Treehouse Foods (THS)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $23.935 | Market Cap: $1.2 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Treehouse Foods (THS)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $23.935Market Cap: $1.2 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -25% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -87%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -116% | Key risksTHS key risks include [1] sustained pressure on private label consumption, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -25% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -87%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -116% |
| Key risksTHS key risks include [1] sustained pressure on private label consumption, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
THS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The requested time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, is in the future. As such, I cannot provide factual reasons for Treehouse Foods (THS) stock movements during this specific future period. However, based on the most recent available information, several significant events for Treehouse Foods occurred or were announced around this timeframe which could influence investor sentiment.
1. TreeHouse Foods and Investindustrial announced a definitive acquisition agreement for a total enterprise value of $2.9 billion on November 10, 2025. This agreement would result in the company's common stock no longer being listed on the New York Stock Exchange and TreeHouse Foods becoming a private company. The upfront cash consideration of $22.50 per common share represented a 38% premium to TreeHouse Foods' closing share price on September 26, 2025.
2. The acquisition agreement includes a non-transferable Contingent Value Right (CVR) per share. This CVR offers holders an opportunity to receive 85% of net proceeds, if any are recovered, from ongoing litigation related to a portion of TreeHouse Foods' coffee business. The company's economic experts in August 2020 estimated monetary damages for antitrust claims to be in the range of $719.4 million to $1.5 billion, before trebling, and $358.0 million for certain false advertising claims.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| THS Return | -12% | -5% | 22% | -16% | -15% | -32% | -51% |
| Peers Return | 4% | 9% | 20% | -13% | 14% | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| THS Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 58% | 17% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 47% | 63% | 43% | 57% | 41% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| THS Max Drawdown | -29% | -19% | -25% | -23% | -24% | -55% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -27% | -9% | -9% | -23% | -6% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: POST, CAG, KHC, GIS, K. See THS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | THS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -44.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 79.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -34.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 119 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -59.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 145.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -39.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 65.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 562 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to KHC, K, CPB, POST, BGS
In The Past
Treehouse Foods's stock fell -44.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/29/2021. A -44.4% loss requires a 79.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Treehouse Foods Earnings Notes | |||
| null | |||
| THS Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Treehouse Foods Total Shareholder Return (TSR): -15.2% in 2024 and -4.7% 3-yr compounded annual returns (below peer average) | |||
| Treehouse Foods (THS) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Treehouse Foods (THS) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Treehouse Foods (THS) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Treehouse Foods (THS) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Treehouse Foods vs. S&P500 Correlation | Correlation | ||
| Treehouse Foods Price Volatility | Volatility | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | August 12th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to THS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.8% | -5.8% | -7.5% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 14.0% | 14.0% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.5% | 7.5% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.1% | -2.1% | -5.1% |
| 11302017 | THS | Treehouse Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.1% | 14.3% | -20.4% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.8% | -5.8% | -7.5% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 14.0% | 14.0% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.5% | 7.5% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.1% | -2.1% | -5.1% |
| 11302017 | THS | Treehouse Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.1% | 14.3% | -20.4% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Treehouse Foods
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 24.75 |
| Mkt Cap | 17.3 |
| Rev LTM | 12,047 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,602 |
| FCF LTM | 895 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,014 |
| CFO LTM | 1,424 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,516 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -2.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 0.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | -1.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 13.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 12.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 17.3 |
| P/S | 1.0 |
| P/EBIT | 7.4 |
| P/E | 10.3 |
| P/CFO | 6.4 |
| Total Yield | 6.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.9% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.4% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.7% |
| 3M Rtn | -1.6% |
| 6M Rtn | -5.9% |
| 12M Rtn | -22.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | -37.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -3.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -18.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -34.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -105.9% |
Comparison Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/10/2025 | 22.7% | 25.2% | 24.9% |
| 7/31/2025 | -6.6% | -7.0% | -11.9% |
| 5/6/2025 | -5.8% | -1.6% | -6.4% |
| 2/14/2025 | -0.6% | -8.1% | -15.9% |
| 11/12/2024 | -14.3% | -12.0% | -8.9% |
| 8/5/2024 | -2.5% | 0.4% | 6.1% |
| 5/6/2024 | -7.2% | -7.0% | -0.7% |
| 2/16/2024 | -15.5% | -14.1% | -13.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 10 | 7 |
| # Negative | 16 | 14 | 17 |
| Median Positive | 4.0% | 4.2% | 7.7% |
| Median Negative | -3.3% | -7.0% | -6.7% |
| Max Positive | 22.7% | 27.1% | 27.9% |
| Max Negative | -15.5% | -14.1% | -17.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11102025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2142025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8052024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5062024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2162024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11062023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8072023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5082023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2132023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5092022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2152022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |