Eaton (ETN)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $315.7 | Market Cap: $122.7 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Eaton (ETN)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $315.7Market Cap: $122.7 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, CFO LTM is 4.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.3 Bil | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -6.0% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 35x |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 38% | Key risksETN key risks include [1] elevated inventory levels indicating potential demand or supply chain challenges and [2] failing to maintain its innovative edge and cost-competitiveness in the face of intense competition. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Renewable Energy Transition, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Sustainable & Green Buildings, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, CFO LTM is 4.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.3 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 38% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Renewable Energy Transition, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Sustainable & Green Buildings, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -6.0% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 35x |
| Key risksETN key risks include [1] elevated inventory levels indicating potential demand or supply chain challenges and [2] failing to maintain its innovative edge and cost-competitiveness in the face of intense competition. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ETN Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why Eaton (ETN) stock moved by approximately -9.3% for the period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Q3 2025 Revenue Miss. Eaton reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings on November 4, 2025, with revenue of $6.99 billion, which fell short of analyst estimates of $7.09 billion, potentially disappointing investors despite a slight earnings per share beat.
2. Increased Bearish Options Activity. On December 16, 2025, there was an unusual surge in options trading, with a 56% increase in the purchase of put options on Eaton's stock. This activity suggested an elevated bearish sentiment or increased hedging interest among traders, indicating expectations of a price decline.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ETN Return | 32% | 47% | -7% | 56% | 40% | 1% | 295% |
| Peers Return | 21% | 14% | 7% | 22% | 31% | 20% | 184% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ETN Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 25% | 67% | 75% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 60% | 45% | 48% | 58% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ETN Max Drawdown | -38% | -4% | -27% | -3% | -3% | -25% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -45% | -5% | -19% | -11% | -5% | -22% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EMR, PH, HUBB, CMI, HON. See ETN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ETN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -28.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 218 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -45.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 81.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 163 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -26.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 309 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -70.5% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 238.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 665 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to PH, EMR, CMI, IR, ITT
In The Past
Eaton's stock fell -28.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/9/2021. A -28.4% loss requires a 39.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Eaton Earnings Notes | |||
| Can Eaton Stock Recover If Markets Fall? | Return | ||
| ETN At Price Support Zone, Right Time To Buy? | Actionable | ||
| Eaton vs Automatic Data Processing: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| Now Is Not The Time To Buy Eaton Stock | Buy or Fear | ||
| How Does Eaton Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | Peer Comparison | ||
| Better Bet Than ETN Stock: Pay Less Than Eaton To Get More From META, LLY | |||
| Better Bet Than ETN Stock: Pay Less Than Eaton To Get More From RTX, EME | |||
| Better Bet Than ETN Stock: Pay Less Than Eaton To Get More From POWL | |||
| VRT Looks Stronger Than ETN With 30% Return Potential | Actionable | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Can Eaton Outrun Woodward in the Next Rally? | December 5th, 2025 | ||
| Stronger Bet Than Rockwell Automation Stock: ETN, EMR Deliver More | November 11th, 2025 | ||
| Is Eaton a Better Buy Than Rockwell Automation? | November 11th, 2025 | ||
| ETN Pulls Back to Support. Smart Time to Enter? | August 21st, 2025 | ||
| Now is not the time to buy Eaton stock | August 14th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ETN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.8% | 19.8% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.2% | 4.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.8% | 19.8% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.2% | 4.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Eaton
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 372.75 |
| Mkt Cap | 91.6 |
| Rev LTM | 23,332 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3,945 |
| FCF LTM | 2,994 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,516 |
| CFO LTM | 3,662 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,137 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 19.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 18.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 17.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 91.6 |
| P/S | 4.1 |
| P/EBIT | 20.2 |
| P/E | 26.4 |
| P/CFO | 23.2 |
| Total Yield | 4.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 0.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 5.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 1.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 102.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -0.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -6.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -11.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 21.9% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electrical Americas | 10,098 | 8,497 | 7,242 | 6,680 | 8,175 |
| Electrical Global | 6,084 | 5,848 | 5,516 | 4,703 | 5,172 |
| Aerospace | 3,413 | 3,039 | 2,648 | 2,223 | 2,480 |
| Vehicle | 2,965 | 2,830 | 2,579 | 2,118 | 3,038 |
| eMobility | 636 | 538 | 343 | 292 | 321 |
| Hydraulics | 0 | 1,300 | 1,842 | 2,204 | |
| Total | 23,196 | 20,752 | 19,628 | 17,858 | 21,390 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electrical Americas | 2,675 | 1,913 | 1,495 | 1,352 | 1,549 |
| Electrical Global | 1,176 | 1,134 | 1,034 | 750 | 897 |
| Aerospace | 780 | 705 | 580 | 414 | 595 |
| Vehicle | 482 | 453 | 449 | 243 | 460 |
| eMobility | -21 | -9 | -29 | -8 | 17 |
| Hydraulics | 0 | 177 | 186 | 193 | |
| Total | 5,092 | 4,196 | 3,706 | 2,937 | 3,711 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goodwill | 14,977 | 14,796 | 14,751 | 12,903 | 13,456 |
| Corporate | 6,243 | 3,929 | 3,906 | 4,099 | 3,514 |
| Other intangible assets | 5,091 | 5,485 | 5,855 | 4,175 | 4,638 |
| Electrical Americas | 4,163 | 3,655 | 3,002 | 2,333 | 2,360 |
| Electrical Global | 2,868 | 2,658 | 2,579 | 2,334 | 2,319 |
| Aerospace | 2,276 | 1,859 | 1,729 | 1,363 | 1,562 |
| Vehicle | 2,251 | 2,230 | 1,985 | 1,950 | 2,145 |
| eMobility | 563 | 402 | 220 | 180 | 141 |
| Assets held for sale | 2,487 | 1,377 | |||
| Hydraulics | 1,293 | ||||
| Total | 38,432 | 35,014 | 34,027 | 31,824 | 32,805 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/4/2025 | -2.3% | -1.5% | -12.1% |
| 8/5/2025 | -7.4% | -6.1% | -10.6% |
| 5/2/2025 | -0.6% | 2.1% | 6.1% |
| 1/31/2025 | -0.2% | -3.4% | -14.9% |
| 10/31/2024 | -3.3% | 5.1% | 9.8% |
| 8/1/2024 | -2.3% | -8.6% | -0.9% |
| 4/30/2024 | -2.5% | 0.5% | 2.3% |
| 2/1/2024 | 7.5% | 10.9% | 19.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 16 | 15 |
| # Negative | 12 | 8 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 3.7% | 4.7% | 9.5% |
| Median Negative | -2.3% | -2.9% | -5.4% |
| Max Positive | 7.5% | 10.9% | 19.4% |
| Max Negative | -7.4% | -8.6% | -14.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4302024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10312023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8012023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5022023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11012022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8022022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5032022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2232022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Johnson Gerald | 11192025 | Buy | 339.89 | 200 | 67,978 | 135,956 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |