Tearsheet

Kraft Heinz (KHC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $25.07 | Market Cap: $29.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Kraft Heinz (KHC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $25.07
Market Cap: $29.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Health & Wellness Trends, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands (Staples), Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Health & Wellness Trends, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands (Staples), Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

KHC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The specified period for Kraft Heinz (KHC) stock movement, from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, is in the future. Therefore, actual historical data for this exact timeframe, including a specific -9.1% stock movement and its causes, is not available. However, based on available future-dated earnings reports and news, here are key points that could influence Kraft Heinz's stock performance around that time, reflecting analysts' forward-looking statements and company outlooks for late 2025: 1. 1. Weaker-than-expected Q3 2025 Results and Lowered Full-Year Guidance: Kraft Heinz reported mixed Q3 2025 results on October 29, 2025. While adjusted EPS beat consensus estimates, net sales of $6.24 billion were slightly below expectations and represented a 2.3% year-over-year decline. The company also lowered its full-year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance to $2.50-$2.57 (from $2.51-$2.67) and organic net sales guidance to a decline of 3.0%-3.5% (from 1.5%-3.5%). These revised outlooks contributed to negative market sentiment. 2. 2. Margin and Profit Pressure: The Q3 2025 results indicated significant margin compression and profit pressure. Adjusted Gross Profit Margin fell 200 basis points year-over-year to 32.3%, and Adjusted Operating Income declined 16.9% year-over-year to $1.11 billion. This was attributed to inflationary pressures (especially in meats and coffee), unfavorable mix, and higher advertising and consumer (A&C) spending, partially offset by efficiencies. 3.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
KHC Return14%8%18%-5%-13%-14%3%
Peers Return4%10%15%-7%-5%-5%10%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KHC Win Rate75%50%67%50%42%40% 
Peers Win Rate40%44%46%27%31%43% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KHC Max Drawdown-36%-8%-5%-22%-15%-19% 
Peers Max Drawdown-16%-7%-5%-15%-7%-12% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MDLZ, CPB, BRBF, MEHA, HSY. See KHC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventKHCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-30.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven43.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-37.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven60.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven85 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-74.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven285.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to MDLZ, CPB, BRBF, MEHA, HSY


In The Past

Kraft Heinz's stock fell -30.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/13/2022. A -30.4% loss requires a 43.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Kraft Heinz (KHC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to KHC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%
KHC_9302020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302020KHCKraft HeinzDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
36.5%28.3%-2.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%
KHC_9302020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302020KHCKraft HeinzDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
36.5%28.3%-2.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Kraft Heinz

Peers to compare with:

Financials

KHCMDLZCPBBRBFMEHAHSYMedian
NameKraft He.Mondelez.Campbell.BRB FoodsFunction.Hershey  
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Growth & Margins

KHCMDLZCPBBRBFMEHAHSYMedian
NameKraft He.Mondelez.Campbell.BRB FoodsFunction.Hershey  
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Valuation

KHCMDLZCPBBRBFMEHAHSYMedian
NameKraft He.Mondelez.Campbell.BRB FoodsFunction.Hershey  
Mkt Cap-------
P/S-------
P/EBIT-------
P/E-------
P/CFO-------
Total Yield-------
Dividend Yield-------
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Returns

KHCMDLZCPBBRBFMEHAHSYMedian
NameKraft He.Mondelez.Campbell.BRB FoodsFunction.Hershey  
1M Rtn-------
3M Rtn-------
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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
North America20,126    
International Developed Markets3,623    
Emerging Markets2,891    
Ambient foods 3,0472,8962,9542,475
Cheese and dairy 3,9764,9225,1314,890
Coffee 9038471,0621,271
Condiments and sauces 8,2417,3026,8136,406
Desserts, toppings and baking 1,1951,1571,1211,032
Frozen and chilled foods 2,9222,6982,5992,371
Infant and nutrition 411441433512
Meats and seafood 2,7332,6132,5152,406
Nuts and salted snacks 04641,047966
Other 1,0589168551,144
Refreshment beverages 1,9991,7861,6551,504
Total26,64026,48526,04226,18524,977


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
North America5,050    
International Developed Markets522    
Emerging Markets376    
Unrealized gains/(losses) on commodity hedges-1    
Certain non-ordinary course legal and regulatory matters-2    
Restructuring activities-60    
General corporate expenses-651    
Impairment losses-662    
Total4,572    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity51,537,326
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-4.9%
Average Daily Volume19,520,516
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.64
Basic Shares Quantity1,184,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/28/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023215202410-K 12/30/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023503202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022216202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/24/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/25/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/26/2022
12312021217202210-K 12/25/2021

Industry Resources

Packaged Foods & Meats Resources
USDA Data