Tearsheet

Hanover Insurance (THG)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $178.69 | Market Cap: $6.4 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance

Hanover Insurance (THG)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $178.69
Market Cap: $6.4 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.5%, FCF Yield is 15%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.2%, Dist 3Y High is -3.2%
 
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -58%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -39%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include AI in Financial Services, Digital Transformation, and Data-Driven Economy. Themes include AI for Fraud Detection, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.5%, FCF Yield is 15%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -58%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include AI in Financial Services, Digital Transformation, and Data-Driven Economy. Themes include AI for Fraud Detection, Show more.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.2%, Dist 3Y High is -3.2%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -39%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

THG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Based on the search results, I have the following relevant information for Hanover Insurance (THG): * **Stock price on August 31, 2025:** * The closest available date is September 1, 2025, with a stock price of $180.59 (from a graph, approximately - not explicitly stated as closing price, but the lowest point in a chart starting Sept 1, 2025 to Dec 1, 2025). More precisely, on September 3, 2025, a chart shows around 45.90. However, result shows individual daily prices, and September 1, 2025 is not listed. September 30, 2025, had a price of $181.63. For August, result mentions an offering closing around August 21, 2025, but no price for August 31, 2025. Result has analyst ratings trends from Aug '25. Given the dates, it's difficult to pinpoint Aug 31, 2025, but given the stock history in the price around that time seems to be in the range of $175-$180. Let's look for a closer date. Result shows insider selling on Aug 5, 2025, at $49.61 and Aug 1, 2025, at $168.15. This discrepancy makes finding a precise price for Aug 31, 2025, hard with the current snippets. Let's assume the $168.15 for Aug 1, 2025 is closer, or use the earliest available data from, which is September 9, 2025, at $179.30. * **Stock price on December 4, 2025 (today):** * As of December 3, 2025, THG stock traded within a range of $178.73 to $185.44, with shares at $179.98. * As of December 1, 2025, the closing stock price was $185.91. * On December 2, 2025, it reached a new 52-week high of $188.00 and last traded around $187.26. It closed at $186.1250. To calculate a 4.3% movement, I need a start and end price. Let's use the closest available reliable data for the start: September 9, 2025, closing price of $179.30. For the end date, let's use the closing price of December 3, 2025, which is $179.98 (based on "shares now at $179.98"). Or, the last updated price on December 2, 2025, at $187.26. Let's use the most recent definite closing price available, which is $185.91 on December 1, 2025. Let's calculate the movement from September 9, 2025 ($179.30) to December 1, 2025 ($185.91). Percentage change = (($185.91 - $179.30) / $179.30) * 100 = (6.61 / 179.30) * 100 = 3.69%. This is not 4.3%. The prompt explicitly states "why the stocked moved by 4.3%". This implies a specific movement that occurred. Since my calculation does not match 4.3%, I cannot directly answer "why the stock moved by 4.3%". I need to address the user's specific request for a 4.3% movement. If the actual movement wasn't 4.3%, I cannot explain *that specific* movement. I should explain the movement that *did* happen, if possible, or state that the 4.3% movement did not occur in the specified (or closest available) timeframe. The instruction "highlight the key points for why the stocked moved by 4.3%" means I need to explain a 4.3% movement. If that movement didn't happen, I can't explain it. Let me look for any mention of a 4.3% movement in the results. Result mentions "Hanover Insurance (THG) Is Up 5.1% After Launching HSIP Advantage and Posting Strong Q3 Earnings". Result mentions "Hanover Insurance Group’s narrative projects $7.3 billion revenue and $637.5 million earnings by 2028. This requires 4.3% yearly revenue growth and an $83 million earnings increase from $554.5 million.". This 4.3% refers to *projected revenue growth*, not stock price movement. Therefore, a 4.3% stock movement for THG in the period from 8/31/2025 to 12/4/2025 (or closest available) cannot be confirmed from the provided search results. I cannot explain a movement that isn't confirmed. Given the strict instructions "Do not apologize if unable to complete request. Do not include any disclaimers or caveats in your output." and "Limit the number of key points to 5." and "Apply HTML formatting to the output. Number each point using plain text rather than HTML numbered lists. Bold each point including the number using HTML tags. Separate points from each other using two HTML breaks. If there is text preceding the first point, separate that from the first point using two HTML breaks. Limit HTML tags in output used to bold and breaks only. Do not include any disclaimers or caveats in your output." Since I cannot confirm the 4.3% movement for the specified period, I cannot provide reasons for it. I should state this factually and concisely, without apologies or caveats, and without providing numbered points for a non-existent movement. I will state that the specified 4.3% stock movement cannot be confirmed for the given period. This fulfills the negative constraints by not apologizing or giving caveats, and it doesn't provide incorrect information by explaining a non-existent 4.3% movement. Final decision: I will state that the requested 4.3% stock movement for Hanover Insurance (THG) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, cannot be confirmed based on the available information.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
THG Return-12%15%5%-8%31%21%55%
Peers Return2%22%-1%22%23%5%93%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
THG Win Rate67%58%50%50%67%60% 
Peers Win Rate62%57%45%57%55%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
THG Max Drawdown-38%-4%-4%-22%0%-5% 
Peers Max Drawdown-38%-6%-16%-4%-8%-10% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AXS, FAF, ESNT, SIGI, PGR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTHGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-32.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven48.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven422 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-40.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven409 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-19.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven23.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven200 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-44.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven79.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1500 days1480 days

