Treehouse Foods (THS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $23.81 | Market Cap: $1.2 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Treehouse Foods (THS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $23.81Market Cap: $1.2 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -45% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -90%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -124% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 166% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 9.6% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 48x | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.4% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.1% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -45% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 9.6% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -90%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -124% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 166% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 48x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.4% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.1% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
THS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Acquisition Agreement Announcement.
2. Significant Acquisition Premium.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| THS Return | -12% | -5% | 22% | -16% | -15% | -32% | -51% |
| Peers Return | 14% | 8% | 6% | -8% | 8% | -15% | 9% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| THS Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 58% | 10% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 53% | 60% | 45% | 53% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| THS Max Drawdown | -29% | -19% | -25% | -23% | -24% | -55% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -29% | -9% | -18% | -23% | -12% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: KHC, K, CPB, POST, BGS. See THS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | THS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -44.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 79.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -34.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 119 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -59.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 145.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -39.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 65.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 562 days | 1480 days |
Compare to KHC, K, CPB, POST, BGS
In The Past
Treehouse Foods's stock fell -44.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/29/2021. A -44.4% loss requires a 79.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Can Treehouse Foods Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn? | Return | ||
| THS Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Treehouse Foods Total Shareholder Return (TSR): -15.2% in 2024 and -4.7% 3-yr compounded annual returns (below peer average) | |||
| Treehouse Foods (THS) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Treehouse Foods (THS) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Treehouse Foods (THS) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Treehouse Foods (THS) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Treehouse Foods vs. S&P500 Correlation | Correlation | ||
| Treehouse Foods Price Volatility | Volatility | ||
| Fundamental Metrics: ... | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | August 12th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to THS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.8% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.1% | -2.1% | -2.1% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.2% | 7.2% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.4% | 1.4% | -5.1% |
| 11302017 | THS | Treehouse Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.1% | 14.3% | -20.4% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.8% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.1% | -2.1% | -2.1% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.2% | 7.2% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.4% | 1.4% | -5.1% |
| 11302017 | THS | Treehouse Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.1% | 14.3% | -20.4% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Treehouse Foods
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 27.44 |
| Mkt Cap | 7.2 |
| Rev LTM | 9,087 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,087 |
| FCF LTM | 541 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 585 |
| CFO LTM | 1,032 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,000 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -1.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 0.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 7.2 |
| P/S | 0.8 |
| P/EBIT | 7.8 |
| P/E | 15.9 |
| P/CFO | 6.7 |
| Total Yield | 4.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
| D/E | 1.0 |
| Net D/E | 0.9 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 0.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -0.2% |
| 12M Rtn | -20.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | -32.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -7.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -14.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -32.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -104.0% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2142025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8052024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5062024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2162024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11062023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8072023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5082023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2132023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5092022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2152022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11082021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |