through local advisors, TWFG offers a wide range of insurance products via its network of local, independent agents.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Personal Insurance: Provides coverage for individuals and families, including auto, home, life, health, and other personal assets.
  • Commercial Insurance: Offers tailored insurance solutions for businesses of all sizes, covering property, liability, workers' compensation, and commercial vehicles.
  • Specialty and Financial Services: Encompasses specialized insurance products like flood and professional liability, alongside some financial planning services.

AI Analysis | Feedback

TWFG (Symbol: TWFG) - Major Customers

TWFG, also known as The Woodlands Financial Group, operates primarily as an independent insurance agency and financial services firm. In this capacity, it acts as an intermediary, connecting individuals and businesses with a wide range of insurance products from various carriers. Therefore, its major customers are the end-users who purchase insurance policies and financial services. Since TWFG sells primarily to individuals and businesses directly, rather than its core business being sales to other large corporations, its major customer categories are:
  • Individuals and Families: This extensive customer segment seeks personal lines insurance products to protect their assets and well-being. This includes homeowners insurance, renters insurance, auto insurance, life insurance, health insurance, and personal umbrella policies. TWFG is a significant provider in the personal lines market.
  • Small to Medium-sized Businesses (SMBs): This category comprises various enterprises looking for commercial insurance solutions to manage business risks. These coverages typically include general liability insurance, commercial property insurance, workers' compensation, business auto insurance, professional liability (Errors & Omissions), and cyber liability insurance.

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Gordy Bunch, Chairman, President & CEO

Richard "Gordy" Bunch III is the Founder, President & CEO of The Woodlands Financial Group (TWFG), TWFG Insurance Service, TWFG General Agency, TWFG Premium Finance, and The Woodlands Insurance Company (TWICO). He founded TWFG in 2001 with $10,000 in capital. Prior to establishing TWFG, he gained experience as a Texas Farm Bureau agent, an Associate General Agent with American National, and as Manager of Financial Services and Retail Director with Prudential. Bunch is also a decorated U.S. Coast Guard veteran and was named the 2015 Ernst & Young Entrepreneur of the Year for the Gulf Coast Region. TWFG is ranked among the top privately-held Property/Casualty agencies nationally.

Janice Zwinggi, Chief Financial Officer

Janice Zwinggi joined TWFG Insurance as Chief Financial Officer in September 2019, bringing over 30 years of extensive experience in senior financial roles within the property and casualty insurance industry. Before joining TWFG, she served as Senior Vice President/CFO of Hudson Insurance Group in New York. Her career also includes roles as Vice President and U.S. Controller, and CFO/Treasurer over Statutory legal entities for Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.

Alex Bunch, Chief Creative Officer and CMO

Alex Bunch serves as the Chief Creative Officer and Chief Marketing Officer for TWFG Insurance (The Woodlands Financial Group).

Kevin Hall, Vice President, Claims And Underwriting

Kevin Hall holds the title of Vice President, Claims And Underwriting at TWFG Insurance, and also holds an MBA and CPCU designation.

Mark Alberto, Senior Vice President Of Technology

Mark Alberto is the Senior Vice President of Technology at TWFG Insurance.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Woodlands Financial Group, Inc. (TWFG) faces several key risks inherent to the insurance and financial services industry:

  1. Sensitivity to Economic Conditions and Market Dependence: TWFG's revenue is largely dependent on insurance sales and renewals. Economic downturns can significantly reduce consumer and business spending on insurance products, directly impacting the company's profitability and growth prospects.
  2. Exposure to Natural Disasters: As an insurance provider operating across the United States, TWFG is susceptible to a surge in claims resulting from catastrophic events such as hurricanes and floods. Such events can lead to substantial financial losses and strain relationships with insurance carriers.
  3. Compliance with Evolving Regulatory Changes: The insurance industry is subject to extensive and constantly evolving regulations and industry standards. Non-compliance or the need to adapt to new regulatory frameworks can result in increased operational costs, potential penalties, and adjustments to TWFG's business model.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The primary clear emerging threat to TWFG, a traditional independent insurance agency, is the rapid growth and increasing market penetration of direct-to-consumer digital insurance companies (Insurtechs). These companies, such as Lemonade and Root, leverage technology, artificial intelligence, and mobile-first experiences to offer insurance policies directly to consumers, often at lower costs and with faster, simpler processes. This business model fundamentally bypasses the traditional independent agent distribution channel that TWFG relies upon, similar to how Netflix disrupted Blockbuster or Uber challenged traditional taxi services by offering a direct, tech-enabled alternative.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The addressable markets for TWFG's main products and services are primarily within the United States. TWFG, Inc. is an independent distribution platform for personal and commercial insurance in the U.S., offering a comprehensive range of insurance lines including auto, homeowners, life, health, and various commercial coverages.

U.S. Insurance Market

The U.S. insurance market represents a significant addressable market for TWFG. In 2023, the U.S. Insurance Market size was valued at USD 1.48 trillion and is projected to reach USD 2.39 trillion by 2030, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 6.6% from 2024 to 2030. Another estimate indicates that the United States insurance market is anticipated to exceed USD 3.71 trillion by 2033, with a CAGR of 6.98% from 2023 to 2033. For 2024, the U.S. insurance industry's net premiums written totaled $1.7 trillion. Specifically for life and non-life insurance, the market size in the United States reached USD 3.239 trillion in 2025 and is forecast to reach USD 3.851 trillion by 2030 with a 3.52% CAGR.

U.S. Financial Services Market (Broader Context)

As an insurance provider and offering related services like premium financing, TWFG also operates within the broader U.S. financial services market. The United States financial services market was valued at approximately USD 60.65 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to nearly USD 124.65 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 7.47% between 2025 and 2034. Another report valued the U.S. Financial Services Market at around USD 59.48 billion in 2024, projected to reach USD 88.71 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of approximately 6.89% from 2025 to 2030. A combined "Finance and Insurance" market in the U.S. is estimated at $7.4 trillion in 2025.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Woodlands Financial Group (TWFG), an independent insurance distribution platform that went public in July 2024, is expected to drive future revenue growth through several key strategies over the next 2-3 years. Here are the expected drivers of future revenue growth for TWFG: * Sustained Organic Revenue Growth: TWFG anticipates continued growth from its existing operations, customer retention, and the acquisition of new business premiums. The company reported a 13.8% organic revenue growth rate in the second quarter of 2024, attributed to strong premium retention and healthy new business. For the full year 2025, TWFG projects an organic revenue growth rate in the range of 11% to 16%. * Strategic Acquisitions: A significant driver of future revenue growth is expected to be inorganic expansion through strategic mergers and acquisitions. TWFG intends to utilize proceeds from its initial public offering for "potential strategic acquisitions of, or investments in, other businesses or technologies that TWFG believes will complement its current business and expansion strategies." CEO Gordy Bunch has indicated a focus on a "bigger M&A pipeline" across various insurance lines and business types, including wholesale brokers, retail agencies, or Managing General Agents (MGAs). Recent examples include the acquisition of Alabama Insurance Agency, Inc. and its 20 affiliated locations in November 2025, as well as two other agencies in Texas and North Carolina. * Expansion of National Presence and Agent Network: TWFG plans to grow by expanding its geographical footprint and increasing its network of agents. The company is licensed nationwide and operates in 41 states and the District of Columbia. Initiatives in early 2025 included expanding its national presence through the recruitment of startup agencies and strategic acquisitions in numerous new states. * Leveraging Proprietary Technology and "Agency-in-a-Box" Model: The company's proprietary "agency-in-a-box" model, which streamlines administrative tasks for agencies, accounted for 77% of its 2023 revenue. TWFG offers proprietary virtual assistants and technology to its agents, which helps reduce operating costs. Continued development and wider adoption of this model are expected to attract more agencies to its platform and enhance the productivity of existing ones, contributing to revenue growth. * Favorable Market Conditions and Improved Underwriting Appetite: Commentary from CEO Bunch in August 2024 highlighted "signs of improved underwriting margins at our carrier partners and an increase in underwriting appetite," which is expected to create "new business opportunities and more orderly renewals for our agents and their customers." An improving insurance market environment with increased carrier appetite for underwriting new policies could lead to higher premium volumes and, consequently, increased revenue for TWFG.

