TJX Companies (TJX)
Market Price (4/8/2026): $159.26 | Market Cap: $176.9 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail
TJX Companies (TJX)
Market Price (4/8/2026): $159.26Market Cap: $176.9 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Apparel Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 6.9 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.9 Bil Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 7.5 Bil Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 18% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, Sustainable Consumption, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.7%, Dist 3Y High is -2.7% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 25x Key risksTJX key risks include [1] a heavy reliance on its physical "treasure-hunt" retail model given a minimal e-commerce presence and [2] a potential failure to execute its core opportunistic buying and inventory management strategy. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 6.9 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.9 Bil |
| Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 7.5 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 18% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, Sustainable Consumption, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.7%, Dist 3Y High is -2.7% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 25x |
| Key risksTJX key risks include [1] a heavy reliance on its physical "treasure-hunt" retail model given a minimal e-commerce presence and [2] a potential failure to execute its core opportunistic buying and inventory management strategy. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Fiscal 2026 Fourth Quarter Performance. The TJX Companies reported better-than-expected results for its fiscal 2026 fourth quarter (period ending January 2026), with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.43, surpassing the forecast of $1.39, and revenue reaching $17.7 billion, exceeding the anticipated $17.36 billion. This was further bolstered by robust comparable store sales growth of 5%, outperforming expectations of approximately 3.8%, with all divisions exceeding projections, including HomeGoods up 6% and TJX Canada up 7%.
2. Optimistic Fiscal 2027 Outlook and Enhanced Shareholder Returns. Management expressed confidence in future performance by projecting fiscal 2027 sales to increase by 4% to 5%, totaling $62.7 billion to $63.3 billion, and EPS to grow by 4% to 6%, reaching $4.93 to $5.02. Furthermore, TJX announced a new $3 billion share repurchase authorization and an intention to raise its quarterly dividend by approximately 13% to $0.48 per share, signaling strong financial health and a commitment to shareholder value.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 2.9% change in TJX stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 4.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 153.18 | 157.58 | 2.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 58,979 | 60,372 | 2.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.7% | 9.1% | 4.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 33.3 | 31.9 | -4.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1,112 | 1,111 | 0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 2.9% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TJX | 2.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 4.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | -9.7% | 37.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 9.6% change in TJX stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 6.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 143.72 | 157.58 | 9.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 57,925 | 60,372 | 4.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 32.2 | 31.9 | -1.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1,115 | 1,111 | 0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 9.6% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TJX | 9.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 5.3% |
| Sector (XLY) | -9.9% | 29.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 31.0% change in TJX stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 14.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 120.33 | 157.58 | 31.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 56,421 | 60,372 | 7.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.6% | 9.1% | 5.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 27.9 | 31.9 | 14.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1,127 | 1,111 | 1.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 31.0% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TJX | 31.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 36.5% |
| Sector (XLY) | 9.8% | 43.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 109.4% change in TJX stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 29.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 75.24 | 157.58 | 109.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 49,936 | 60,372 | 20.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.0% | 9.1% | 29.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 24.9 | 31.9 | 28.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1,157 | 1,111 | 4.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 109.4% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TJX | 109.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 43.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | 47.4% | 46.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TJX Return | 13% | 7% | 20% | 31% | 29% | 6% | 156% |
| Peers Return | 94% | -11% | 15% | 2% | 31% | -3% | 159% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -3% | 76% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TJX Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 40% | 52% | 48% | 57% | 55% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TJX Max Drawdown | -8% | -27% | -7% | -2% | -6% | -4% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -8% | -42% | -29% | -22% | -34% | -14% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ROST, BURL, M, DDS, KSS. See TJX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/7/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TJX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -28.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 189 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -42.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 246 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -25.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 200 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -50.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 100.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 281 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to ROST, BURL, M, DDS, KSS
In The Past
TJX Companies's stock fell -28.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -28.3% loss requires a 39.5% gain to breakeven.
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About TJX Companies (TJX)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-2 brief analogies for TJX Companies:
- It's like a department store, such as Macy's or Kohl's, but dedicated to selling brand-name apparel and home goods at significantly discounted, off-price rates.
