Conagra Brands (CAG)
Market Price (12/23/2025): $17.28 | Market Cap: $8.3 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Conagra Brands (CAG)
Market Price (12/23/2025): $17.28Market Cap: $8.3 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.9%, Dividend Yield is 8.1%, FCF Yield is 11% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -80%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -124% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 92% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.8% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% | Key risksCAG key risks include [1] relatively high debt levels, Show more. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.9%, Dividend Yield is 8.1%, FCF Yield is 11% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -80%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -124% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 92% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.8% |
| Key risksCAG key risks include [1] relatively high debt levels, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining Conagra Brands (CAG) stock movement in the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 23, 2025: **1. Reported Net Sales Decrease.** Conagra Brands reported a 6.8% decrease in net sales and a 3.0% decrease in organic net sales for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, which ended on November 23, 2025. This performance fell short of analyst expectations. **2. Significant Net Loss Driven by Impairment Charges.** The company posted a reported diluted loss per share of $1.39 for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026. This loss was primarily a result of substantial non-cash goodwill and brand impairment charges, including a $771.3 million goodwill impairment in the Refrigerated & Frozen segment and $197.0 million in other intangible impairments, leading to a net loss of $663.6 million, a reversal from a profit in the prior year. **3. Steep Decline in Adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS).** While adjusted EPS of $0.45 for the second quarter slightly beat analyst estimates, it represented a significant 35.7% decline compared to $0.70 per share in the same period last year. **4. Reduced Sales Volumes.** The 3.0% decrease in organic net sales was primarily driven by a 3.0% decline in volume, indicating ongoing macroeconomic headwinds impacting consumer purchasing behavior. **5. Margin Contraction.** Gross profit decreased by 17.8% and adjusted gross margin contracted by 292 basis points to 23.4% in the second quarter. This was due to lower net sales, the negative impact of cost of goods sold inflation, and lost profit from divested businesses, alongside a 4 percentage point contraction in adjusted operating margin to 11.3%. Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -3.8% change in CAG stock from 9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a -3.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| 9222025 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 17.95 | 17.26 | -3.85% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 11612.80 | 11234.50 | -3.26% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.74 | 0.74 | -0.40% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 478.00 | 479.00 | -0.21% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -3.85% |
Market Drivers
9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CAG | -3.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 2.7% | -6.6% |
| Sector (XLP) | -0.1% | 64.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -17.0% change in CAG stock from 6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a -13.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 6232025 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 20.79 | 17.26 | -16.99% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 11736.90 | 11234.50 | -4.28% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.85 | 0.74 | -13.11% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 478.10 | 479.00 | -0.19% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -16.99% |
Market Drivers
6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CAG | -17.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.4% | -1.9% |
| Sector (XLP) | -3.7% | 60.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -31.9% change in CAG stock from 12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a -27.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 12222024 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 25.36 | 17.26 | -31.95% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 11928.80 | 11234.50 | -5.82% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.02 | 0.74 | -27.59% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 478.00 | 479.00 | -0.21% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -31.95% |
Market Drivers
12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CAG | -31.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.9% | 5.7% |
| Sector (XLP) | 0.0% | 61.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -48.1% change in CAG stock from 12/23/2022 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a -45.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 12232022 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 33.27 | 17.26 | -48.13% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 11786.90 | 11234.50 | -4.69% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.36 | 0.74 | -45.76% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 480.60 | 479.00 | 0.33% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -48.13% |
Market Drivers
12/23/2023 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CAG | -32.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 47.7% | 4.0% |
| Sector (XLP) | 14.6% | 58.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CAG Return | 9% | -3% | 18% | -23% | 1% | -33% | -35% |
| Peers Return | 5% | 4% | 24% | -13% | -9% | -22% | -15% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 113% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CAG Win Rate | 58% | 33% | 67% | 33% | 58% | 25% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 48% | 72% | 42% | 47% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CAG Max Drawdown | -29% | -13% | -11% | -31% | -6% | -36% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -18% | -14% | -9% | -25% | -16% | -26% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GIS, HRL, SJM, CPB, LW. See CAG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/22/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CAG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -36.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 57.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -29.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 41 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -49.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 99.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -49.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 98.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,387 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to GIS, HRL, SJM, CPB, LW
In The Past
Conagra Brands's stock fell -36.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/6/2023. A -36.5% loss requires a 57.5% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
- It's like a Kraft Heinz for brands such as Birds Eye, Slim Jim, and Chef Boyardee.
- The Procter & Gamble of everyday food brands.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Frozen Meals and Vegetables: Conagra offers a variety of frozen foods including vegetables, complete meals, and pot pies under brands like Birds Eye, Marie Callender's, and Healthy Choice.
- Snacks: This category includes popular items such as Orville Redenbacher's popcorn, Slim Jim meat sticks, and Boomchickapop ready-to-eat popcorn.
- Sweet Treats and Baking: Major products feature Duncan Hines baking mixes and frostings, Swiss Miss hot cocoa, and Reddi-wip whipped topping.
- Canned Goods: Conagra produces canned tomatoes and sauces under the Hunt's brand, alongside various canned pasta meals from Chef Boyardee.
- Plant-Based Foods: This segment includes meat alternatives from Gardein and plant-based spreads from Earth Balance, catering to growing dietary preferences.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Conagra Brands (CAG) primarily sells its products to other companies, specifically to various retail and foodservice customers who then sell to individual consumers. Here are Conagra Brands' major customers and customer categories:- Walmart Inc. (WMT): Walmart Inc. and its affiliates consistently represent Conagra Brands' largest customer, accounting for approximately 25% of their net sales in recent fiscal years.
- Other Major Retail Chains: This category includes large grocery chains, mass merchandisers, and club stores across the United States. Examples of public companies in this category include:
- The Kroger Co. (KR)
- Target Corporation (TGT)
- Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST)
- Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI)
- Foodservice Distributors: Conagra also sells to foodservice distributors, who supply restaurants, schools, healthcare facilities, and other institutions. Examples of public companies in this category include:
- Sysco Corporation (SYY)
- US Foods Holding Corp. (USFD)
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Sean M. Connolly, President and Chief Executive Officer
Sean M. Connolly joined Conagra Brands in March 2015. Prior to Conagra, he served as President and CEO of The Hillshire Brands Company from its formation as an independent company to its sale to Tyson Foods in August 2014. Before leading Hillshire Brands, he was CEO for Sara Lee North American Retail and Foodservice, and President of Campbell Soup North America. Earlier in his career, Connolly managed numerous food and beverage businesses at Procter & Gamble.
David S. Marberger, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
David S. Marberger has been the Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President of Conagra Brands since 2016. Prior to Conagra, he served as Chief Financial Officer of Prestige Brands Holdings, Inc. from 2015 to 2016. He also held the role of Chief Financial Officer and Senior Vice President of Godiva Chocolatier, Inc. from 2008 to 2015. Before joining Godiva, Mr. Marberger served as Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President from 2006 to 2008, and Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer from 2003 to 2006 at Tasty Baking Company.
Tom McGough, Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer
Tom McGough joined Conagra Brands (formerly ConAgra Foods) in 2007. He has held various leadership roles within the company, including President of Conagra Brands' Operating segments. Mr. McGough is a 30-year veteran of the branded food business, having started his career at H.J. Heinz in 1990.
Carey Bartell, Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary
Carey Bartell oversees all legal and governmental affairs activity for Conagra Brands, having joined the company in 2016. Prior to Conagra Brands, she worked for eight years at Hospira, Inc., a global pharmaceutical and medical device company, serving as senior counsel and later as vice president, legal.
Charisse Brock, Executive Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer
Charisse Brock joined Conagra in 2004 as Director of Human Resources of the Refrigerated Foods Group. She previously held various roles at The Quaker Oats Company in the Consumer Foods division for more than 15 years.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Conagra Brands (CAG) primarily revolve around intense market competition, supply chain vulnerabilities coupled with inflationary pressures, and notable financial risks.
- Intense Competition and Evolving Consumer Preferences: Conagra operates within a highly competitive food sector, facing significant challenges from both established rivals like Kraft Heinz, Nestlé, and General Mills, and the growing presence of private-label brands. The company must continuously adapt to rapidly changing consumer preferences, including an increasing demand for healthier, organic, and sustainable food options. A failure to innovate, introduce new products in a timely manner, or meet these evolving tastes can lead to reduced sales and diminished profitability.
- Supply Chain Disruptions and Input Cost Inflation: Conagra is exposed to substantial risks stemming from supply chain disruptions, transportation challenges, and labor issues. These factors, along with elevated input costs for commodities and energy, can result in higher production expenses, squeezed profit margins, inventory shortages, and difficulties in product allocation. Geopolitical turmoil can further exacerbate these supply chain vulnerabilities.
- Financial Risks: The company's financial health is subject to risks associated with relatively high debt levels and a lower current ratio, which can impact its liquidity and capacity to fund daily operations and pursue growth opportunities. Furthermore, Conagra has experienced declining profitability, partly attributed to increased selling, general, and administrative expenses, as well as higher interest expenses.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The clear emerging threat to Conagra Brands (CAG) is the acceleration and mainstream adoption of consumer preferences for fresh, minimally processed, organic, and plant-based foods, which is being effectively capitalized upon by a proliferation of smaller, agile, and often digitally native food brands. These challenger brands frequently utilize direct-to-consumer (DTC) models or specialized retail channels, allowing them to quickly innovate, build direct customer relationships, and capture market share in high-growth segments without the legacy infrastructure and product portfolios of traditional packaged food giants. This shift fundamentally challenges Conagra's reliance on mass-market processed foods and established retail distribution, mirroring how new business models and product offerings disrupted incumbents in the provided historical examples.
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Conagra Brands (CAG) operates in several large addressable markets, primarily within the United States and North America. Their main product categories include frozen foods, snacks (savory and sweet), condiments and sauces, and staple foods.
- Frozen Foods: The U.S. frozen food market was estimated at USD 83.50 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 89.94 billion in 2025. This market is expected to grow to USD 132.67 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.1% from 2025 to 2030. Another estimate places the U.S. frozen food market at USD 83.52 billion in 2024, growing to USD 183.68 billion by 2034 with a CAGR of 8.2% from 2025 to 2034. Within this category, frozen meals represented a 34.6% revenue share in the U.S. in 2024, with the U.S. frozen cooked ready meals market specifically valued at USD 12.9 billion in 2024. The U.S. frozen snacks segment is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 11.6% from 2025 to 2030. Globally, the frozen ready meals market reached USD 298.9 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 455.25 billion by 2032, at a CAGR of 5.40%.
- Snacks (Savory and Sweet): The U.S. snacks market was estimated at USD 172.54 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to exceed USD 193.51 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of approximately 2.18%. Another report valued the U.S. snack market at US$156.7 billion in 2022. The North America savory snacks market was valued at USD 44 billion and is anticipated to grow from US$ 44.2 billion in 2024 to US$ 82.25 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 7.15% from 2025 to 2033. The U.S. represents a significant portion of the savory snacks market, accounting for USD 78.2 billion in 2024. The North America sweet & salty snacks market is forecast to reach approximately USD 97.8 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 2.70% during the forecast period of 2024-2030. Globally, the savory snacks market reached USD 267.7 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 472.7 billion by 2034, at a CAGR of 5.7%.
- Condiments and Sauces: The U.S. was the largest global market for sauces, dips, and condiments, with retail sales of US$31.5 billion in 2022. The U.S. Sauces, Dressings & Condiments Market was valued at approximately USD 36.11 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 41.18 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of around 2.66% from 2025 to 2030. The market size for Seasoning, Sauce and Condiment Production in the U.S. was $33.0 billion in 2024 and is projected to be $33.3 billion in 2025. The U.S. condiments market is projected to reach USD 32.84 billion by 2032. Globally, the condiments market was valued at USD 94.88 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 153.97 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 6.30%.
- Staple Foods: The United States staple market is projected to grow from USD 25.5 billion in 2024 to USD 40.5 billion by 2035, reflecting a CAGR of 4.3% from 2025 to 2035. Globally, the staple food market is expected to reach $2.6 trillion by 2031, with a market growth of 7.0% CAGR. Another estimate values the global branded food staple market at USD 69.5 billion in 2024, with an expected increase to USD 126.9 billion by 2034, at a CAGR of 6.2%.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Conagra Brands (CAG) is focused on several key drivers to stimulate future revenue growth over the next two to three years. These strategies involve enhancing brand performance, optimizing its product portfolio, and expanding into high-growth categories.
- Volume Growth Through Brand Investment and Consumer Engagement: Conagra is strategically investing in its brands and trade merchandising to drive volume improvement in its domestic retail business. The company has observed sequential volume trend improvement across its snacks, frozen meals, refrigerated, and international segments, anticipating continued positive traction. Conagra aims to nudge volumes back to positive growth without resorting to deep discounting, focusing on long-term revenue and earnings enhancement.
- Strategic Focus on Frozen and Snacks Categories: A significant portion of Conagra's growth strategy centers on its key Frozen and Snacks domains. The company has reported market share gains and positive volume consumption growth in these areas, particularly in segments like plant-based proteins (Healthy Choice), fresh-cut vegetables and meal kits (Birds Eye), and permissible snacking options such as Slim Jim, Duke's, David, and Angie's BOOMCHICKAPOP.
- Portfolio Optimization through Acquisitions and Divestitures: Conagra is actively reshaping its brand portfolio to concentrate on high-growth and high-margin opportunities. This includes strategic acquisitions, such as FATTY Smoked Meat Sticks in Q1 FY2025 to bolster its presence in the meat stick category. Simultaneously, the company has divested non-core assets like the Van de Kamp's and Mrs. Paul's frozen seafood brands in June 2025, and Chef Boyardee in 2024, to reallocate resources towards more strategically vital and profitable offerings.
- Product Innovation and Development: Innovation is a core pillar of Conagra's growth strategy, particularly within its priority frozen and snacks categories. The company is committed to introducing new products, expanding its plant-based offerings, and developing solutions like fresh-cut vegetables and meal kits. Conagra's research and development efforts also extend to areas like sustainable packaging and leveraging AI-driven consumer insights.
- Productivity Improvements and Cost Savings: While primarily impacting profitability, Conagra's focus on productivity initiatives and cost savings indirectly supports revenue growth. These efforts allow the company to mitigate the impact of inflation and tariffs, free up capital for strategic investments in brand building and product innovation, and maintain competitive pricing. Conagra anticipates approximately $350 million in gross productivity savings for fiscal 2025 and aims for $1 billion in cost savings by the end of fiscal 2025.
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Share Repurchases
- Conagra Brands reported annual share buybacks of $150 million in fiscal year 2023.
- Share buybacks totaled $50 million in fiscal year 2022.
- The company plans to resume a minimal amount of share repurchases in fiscal year 2025 to offset dilution from equity incentive plans.
Share Issuance
- Conagra Brands reported $2.3 million from the exercise of stock options and issuance of other stock awards, including tax withholdings, in fiscal year 2023.
- For fiscal year 2022, activities related to the exercise of stock options and issuance of other stock awards, including tax withholdings, resulted in a net negative impact of $(11.3) million.
- In fiscal year 2021, the exercise of stock options and issuance of other stock awards, including tax withholdings, resulted in a net negative impact of $(0.1) million.
Outbound Investments
- In the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, Conagra Brands acquired The FATTY Smoked Meat Sticks.
- During the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, the company completed the sale of its 51.8% ownership stake in Agro Tech Foods Limited for net proceeds of $76.8 million.
- Historically, Conagra Brands has made two investments in other companies, including Flipkart, and has acquired 17 companies, including Sweetwood Smokehouse and Pinnacle Foods.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for fiscal year 2025 were $389.3 million, for fiscal year 2024 were $388.1 million, and for fiscal year 2023 were $362.2 million.
- Conagra Brands has projected capital expenditures of approximately $500 million for fiscal year 2024 (preliminary estimate) and $450 million for fiscal year 2026.
- The primary focus of capital expenditures includes increasing investments to support supply chain resiliency, significantly boosting chicken production to meet higher-than-expected demand for new products, and resolving frozen vegetable shortages.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to CAG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.3% | -2.3% | -2.3% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.3% | -6.3% | -7.5% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.1% | 10.1% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.4% | -5.4% | -5.4% |
| 09302023 | CAG | Conagra Brands | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.8% | 24.2% | -5.2% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons for Conagra Brands
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 35.67 |
| Mkt Cap | 9.5 |
| Rev LTM | 10,696 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,305 |
| FCF LTM | 669 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 785 |
| CFO LTM | 1,050 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,210 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 0.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 0.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | -1.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 9.5 |
| P/S | 1.0 |
| P/EBIT | 8.5 |
| P/E | 12.4 |
| P/CFO | 9.2 |
| Total Yield | 9.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 4.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.2% |
| D/E | 0.7 |
| Net D/E | 0.7 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -4.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -5.7% |
| 6M Rtn | -13.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -25.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | -42.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -7.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -9.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -25.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -42.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -119.3% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grocery & Snacks | 4,959 | 4,982 | 4,697 | 4,625 | 4,617 |