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Share Issuance

  • TWFG Inc. completed its Initial Public Offering (IPO) on July 18, 2024, pricing 11,000,000 shares of Class A common stock at $17.00 per share, resulting in gross proceeds of $187.0 million.
  • The company granted underwriters a 30-day option to purchase up to an additional 1,650,000 shares of Class A common stock at the IPO price.
  • Net proceeds from the IPO, after deducting underwriting discounts, commissions, and estimated expenses, were approximately $168.3 million.

Inbound Investments

  • The company raised approximately $168.3 million in net proceeds from its Initial Public Offering (IPO) in July 2024.

Outbound Investments

  • TWFG intends to use the net proceeds from its IPO for potential strategic acquisitions of, or investments in, other businesses or technologies to complement its current business and expansion strategies.
  • In 2023, TWFG completed five asset acquisitions exceeding $0.5 million in annual revenue, for a total purchase price of $19.4 million.
  • TWFG acquired an Alabama insurance agency in early November 2025.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures were $3.20 million for the year ended December 31, 2024.
  • Capital expenditures were $0.26 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, and $0.08 million for the year ended December 31, 2022.
  • The company primarily utilizes cash flow from operations to improve technology, which forms part of its capital allocation.

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleDate
0DASHBOARDS 
1TWFG Earnings Notes12/16/2025
2Is TWFG Stock Built to Withstand a Pullback?10/17/2025
Title
0ARTICLES

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Peer Comparisons

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Financials

TWFGGSHDBWINBROAJGMMCMedian
NameTWFG Goosehea.Baldwin .Brown & .Arthur J.Marsh & . 
Mkt Price25.3060.1720.5971.30245.27-60.17
Mkt Cap0.41.51.423.662.9-1.5
Rev LTM2183541,4695,34413,030-1,469
Op Inc LTM18-681,4712,682-769
FCF LTM-666-331,2991,767-66
FCF 3Y Avg-5281,0841,972-568
CFO LTM528191,3671,916-81
CFO 3Y Avg-65401,1572,133-611

Growth & Margins

TWFGGSHDBWINBROAJGMMCMedian
NameTWFG Goosehea.Baldwin .Brown & .Arthur J.Marsh & . 
Rev Chg LTM17.5%24.8%10.1%17.4%15.6%-17.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-22.9%18.9%16.3%15.3%-17.6%
Rev Chg Q20.7%15.9%7.9%34.2%19.9%-19.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.1%3.6%1.8%8.0%4.5%-4.5%
Op Mgn LTM8.5%-4.6%27.5%20.6%-14.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--3.6%28.0%19.5%-19.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.7%--0.7%-1.2%-0.5%--0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM23.8%22.9%0.6%25.6%14.7%-22.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-21.4%3.1%24.8%19.1%-20.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-2.7%18.6%-2.2%24.3%13.6%-13.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-17.4%0.7%23.2%17.7%-17.5%

Valuation

TWFGGSHDBWINBROAJGMMCMedian
NameTWFG Goosehea.Baldwin .Brown & .Arthur J.Marsh & . 
Mkt Cap0.41.51.423.662.9-1.5
P/S1.74.31.04.44.8-4.3
P/EBIT10.221.420.914.924.2-20.9
P/E57.550.0-50.223.639.3-39.3
P/CFO7.318.7162.217.332.8-18.7
Total Yield1.7%2.0%-2.0%5.0%3.0%-2.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.8%0.5%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.5%0.2%4.4%3.4%-3.0%
D/E0.00.21.20.30.2-0.2
Net D/E-0.40.21.20.30.2-0.2

