Tearsheet

Kraft Heinz (KHC)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $24.77 | Market Cap: $29.3 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Kraft Heinz (KHC)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $24.77
Market Cap: $29.3 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 19%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -70%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -97%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 59%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, CFO LTM is 4.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.6 Bil
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.3%
2 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 6.2%, FCF Yield is 12%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
  Key risks
KHC key risks include [1] shifting consumer preferences away from its traditional packaged food brands amid intense competition and [2] a substantial debt load that restricts its financial flexibility.
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Health & Wellness Trends, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands (Staples), Show more.
  
0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 19%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, CFO LTM is 4.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.6 Bil
2 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 6.2%, FCF Yield is 12%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Health & Wellness Trends, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands (Staples), Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -70%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -97%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 59%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.3%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12%
9 Key risks
KHC key risks include [1] shifting consumer preferences away from its traditional packaged food brands amid intense competition and [2] a substantial debt load that restricts its financial flexibility.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

KHC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

I am unable to provide key points for Kraft Heinz (KHC) stock movement for the period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, as I cannot access information for this time frame.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
KHC Return14%8%18%-5%-13%-15%2%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KHC Win Rate75%50%67%50%42%42% 
Peers Win Rate 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KHC Max Drawdown-36%-8%-5%-22%-15%-19% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MDLZ, CPB, BRBF, MEHA, HSY. See KHC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventKHCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-30.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven43.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-37.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven60.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven85 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-74.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven285.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to MDLZ, CPB, BRBF, MEHA, HSY


In The Past

Kraft Heinz's stock fell -30.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/13/2022. A -30.4% loss requires a 43.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Kraft Heinz (KHC)

Better Bets than Kraft Heinz (KHC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to KHC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.8%5.8%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.9%-5.9%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
15.4%15.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.7%6.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.7%-3.7%-5.1%
KHC_9302020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302020KHCKraft HeinzDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
36.5%28.3%-2.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.8%5.8%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.9%-5.9%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
15.4%15.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.7%6.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.7%-3.7%-5.1%
KHC_9302020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302020KHCKraft HeinzDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
36.5%28.3%-2.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Kraft Heinz

Peers to compare with:

Financials

KHCMDLZCPBBRBFMEHAHSYMedian
NameKraft He.Mondelez.Campbell.BRB FoodsFunction.Hershey  
Mkt Price24.7553.8228.71-0.24188.9428.71
Mkt Cap29.369.69.4--38.333.8
Rev LTM25,16437,64510,1580711,29510,727
Op Inc LTM4,8954,3341,294-1-02,1551,725
FCF LTM3,6312,290687-021,5791,133
FCF 3Y Avg3,0473,156698-1-1,5391,539
CFO LTM4,4743,5761,130-022,1461,638
CFO 3Y Avg4,0664,3781,1520-2,1932,193

Growth & Margins

KHCMDLZCPBBRBFMEHAHSYMedian
NameKraft He.Mondelez.Campbell.BRB FoodsFunction.Hershey  
Rev Chg LTM-3.7%4.1%2.7%-100.0%5.6%2.5%2.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.8%7.5%4.5%--5.2%4.9%
Rev Chg Q-2.3%5.9%-3.4%-21.4%26.0%5.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.6%1.5%-0.9%-4.6%5.0%1.5%
Op Mgn LTM19.5%11.5%12.7%--5.9%19.1%12.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg19.6%14.5%12.9%--21.6%17.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.9%-1.6%-0.5%-2.4%-1.9%-0.9%
CFO/Rev LTM17.8%9.5%11.1%-22.6%19.0%17.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg15.6%12.1%11.8%--19.8%13.8%
FCF/Rev LTM14.4%6.1%6.8%-22.6%14.0%14.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg11.7%8.7%7.1%--13.9%10.2%

Valuation

KHCMDLZCPBBRBFMEHAHSYMedian
NameKraft He.Mondelez.Campbell.BRB FoodsFunction.Hershey  
Mkt Cap29.369.69.4--38.333.8
P/S1.22.10.9--3.41.7
P/EBIT-5.518.9---19.918.9
P/E-7.122.916.3--24.819.6
P/CFO6.922.68.3--17.713.0
Total Yield-8.0%7.4%9.8%--6.9%7.2%
Dividend Yield6.2%3.1%3.7%--2.9%3.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg8.3%3.4%---3.9%3.9%
D/E0.70.3---0.20.3
Net D/E0.60.3---0.10.3

Returns

KHCMDLZCPBBRBFMEHAHSYMedian
NameKraft He.Mondelez.Campbell.BRB FoodsFunction.Hershey  
1M Rtn2.7%-3.1%-6.6%--35.9%5.6%-3.1%
3M Rtn-2.3%-13.7%-11.7%---0.4%-7.0%
6M Rtn-0.7%-17.7%-7.6%--13.0%-4.1%
12M Rtn-16.1%-9.6%-30.3%--9.9%-12.8%
3Y Rtn-28.0%-12.1%-44.0%---13.4%-20.7%
1M Excs Rtn1.9%-3.9%-7.3%--36.6%4.8%-3.9%
3M Excs Rtn-4.9%-15.6%-14.8%---0.7%-9.9%
6M Excs Rtn-13.0%-30.0%-20.0%--0.7%-16.5%
12M Excs Rtn-28.3%-21.5%-41.3%---4.5%-24.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-97.1%-82.1%-112.3%---83.3%-90.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
North America20,126    
International Developed Markets3,623    
Emerging Markets2,891    
Ambient foods 3,0472,8962,9542,475
Cheese and dairy 3,9764,9225,1314,890
Coffee 9038471,0621,271
Condiments and sauces 8,2417,3026,8136,406
Desserts, toppings and baking 1,1951,1571,1211,032
Frozen and chilled foods 2,9222,6982,5992,371
Infant and nutrition 411441433512
Meats and seafood 2,7332,6132,5152,406
Nuts and salted snacks 04641,047966
Other 1,0589168551,144
Refreshment beverages 1,9991,7861,6551,504
Total26,64026,48526,04226,18524,977


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
North America5,050    
International Developed Markets522    
Emerging Markets376    
Unrealized gains/(losses) on commodity hedges-1    
Certain non-ordinary course legal and regulatory matters-2    
Restructuring activities-60    
General corporate expenses-651    
Impairment losses-662    
Total4,572    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity54,296,892
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520255.4%
Average Daily Volume12,926,490
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.20
Basic Shares Quantity1,184,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/2025-4.5%-5.3%0.3%
7/30/2025-0.2%-5.3%-2.3%
4/29/20250.2%-0.8%-7.9%
2/12/2025-3.2%0.7%3.4%
10/30/2024-3.1%-3.7%-8.2%
7/31/20244.0%2.9%4.6%
5/1/2024-6.0%-7.3%-10.3%
2/14/2024-5.5%0.7%-3.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111211
# Negative131213
Median Positive2.4%3.4%6.1%
Median Negative-3.3%-3.9%-5.7%
Max Positive5.6%15.6%13.7%
Max Negative-7.6%-8.7%-18.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/28/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023215202410-K 12/30/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023503202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022216202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/24/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/25/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/26/2022
12312021217202210-K 12/25/2021

Industry Resources

Packaged Foods & Meats Resources
USDA Data