Hanover Insurance (THG)
Market Price (6/27/2026): $212.6 | Market Cap: $7.5 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance
Hanover Insurance (THG)
Market Price (6/27/2026): $212.6Market Cap: $7.5 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Property & Casualty Insurance
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.1%, FCF Yield is 17% Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -16% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 21% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include AI in Financial Services, Digital Transformation, and Data-Driven Economy. Themes include AI for Fraud Detection, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% | Key risksTHG key risks include [1] underwriting challenges in its Core Commercial lines, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.1%, FCF Yield is 17% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -16% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 21% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include AI in Financial Services, Digital Transformation, and Data-Driven Economy. Themes include AI for Fraud Detection, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
| Key risksTHG key risks include [1] underwriting challenges in its Core Commercial lines, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Hanover Insurance (THG) stock has gained about 20% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Performance.
Hanover Insurance Group reported robust financial results for its fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), significantly surpassing analyst expectations. The company announced earnings per share (EPS) of $5.25 on April 29, 2026, beating estimates of $4.23 by $1.02. Additionally, revenue reached $1.70 billion, exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.59 billion. The company also achieved a strong operating return on equity (ROE) of 20.3% in fiscal Q1 2026.
2. Proactive Shareholder Returns and Capital Management.
During the specified period, Hanover demonstrated a commitment to shareholder value through capital returns. On May 13, 2026, the company authorized a new $700 million share repurchase program, which allows for the repurchase of up to 10.6% of its outstanding shares. This was complemented by the declaration of a quarterly dividend of $0.95 per common share on June 1, 2026.
Show more
Hanover Insurance (THG) stock has gained about 20% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Performance.
Hanover Insurance Group reported robust financial results for its fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), significantly surpassing analyst expectations. The company announced earnings per share (EPS) of $5.25 on April 29, 2026, beating estimates of $4.23 by $1.02. Additionally, revenue reached $1.70 billion, exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.59 billion. The company also achieved a strong operating return on equity (ROE) of 20.3% in fiscal Q1 2026.
2. Proactive Shareholder Returns and Capital Management.
During the specified period, Hanover demonstrated a commitment to shareholder value through capital returns. On May 13, 2026, the company authorized a new $700 million share repurchase program, which allows for the repurchase of up to 10.6% of its outstanding shares. This was complemented by the declaration of a quarterly dividend of $0.95 per common share on June 1, 2026.
3. Favorable U.S. Property & Casualty Insurance Market Conditions.
The broader U.S. property & casualty (P&C) insurance industry experienced an improved financial environment in fiscal Q1 2026. The industry recorded an estimated net underwriting gain of approximately $15.8 billion, a substantial turnaround from an $864 million underwriting loss in fiscal Q1 2025. This improvement was supported by a strong industry-wide combined ratio of 92.4% in fiscal Q1 2026, a decrease from 99.2% in the prior year, primarily due to moderating inflation and a period of fewer significant natural catastrophe losses.
4. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Increased Price Targets.
Analyst confidence in Hanover Insurance Group remained strong, with the company maintaining a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating. Multiple research firms raised their price targets for THG within the period. Notably, Oppenheimer increased its target from $205.00 to $220.00 on May 21st, and Piper Sandler raised its target from $212.00 to $220.00 on May 26th, reflecting an optimistic outlook on the stock's future performance. The average price target for the stock is $207.00.
Show less
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 18.9% change in THG stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 8.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6262026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 178.78 | 212.61 | 18.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6,567 | 6,662 | 1.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 10.1% | 10.8% | 7.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 9.6 | 10.4 | 8.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36 | 35 | 0.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 18.9% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| THG | 18.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 6.6% | -3.7% |
| Sector (XLF) | 4.7% | 38.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 16.4% change in THG stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 11.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6262026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 182.70 | 212.61 | 16.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6,483 | 6,662 | 2.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 10.4 | 10.4 | 0.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36 | 35 | 1.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 16.4% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| THG | 16.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.3% | -6.6% |
| Sector (XLF) | 1.3% | 33.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 24.0% change in THG stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 54.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6262026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 171.52 | 212.61 | 24.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6,271 | 6,662 | 6.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.0% | 10.8% | 54.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 14.1 | 10.4 | -26.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36 | 35 | 2.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 24.0% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| THG | 24.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 25.1% | 2.8% |
| Sector (XLF) | 6.7% | 38.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 106.1% change in THG stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 70.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6262026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 103.14 | 212.61 | 106.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5,556 | 6,662 | 19.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.7 | 1.1 | 70.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36 | 35 | 1.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 106.1% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| THG | 106.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 81.3% | 23.1% |
| Sector (XLF) | 77.0% | 51.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| THG Return | 15% | 5% | -8% | 31% | 21% | 15% | 102% |
| Peers Return | 26% | 12% | 5% | 35% | 18% | 7% | 154% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 7% | 96% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| THG Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 50% | 67% | 58% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 60% | 60% | 68% | 58% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| THG Max Drawdown | -14% | -19% | -29% | -12% | -14% | -8% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -14% | -23% | -21% | -11% | -13% | -10% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: TRV, CB, HIG, CINF, ALL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/26/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | THG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -22.3% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.7% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 398 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -38.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 63.3% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 380 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -10.9% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.2% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 30 days | 105 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -15.9% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.9% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 77 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -37.2% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 59.2% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 268 days | 1085 days |
| Summer 2007 Credit Crunch | ||
| % Loss | -16.5% | -8.6% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.7% | 9.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 398 days | 47 days |
In The Past
Hanover Insurance's stock fell -4.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 5.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
| Event | THG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -22.3% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.7% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 398 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -38.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 63.3% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 380 days | 140 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -37.2% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 59.2% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 268 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
Hanover Insurance's stock fell -4.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 5.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Hanover Insurance (THG)
The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. (THG) is a prominent U.S.-based provider of property and casualty insurance products and services. The company primarily offers a wide array of insurance solutions to meet the needs of both commercial enterprises and individual consumers across the United States. It operates through a robust network of independent agents and brokers, facilitating broad market reach.
THG's main offerings are divided into two core segments: Commercial Lines and Personal Lines. The Commercial Lines segment provides essential business coverages such as commercial multiple peril, commercial automobile, and workers' compensation insurance. It also includes more specialized products like management and professional liability, marine insurance, and surety bonds. For individuals, the Personal Lines segment focuses on crucial coverages like personal automobile and homeowner's insurance, supplemented by other personal coverages such as personal umbrella and personal watercraft insurance.
Beyond its core insurance operations, The Hanover Insurance Group also has an "Other" segment that markets investment management services. This segment caters to institutions, pension funds, and other organizations, providing an additional revenue stream and diversification to the company's overall business model.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Hanover Insurance is like **Travelers** or **Allstate**, but with a strong emphasis on distributing its property and casualty insurance through independent agents.
Think of it as a slightly smaller **Chubb** or **Travelers**, providing a wide array of property and casualty policies to businesses and individuals via independent brokers.
It's like **GEICO** or **Progressive**, but instead of selling directly, Hanover Insurance works through independent agents to offer its property and casualty products.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Hanover Insurance (THG) primarily offers the following services:
- Commercial Lines Insurance: Provides a wide range of insurance coverages designed to protect businesses from multiple perils, including property damage, liability, automobile accidents, workers' injuries, and professional risks.
- Personal Lines Insurance: Offers essential insurance solutions for individuals, such as personal automobile, homeowner's, and personal umbrella coverages, as well as protection for personal property and specific risks like cyber threats.
- Investment Management Services: Markets and provides services for managing investments to institutions, pension funds, and other organizations.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Hanover Insurance (THG) serves a broad and diversified customer base, and does not have a few "major customers" that are specific named companies. Instead, its major customers fall into distinct categories based on the types of insurance products and services they purchase. The company serves both individuals and various types of organizations.
The major customer categories for Hanover Insurance are:
- Individuals and Households: These customers purchase personal insurance products such as personal automobile coverage, homeowner's coverage, personal umbrella, personal watercraft, and other miscellaneous personal coverages through the company's Personal Lines segment.
- Businesses and Organizations: These customers are typically small to medium-sized commercial enterprises that purchase a wide array of commercial insurance products. This includes commercial multiple peril, commercial automobile, workers' compensation, management and professional liability, marine, specialty industrial and commercial property, general liability, surety, umbrella, fidelity, and crime coverages through the Commercial Lines segment.
- Institutions, Pension Funds, and Other Organizations: These customers utilize the company's Other segment, which markets investment management services to institutions, pension funds, and various other organizational clients.
AI Analysis | Feedback
AI Analysis | Feedback
John C. Roche, President and Chief Executive Officer
John C. Roche was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of The Hanover in November 2017. He has over 30 years of experience in the property and casualty insurance industry. Roche joined The Hanover in 2006 and held several senior leadership positions, including president of Hanover Agency Markets, president of business insurance, and various vice president roles in field operations, marketing, distribution, commercial lines underwriting, and product management. Prior to joining The Hanover, he served in senior roles at St. Paul Travelers Companies, Inc., and held underwriting and management positions at Fireman's Fund Insurance Company and Atlantic Mutual Insurance Company.
Jeffrey M. Farber, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer
Jeffrey M. Farber joined The Hanover in October 2016 as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. With over 30 years of experience in the insurance and financial services industries, he is responsible for finance, accounting, investments, actuarial, enterprise risk management, treasury, investor relations, mergers & acquisitions, and internal audit. Before The Hanover, Farber spent five years at American International Group (AIG) as Deputy Chief Financial Officer and Chief Risk Officer for their commercial and consumer businesses. He also served as Chief Financial Officer of GAMCO Investors, Inc., a publicly traded asset manager, and held senior accounting and finance roles at The Bear Stearns Companies, Inc. Farber began his career at Deloitte & Touche LLP, where he became a partner.
Richard W. Lavey, Executive Vice President, Chief Operating Officer
Richard W. Lavey was appointed Chief Operating Officer in 2025, having joined The Hanover in 2004. He has over 35 years of experience in the insurance and technology industries and plays a key role in developing the company's business strategy and fostering integration between business and technology organizations. Prior to this role, he served as President of Hanover Agency Markets, Chief Growth Innovation Officer, President of Personal Lines, and Chief Marketing Officer. Before joining The Hanover, Lavey was Vice President of strategic initiatives for The Hartford's property and casualty organization and Vice President of strategic marketing for The Hartford's Select Customer division. He also worked at software companies ChannelPoint and Bowstreet, was a strategy consultant for CSC Healthcare, and began his career at The Travelers Insurance Company.
Dennis F. Kerrigan, Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary
Dennis F. Kerrigan joined The Hanover in 2020 as Executive Vice President and Chief Legal Officer. He brings decades of general counsel, insurance, and global legal experience to the company, overseeing legal, regulatory and government affairs, compliance, state filings, securities, and corporate governance matters. Previously, Kerrigan served for more than a decade as the North American General Counsel at Zurich North America. He was also a partner in the global litigation department of an international law firm, where he represented Fortune 500 companies in various legal matters.
Bryan J. Salvatore, Executive Vice President and President, Specialty
Bryan J. Salvatore serves as Executive Vice President and President, Specialty for The Hanover Insurance Group.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Catastrophe Losses: As a property and casualty insurer, The Hanover is highly exposed to unpredictable and severe weather events, natural disasters, and other catastrophic losses. The frequency and severity of these events can significantly impact the company's earnings visibility, combined ratios, and overall financial results. Climate change is noted as a factor that could exacerbate the unpredictability and intensity of such events.
- Underwriting Profitability Challenges: The company faces challenges in maintaining underwriting profitability due to intense pricing competition in various lines, particularly in middle-market property and some specialty and marine lines, which can limit margin gains if pricing weakens faster than loss trends improve. Additionally, "social inflation," characterized by rising litigation costs and a more litigious environment, is driving increased claim severity, especially in commercial auto liability, directly pressuring underwriting margins.
- Investment Risk: The Hanover's financial performance is also influenced by investment income generated from its "float" (premiums collected but not yet paid out as claims). Fluctuations in interest rates, inflationary pressures, and broader economic downturns can adversely affect the returns on its investment portfolio, impacting overall profitability.
AI Analysis | Feedback
AI Analysis | Feedback
The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. (symbol: THG) operates within the United States property and casualty insurance market. The addressable markets for their main products and services in the U.S. are as follows:
- U.S. Commercial Lines Insurance Market: This market was valued at approximately USD 271.93 billion in 2025.
- U.S. Personal Lines Insurance Market: The total U.S. personal lines market, encompassing homeowners, farmowners, and private auto insurance, reached USD 534.92 billion in 2024.
- U.S. Workers' Compensation Insurance Market: The market for workers' compensation insurance in the United States was approximately USD 57.48 billion in direct premiums written in 2024.