- Think of it as a permanent, large-scale treasure hunt for brand-name fashion and home decor, offering deep discounts similar to finding a great deal at Nordstrom.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```html- Family Apparel: TJX Companies offers a wide range of clothing for the entire family, including footwear and accessories.
- Home Fashions: The company provides various home decor and furnishing items, such as furniture, rugs, lighting, kitchenware, and decorative accessories.
- Jewelry and Accessories: Customers can find an assortment of jewelry and other fashion accessories across its retail banners.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The TJX Companies (symbol: TJX) primarily sells to individuals through its numerous retail stores and e-commerce websites. Its major customer categories can be described as:
- Value-conscious Shoppers: Individuals and families seeking brand-name apparel, footwear, accessories, and home goods at discounted, off-price points. This segment includes a broad demographic looking for quality products without paying full retail prices.
- Home Decorators and Furnishers: Customers looking to furnish, decorate, or refresh their homes with a variety of home fashions, including furniture, rugs, lighting, kitchenware, and decorative items, often seeking unique finds and affordability.
- Fashion-Forward Consumers: Individuals interested in current and past season fashion trends for apparel, jewelry, and accessories, who appreciate the thrill of discovering branded merchandise at a lower cost.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Ernie Herrman Chief Executive Officer and President
Ernie Herrman joined TJX in 1989 as a buyer. He has held numerous merchandising and senior operating roles within the company, including President of Marmaxx, and Senior Executive Vice President, Group President with responsibilities for Marmaxx, HomeGoods, and TJX Canada. He was appointed President of TJX in 2011 and became Chief Executive Officer in 2016.
John Klinger Senior Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer
John Klinger was promoted to Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, effective January 29, 2023. He joined TJX in 2000 as a Manager of Business Analysis at Marmaxx. His career at TJX includes various finance positions with increasing responsibility across different divisions like HomeGoods and Marmaxx, as well as roles such as VP, Divisional CFO for AJWright, VP, Corporate Finance, and SVP, Divisional CFO for TJX Europe. He served as SVP, Corporate Controller, and later Executive Vice President, Corporate Controller before his current appointment. Prior to joining TJX, he worked at the Stride Rite company starting in 1994.
Carol Meyrowitz Executive Chairman of the Board
Carol Meyrowitz has served as Executive Chairman of the Board since 2016. Previously, she was Chief Executive Officer of TJX from 2007 to 2016 and President from 2005 to 2011. Her extensive career at TJX also includes holding senior management and merchandising positions with Marmaxx, Chadwick's of Boston, and Hit or Miss, former divisions of TJX, from 1983 to 2001.
Peter Benjamin Senior Executive Vice President; Group President
Peter Benjamin holds the title of Senior Executive Vice President and Group President at TJX Companies.
Ken Canestrari Senior Executive Vice President; Group President
Ken Canestrari serves as Senior Executive Vice President and Group President at TJX Companies.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Key Risks to TJX Companies:
- Impact of Global Economic Conditions and Consumer Discretionary Spending: TJX Companies faces significant risk from external market volatility, global economic conditions, and their direct impact on consumer confidence and discretionary spending. A deterioration in the broader economy or specific markets can lead to reduced foot traffic and lower sales volumes across TJX's store network. Even with its resilient off-price model, a substantial economic slowdown could still adversely affect the company's financial performance by impacting consumer willingness to spend on apparel and home fashions.
- Execution of Opportunistic Buying Strategy and Inventory Management: The core of TJX's off-price business model relies on its ability to opportunistically buy merchandise, operate with lean inventory levels, and achieve frequent inventory turns. A key risk is the failure to effectively execute this strategy, which includes obtaining and allocating the right merchandise at the right times, in the right quantities, at the right prices, with the right mix, and in the right geographies. Any missteps in this process could adversely affect customer transactions, sales, margins, and other financial results.
- Competitive Pressures, E-commerce Vulnerability, and Rising Operating Costs: TJX operates in highly competitive retail markets, facing challenges from both traditional retailers and the growing influence of e-commerce. While TJX has an online presence, its revenue is primarily generated from in-store purchases, leaving it vulnerable to a significant, sustained shift in consumer behavior towards pure e-commerce. Additionally, the company faces internal operational risks such as rising store wages and payroll expenses, which directly impact selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) costs and can put pressure on profitability.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The accelerated growth and mainstream adoption of online resale and recommerce platforms.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The addressable markets for TJX Companies' main products and services, off-price apparel and home fashions, across its operating regions are substantial.
United States
In the United States, the apparel market was valued at approximately USD 353.20 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to nearly USD 447.73 billion by 2034. The broader U.S. clothing and apparel market is also projected to reach USD 482.1 billion by 2032. The off-price retail market for apparel and footwear alone reached USD 101 billion in 2024. In 2024, the U.S. home furnishing market generated a revenue of approximately USD 252.3 billion, with projections to reach around USD 412.1 billion by 2030. The U.S. household furniture market was valued at USD 91.1 billion in 2024, and is expected to increase to USD 118.6 billion by 2032. Additionally, the United States home decor market was valued at USD 215.21 billion in 2025 and is expected to increase to USD 292.71 billion by 2031.
Canada
For Canada, the apparel market is projected to reach US$18.67 billion in 2024. Another estimate placed the apparel market at US$39.63 billion in 2023. The home furnishing market in Canada generated a revenue of approximately USD 94.8 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach about USD 147.3 billion by 2030. The retail furniture market in Canada was approximately US$17 billion in 2024. The Canada home furniture market reached USD 9.40 billion in 2026 and is projected to reach USD 13.21 billion by 2031. Another report indicated the Canada Home Furniture Market was valued at USD 18.5 Billion in 2023, anticipated to exceed USD 30.5 Billion by 2033.
Europe
The apparel market size in Europe was valued at USD 375.98 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 601.77 billion by 2034. The European apparel retail industry had total revenues of $402.9 billion in 2022. The off-price fashion retail market in Europe was valued at USD 222.75 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 346.15 billion by 2032. The European home furnishing market was valued at USD 94 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 129.23 billion by 2033. The Europe home furniture market size is projected to be USD 97.22 billion in 2025 and reach USD 118.83 billion by 2031. The European retail furniture market was worth EUR 165 billion (approximately USD 178.2 billion) in 2024.
Australia
In Australia, the apparel market size is estimated to be AUD 33.88 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach AUD 45.53 billion by 2035. The Australian fashion market was valued at approximately AUD 31.93 billion in 2023. The home furniture market in Australia was valued at USD 16.79 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 27.05 billion by 2030. The Australia furniture and home furnishing market was valued at AUD 14.63 billion in 2025. The Australia home decor market generated a revenue of USD 8.71 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 17.65 billion by 2030.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The TJX Companies (TJX) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies: * **Aggressive Global Store Expansion:** TJX plans to significantly expand its physical footprint by opening a substantial number of new stores across its various banners and geographies. The company aims for a long-term goal of 7,000 stores globally. For fiscal year 2027, TJX projects opening 146 net new stores, bringing its total to over 5,300 worldwide. This expansion includes adding locations in the U.S. (Marmaxx, HomeGoods, Sierra, HomeSense), Canada, Europe, and Australia, with a notable new market entry into Spain. * **Sustained Comparable Store Sales Growth:** The company anticipates continued growth in comparable store sales, driven by an increase in customer transactions and a higher average basket size. This reflects the enduring appeal of its off-price model, offering a "treasure hunt" shopping experience and strong value proposition to a wide range of customers. TJX expects overall comparable sales growth of 2% to 3% for fiscal year 2027. * **E-commerce Expansion and Integration:** While maintaining a strong brick-and-mortar focus, TJX is also investing in and growing its e-commerce businesses, including tjmaxx.com, marshalls.com, sierra.com, and tkmaxx.com in Europe. These online platforms complement its physical stores, helping to reach a wider customer base and adapt to evolving consumer shopping habits, with e-commerce sales showing double-digit growth. * **Increased Market Share Capture:** TJX is positioned to gain market share, particularly from other retailers, including traditional department stores that are closing locations. The company's off-price model, which benefits from opportunistic buying and offering branded merchandise at significant discounts, is well-suited to attract value-seeking consumers and capitalize on shifts in the retail landscape.AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- TJX Companies plans to repurchase between $2.5 billion and $2.75 billion worth of its stock during the fiscal year concluding on January 30, 2027.