Returns

TWFGGSHDBWINBROAJGMMCMedian
NameTWFG Goosehea.Baldwin .Brown & .Arthur J.Marsh & . 
1M Rtn-9.6%-14.2%-13.4%-8.1%-4.2%--9.6%
3M Rtn4.8%-10.9%-8.1%-8.4%1.2%--8.1%
6M Rtn-14.5%-32.1%-42.8%-22.8%-13.4%--22.8%
12M Rtn-11.8%-43.9%-49.7%-31.4%-18.0%--31.4%
3Y Rtn14.9%41.9%-33.7%24.3%30.3%-24.3%
1M Excs Rtn-14.0%-20.2%-16.2%-12.5%-7.1%--14.0%
3M Excs Rtn1.5%-13.7%-6.4%-13.6%-8.4%--8.4%
6M Excs Rtn-25.7%-41.6%-53.5%-34.3%-25.1%--34.3%
12M Excs Rtn-28.4%-59.7%-65.3%-46.9%-32.2%--46.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-56.9%1.5%-101.3%-47.2%-44.0%--47.2%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023
Independent distribution platform for personal and commercial insurance172 
Branch fees 2
Commission income 139
Contingent income 5
License fees 3
Other income 2
Policy fees 3
Third-Party Administrator (TPA) fees 1
Total172154


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023
Independent distribution platform for personal and commercial insurance26 
Total26 


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$25.30 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.4 
First Trading Date07/18/2024 
Distance from 52W High-29.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$27.58$29.94
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA-8.3%-15.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility32.4%39.0%
Downside Capture12.8245.92
Upside Capture38.4325.70
Correlation (SPY)-6.1%29.1%
TWFG Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.460.43-0.18-0.130.590.03
Up Beta3.291.91-0.200.180.890.30
Down Beta0.10-0.01-0.94-0.200.500.27
Up Capture-140%-28%25%-31%14%4%
Bmk +ve Days11223471142430
Stock +ve Days8223362125195
Down Capture173%112%14%3%55%30%
Bmk -ve Days9192754109321
Stock -ve Days12192863123186

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TWFG
TWFG-15.8%39.0%-0.36-
Sector ETF (XLF)5.5%19.1%0.1539.9%
Equity (SPY)16.0%19.2%0.6429.5%
Gold (GLD)66.9%23.7%2.11-0.4%
Commodities (DBC)7.0%16.3%0.233.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.9%16.5%-0.0039.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-19.7%39.9%-0.4618.4%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TWFG
TWFG2.3%40.5%0.28-
Sector ETF (XLF)14.5%18.8%0.6332.1%
Equity (SPY)14.1%17.1%0.6622.6%
Gold (GLD)19.9%16.6%0.972.0%
Commodities (DBC)11.4%18.9%0.491.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.5%18.8%0.1526.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)20.9%57.6%0.5615.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TWFG
TWFG1.1%40.5%0.28-
Sector ETF (XLF)14.4%22.2%0.6032.1%
Equity (SPY)15.9%17.9%0.7622.6%
Gold (GLD)15.0%15.3%0.812.0%
Commodities (DBC)8.3%17.6%0.391.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.8%20.8%0.2526.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)71.1%66.4%1.1015.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date1152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity0.4 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 12312025-2.6%
Average Daily Volume0.1 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.0 days
Basic Shares Quantity15.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/12/20255.9%8.5%-6.8%
3/4/2025-0.7%-6.3%-2.3%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive110
# Negative112
Median Positive5.9%8.5% 
Median Negative-0.7%-6.3%-4.5%
Max Positive5.9%8.5% 
Max Negative-0.7%-6.3%-6.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202511/12/202510-Q
06/30/202508/13/202510-Q
03/31/202505/13/202510-Q
12/31/202403/27/202510-K
09/30/202411/13/202410-Q
06/30/202408/30/202410-Q
03/31/202407/19/2024424B4