- U.S. Commercial Auto Insurance Market: This market is estimated to be USD 80.1 billion in 2025.
- U.S. Homeowners Insurance Market: The homeowners insurance market in the United States is projected to be USD 175.60 billion in 2025.
- U.S. Personal Auto Insurance Market: Direct written premiums for personal auto insurance in the U.S. reached USD 359 billion in 2024.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Hanover Insurance (THG)
- Continued Price Increases: The Hanover Insurance Group expects further price increases in both its commercial and personal auto liability lines, which are anticipated to support underwriting margins through stable retention and constructive renewal pricing. Strong price increases have also been observed in umbrella, auto, and home coverages, exceeding long-term loss trends. Renewal price increases across Personal Lines, Core Commercial, and Specialty segments have contributed to net premiums written growth.
- Growth in Specialty and Small Commercial Lines: The company plans to leverage growth opportunities in its specialty and small commercial segments. Specialty lines, supported by niche expertise and a focus on smaller accounts, are expected to remain a profitability anchor. Double-digit new business growth in Small Commercial, aided by enhanced agency engagement and the expansion of products like Workers' Compensation Advantage, is a key driver. Expansion in excess and surplus (E&S) and management liability within Specialty lines also shows robust growth. Increased demand for cyber, specialty, and tailored commercial insurance products, driven by digitalization and heightened risk awareness, expands Hanover's addressable markets.
- Geographic Diversification and Focus on Higher-Value Bundled Personal Lines: Hanover is refining its strategy through geographic diversification and concentrating on higher-value bundled accounts within Personal Lines. This includes enhancing existing offerings, selectively expanding risk appetite, pursuing new customer segments, and growing its presence in under-penetrated geographic markets. The company has also repositioned its Personal Lines portfolio by reducing exposure in certain regions and targeting growth in states identified for higher profitability. Furthermore, the recent expansion into life sciences broadens the company's addressable market.
- Investments in Technology and Data Analytics: Strategic technology investments, including AI-enabled triage and upgraded underwriting platforms, are expected to enhance underwriting efficiency and portfolio quality. Sustained investment in advanced technology, data analytics, and AI-driven workflow automation is anticipated to improve risk assessment, accelerate quote turnaround, and boost process efficiency, providing scalability advantages and supporting long-term net margins. The adoption of generative AI and workflow automation is considered essential for streamlining underwriting and claims processes to improve customer and agent experiences.
- Growth in Net Investment Income (NII): Net investment income has been a significant driver of earnings, with substantial increases reported in recent quarters due to higher earned yields within the company's fixed-income portfolio and continued growth in operating cash flows. Management has guided for mid to upper single-digit growth in NII. The strategic management of premium funds through investments helps bolster financial strength and enhances profitability, contributing to sustainable growth.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- In May 2021, The Hanover Insurance Group's board of directors increased the existing share repurchase authorization by $400 million, bringing the total authorization to $1.3 billion. At that time, approximately $435 million remained under the expanded program.
- From October 1, 2025, to January 31, 2026, the company repurchased 561,000 shares for $99 million.
- As of February 2026, a share repurchase program initiated on December 30, 2018, was completed, totaling 9,073,341 shares repurchased for approximately $1.17 billion.
Share Issuance
- In February 2026, Executive Vice President David John Lovely received 3,781 stock options and multiple share grants (1,082, 698, and 793 shares) as part of The Hanover Insurance Group's 2022 Long-Term Incentive Plan, which included performance-based and time-based restricted stock units.
Capital Expenditures
- The annual 5-year growth rate for capital expenditures was -12.4%.