- In February 2026, the board of directors sanctioned a new initiative to repurchase an additional $3 billion in common stock.
- The company repurchased $2.513 billion in fiscal 2025, $2.484 billion in fiscal 2024, and $2.255 billion in fiscal 2023.
Outbound Investments
- In fiscal year 2025, TJX Companies entered into a joint venture with Grupo Axo in Mexico, acquiring a 49% stake in Multibrand Outlet Stores.
- The company also acquired a 35% stake in Brands For Less, operating in the UAE and Saudi Arabia, during fiscal year 2025.
Capital Expenditures
- Expected capital expenditures for fiscal year 2027 are projected to be in the range of $2.2 billion to $2.3 billion.
- These expenditures are primarily focused on opening new stores, executing remodels and relocations, and making investments in the distribution network and infrastructure to support growth.
- Capital expenditures have increased from a low of $568 million in fiscal year 2021 to $1.918 billion in fiscal year 2025, with an average of $1.342 billion over the fiscal years ending January 2021 to 2025.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| TJX Stock Falls -6.3% In 8-day Spree On Broad Retail Sector Fears | 01/30/2026 | |
| TJX Stock Falls -6.1% With A 7-day Losing Spree On Retail Sector Fears | 01/29/2026 | |
| TJX Companies Earnings Notes | 12/29/2026 | |
| TJX Capital Return Hits $30 Bil in 10 Years | 10/28/2025 | |
| Is TJX Companies Stock Built to Withstand a Pullback? | 10/17/2025 | |
| Now Is Not The Time To Buy TJX Companies Stock | 08/21/2025 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| S&P 500 Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | 04/02/2026 | |
| Large Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | 11/22/2025 | |
| How Will TJX Companies Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings? | 11/18/2025 | |
| TJX Companies Stock Hands $30 Bil Back – Worth a Look? | 10/28/2025 | |
| Now is not the time to buy TJX Companies stock | 08/21/2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to TJX.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03312026 | SKY | Champion Homes | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | DPZ | Domino's Pizza | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | ETSY | Etsy | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.6% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | OLLI | Ollie's Bargain Outlet | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | PATK | Patrick Industries | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 186.96 |
| Mkt Cap | 14.8 |
| Rev LTM | 18,777 |
| Op Inc LTM | 864 |
| FCF LTM | 849 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 627 |
| CFO LTM | 1,405 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,202 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 8.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 14.8 |
| P/S | 1.6 |
| P/EBIT | 17.7 |
| P/E | 23.8 |
| P/CFO | 14.6 |
| Total Yield | 8.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.4% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -4.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 7.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 72.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 89.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 0.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 8.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 43.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 27.6% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $157.58 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 175.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 01/05/1988 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -2.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $156.05 | $144.28 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 1.0% | 9.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 19.3% | 17.7% |
| Downside Capture | -0.11 | 0.11 |
| Upside Capture | -10.62 | 44.09 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 4.3% | 35.0% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.58 | 0.13 | 0.08 | 0.07 | 0.35 | 0.49 |
| Up Beta | 1.34 | 0.11 | 0.20 | 0.31 | 0.50 | 0.57 |
| Down Beta | 0.97 | 0.26 | 0.39 | -0.03 | 0.13 | 0.38 |
| Up Capture | 27% | 36% | -8% | 18% | 38% | 31% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 24 | 31 | 65 | 132 | 398 |
| Down Capture | 37% | -19% | -12% | -7% | 28% | 66% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 18 | 32 | 61 | 119 | 351 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TJX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJX | 27.3% | 18.0% | 1.19 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 13.6% | 22.8% | 0.48 | 44.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 21.3% | 18.3% | 0.94 | 38.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 51.9% | 28.0% | 1.49 | -0.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 20.3% | 17.2% | 1.02 | -2.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.9% | 16.1% | 0.23 | 44.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -17.5% | 44.0% | -0.31 | 6.2% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TJX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJX | 20.6% | 22.3% | 0.79 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 6.1% | 23.7% | 0.22 | 54.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.7% | 17.0% | 0.53 | 53.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.5% | 17.8% | 1.04 | 3.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 12.0% | 18.8% | 0.52 | 3.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.4% | 18.8% | 0.09 | 44.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 3.1% | 56.5% | 0.28 | 17.2% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TJX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJX | 16.5% | 25.9% | 0.61 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 11.8% | 22.0% | 0.49 | 60.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.9% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 60.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.9% | 15.9% | 0.73 | -0.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.4% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 15.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.9% | 20.7% | 0.20 | 54.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.6% | 66.8% | 1.06 | 13.0% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/25/2026 | -1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% |
| 11/19/2025 | 0.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% |
| 8/20/2025 | 2.7% | 1.5% | 3.9% |
| 5/21/2025 | -2.9% | -6.5% | -8.5% |
| 2/26/2025 | 1.8% | -0.8% | -2.4% |
| 11/20/2024 | 0.2% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| 8/21/2024 | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% |
| 5/22/2024 | 3.5% | 3.8% | 13.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 16 | 13 | 15 |
| # Negative | 8 | 11 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% |
| Median Negative | -3.1% | -3.7% | -4.7% |
| Max Positive | 7.1% | 8.9% | 13.6% |
| Max Negative | -5.4% | -7.5% | -9.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 01/31/2026 | 03/31/2026 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2025 | 12/02/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 08/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2025 | 05/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 04/02/2025 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/04/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 08/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2024 | 05/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 04/03/2024 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2023 | 11/29/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 08/25/2023 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2023 | 05/26/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 03/29/2023 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2022 | 11/29/2022 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2022 | 08/26/2022 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2022 | 05/27/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2026 Earnings Reported 2/25/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2027 Comparable Sales Growth | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | ||||
| Q1 2027 Pretax Profit Margin | 10.3% | 10.35% | 10.4% | ||||
| Q1 2027 EPS | 0.97 | 0.98 | 0.99 | ||||
| 2027 Comparable Sales Growth | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | -37.5% | Lower New | Actual: 4.0% for 2026 | |
| 2027 Pretax Profit Margin | 11.7% | 11.75% | 11.8% | 1.3% | Higher New | Actual: 11.6% for 2026 | |
| 2027 EPS | 4.93 | 4.97 | 5.02 | 7.1% | Higher New | Actual: 4.64 for 2026 | |
| 2027 Share Repurchases | 2.50 Bil | 2.62 Bil | 2.75 Bil | 5.0% | Higher New | Actual: 2.50 Bil for 2026 | |
Prior: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 11/19/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2026 Consolidated Comparable Sales Growth | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | Higher New | |||
| Q4 2026 Pretax Profit Margin | 11.7% | 11.75% | 11.8% | Higher New | |||
| Q4 2026 Diluted EPS | 1.33 | 1.34 | 1.36 | Higher New | |||
| 2026 Consolidated Comparable Sales Growth | 4.0% | 33.3% | 1.0% | Raised | Guidance: 3.0% for 2026 | ||
| 2026 Pretax Profit Margin | 11.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | Raised | Guidance: 11.45% for 2026 | ||
| 2026 Diluted EPS | 4.63 | 4.64 | 4.66 | 2.2% | Raised | Guidance: 4.54 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Share Repurchases | 2.50 Bil | 11.1% | Raised | Guidance: 2.25 Bil for 2026 | |||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Herrman, Ernie | CEO & President | Direct | Sell | 11212025 | 148.81 | 30,000 | 4,464,426 | 79,636,877 | Form |
| 2 | Herrman, Ernie | CEO & President | Direct | Sell | 11212025 | 151.31 | 24,363 | 3,686,482 | 77,288,574 | Form |
| 3 | Lane, Amy B | Direct | Sell | 11212025 | 151.40 | 500 | 75,700 | 3,362,897 | Form | |
| 4 | Benjamin, Peter | SEVP, Group President | Direct | Sell | 9092025 | 139.23 | 1,500 | 208,845 | 21,003,542 | Form |
| 5 | Nemerov, Jackwyn | Direct | Sell | 9032025 | 138.00 | 1,192 | 164,496 | 132,066 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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