Carlyle (CG)
Market Price (6/20/2026): $44.785 | Market Cap: $16.1 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Carlyle (CG)
Market Price (6/20/2026): $44.785Market Cap: $16.1 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.5%, Dividend Yield is 3.1% Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 1.5 Bil Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, and Private Credit. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -19%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -10% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 74% Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 29x Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -47% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -144%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -148% Key risksCG key risks include [1] poor financial strength from substantial debt levels. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.5%, Dividend Yield is 3.1% |
| Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 1.5 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, and Private Credit. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -19%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -10% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 74% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 29x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -47% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -144%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -148% |
| Key risksCG key risks include [1] poor financial strength from substantial debt levels. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Carlyle (CG) stock has lost about 15% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Carlyle reported weaker-than-expected financial results for fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026). The company announced an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.89, missing analysts' consensus estimates by approximately 3.26% to 8.44%. Additionally, revenue declined 28.0% year-over-year to $750.90 million, falling significantly below the $1.01 billion to $1.05 billion consensus estimate. Distributable earnings also experienced a 22% year-over-year decline.
2. Persistent macroeconomic headwinds dampened private equity deal activity and valuations. Throughout fiscal Q1 2026, the broader private equity market faced challenges from elevated interest rates, cautious investor sentiment, geopolitical instability, and energy market volatility. U.S. private equity deal volume fell to 1,724 deals in Q1 2026, a notable decrease from 2,375 deals in Q1 2025 and 2,076 in Q4 2025. Capital invested also saw a 10% year-over-year decline to approximately $123 billion, as firms became more selective in deployments and faced constrained exit markets.
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Carlyle (CG) stock has lost about 15% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Carlyle reported weaker-than-expected financial results for fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026). The company announced an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.89, missing analysts' consensus estimates by approximately 3.26% to 8.44%. Additionally, revenue declined 28.0% year-over-year to $750.90 million, falling significantly below the $1.01 billion to $1.05 billion consensus estimate. Distributable earnings also experienced a 22% year-over-year decline.
2. Persistent macroeconomic headwinds dampened private equity deal activity and valuations. Throughout fiscal Q1 2026, the broader private equity market faced challenges from elevated interest rates, cautious investor sentiment, geopolitical instability, and energy market volatility. U.S. private equity deal volume fell to 1,724 deals in Q1 2026, a notable decrease from 2,375 deals in Q1 2025 and 2,076 in Q4 2025. Capital invested also saw a 10% year-over-year decline to approximately $123 billion, as firms became more selective in deployments and faced constrained exit markets.
3. Multiple analyst downgrades and price target reductions followed the Q1 2026 earnings release. In May 2026, several Wall Street analysts lowered their ratings or price targets for Carlyle. Cfra, for instance, cut its rating to "sell" with a $45.00 price target. Barclays adjusted its price target from $67.00 to $63.00, while BMO Capital Markets reduced its target from $65.00 to $58.00. TD Cowen also downgraded the stock and decreased its price target from $54 to $53.
4. Significant insider selling activity contributed to negative sentiment. Director David M. Rubenstein engaged in substantial selling, including 500,000 shares for an estimated $23.3 million on March 19, 2026. Overall, insiders sold shares totaling approximately $47.2 million within the 90 days leading up to early June 2026.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -13.2% change in CG stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -25.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 51.61 | 44.80 | -13.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,213 | 2,899 | -9.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 25.2% | 18.9% | -25.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 22.9 | 29.4 | 28.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 359 | 359 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -13.2% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CG | -13.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.2% | 53.3% |
| Sector (XLF) | 4.7% | 66.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -16.7% change in CG stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -14.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 53.78 | 44.80 | -16.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,988 | 2,899 | -3.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 22.1% | 18.9% | -14.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 29.3 | 29.4 | 0.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 360 | 359 | 0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -16.7% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CG | -16.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.9% | 53.6% |
| Sector (XLF) | 1.3% | 70.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 1.7% change in CG stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 101.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 44.04 | 44.80 | 1.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,470 | 2,899 | -16.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 31.3% | 18.9% | -39.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 14.6 | 29.4 | 101.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 359 | 359 | 0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 1.7% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CG | 1.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 28.1% | 56.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | 6.7% | 69.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 79.5% change in CG stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 145.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 24.96 | 44.80 | 79.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,846 | 2,899 | 1.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 26.5% | 18.9% | -28.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 12.0 | 29.4 | 145.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 363 | 359 | 1.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 79.5% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CG | 79.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 85.7% | 67.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | 77.0% | 70.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CG Return | 78% | -44% | 43% | 28% | 20% | -22% | 73% |
| Peers Return | 81% | -23% | 71% | 60% | -7% | -19% | 188% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CG Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 42% | 50% | 58% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 71% | 42% | 70% | 73% | 52% | 47% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CG Max Drawdown | -16% | -53% | -31% | -25% | -39% | -35% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -16% | -40% | -21% | -16% | -40% | -40% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: BX, KKR, APO, ARES, TPG. See CG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/18/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -33.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 50.0% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 71 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -20.0% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.1% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 40 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -26.6% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.3% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 75 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -52.0% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 108.4% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 656 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -46.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.9% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 273 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -32.0% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.1% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 176 days | 105 days |
In The Past
Carlyle's stock fell -33.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 50.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | CG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -33.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 50.0% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 71 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -20.0% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.1% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 40 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -26.6% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.3% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 75 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -52.0% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 108.4% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 656 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -46.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.9% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 273 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -32.0% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.1% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 176 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -49.0% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 96.0% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 517 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -59.5% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 146.7% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 702 days | 15 days |
| 2013 Taper Tantrum | ||
| % Loss | -23.6% | -0.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.9% | 0.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 1 days |
In The Past
Carlyle's stock fell -33.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 50.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Carlyle (CG)
Carlyle (CG) is a global investment firm that manages capital across a diverse range of private investment strategies. It specializes in making direct investments in companies and real assets, as well as investing in other funds, acting as a lead equity investor to originate and structure transactions.
The firm's investment activities are primarily organized across four key segments: Corporate Private Equity, Real Assets, Global Market Strategies, and Solutions. Carlyle engages in various strategies, including management-led buyouts, growth capital, venture capital, structured credit, and real estate investments. Its core service is providing capital and strategic support to businesses, often taking majority or minority stakes, with a typical investment horizon of three to six years.
Carlyle's investment reach is extensive, covering a wide array of sectors such as industrial, consumer & retail, healthcare, technology, energy, financial services, aerospace & defense, and real estate. Geographically, the firm operates with a global footprint, actively investing in companies and assets across North America, South America, Europe, Asia, Australia, the Middle East, and Africa. It targets a broad spectrum of company sizes, from early-stage ventures to large enterprises, frequently focusing on growing businesses or those requiring strategic financial restructuring.
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1. Carlyle is like Blackstone for private market investments.
2. Carlyle is like KKR, specializing in buying and growing private companies.
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- Corporate Private Equity Investments: Carlyle manages funds that invest directly in private companies across various stages, from venture capital to large-scale buyouts, in diverse industries globally.
- Real Asset Investments: Carlyle manages funds focused on acquiring and developing real estate, infrastructure, energy, and natural resource assets worldwide.
- Global Market Strategies: Carlyle manages funds that pursue credit-related strategies, including structured credit, distressed debt, and other opportunistic investments across global markets.
- Investment Solutions: Carlyle provides customized investment mandates and fund-of-funds strategies for institutional and high-net-worth investors.
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The provided company description for The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) details its activities as an investment firm, outlining the types of direct and fund-of-fund investments it makes, the sectors it invests in, and its geographic focus. The description primarily characterizes Carlyle's role as an investor and asset manager that deploys capital into various businesses and assets.
However, the description does not identify Carlyle's major customers. As an investment firm, Carlyle's "customers" are typically the institutional investors (such as pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, endowments, and insurance companies) and high-net-worth individuals (often through family offices) who commit capital to Carlyle's investment funds as Limited Partners. The information provided focuses on where Carlyle invests its capital (the companies and assets it buys into), not on the specific entities or individuals that invest with Carlyle.