- The company allocates capital to business investments, including technology, such as AI-enabled triage and upgraded underwriting platforms, to enhance underwriting efficiency and portfolio quality.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 226.11 |
| Mkt Cap | 49.6 |
| Rev LTM | 38,696 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 8,632 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 6,875 |
| CFO LTM | 8,713 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 7,076 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.4% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 22.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 21.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.0% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Personal Lines | 2,695 | 2,564 | 2,442 | 2,214 | 2,028 |
| Core Commercial | 2,419 | 2,324 | 2,217 | 2,091 | 3,060 |
| Specialty | 1,506 | 1,412 | 1,352 | 1,256 | |
| Other | 21 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 16 |
| Net realized and unrealized investment gains (losses) | -46 | -76 | -32 | -106 | 123 |
| Total | 6,594 | 6,237 | 5,994 | 5,469 | 5,228 |
| $ Mil | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaucer | 184 | 178 | 150 | 137 | 32 |
| Personal Lines | 149 | 99 | 119 | 26 | 23 |
| Commercial Lines | 143 | 140 | 132 | -80 | 18 |
| Netrealized investment gains | 20 | 50 | |||
| Other | -11 | -10 | -8 | ||
| Elimination | -46 | -78 | -64 | ||
| Corporate | 16 | 5 | |||
| Interest on debt | -62 | -55 | |||
| Other Property and Casualty | -7 | -0 | |||
| Total | 439 | 378 | 329 | 29 | 22 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Property and Casualty | 16,862 | 15,189 | 14,526 | 13,911 | 14,147 |
| Assets of discontinued business | 84 | 86 | 87 | 84 | 107 |
| Total | 16,946 | 15,274 | 14,613 | 13,995 | 14,254 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $212.61 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 7.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/11/1995 | |
| Distance from 52W High | 0.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $190.10 | $178.70 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 11.8% | 19.0% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 23.8% | 20.6% |
| Downside Capture | -85.94 | -10.52 |
| Upside Capture | 37.75 | 21.85 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -6.8% | 2.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.52 | 0.53 | 0.36 | 0.15 | 0.22 | 0.37 |
| Up Beta | 1.21 | 0.66 | 0.40 | 0.41 | 0.49 | 0.40 |
| Down Beta | -1.02 | -1.78 | -0.10 | -0.16 | -0.11 | 0.43 |
| Up Capture | 30% | 59% | 41% | 12% | 18% | 14% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 22 | 33 | 66 | 131 | 395 |
| Down Capture | 116% | 106% | 51% | 17% | 29% | 45% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 19 | 30 | 58 | 119 | 353 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with THG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| THG | 31.1% | 20.7% | 1.21 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 5.5% | 14.5% | 0.15 | 38.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 21.2% | 12.4% | 1.26 | 1.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.8% | 27.7% | 0.70 | -9.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 21.8% | 18.6% | 0.92 | -18.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 16.1% | 13.6% | 0.85 | 31.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -44.7% | 42.5% | -1.27 | -5.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with THG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| THG | 13.0% | 22.8% | 0.49 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 10.7% | 18.6% | 0.44 | 57.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.4% | 17.1% | 0.61 | 36.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.8% | 18.3% | 0.79 | -4.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.4% | 19.5% | 0.28 | 5.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.4% | 18.9% | 0.08 | 41.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 10.7% | 54.0% | 0.39 | 11.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with THG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| THG | 13.0% | 24.1% | 0.51 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.3% | 22.1% | 0.55 | 66.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.2% | 18.0% | 0.72 | 51.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.8% | 16.1% | 0.60 | -2.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 0.26 | 15.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 53.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 54.6% | 66.4% | 0.95 | 9.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/2/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/29/2026 | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% |
| 2/4/2026 | 1.7% | -1.4% | 1.5% |
| 10/29/2025 | 1.1% | 4.5% | 10.4% |
| 7/31/2025 | -1.6% | -1.2% | 1.1% |
| 4/30/2025 | -0.3% | 0.5% | 5.9% |
| 2/4/2025 | 4.8% | 5.1% | 10.7% |
| 10/30/2024 | -2.0% | 3.7% | 9.0% |
| 7/31/2024 | -1.8% | -4.4% | 4.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 15 | 17 |
| # Negative | 12 | 9 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% |
