Tearsheet

Madison Square Garden Sports (MSGS)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $236.35 | Market Cap: $5.7 Bil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Movies & Entertainment

Madison Square Garden Sports (MSGS)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $236.35
Market Cap: $5.7 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Movies & Entertainment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.3 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.4%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Experiential Retail.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -9.3%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -25%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 4748x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 167x
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -26%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.6%
0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Experiential Retail.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -9.3%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -25%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.3 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.4%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 4748x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 167x
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -26%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.6%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MSGS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period from August 31, 2025, to December 15, 2025, is in the future. Therefore, I cannot provide an analysis of historical stock movements or the key points for a 20% stock change for Madison Square Garden Sports (MSGS) within this future timeframe. However, the search results provide some information regarding MSGS's fiscal year 2025 results, which ended on June 30, 2025, and some forward-looking statements. Here are some key points from the available information, noting that these pertain to reported past fiscal performance and future expectations, not actual stock movements within the requested future period: 1. Fiscal 2025 Fourth Quarter and Full-Year Results: Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. reported its fiscal 2025 fourth quarter and full-year results on August 12, 2025. For the full fiscal year 2025 (ended June 30, 2025), the company reported revenues of $1,039.2 million, a 1% increase from the prior year. Operating income, however, decreased significantly to $14.8 million, a decrease of $131.2 million, and adjusted operating income decreased to $38.2 million, a decrease of $134.1 million, both compared to the prior year. The fiscal fourth quarter revenues decreased by 10% to $204.0 million, with an operating loss of $22.6 million.

2. Impact of Knicks' Playoff Run and Reduced Local Media Rights Fees: The fiscal 2025 fourth quarter was highlighted by the New York Knicks' participation in the NBA playoffs, which included nine home playoff games and culminated in an Eastern Conference Finals appearance. This was fewer than the fifteen combined home playoff games for the Knicks and Rangers in the prior year quarter. Additionally, the fiscal 2025 results reflected reductions in local media rights fees due to amendments to the Knicks' and Rangers' local media rights agreements with MSG Networks Inc., leading to a 28% and 18% reduction in annual rights fees, respectively, for the Knicks and Rangers.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MSGS Return-12%-6%10%-1%24%4%17%
Peers Return32%46%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MSGS Win Rate50%58%67%58%67%33% 
Peers Win Rate38%56%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MSGS Max Drawdown-35%-16%-21%-10%-2%-22% 
Peers Max Drawdown-8%-14% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BATRA, TKO, LYV, SPHR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMSGSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-33.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven49.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven213 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-39.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven64.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1682 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-25.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2180 days120 days

Compare to BFAM, LOPE, UNF, DV, ANGX


In The Past

Madison Square Garden Sports's stock fell -33.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/1/2021. A -33.3% loss requires a 49.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Madison Square Garden Sports (MSGS)

Better Bets than Madison Square Garden Sports (MSGS)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MSGS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.5%-0.5%-0.5%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-6.4%-6.4%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.0%5.0%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.6%11.6%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-28.9%-28.9%-28.9%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.5%-0.5%-0.5%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-6.4%-6.4%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.0%5.0%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.6%11.6%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-28.9%-28.9%-28.9%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Madison Square Garden Sports

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MSGSBATRATKOLYVSPHRMedian
NameMadison .Atlanta .TKO Live Nat.Sphere E. 
Mkt Price237.4443.62208.42143.1489.79143.14
Mkt Cap5.72.717.033.23.35.7
Rev LTM1,0257232,54524,5691,0541,054
Op Inc LTM-4181,0851,131-29318
FCF LTM29-289421,5804242
FCF 3Y Avg81-516411,141-43081
CFO LTM33281,0292,4949797
CFO 3Y Avg83177181,8157783

Growth & Margins

MSGSBATRATKOLYVSPHRMedian
NameMadison .Atlanta .TKO Live Nat.Sphere E. 
Rev Chg LTM-1.2%6.6%-44.3%5.5%2.6%2.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.6%5.2%-18.6%16.5%12.1%
Rev Chg Q-26.0%7.2%-27.3%11.1%-4.0%-4.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.3%3.0%-14.2%3.6%-1.0%-1.0%
Op Mgn LTM-0.4%2.4%42.6%4.6%-27.8%2.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.7%-2.9%27.1%4.6%-30.6%4.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.8%4.6%10.7%0.4%0.4%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM3.2%3.8%40.4%10.2%9.2%9.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.5%2.5%28.3%7.8%11.4%8.5%
FCF/Rev LTM2.8%-3.9%37.0%6.4%3.9%3.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.3%-7.5%25.8%4.9%-68.1%4.9%

Valuation

MSGSBATRATKOLYVSPHRMedian
NameMadison .Atlanta .TKO Live Nat.Sphere E. 
Mkt Cap5.72.717.033.23.35.7
P/S5.33.96.51.52.13.9
P/EBIT4,747.953.315.831.0-149.531.0
P/E-231.0-2,736.272.042.2-16.5-16.5
P/CFO166.8103.016.015.223.123.1
Total Yield-0.4%-0.0%4.5%2.4%-6.1%-0.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%3.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.7%-2.0%5.7%4.3%-32.3%1.7%
D/E0.20.30.20.20.40.2
Net D/E0.20.30.20.10.30.2

Returns

MSGSBATRATKOLYVSPHRMedian
NameMadison .Atlanta .TKO Live Nat.Sphere E. 
1M Rtn10.0%2.4%13.2%5.4%16.4%10.0%
3M Rtn11.5%-4.4%3.3%-17.6%53.9%3.3%
6M Rtn26.7%-3.6%28.3%3.6%134.9%26.7%
12M Rtn1.0%6.1%48.2%5.3%137.5%6.1%
3Y Rtn48.4%42.7%-103.8%110.9%76.1%
1M Excs Rtn7.9%3.3%15.1%2.2%12.5%7.9%
3M Excs Rtn9.4%-6.8%-1.3%-20.2%45.7%-1.3%
6M Excs Rtn12.5%-17.8%14.1%-10.6%120.7%12.5%
12M Excs Rtn-9.1%-7.8%36.0%-6.6%130.7%-6.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-24.5%-30.9%-27.7%35.3%1.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Event-related45836333229236
Media rights298289276285191
Sponsorship, signage and suite licenses21119617353139
League distributions and other6039414937
Total1,027887821416603


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity940,277
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-17.0%
Average Daily Volume159,247
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.90
Basic Shares Quantity24,116,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/31/2025-4.6%-4.1%-1.3%
8/12/2025-3.5%-2.7%1.4%
5/2/2025-2.8%-1.0%-1.6%
2/4/2025-3.6%-4.6%-8.2%
11/1/2024-0.8%2.6%2.9%
8/13/2024-0.5%6.6%3.3%
5/2/20240.7%3.1%2.3%
2/6/20246.0%5.4%1.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111111
# Negative141414
Median Positive2.6%5.4%3.3%
Median Negative-3.3%-3.8%-3.5%
Max Positive11.0%14.2%17.5%
Max Negative-10.0%-14.5%-17.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025812202510-K 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024204202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024813202410-K 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023206202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023817202310-K 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022207202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022818202210-K 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021203202210-Q 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0DOLAN JAMES LAWRENCEExecutive Chairman / CEO3242025Sell193.0730959,65935,311,345Form
1Charles F. Dolan 2009 Revocable Trust3122025Sell188.335,6461,063,3115,890,209Form