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Harvey Schwartz, Chief Executive Officer
Harvey Schwartz became the Chief Executive Officer of Carlyle in February 2023. Prior to joining Carlyle, he had a distinguished 21-year career at Goldman Sachs from 1997 to 2018, where he served in various senior leadership roles, including President and Co-Chief Operating Officer from 2016 to 2018, and Chief Financial Officer from 2012 to 2016. Earlier in his career, he worked at J.B. Hanauer & Co., First Interregional Equity Corporation, and Citigroup.
Justin Plouffe, Chief Financial Officer
Justin Plouffe assumed the role of Chief Financial Officer of Carlyle on January 1, 2026. He joined Carlyle in 2007 and has focused on investing across Carlyle's credit strategies and driving growth initiatives for the Global Credit platform. He has served as a Portfolio Manager for several cross-platform credit strategies and as President and Chief Executive Officer of Carlyle's affiliated Business Development Companies, Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. and Carlyle Credit Solutions, Inc. Before joining Carlyle, Mr. Plouffe was an attorney at Ropes & Gray LLP.
Mark Jenkins, Co-President and Head of Global Credit & Insurance
Mark Jenkins became Co-President and Head of Global Credit & Insurance for Carlyle on January 1, 2026. He joined Carlyle in 2016. Before joining Carlyle, Mr. Jenkins was a Senior Managing Director at Canada Pension Plan Investment Board (CPPIB), where he led the Global Private Investment group and founded CPPIB Credit Investments, a multi-strategy platform making direct principal credit investments. He also held senior positions at Barclays Capital as Managing Director, Co-Head of Leveraged Finance Origination and Execution, and spent 11 years at Goldman Sachs in leadership roles within the Fixed Income and Financing groups.
Jeff Nedelman, Co-President and Global Head of Client Business
Jeff Nedelman was appointed Co-President of Carlyle and continues to lead the Global Client Business, effective January 1, 2026. He joined Carlyle in 2023. Prior to Carlyle, he was a Partner and Senior Managing Director at Certares from 2020 to 2023, where he was a member of the Investment Committee and the Management Committee. Before Certares, Mr. Nedelman spent over 25 years at Goldman Sachs, most recently as Co-Chief Operating Officer of Global Equities, and previously as Global Head of Prime Services and Head of Americas Equity Sales.
Ruulke Bagijn, Global Head of Investment Solutions
Ruulke Bagijn is the Global Head of Investment Solutions at Carlyle and Chair of the Board of AlpInvest. She leads one of Carlyle's three business segments and oversees AlpInvest, Carlyle's dedicated private equity primary fund, co-investment, and secondary solutions platform. Before joining AlpInvest in 2017, Ms. Bagijn was the Global Head of Real Assets Private Equity at AXA Investment Managers – Real Assets and a member of its Management Board. She also served as Co-Chief Investment Officer of Investment Management and Chief Investment Officer of Private Markets at PGGM, where she was responsible for managing investments in infrastructure, hedge funds, structured credit, private equity, insurance-linked securities, and private real estate.
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Market Volatility and Economic Uncertainty
Carlyle operates in an environment where market volatility and economic uncertainty can significantly impact investment valuations and opportunities. High interest rates and challenging debt market conditions can adversely affect the value of certain assets within their portfolios and the ability of their funds and portfolio companies to access capital markets. This risk directly influences investment performance and their ability to safeguard assets under management (AUM) from adverse market conditions. 2.Ability to Attract and Retain Capital
As an alternative asset manager, Carlyle's success heavily relies on its ability to raise capital for new funds and retain existing investor commitments. The alternative asset management space is highly competitive, with numerous firms vying for investor capital. Deteriorating market conditions, economic uncertainty, and increased cost-consciousness among investors can lead to pressure on management fees and the economic terms of future funds, potentially impacting revenue and growth. 3.Regulatory Risks and Tax Changes
Carlyle's global operations expose it to a complex and evolving regulatory environment. Changes in tax laws, regulations, or adverse interpretations by tax authorities across various jurisdictions could negatively impact Carlyle's effective tax rate, tax liability, and the performance of its funds. Such changes could also affect its ability to raise funds from foreign investors and increase compliance costs, necessitating stringent compliance measures and proactive risk management.AI Analysis | Feedback
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Carlyle (CG) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and market dynamics:
- Continued Expansion of the Global Credit Business: Carlyle's global credit segment has demonstrated robust momentum, characterized by significant increases in assets under management (AUM) and distributable earnings. The firm anticipates the durability of its credit business across various market cycles and is actively enhancing its origination capabilities in private credit, particularly in areas like structured and opportunistic credit strategies.