| Median Negative | -1.7% | -2.4% | -2.4% |
| Max Positive | 5.7% | 5.8% | 21.1% |
| Max Negative | -2.8% | -4.5% | -6.1% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/29/2026 | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% |
| 2/4/2026 | 1.7% | -1.4% | 1.5% |
| 10/29/2025 | 1.1% | 4.5% | 10.4% |
| 7/31/2025 | -1.6% | -1.2% | 1.1% |
| 4/30/2025 | -0.3% | 0.5% | 5.9% |
| 2/4/2025 | 4.8% | 5.1% | 10.7% |
| 10/30/2024 | -2.0% | 3.7% | 9.0% |
| 7/31/2024 | -1.8% | -4.4% | 4.7% |
| 5/1/2024 | -0.4% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| 1/31/2024 | -0.5% | -1.5% | -2.4% |
| 11/1/2023 | -2.4% | -4.5% | 4.7% |
| 8/2/2023 | -2.1% | -2.4% | -6.1% |
| 5/2/2023 | 3.6% | 3.0% | -4.0% |
| 2/2/2023 | 3.4% | 2.7% | -1.3% |
| 11/2/2022 | -0.4% | -3.8% | 3.1% |
| 8/2/2022 | -2.8% | -1.6% | -1.8% |
| 5/3/2022 | 3.1% | -3.2% | -0.2% |
| 2/2/2022 | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% |
| 10/27/2021 | -1.5% | 0.8% | -2.5% |
| 7/28/2021 | 2.1% | 0.8% | 4.8% |
| 4/29/2021 | 0.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| 2/3/2021 | 0.1% | 1.3% | 6.9% |
| 10/27/2020 | -1.9% | 3.5% | 21.1% |
| 7/28/2020 | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 15 | 17 |
| # Negative | 12 | 9 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% |
| Median Negative | -1.7% | -2.4% | -2.4% |
| Max Positive | 5.7% | 5.8% | 21.1% |
| Max Negative | -2.8% | -4.5% | -6.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/30/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/20/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/24/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/22/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/23/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/02/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/30/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/20/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/24/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/22/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/23/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/02/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/25/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 10/28/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 07/28/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 04/30/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/24/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 10/28/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 07/29/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 04/29/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/24/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 10/31/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 08/01/2019 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Updated 6/4/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salvatore, Bryan J | Executive Vice President | Direct | Sell | 6042026 | 185.76 | 16,394 | 3,045,349 | 5,399,909 | Form |
| 2 | Aristeguieta, Francisco | Direct | Sell | 5262026 | 195.37 | 1,000 | 195,370 | 791,835 | Form | |
| 3 | Kerrigan, Dennis Francis | Executive Vice President | Direct | Sell | 5212026 | 192.99 | 6,262 | 1,208,503 | 2,313,510 | Form |
| 4 | Roche, John C | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 5212026 | 193.74 | 8,358 | 1,619,266 | 27,319,207 | Form |
| 5 | Roche, John C | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 5192026 | 198.06 | 5,251 | 1,040,031 | 27,929,077 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salvatore, Bryan J | Executive Vice President | Direct | Sell | 6042026 | 185.76 | 16,394 | 3,045,349 | 5,399,909 | Form |
| 2 | Aristeguieta, Francisco | Direct | Sell | 5262026 | 195.37 | 1,000 | 195,370 | 791,835 | Form | |
| 3 | Kerrigan, Dennis Francis | Executive Vice President | Direct | Sell | 5212026 | 192.99 | 6,262 | 1,208,503 | 2,313,510 | Form |
| 4 | Roche, John C | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 5212026 | 193.74 | 8,358 | 1,619,266 | 27,319,207 | Form |
| 5 | Roche, John C | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 5192026 | 198.06 | 5,251 | 1,040,031 | 27,929,077 | Form |
| 6 | Lowsley, Denise | Executive Vice President | Direct | Sell | 5152026 | 191.73 | 4,175 | 800,473 | 744,394 | Form |
| 7 | Lowsley, Denise | Executive Vice President | Direct | Sell | 5112026 | 188.43 | 1,062 | 200,113 | 731,582 | Form |
| 8 | Egan, Cynthia | Direct | Sell | 5042026 | 188.50 | 3,400 | 640,900 | 1,764,172 | Form | |
| 9 | Carlin, Jane D | Direct | Sell | 3022026 | 180.91 | 1,200 | 217,092 | 438,345 | Form | |
| 10 | Lavey, Richard W | Executive Vice President | Direct | Sell | 2062026 | 178.92 | 24,420 | 4,369,156 | 5,756,458 | Form |
| 11 | Lowsley, Denise | Executive Vice President | Direct | Sell | 11132025 | 181.47 | 1,619 | 293,800 | 637,231 | Form |
| 12 | Lowsley, Denise | Executive Vice President | Direct | Sell | 8052025 | 168.15 | 5,626 | 946,012 | 860,765 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Property & Casualty Insurance Resources |
| Insurance Journal |
| Business Insurance |
| PropertyCasualty360 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.