Tearsheet

Hanover Insurance (THG)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $184.695 | Market Cap: $6.6 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance

Hanover Insurance (THG)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $184.695
Market Cap: $6.6 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.5%, FCF Yield is 15%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.9%, Dist 3Y High is -0.9%
Key risks
THG key risks include [1] underwriting challenges in its Core Commercial lines, Show more.
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -58%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -24%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include AI in Financial Services, Digital Transformation, and Data-Driven Economy. Themes include AI for Fraud Detection, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.5%, FCF Yield is 15%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -58%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include AI in Financial Services, Digital Transformation, and Data-Driven Economy. Themes include AI for Fraud Detection, Show more.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.9%, Dist 3Y High is -0.9%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -24%
7 Key risks
THG key risks include [1] underwriting challenges in its Core Commercial lines, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

THG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, Hanover Insurance (THG) stock likely moved by 7.5% due to several positive financial and operational developments.

1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance: Hanover Insurance reported a 75% increase in net income for Q3 2025, reaching $178.7 million, compared to $102.1 million in the same period last year. Operating income also significantly beat analyst forecasts, coming in at $5.09 per diluted share against an anticipated $4.16.

2. Improved Underwriting Results and Lower Catastrophe Losses: The company's combined ratio improved to 91.1% in Q3 2025 from 95.5% a year ago, primarily due to a substantial decrease in catastrophe losses, which fell to $46.2 million from approximately $106 million in Q3 2024. This indicates enhanced underwriting discipline and favorable claims experience.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
THG Return-12%15%5%-8%31%21%55%
Peers Return-5%26%12%5%35%18%126%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
THG Win Rate67%58%50%50%67%58% 
Peers Win Rate52%55%60%60%68%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
THG Max Drawdown-38%-4%-4%-22%0%-5% 
Peers Max Drawdown-45%-4%-9%-15%-0%-6% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TRV, CB, HIG, CINF, ALL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTHGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-32.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven48.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven422 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-40.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven409 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-19.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven23.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven200 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-44.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven79.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,500 days1,480 days

Compare to HIG, FNF, PGR, CB, TRV


In The Past

Hanover Insurance's stock fell -32.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -32.4% loss requires a 48.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Hanover Insurance (THG)

Better Bets than Hanover Insurance (THG)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to THG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.6%14.6%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.2%-4.2%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.4%4.4%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.5%-10.5%-11.0%
THG_3312020_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield03312020THGHanover InsuranceDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
2.9%46.4%-6.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.6%14.6%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.2%-4.2%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.4%4.4%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.5%-10.5%-11.0%
THG_3312020_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield03312020THGHanover InsuranceDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
2.9%46.4%-6.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Hanover Insurance

Peers to compare with:

Financials

THGTRVCBHIGCINFALLMedian
NameHanover .Traveler.Chubb Hartford.Cincinna.Allstate  
Mkt Price184.58291.27312.96138.36167.11209.08196.83
Mkt Cap6.665.3124.438.926.155.046.9
Rev LTM6,48348,40958,90027,69212,07866,20638,050
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM1,0049,98513,3215,8652,7918,6367,250
FCF 3Y Avg7118,68213,4094,9222,4816,8555,888
CFO LTM1,0139,98513,3215,9882,8078,8267,407
CFO 3Y Avg7228,68213,4095,1092,4997,0836,096

Growth & Margins

THGTRVCBHIGCINFALLMedian
NameHanover .Traveler.Chubb Hartford.Cincinna.Allstate  
Rev Chg LTM5.2%6.7%6.7%6.9%-0.6%6.9%6.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.9%10.1%12.2%8.6%22.7%10.1%10.1%
Rev Chg Q6.2%4.8%8.2%6.4%12.2%3.4%6.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.5%1.2%2.2%1.6%3.5%0.9%1.6%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM15.6%20.6%22.6%21.6%23.2%13.3%21.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.6%19.4%24.8%19.6%22.0%11.4%19.5%
FCF/Rev LTM15.5%20.6%22.6%21.2%23.1%13.0%20.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg11.4%19.4%24.8%18.9%21.9%11.0%19.1%

Valuation

THGTRVCBHIGCINFALLMedian
NameHanover .Traveler.Chubb Hartford.Cincinna.Allstate  
Mkt Cap6.665.3124.438.926.155.046.9
P/S1.01.31.91.42.00.91.3
P/EBIT7.88.18.58.19.25.18.1
P/E10.310.711.610.511.66.710.6
P/CFO6.46.38.46.38.86.46.4
Total Yield11.7%10.2%10.0%11.1%10.7%16.6%10.9%
Dividend Yield2.0%0.8%1.3%1.6%2.1%1.8%1.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg13.2%17.2%12.9%15.8%12.1%14.8%14.0%
D/E0.20.10.20.10.00.10.1
Net D/E-0.6-1.4-0.2-0.5-0.1-0.0-0.3

Returns

THGTRVCBHIGCINFALLMedian
NameHanover .Traveler.Chubb Hartford.Cincinna.Allstate  
1M Rtn3.9%2.8%6.2%5.2%3.5%0.4%3.7%
3M Rtn6.1%6.3%15.3%6.4%8.2%6.5%6.4%
6M Rtn11.7%10.8%11.7%11.7%16.0%7.9%11.7%
12M Rtn23.9%21.5%14.6%29.0%15.7%10.2%18.6%
3Y Rtn48.4%68.7%54.4%97.6%75.7%70.9%69.8%
1M Excs Rtn3.2%2.0%5.5%4.5%2.8%-0.3%3.0%
3M Excs Rtn4.3%3.9%13.1%4.4%5.8%0.8%4.4%
6M Excs Rtn-0.7%-1.5%-0.7%-0.7%3.6%-4.5%-0.7%
12M Excs Rtn11.2%9.1%3.8%14.5%1.3%-2.5%6.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-23.9%-3.7%-17.6%27.1%-0.1%5.6%-1.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Property and Casualty14,52613,91114,14713,33412,388
Assets of discontinued business8784107110103
Total14,61313,99514,25413,44412,490


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity658,321
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-2.8%
Average Daily Volume191,833
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.43
Basic Shares Quantity35,800,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/20251.1%4.5%10.4%
7/31/2025-1.6%-1.2%1.1%
4/30/2025-0.3%0.5%5.9%
2/4/20254.8%5.1%10.7%
10/30/2024-2.0%3.7%9.0%
7/18/20240.8%-1.9%1.1%
5/1/2024-0.4%3.3%0.6%
1/31/2024-0.5%-1.5%-2.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121316
# Negative12118
Median Positive1.6%2.8%6.2%
Median Negative-1.6%-1.9%-2.1%
Max Positive4.9%5.8%15.8%
Max Negative-6.7%-9.4%-7.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024224202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021