Tearsheet

Conagra Brands (CAG)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $17.23 | Market Cap: $8.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Conagra Brands (CAG)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $17.23
Market Cap: $8.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CAG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, highlighting why Conagra Brands (CAG) stock moved by -8.5%:

1. Weak First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Financial Results: Conagra Brands reported a 5.8% decrease in net sales to $2.6 billion for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, which ended August 24, 2025, compared to the prior year. Organic net sales also declined by 0.6%, driven by a 1.2% drop in volume. The company's reported diluted earnings per share (EPS) saw a significant 64.9% decrease to $0.34, down from $0.97 in the previous year.

2. Significant Decline in Adjusted Gross Profit and Gross Margin: The adjusted gross profit for Q1 FY26 fell by 11.3% to $644 million, primarily due to persistent inflation in the cost of goods sold and the impact of divested businesses. This also led to a decrease in the gross margin from 26.5% in the prior year to 24.3%.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CAG Return9%-3%18%-23%1%-34%-35%
Peers Return4%13%13%-19%2%-25%-17%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CAG Win Rate58%33%67%33%58%20% 
Peers Win Rate40%44%60%38%56%38% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CAG Max Drawdown-29%-13%-11%-31%-6%-36% 
Peers Max Drawdown-13%-5%-6%-31%-15%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: K, GIS, FLO, WEST, BRBF. See CAG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCAGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-36.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven57.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-29.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven41.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven41 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-49.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven99.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-49.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven98.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1387 days1480 days

Compare to K, GIS, FLO, WEST, BRBF


In The Past

Conagra Brands's stock fell -36.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/6/2023. A -36.5% loss requires a 57.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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About Conagra Brands (CAG)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CAG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%
CAG_9302023_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302023CAGConagra BrandsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
10.8%24.2%-5.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%
CAG_9302023_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302023CAGConagra BrandsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
10.8%24.2%-5.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Conagra Brands

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CAGKGISFLOWESTBRBFMedian
NameConagra .KellanovaGeneral .Flowers .Westrock.BRB Foods 
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Growth & Margins

CAGKGISFLOWESTBRBFMedian
NameConagra .KellanovaGeneral .Flowers .Westrock.BRB Foods 
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Valuation

CAGKGISFLOWESTBRBFMedian
NameConagra .KellanovaGeneral .Flowers .Westrock.BRB Foods 
Mkt Cap-------
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Total Yield-------
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Returns

CAGKGISFLOWESTBRBFMedian
NameConagra .KellanovaGeneral .Flowers .Westrock.BRB Foods 
1M Rtn-------
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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Grocery & Snacks4,9594,9824,6974,6254,617
Refrigerated & Frozen4,8665,1564,8594,7754,560
Foodservice1,1481,1361,008847952
International1,0781,002971939925
Total12,05112,27711,53611,18511,054


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Grocery & Snacks1,1001,0038601,093915
Refrigerated & Frozen816255561836702
International155121107132101
Foodservice15185608098
Loss on divestitures-36    
Other charges, net-54    
General corporate expenses-322-389-242-365-368
Other intangible asset impairment charges-430    
Goodwill impairment charges-526    
Pension and postretirement non-service expense (income) 24675410
Total8531,1001,4131,8311,457


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity29,051,395
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-5.7%
Average Daily Volume9,920,076
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.93
Basic Shares Quantity478,700,000
Short % of Basic Shares6.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
83120251001202510-Q 8/24/2025
5312025710202510-K 5/25/2025
2282025403202510-Q 2/23/2025
113020241219202410-Q 11/24/2024
83120241002202410-Q 8/25/2024
5312024711202410-K 5/26/2024
2292024404202410-Q 2/25/2024
11302023104202410-Q 11/26/2023
83120231005202310-Q 8/27/2023
5312023713202310-K 5/28/2023
2282023405202310-Q 2/26/2023
11302022105202310-Q 11/27/2022
83120221006202210-Q 8/28/2022
5312022721202210-K 5/29/2022
2282022407202210-Q 2/27/2022
11302021106202210-Q 11/28/2021

Industry Resources

Packaged Foods & Meats Resources
USDA Data