Tearsheet

TPG (TPG)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $61.2 | Market Cap: $9.2 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

TPG (TPG)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $61.2
Market Cap: $9.2 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 15%, Dividend Yield is 14%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 11%, FCF Yield is 10%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 72x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
 
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%
 
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, Private Credit, and Venture Capital.
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 15%, Dividend Yield is 14%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 11%, FCF Yield is 10%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, Private Credit, and Venture Capital.
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 72x

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TPG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Strong Second Quarter 2025 Performance and Outlook

TPG reported outstanding second quarter 2025 results, with Distributable Earnings increasing by 26% year-over-year. The firm also achieved its second-highest fundraising quarter in history and its strongest credit fundraising quarter ever, signaling significant momentum and a positive outlook for the latter half of the year. 2. Successful $4.8 Billion Growth Fund Closure

TPG successfully amassed $4.8 billion for its latest Growth VI fund, exceeding its initial target of $4 billion. This achievement, announced on August 13, 2025, demonstrated robust capital formation capabilities and investor confidence in TPG's strategy focusing on rapidly growing earlier-stage companies. 3. Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Miss and Dividend Reduction

TPG reported its third-quarter 2025 results, which slightly missed analyst expectations for both earnings per share ($0.53 actual vs. $0.55 estimate) and revenue ($509.4 million actual vs. $510.3 million estimate). Following these results, TPG announced a reduction in its quarterly dividend from $0.59 to $0.45 per share, with the ex-dividend date on November 14, 2025. 4. Strategic Multi-Billion Dollar Joint Venture in AI Data Centers

TPG entered a significant multi-billion dollar joint venture with Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) to establish HyperVault, a new platform dedicated to developing energy-efficient AI Data Centers in India. This initiative involves an initial equity commitment of $2 billion from TPG and TCS, with plans to raise an additional $4-5 billion in debt, marking a substantial strategic expansion into the rapidly growing artificial intelligence infrastructure sector. 5. Expansion into Renewable Energy with Vayona Energy Formation

TPG, as part of a consortium with MAVCO, successfully completed the acquisition of Siemens Gamesa's onshore wind business in India and Sri Lanka. This acquisition led to the formation of Vayona Energy, a new independent company focused on wind turbine manufacturing and renewable energy projects. This deal represents the inaugural investment from TPG Rise Climate's Global South Initiative, underscoring TPG's commitment to scaling climate solutions in emerging markets.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TPG Return---62%51%-4%135%
Peers Return23%18%-13%10%1%1%42%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TPG Win Rate--45%58%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate67%50%35%56%48%45% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TPG Max Drawdown----8%-10%-36% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-13%-31%-11%-12%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTS, SLRC, DHIL, GEG, BLKS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTPGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-40.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven66.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven205 days464 days

Compare to VRTS, SLRC, DHIL, GEG, BLKS


In The Past

TPG's stock fell -40.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/11/2022. A -40.0% loss requires a 66.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About TPG (TPG)

Better Bets than TPG (TPG)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TPG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for TPG

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TPGVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NameTPG Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
Mkt Price60.65163.1616.02116.902.60-60.65
Mkt Cap9.11.10.90.30.1-0.9
Rev LTM2,91987410015216-152
Op Inc LTM-179-44-8-44
FCF LTM86770104-35-9-70
FCF 3Y Avg95112513816-10-125
CFO LTM88877104-32-9-77
CFO 3Y Avg97213213817-9-132

Growth & Margins

TPGVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NameTPG Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
Rev Chg LTM18.1%-1.2%-6.2%2.9%-8.5%--1.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg15.9%-2.4%159.6%-2.1%13.5%-13.5%
Rev Chg Q31.5%-4.8%8.2%-2.0%-37.1%--2.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM7.1%-1.2%2.1%-0.6%-16.9%--0.6%
Op Mgn LTM-20.5%-28.8%-49.1%-20.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-18.9%-26.5%-74.1%-18.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--0.1%--0.2%-6.5%--0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM30.4%8.9%104.5%-21.2%-55.2%-8.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg52.4%15.6%142.9%11.7%-56.6%-15.6%
FCF/Rev LTM29.7%8.0%104.5%-23.1%-55.2%-8.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg51.4%14.7%142.9%11.0%-66.7%-14.7%

Valuation

TPGVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NameTPG Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
Mkt Cap9.11.10.90.30.1-0.9
P/S3.01.58.32.53.4-3.0
P/EBIT-3.6-8.72.8-3.6
P/E71.89.49.38.14.3-9.3
P/CFO9.716.68.0-11.8-6.1-8.0
Total Yield15.1%15.6%21.5%16.6%23.4%-16.6%
Dividend Yield13.7%5.0%10.7%4.3%0.0%-5.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg29.2%8.7%16.7%2.9%-17.7%-8.7%
D/E0.32.01.40.01.1-1.1
Net D/E0.21.60.9-0.1-0.9-0.2

Returns

TPGVRTSSLRCDHILGEGBLKSMedian
NameTPG Virtus I.SLR Inve.Diamond .Great ElmBlack Un. 
1M Rtn11.5%1.8%4.2%-5.3%4.4%-4.2%
3M Rtn5.2%-14.1%-0.8%-14.0%-15.9%--14.0%
6M Rtn27.0%-1.2%0.7%-10.1%20.6%-0.7%
12M Rtn-9.3%-30.3%5.6%-24.3%43.6%--9.3%
3Y Rtn109.3%-7.0%43.3%-24.8%31.3%-31.3%
1M Excs Rtn11.6%1.8%4.2%-5.3%4.5%-4.2%
3M Excs Rtn-1.8%-21.2%-6.9%-21.0%-18.7%--18.7%
6M Excs Rtn12.2%-15.9%-14.1%-24.8%5.9%--14.1%
12M Excs Rtn-23.8%-44.0%-8.0%-37.4%29.3%--23.8%
3Y Excs Rtn28.7%-75.8%-22.7%-96.4%-43.4%--43.4%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,975,185
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202547.0%
Average Daily Volume2,519,898
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.56
Basic Shares Quantity150,527,419
Short % of Basic Shares6.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024218202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241104202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021329202210-K 12/31/2021