Conagra Brands (CAG)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $17.23 | Market Cap: $8.2 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Conagra Brands (CAG)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $17.23Market Cap: $8.2 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CAG Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, highlighting why Conagra Brands (CAG) stock moved by -8.5%:
1. Weak First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Financial Results: Conagra Brands reported a 5.8% decrease in net sales to $2.6 billion for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, which ended August 24, 2025, compared to the prior year. Organic net sales also declined by 0.6%, driven by a 1.2% drop in volume. The company's reported diluted earnings per share (EPS) saw a significant 64.9% decrease to $0.34, down from $0.97 in the previous year.
2. Significant Decline in Adjusted Gross Profit and Gross Margin: The adjusted gross profit for Q1 FY26 fell by 11.3% to $644 million, primarily due to persistent inflation in the cost of goods sold and the impact of divested businesses. This also led to a decrease in the gross margin from 26.5% in the prior year to 24.3%.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CAG Return | 9% | -3% | 18% | -23% | 1% | -34% | -35% |
| Peers Return | 4% | 13% | 13% | -19% | 2% | -25% | -17% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CAG Win Rate | 58% | 33% | 67% | 33% | 58% | 20% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 40% | 44% | 60% | 38% | 56% | 38% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CAG Max Drawdown | -29% | -13% | -11% | -31% | -6% | -36% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -13% | -5% | -6% | -31% | -15% | -29% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: K, GIS, FLO, WEST, BRBF. See CAG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CAG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -36.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 57.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -29.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 41 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -49.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 99.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -49.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 98.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1387 days | 1480 days |
Compare to K, GIS, FLO, WEST, BRBF
In The Past
Conagra Brands's stock fell -36.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/6/2023. A -36.5% loss requires a 57.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CAG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.5% | 3.5% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.1% |
| 09302023 | CAG | Conagra Brands | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.8% | 24.2% | -5.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.5% | 3.5% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.1% |
| 09302023 | CAG | Conagra Brands | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.8% | 24.2% | -5.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Conagra Brands
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Financials
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Returns
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Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grocery & Snacks | 4,959 | 4,982 | 4,697 | 4,625 | 4,617 |
| Refrigerated & Frozen | 4,866 | 5,156 | 4,859 | 4,775 | 4,560 |
| Foodservice | 1,148 | 1,136 | 1,008 | 847 | 952 |
| International | 1,078 | 1,002 | 971 | 939 | 925 |
| Total | 12,051 | 12,277 | 11,536 | 11,185 | 11,054 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grocery & Snacks | 1,100 | 1,003 | 860 | 1,093 | 915 |
| Refrigerated & Frozen | 816 | 255 | 561 | 836 | 702 |
| International | 155 | 121 | 107 | 132 | 101 |
| Foodservice | 151 | 85 | 60 | 80 | 98 |
| Loss on divestitures | -36 | ||||
| Other charges, net | -54 | ||||
| General corporate expenses | -322 | -389 | -242 | -365 | -368 |
| Other intangible asset impairment charges | -430 | ||||
| Goodwill impairment charges | -526 | ||||
| Pension and postretirement non-service expense (income) | 24 | 67 | 54 | 10 | |
| Total | 853 | 1,100 | 1,413 | 1,831 | 1,457 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 8312025 | 10012025 | 10-Q 8/24/2025 |
| 5312025 | 7102025 | 10-K 5/25/2025 |
| 2282025 | 4032025 | 10-Q 2/23/2025 |
| 11302024 | 12192024 | 10-Q 11/24/2024 |
| 8312024 | 10022024 | 10-Q 8/25/2024 |
| 5312024 | 7112024 | 10-K 5/26/2024 |
| 2292024 | 4042024 | 10-Q 2/25/2024 |
| 11302023 | 1042024 | 10-Q 11/26/2023 |
| 8312023 | 10052023 | 10-Q 8/27/2023 |
| 5312023 | 7132023 | 10-K 5/28/2023 |
| 2282023 | 4052023 | 10-Q 2/26/2023 |
| 11302022 | 1052023 | 10-Q 11/27/2022 |
| 8312022 | 10062022 | 10-Q 8/28/2022 |
| 5312022 | 7212022 | 10-K 5/29/2022 |
| 2282022 | 4072022 | 10-Q 2/27/2022 |
| 11302021 | 1062022 | 10-Q 11/28/2021 |
External Quote Links
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