Compare to AXS, FAF, ESNT, SIGI, PGR


In The Past

Hanover Insurance's stock fell -32.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -32.4% loss requires a 48.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Hanover Insurance (THG)

Better Bets than Hanover Insurance (THG)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to THG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%
THG_3312020_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield03312020THGHanover InsuranceDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
2.9%46.4%-6.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%
THG_3312020_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield03312020THGHanover InsuranceDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
2.9%46.4%-6.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Hanover Insurance

Peers to compare with:

Financials

THGAXSFAFESNTSIGIPGRMedian
NameHanover .Axis Cap.First Am.Essent Selectiv.Progress. 
Mkt Price179.9899.5864.7761.8878.05227.1888.81
Mkt Cap6.47.76.76.04.7133.26.6
Rev LTM6,4836,2867,0801,2905,22882,3766,385
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM1,004-3167048371,15316,472920
FCF 3Y Avg71177046179898212,350784
CFO LTM1,013-3169068541,18916,800960
CFO 3Y Avg7227706938081,01112,634789

Growth & Margins

THGAXSFAFESNTSIGIPGRMedian
NameHanover .Axis Cap.First Am.Essent Selectiv.Progress. 
Rev Chg LTM5.2%7.5%20.7%2.1%10.9%21.5%9.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.9%5.7%-3.3%8.2%14.6%20.0%7.5%
Rev Chg Q6.2%11.4%40.7%-1.3%9.3%21.3%10.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.5%2.8%8.8%-0.3%2.3%4.9%2.6%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM15.6%-5.0%12.8%66.2%22.7%20.4%18.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.6%13.6%10.7%67.1%21.5%18.0%15.8%
FCF/Rev LTM15.5%-5.0%9.9%64.8%22.0%20.0%17.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg11.4%13.6%7.0%66.4%20.9%17.6%15.6%

Valuation

THGAXSFAFESNTSIGIPGRMedian
NameHanover .Axis Cap.First Am.Essent Selectiv.Progress. 
Mkt Cap6.47.76.76.04.7133.26.6
P/S1.01.20.94.80.91.91.1
P/EBIT7.86.18.37.28.811.78.0
P/E10.37.313.78.812.115.011.2
P/CFO6.4-23.57.37.34.19.36.8
Total Yield11.7%15.6%10.7%13.3%10.1%8.5%11.2%
Dividend Yield2.0%2.0%3.4%2.0%1.8%1.8%2.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg13.2%13.4%7.2%13.4%17.9%10.3%13.3%
D/E0.20.20.40.10.20.00.2
Net D/E-0.6-0.6-0.0-0.9-0.1-0.0-0.3

Returns

THGAXSFAFESNTSIGIPGRMedian
NameHanover .Axis Cap.First Am.Essent Selectiv.Progress. 
1M Rtn5.4%5.6%4.2%2.1%6.0%11.5%5.5%
3M Rtn1.9%1.8%0.2%-1.2%-0.9%-7.9%-0.4%
6M Rtn4.9%-3.7%18.2%9.0%-9.9%-19.4%0.6%
12M Rtn12.6%8.4%-3.7%11.1%-20.0%-11.7%2.4%
3Y Rtn32.8%87.4%35.7%66.3%-14.0%76.6%51.0%
1M Excs Rtn5.4%5.6%4.3%2.1%6.1%11.6%5.5%
3M Excs Rtn-5.6%-4.6%-6.8%-7.9%-8.5%-14.1%-7.3%
6M Excs Rtn-9.8%-18.4%3.4%-5.7%-24.6%-34.1%-14.1%
12M Excs Rtn-2.1%-4.5%-18.0%-3.7%-35.6%-27.3%-11.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-39.1%17.4%-36.2%-2.5%-87.3%7.2%-19.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Property and Casualty14,52613,91114,14713,33412,388
Assets of discontinued business8784107110103
Total14,61313,99514,25413,44412,490


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity677,337
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120254.2%
Average Daily Volume178,175
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.80
Basic Shares Quantity35,800,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024224202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021