- Strategic Growth in Global Wealth and Individual Investor Markets: Carlyle is focused on expanding its reach into the individual investor market through "evergreen wealth" investment vehicles and new product launches. This strategy aims to attract continuous inflows from individual and mass affluent investors, thereby diversifying its client base and substantially increasing its AUM.
- Strong Fundraising Momentum and Performance in Investment Solutions (Carlyle AlpInvest and Secondaries): The Investment Solutions segment, particularly Carlyle AlpInvest and secondaries platforms, is a significant growth driver. These units have consistently shown strong performance, contributing to substantial increases in fee revenues and AUM. Carlyle has set a target for over $200 billion in inflows over a three-year period, underscoring its robust fundraising capabilities.
- Accelerated Private Equity Deal Activity and Realizations: While private equity exits have experienced some fluctuations, Carlyle anticipates a notable increase in private equity realizations and overall deal activity in the coming quarters. This expectation is supported by a strong backlog of announced transactions, improving private equity fund performance, and a substantial accrued carry balance.
- Growth in Fee-Related Earnings (FRE) and Margin Expansion: Carlyle is strategically focused on increasing its Fee-Related Earnings (FRE), with a target of over $1.9 billion by the end of 2028. This growth is expected to be driven by rising management fees from an expanding AUM base, disciplined cost management, the scalability of its infrastructure, and a strategic shift towards more consistent and compounding revenue streams. Analysts predict a significant compound annual growth rate in management fees from 2025 to 2027.
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Share Repurchases
- Carlyle's Board of Directors approved a new $2 billion share repurchase authorization in February 2026.
- This program allows the firm to buy back common stock over time as part of its disciplined capital allocation framework.
Share Issuance
- Carlyle Group's shares outstanding were 0.368 billion in 2024, reflecting a 1.83% increase from 2023.
- For the quarter ending September 30, 2025, shares outstanding were 0.376 billion, a 3.21% increase year-over-year.
Inbound Investments
- Carlyle raised $9 billion of new capital in Q3 2024, contributing to $43 billion raised over the preceding 12 months.
- In 2025, the firm achieved $54 billion in inflows, outperforming its $40 billion target by $14 billion.
- Carlyle's AlpInvest unit raised $20 billion for its global secondary strategies, with AlpInvest Secondaries Fund VIII reaching its $15 billion hard cap upon closing in September 2025.
Outbound Investments
- In August 2024, Carlyle agreed to acquire Vantive, Baxter International's kidney-care spinoff, for $3.8 billion.
- In early 2025, Carlyle, in partnership with SK Capital Partners, agreed to acquire Bluebird Bio, a gene-therapy company, for up to $96 million.
- In February 2026, Carlyle acquired Nido Home Finance, a Mumbai-based commercial bank.