| Refrigerated & Frozen | 4,866 | 5,156 | 4,859 | 4,775 | 4,560 |
| Foodservice | 1,148 | 1,136 | 1,008 | 847 | 952 |
| International | 1,078 | 1,002 | 971 | 939 | 925 |
| Total | 12,051 | 12,277 | 11,536 | 11,185 | 11,054 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grocery & Snacks | 1,100 | 1,003 | 860 | 1,093 | 915 |
| Refrigerated & Frozen | 816 | 255 | 561 | 836 | 702 |
| International | 155 | 121 | 107 | 132 | 101 |
| Foodservice | 151 | 85 | 60 | 80 | 98 |
| Loss on divestitures | -36 | ||||
| Other charges, net | -54 | ||||
| General corporate expenses | -322 | -389 | -242 | -365 | -368 |
| Other intangible asset impairment charges | -430 | ||||
| Goodwill impairment charges | -526 | ||||
| Pension and postretirement non-service expense (income) | 24 | 67 | 54 | 10 | |
| Total | 853 | 1,100 | 1,413 | 1,831 | 1,457 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $17.26 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 8.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 09/07/1984 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -34.1% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $17.54 | $20.04 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -1.6% | -13.9% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 24.7% | 25.2% |
| Downside Capture | -9.31 | 10.93 |
| Upside Capture | -27.08 | -28.37 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -7.0% | 6.0% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.24 | -0.12 | -0.09 | 0.10 | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| Up Beta | -0.94 | -0.39 | -0.34 | 0.47 | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| Down Beta | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 0.03 | 0.01 |
| Up Capture | 75% | -15% | -22% | -25% | -14% | -1% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 38 | 73 | 141 | 426 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 20 | 28 | 56 | 113 | 349 |
| Down Capture | 45% | -15% | -1% | 32% | 15% | 37% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 21 | 34 | 68 | 133 | 393 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of CAG With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAG | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -33.8% | -1.8% | 14.7% | 67.3% | 6.8% | -0.5% | -16.6% |
| Annualized Volatility | 25.2% | 13.9% | 19.7% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 35.4% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.67 | -0.37 | 0.57 | 2.54 | 0.23 | -0.18 | -0.25 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 61.4% | 7.1% | -5.1% | -8.6% | 43.2% | -2.3% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLP, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of CAG With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAG | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -9.5% | 5.8% | 15.0% | 18.9% | 11.8% | 5.1% | 35.8% |
| Annualized Volatility | 22.2% | 13.0% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.9% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.49 | 0.24 | 0.71 | 0.98 | 0.51 | 0.18 | 0.63 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 60.7% | 16.0% | 1.3% | -3.1% | 32.5% | 0.7% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLP, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of CAG With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAG | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -2.2% | 7.4% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 69.9% |
| Annualized Volatility | 25.6% | 14.7% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.06 | 0.38 | 0.71 | 0.84 | 0.30 | 0.23 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 53.9% | 26.6% | 1.6% | 4.4% | 31.4% | 4.7% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLP, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 12/19/2025 | -2.5% | ||
| 10/1/2025 | 5.4% | 3.3% | -5.1% |
| 7/10/2025 | -4.4% | -6.6% | -3.8% |
| 4/3/2025 | 1.5% | -2.6% | -8.2% |
| 12/19/2024 | -2.0% | 0.7% | -7.5% |
| 10/2/2024 | -8.1% | -10.8% | -10.1% |
| 7/11/2024 | -1.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% |
| 4/4/2024 | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| # Negative | 13 | 12 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% |
| Median Negative | -2.5% | -2.6% | -4.8% |
| Max Positive | 5.4% | 10.9% | 21.9% |
| Max Negative | -8.1% | -10.8% | -10.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | 12192025 | 10-Q 11/23/2025 |
| 8312025 | 10012025 | 10-Q 8/24/2025 |
| 5312025 | 7102025 | 10-K 5/25/2025 |
| 2282025 | 4032025 | 10-Q 2/23/2025 |
| 11302024 | 12192024 | 10-Q 11/24/2024 |
| 8312024 | 10022024 | 10-Q 8/25/2024 |
| 5312024 | 7112024 | 10-K 5/26/2024 |
| 2292024 | 4042024 | 10-Q 2/25/2024 |
| 11302023 | 1042024 | 10-Q 11/26/2023 |
| 8312023 | 10052023 | 10-Q 8/27/2023 |
| 5312023 | 7132023 | 10-K 5/28/2023 |
| 2282023 | 4052023 | 10-Q 2/26/2023 |
| 11302022 | 1052023 | 10-Q 11/27/2022 |
| 8312022 | 10062022 | 10-Q 8/28/2022 |
| 5312022 | 7212022 | 10-K 5/29/2022 |
| 2282022 | 4072022 | 10-Q 2/27/2022 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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