Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.8%, FCF Yield is 9.6%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -67%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -91%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.3%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
  Key risks
KBR key risks include [1] severe financial and reputational damage from the "for cause" termination of its major DoD household goods contract due to operational failures, Show more.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Hydrogen Economy. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.8%, FCF Yield is 9.6%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Hydrogen Economy. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -67%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -91%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.3%
5 Key risks
KBR key risks include [1] severe financial and reputational damage from the "for cause" termination of its major DoD household goods contract due to operational failures, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

KBR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why KBR's stock moved by -19.6% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 20, 2025:

1. Downward Revision of Full-Year Revenue Guidance due to HomeSafe Contract Termination: KBR significantly revised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance downward by approximately $900 million, or 9%, following the termination of the HomeSafe contract by the U.S. Department of Defense's Transportation Command (TRANSCOM). This contract, a joint venture led by KBR, was valued at up to $20 billion over its potential nine-year term. The initial news of the contract termination caused KBR shares to fall over 7%, and the ongoing impact of this revised outlook weighed heavily on the stock during the period.

2. Q3 2025 Revenue Miss and Further Guidance Adjustment: On October 30, 2025, KBR reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings, revealing that its revenue of $1.93 billion fell short of the anticipated $1.98 billion, despite beating adjusted EPS expectations. This mixed performance, coupled with a further lowering of full-year revenue guidance, led to a 6.04% drop in the stock price in pre-market trading, bringing shares close to their 52-week low. The company attributed these adjustments to delays and protests in government contracts, as well as impacts from a U.S. Government shutdown affecting the pace of awards.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
KBR Return3%56%12%6%6%-25%51%
Peers Return9%23%19%10%19%-1%104%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KBR Win Rate33%83%58%58%58%33% 
Peers Win Rate58%53%58%55%65%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KBR Max Drawdown-57%-6%-9%-9%-6%-31% 
Peers Max Drawdown-45%-10%-14%-17%-7%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LDOS, J, FLR, ACM, SAIC. See KBR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventKBRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-24.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven31.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven175 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-58.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven139.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven294 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-36.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven56.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven122 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-77.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven346.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4,736 days1,480 days

Compare to LDOS, ACM, FLR, CTAS, TRI


In The Past

KBR's stock fell -24.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/3/2023. A -24.1% loss requires a 31.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About KBR (KBR)

Better Bets than KBR (KBR)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to KBR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.0%18.0%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
3.6%3.6%-0.4%
KBR_3312020_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield03312020KBRKBRDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
10.7%87.8%-15.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.0%18.0%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
3.6%3.6%-0.4%
KBR_3312020_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield03312020KBRKBRDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
10.7%87.8%-15.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for KBR

Peers to compare with:

Financials

KBRLDOSJFLRACMSAICMedian
NameKBR Leidos Jacobs S.Fluor AECOM Science . 
Mkt Price40.30184.68134.0740.9196.72102.0099.36
Mkt Cap5.223.616.06.612.84.79.7
Rev LTM8,07817,33212,03015,58816,1407,35013,809
Op Inc LTM5432,041864-2261,059524703
FCF LTM4941,338607237685427551
FCF 3Y Avg3781,149793240661431546
CFO LTM5591,506687306822466623
CFO 3Y Avg4531,312905355782462622

Growth & Margins

KBRLDOSJFLRACMSAICMedian
NameKBR Leidos Jacobs S.Fluor AECOM Science . 
Rev Chg LTM10.2%6.5%4.6%-1.8%0.2%-0.4%2.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.0%6.9%7.2%4.7%7.2%-0.7%5.8%
Rev Chg Q-0.3%6.7%6.6%-17.7%1.6%-5.6%0.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.1%1.6%1.6%-4.5%0.4%-1.5%0.2%
Op Mgn LTM6.7%11.8%7.2%-1.4%6.6%7.1%6.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg7.0%10.3%6.5%0.6%5.9%7.0%6.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.3%-0.1%0.0%-3.3%0.2%-0.3%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM6.9%8.7%5.7%2.0%5.1%6.3%6.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.0%8.0%8.0%2.2%5.0%6.2%6.1%
FCF/Rev LTM6.1%7.7%5.0%1.5%4.2%5.8%5.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.0%7.0%7.0%1.5%4.2%5.8%5.4%

Valuation

KBRLDOSJFLRACMSAICMedian
NameKBR Leidos Jacobs S.Fluor AECOM Science . 
Mkt Cap5.223.616.06.612.84.79.7
P/S0.61.41.30.40.80.60.7
P/EBIT7.211.523.2-55.711.69.010.3
P/E13.616.855.42.022.812.615.2
P/CFO9.215.723.321.715.610.015.6
Total Yield9.0%6.8%2.3%51.1%5.4%9.4%7.9%
Dividend Yield1.6%0.9%0.5%0.0%1.0%1.5%1.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.3%6.0%4.7%2.8%4.7%7.8%5.0%
D/E0.60.20.20.20.30.60.2
Net D/E0.50.20.1-0.30.10.60.2

Returns

KBRLDOSJFLRACMSAICMedian
NameKBR Leidos Jacobs S.Fluor AECOM Science . 
1M Rtn-0.1%-2.2%-7.3%-1.7%-14.4%18.9%-1.9%
3M Rtn-17.1%-1.3%-9.9%-8.3%-26.8%-1.4%-9.1%
6M Rtn-17.0%25.0%5.8%-17.6%-11.3%-0.9%-6.1%
12M Rtn-28.8%30.3%2.0%-18.3%-8.8%-6.1%-7.4%
3Y Rtn-18.7%83.4%41.5%18.6%18.8%-2.9%18.7%
1M Excs Rtn-3.0%-5.1%-10.2%-4.6%-17.3%16.0%-4.8%
3M Excs Rtn-19.0%-3.6%-12.9%-10.7%-29.2%-1.2%-11.8%
6M Excs Rtn-28.2%9.7%-8.4%-30.1%-26.3%-14.9%-20.6%
12M Excs Rtn-41.1%11.3%-11.4%-36.4%-24.5%-22.6%-23.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-90.7%8.3%-34.6%-53.7%-54.1%-76.1%-53.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Mission Technology Solutions (MTS)5,3535,3206,1494,0553,925
Sustainable Technology Solutions (STS)1,6031,2441,1901,712 
Corporate00   
Energy Solutions    1,339
Non-strategic Business    1
Technology Solution    374
Total6,9566,5647,3395,7675,639


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Sustainable Technology Solutions (STS)32447-30  
Mission Technology Solutions (MTS)285441414  
Corporate-161-145-153  
Total448343231  


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Sustainable Technology Solutions (STS)323    
Mission Technology Solutions (MTS)286    
Corporate-874    
Total-265    


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Mission Technology Solutions (MTS)3,7373,7354,2453,3792,699
Sustainable Technology Solutions (STS)9969151,1451,440 
Corporate832916814886972
Energy Solutions    1,464
Non-strategic Business    7
Technology Solution    218
Total5,5655,5666,2045,7055,360


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,642,177
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520251.0%
Average Daily Volume1,055,347
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.40
Basic Shares Quantity128,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/20253.2%0.4%5.2%
7/31/2025-0.5%6.7%8.0%
5/6/20250.4%3.3%-3.4%
2/24/2025-3.8%-3.7%2.9%
10/23/2024-4.5%-4.5%-17.5%
7/24/20240.4%0.3%0.5%
4/30/20241.0%3.6%-0.1%
2/20/20243.9%7.6%9.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131313
# Negative888
Median Positive1.0%4.3%5.5%
Median Negative-0.8%-3.1%-3.1%
Max Positive7.4%14.6%25.7%
Max Negative-4.5%-17.3%-54.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 10/3/2025
6302025731202510-Q 7/4/2025
3312025506202510-Q 4/4/2025
12312024225202510-K 1/3/2025
93020241023202410-Q 9/27/2024
6302024724202410-Q 6/28/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/29/2024
12312023220202410-K 12/29/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/29/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023501202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022217202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021222202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Bradie StuartPresident and CEO6202025Sell52.8120,0001,056,24642,374,530Form
1Conlon Gregory SeanChief Digital & Development3182025Sell50.5919,000961,1493,213,931Form