Capital Expenditures
- Carlyle Group reported capital expenditures of $28 million in 2023, $31 million in 2024, and $61 million in 2025.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Is Carlyle Stock Built to Withstand a Pullback? | 10/17/2025 | |
| Day 9 of Gains Streak for Carlyle Stock with 19% Return (vs. 18% YTD) [7/10/2025] | 07/11/2025 | |
| CG Dip Buy Analysis | 07/10/2025 | |
| Carlyle Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 30.7% in 2024 and 4.4% 3-yr compounded annual returns (below peer average) | 03/07/2025 | |
| Carlyle (CG) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 02/17/2025 | |
| Carlyle (CG) Net Income Comparison | 02/15/2025 | |
| Carlyle Market Price | 01/20/2025 | |
| Carlyle vs. S&P500 Correlation | 10/03/2024 | |
| Carlyle Price Volatility | 09/24/2024 | |
| Fundamental Metrics: ... | 06/19/2024 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| Mid Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | 09/18/2025 | |
| CG Stock Up 19% after 9-Day Win Streak | 07/11/2025 |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 110.40 |
| Mkt Cap | 55.4 |
| Rev LTM | 9,248 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,046 |
| FCF LTM | 1,293 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,752 |
| CFO LTM | 1,345 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,860 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 16.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 36.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | -1.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.1% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 1.3% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 228.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 20.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 26.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 26.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 26.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 25.8% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Private Equity | 2,146 | 2,248 | 2,278 | 3,180 | 4,073 |
| Global Credit | 1,099 | 923 | 779 | 800 | 451 |
| Carlyle AlpInvest | 656 | ||||
| Consolidated Funds | 635 | 632 | 570 | 311 | 253 |
| Reconciling Items | 243 | 1,139 | -1,011 | -274 | 3,579 |
| Other income (loss) | 118 | 24 | 7 | -42 | 2 |
| Global Investment Solutions | 484 | 348 | 422 | 426 | |
| Total | 4,898 | 5,450 | 2,971 | 4,397 | 8,785 |
| $ Mil | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Private Equity | 8,442 | 9,791 | 10,282 | 6,341 | 4,997 |
| Consolidated Funds | 7,806 | 7,213 | 6,948 | 6,295 | 5,204 |
| Global Credit | 3,283 | 3,142 | 2,207 | 1,923 | 2,565 |
| Global Investment Solutions | 2,173 | 1,860 | 2,009 | 1,263 | 1,226 |
| Reconciling Items | -528 | -603 | -196 | -177 | -183 |
| Total | 21,176 | 21,403 | 21,250 | 15,645 | 13,809 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $44.80 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 16.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/03/2012 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -34.1% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $47.44 | $53.98 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -5.6% | -17.0% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 34.8% | 36.2% |
| Downside Capture | 155.81 | 208.12 |
| Upside Capture | 68.08 | 149.42 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 50.8% | 56.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.66 | 1.82 | 1.43 | 1.75 | 1.76 | 1.72 |
| Up Beta | 1.23 | 1.93 | 1.64 | 1.61 | 1.73 | 1.44 |
| Down Beta | 3.02 | 2.53 | 1.09 | 1.30 | 1.59 | 1.87 |
| Up Capture | 13% | 57% | 85% | 168% | 203% | 747% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 18 | 26 | 59 | 125 | 404 |
| Down Capture | 348% | 354% | 194% | 202% | 163% | 112% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 22 | 35 | 63 | 122 | 342 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CG | -0.3% | 36.1% | 0.06 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 8.3% | 14.6% | 0.33 | 69.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 26.5% | 12.4% | 1.61 | 55.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.2% | 27.5% | 0.77 | 7.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.8% | 18.8% | 0.83 | -14.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.0% | 13.7% | 0.52 | 35.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -40.0% | 42.5% | -1.08 | 43.1% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CG | 3.5% | 39.8% | 0.20 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 9.3% | 18.6% | 0.37 | 68.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.1% | 0.62 | 71.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.1% | 18.3% | 0.76 | 6.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 19.4% | 0.29 | 13.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.9% | 18.9% | 0.00 | 55.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 11.0% | 54.2% | 0.40 | 34.6% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CG | 16.1% | 37.4% | 0.51 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.0% | 22.2% | 0.54 | 64.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 67.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.3% | 16.1% | 0.63 | 3.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 0.26 | 22.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.3% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 53.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 60.0% | 66.8% | 1.00 | 22.3% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/10/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | 3.3% | 2.1% | -10.4% |
| 2/6/2026 | 0.9% | -6.6% | -16.9% |
| 10/31/2025 | -2.8% | -1.7% | 5.3% |
| 8/6/2025 | -2.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| 5/8/2025 | 1.9% | 13.9% | 13.7% |
| 2/11/2025 | 0.7% | 5.9% | -17.8% |
| 11/7/2024 | -0.0% | -2.4% | 1.4% |
| 8/5/2024 | -7.5% | -10.6% | -12.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| # Negative | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 1.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% |
| Median Negative | -2.3% | -2.9% | -10.4% |
| Max Positive | 3.8% | 14.8% | 24.9% |
| Max Negative | -7.5% | -10.6% | -17.8% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | 3.3% | 2.1% | -10.4% |
| 2/6/2026 | 0.9% | -6.6% | -16.9% |
| 10/31/2025 | -2.8% | -1.7% | 5.3% |
| 8/6/2025 | -2.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| 5/8/2025 | 1.9% | 13.9% | 13.7% |
| 2/11/2025 | 0.7% | 5.9% | -17.8% |
| 11/7/2024 | -0.0% | -2.4% | 1.4% |
| 8/5/2024 | -7.5% | -10.6% | -12.2% |
| 5/1/2024 | -1.0% | 1.2% | 5.7% |
| 2/7/2024 | 3.1% | -0.5% | 7.9% |
| 11/7/2023 | 2.4% | 8.3% | 24.9% |
| 8/2/2023 | -3.8% | -3.3% | -0.6% |
| 5/4/2023 | 3.8% | 2.7% | 12.0% |
| 2/7/2023 | -2.3% | -2.9% | -8.0% |
| 11/8/2022 | 0.5% | 14.8% | 13.6% |
| 7/28/2022 | 3.7% | 2.3% | -11.0% |
| 4/28/2022 | -5.7% | -0.2% | 3.8% |
| 2/3/2022 | 0.3% | -0.6% | -17.8% |
| 10/28/2021 | -0.3% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| 7/29/2021 | 0.7% | -3.2% | -3.0% |
| 4/29/2021 | 0.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| 2/4/2021 | 1.4% | 3.0% | -1.8% |
| 10/29/2020 | -2.5% | 7.2% | 12.2% |
| 7/30/2020 | -1.1% | -4.7% | -9.3% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| # Negative | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 1.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% |
| Median Negative | -2.3% | -2.9% | -10.4% |
| Max Positive | 3.8% | 14.8% | 24.9% |
| Max Negative | -7.5% | -10.6% | -17.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/08/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/27/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/22/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/09/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/28/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/08/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/27/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/22/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/09/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/28/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 04/28/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/10/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 10/28/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 07/29/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 04/29/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/11/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 10/29/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 07/31/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 04/30/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/12/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 10/31/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 07/31/2019 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Updated 5/29/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rubenstein, David M | Direct | Sell | 3202026 | 46.68 | 500,000 | 23,340,000 | 1,279,015,382 | Form | |
| 2 | Rubenstein, David M | Direct | Sell | 12122025 | 56.55 | 625,000 | 35,343,750 | 1,583,379,868 | Form | |
| 3 | Ferguson, Jeffrey W | General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 8132025 | 64.23 | 202,606 | 13,013,879 | 48,383,410 | Form |
| 4 | Ferguson, Jeffrey W | General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 8132025 | 62.37 | 97,394 | 6,074,464 | 59,617,051 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rubenstein, David M | Direct | Sell | 3202026 | 46.68 | 500,000 | 23,340,000 | 1,279,015,382 | Form | |
| 2 | Rubenstein, David M | Direct | Sell | 12122025 | 56.55 | 625,000 | 35,343,750 | 1,583,379,868 | Form | |
| 3 | Ferguson, Jeffrey W | General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 8132025 | 64.23 | 202,606 | 13,013,879 | 48,383,410 | Form |
| 4 | Ferguson, Jeffrey W | General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 8132025 | 62.37 | 97,394 | 6,074,464 | 59,617,051 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Asset Management & Custody Banks Resources |
| Pensions & Investments |
| Institutional Investor |
| Ignites |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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