Tearsheet

Hanover Insurance (THG)


Market Price (2/28/2026): $180.71 | Market Cap: $6.5 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance

Hanover Insurance (THG)


Market Price (2/28/2026): $180.71
Market Cap: $6.5 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.5%, FCF Yield is 16%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.0%, Dist 3Y High is -3.0%
Key risks
THG key risks include [1] underwriting challenges in its Core Commercial lines, Show more.
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -58%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -34%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 22%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include AI in Financial Services, Digital Transformation, and Data-Driven Economy. Themes include AI for Fraud Detection, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.5%, FCF Yield is 16%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -58%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 22%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include AI in Financial Services, Digital Transformation, and Data-Driven Economy. Themes include AI for Fraud Detection, Show more.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.0%, Dist 3Y High is -3.0%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -34%
7 Key risks
THG key risks include [1] underwriting challenges in its Core Commercial lines, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Hanover Insurance (THG) stock has gained about 5% since 10/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: The Hanover Insurance Group reported record net income and operating income for Q3 2025, with net and operating return on equity reaching 21.5% and 21.1% respectively. This robust financial performance, announced shortly before the period under review, likely set a positive tone for investors.

2. Increased Quarterly Dividend: On December 1, 2025, the company demonstrated its financial strength and commitment to shareholder returns by increasing its quarterly dividend to $0.95 per common share.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 6.3% change in THG stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/27/2026 was primarily driven by a 6.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)103120252272026Change
Stock Price ($)170.00180.636.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,4836,4830.0%
Net Income Margin (%)9.7%9.7%0.0%
P/E Multiple9.610.26.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)36360.0%
Cumulative Contribution6.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 2/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
THG6.3% 
Market (SPY)0.6%-9.9%
Sector (XLF)-1.8%31.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 6.3% change in THG stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/27/2026 was primarily driven by a 12.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)73120252272026Change
Stock Price ($)169.90180.636.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,3866,4831.5%
Net Income Margin (%)8.7%9.7%12.1%
P/E Multiple11.010.2-6.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)36360.3%
Cumulative Contribution6.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 2/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
THG6.3% 
Market (SPY)8.8%4.8%
Sector (XLF)-1.5%41.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 20.5% change in THG stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/27/2026 was primarily driven by a 64.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)13120252272026Change
Stock Price ($)149.94180.6320.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,1646,4835.2%
Net Income Margin (%)5.9%9.7%64.1%
P/E Multiple14.710.2-30.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)36360.6%
Cumulative Contribution20.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2025 to 2/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
THG20.5% 
Market (SPY)15.0%31.9%
Sector (XLF)1.0%54.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 44.5% change in THG stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/27/2026 was primarily driven by a 75.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)13120232272026Change
Stock Price ($)125.02180.6344.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,3196,48321.9%
Net Income Margin (%)5.6%9.7%75.3%
P/E Multiple15.110.2-32.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3636-0.6%
Cumulative Contribution44.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2023 to 2/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
THG44.5% 
Market (SPY)75.0%29.3%
Sector (XLF)47.1%53.7%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
THG Return15%5%-8%31%21%-2%72%
Peers Return26%12%5%35%18%4%147%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%1%84%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
THG Win Rate58%50%50%67%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate55%60%60%68%58%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
THG Max Drawdown-4%-4%-22%0%-5%-8% 
Peers Max Drawdown-4%-9%-15%-0%-6%-6% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: TRV, CB, HIG, CINF, ALL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/27/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTHGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-32.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven48.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven422 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-40.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven409 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-19.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven23.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven200 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-44.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven79.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,500 days1,480 days

Compare to TRV, CB, HIG, CINF, ALL

In The Past

Hanover Insurance's stock fell -32.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -32.4% loss requires a 48.0% gain to breakeven.

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About Hanover Insurance (THG)

The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides various property and casualty insurance products and services in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Commercial Lines, Personal Lines, and Other. The Commercial Lines segment offers commercial multiple peril, commercial automobile, and workers' compensation insurance products, as well as management and professional liability, marine, specialty industrial and commercial property, monoline general liability, surety, umbrella, fidelity, crime, and other commercial coverages. The Personal Lines segment provides personal automobile and homeowner's coverages, as well as other personal coverages, such as personal umbrella, inland marine, fire, personal watercraft, personal cyber, and other miscellaneous coverages. The Other segment markets investment management services to institutions, pension funds, and other organizations. The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. markets its products and services through independent agents and brokers. The company was formerly known as Allmerica Financial Corp. and changed its name to The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. in December 2005. The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. was founded in 1852 and is headquartered in Worcester, Massachusetts.

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  • A diversified property and casualty insurer, much like a smaller, publicly traded version of The Travelers Companies or Chubb.
  • Think of it as a less nationally prominent Allstate or Progressive, covering both personal and commercial insurance needs.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Personal Lines Insurance: Provides coverage for individuals and families against risks related to their homes, vehicles, and personal liabilities.
  • Commercial Lines Insurance: Offers comprehensive insurance solutions for businesses, protecting them from property damage, liability claims, and operational risks.
  • Specialty Lines Insurance: Delivers tailored insurance products for unique and complex risks in specific industries or niche markets, such as marine and surety.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Hanover Insurance Group (symbol: THG) is a leading property and casualty insurance company that sells its products and services primarily through independent agents and brokers to a diverse base of end-user customers.

Hanover serves both individuals and businesses. Due to the diversified nature of its property and casualty insurance business, serving a broad market of policyholders rather than a concentrated set of large enterprise clients, it does not have a limited number of "major customer companies" that can be individually identified and listed. Instead, its customer base consists of various categories of insured parties.

The major categories of customers that Hanover Insurance serves include:

  • Individuals and Families: These customers purchase personal lines insurance products such as auto insurance, homeowners insurance, renters insurance, and personal umbrella liability coverage.
  • Small to Mid-sized Businesses: This broad category includes a wide range of businesses across various industries that purchase commercial lines insurance. These products typically include commercial property insurance, general liability insurance, workers' compensation, commercial auto insurance, and business interruption coverage.
  • Businesses with Specialized Needs: Through its specialty lines, Hanover serves businesses that require niche insurance solutions. This includes specific industry coverages (e.g., technology, marine, professional services) and specialized products like professional liability (errors & omissions) and management liability insurance.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

John C. Roche, President and Chief Executive Officer

John C. Roche joined The Hanover Insurance Group in 2004 and was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer in 2017. Prior to becoming CEO, he held various leadership positions within Hanover, including President of Hanover Agency Markets, Executive Vice President and President of Business Insurance, Senior Vice President, President Business Insurance, Vice President of Field Operations, and Vice President of Underwriting and Product Management, Commercial Lines. Before joining Hanover, Mr. Roche served in a variety of leadership roles at St. Paul Travelers Companies, Inc. from 1994 to 2006.

Jeffrey M. Farber, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer

Jeffrey M. Farber joined The Hanover Insurance Group in October 2016 as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. His responsibilities encompass finance, accounting, investments, actuarial, enterprise risk management, treasury, investor relations, mergers and acquisitions, and internal audit. Before his tenure at Hanover, Mr. Farber spent five years at American International Group (AIG) where he served as Deputy Chief Financial Officer and Chief Risk Officer for the company's commercial and consumer businesses. Previously, he was the Chief Financial Officer of GAMCO Investors, Inc., a publicly traded asset manager. He also held senior accounting and finance roles at The Bear Stearns Companies, Inc., and began his career at Deloitte & Touche LLP, rising to partner.

Richard W. Lavey, Executive Vice President, Chief Operating Officer

Richard W. Lavey was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer in April 2025. He has over 35 years of experience in the insurance and technology industries, having joined The Hanover in 2004. Before Hanover, Mr. Lavey served as vice president of strategic initiatives for The Hartford's property and casualty organization and vice president of strategic marketing for The Hartford's Select Customer division. His background also includes work at software companies ChannelPoint and Bowstreet, and a role as a strategy consultant for CSC Healthcare. He began his career at The Travelers Insurance Company.

Bryan J. Salvatore, Executive Vice President, President, Specialty

Bryan J. Salvatore joined The Hanover Insurance Group in 2017 as Executive Vice President and President, Specialty, leading the company's U.S. domestic specialty business. Prior to Hanover, he spent 20 years with Zurich North America, where he most recently served as President of their specialty products business from 2012 to 2017. Mr. Salvatore began his career in the insurance industry at Frank Crystal & Co., Inc.

Dennis F. Kerrigan, Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer

Dennis F. Kerrigan joined The Hanover Insurance Group in 2020 as Executive Vice President and Chief Legal Officer. Before joining Hanover, he served as Executive Vice President, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary at Zurich North America.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Hanover Insurance Group (THG) faces several significant risks inherent to the property and casualty (P&C) insurance industry, as well as specific challenges within its business segments.

  1. Natural Catastrophes and Climate Change: Hanover Insurance, like other P&C insurers, is highly exposed to the increasing frequency and severity of natural catastrophes, including hurricanes, wildfires, and severe storms. These events drive up claims costs and introduce volatility into underwriting results, making it challenging to accurately price risk and maintain profitability. The industry has not yet encountered a "mega catastrophe," which could lead to losses exceeding $100 billion in a major event like a direct hit by a hurricane on Miami.

  2. Inflation and Rising Claims Costs: Persistent inflationary pressures, coupled with supply chain disruptions, contribute to escalating repair and replacement costs for insured properties and vehicles. This "social inflation" can lead to larger legal settlements and higher claims costs, particularly impacting commercial auto and other long-tail liability lines. Hanover specifically experienced increased loss picks in commercial auto and larger claims in workers' compensation in the first quarter of 2025, which affected its core commercial segment's performance.

  3. Competitive Market and Underwriting Challenges in Core Commercial Lines: The P&C insurance market is highly competitive. Hanover has faced challenges in its Core Commercial lines, including missed underlying loss ratio targets, increased loss picks in commercial auto, and larger workers' compensation claims. This has contributed to slower-than-expected premium growth for the company compared to industry averages, raising concerns about its ability to achieve growth targets and limit future earnings potential.

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  • Digital-first Insurtech Competitors: The rise of digitally native insurance companies (e.g., Lemonade, Root, Hippo) offers a more streamlined, mobile-first experience, often leveraging AI for faster underwriting and claims. These companies directly challenge the traditional, agent-centric distribution model that Hanover relies heavily upon, potentially eroding market share among younger, digitally-savvy consumers and forcing incumbents to invest heavily in digital transformation to remain competitive.
  • Accelerating Impact of Climate Change on Underwriting and Reinsurance Costs: While climate change itself isn't new, the increasing frequency and severity of extreme weather events (wildfires, hurricanes, floods, severe convective storms) is rapidly intensifying as an emerging threat to P&C insurers. This trend makes historical loss data less reliable for future risk modeling, leads to higher claims costs, pushes up reinsurance premiums, and can force insurers to withdraw from certain high-risk markets, fundamentally challenging the long-term profitability and sustainability of traditional property insurance models.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Hanover Insurance Group (THG) primarily operates within the U.S. property and casualty (P&C) insurance market, offering a diversified portfolio of personal and commercial insurance products. The addressable markets for its main products and services are sized as follows for the United States:

U.S. Property and Casualty Insurance Market

The overall U.S. property and casualty insurance market was valued at approximately $1.05 trillion in 2024. This market is projected to reach $1.10 trillion in 2025 and grow to $1.33 trillion by 2030.

Personal Lines Insurance

Hanover Insurance offers personal automobile and homeowners insurance, targeting the "middle market" and "emerging affluent market".
  • The U.S. personal lines insurance market reached $534.92 billion in direct premiums written in 2024.
  • Within personal lines:
    • **Private Auto Insurance:** The direct premiums written for private auto insurance in the U.S. totaled $358.77 billion in 2024.
    • **Homeowners Insurance:** Direct premiums written for homeowners insurance in the U.S. climbed to $169.55 billion in 2024.

Commercial Lines Insurance

Hanover Insurance provides core commercial coverages, including commercial multiple peril, workers' compensation, and specialty coverages for small to mid-sized businesses.
  • The U.S. commercial insurance market was valued at $294.6 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $489.1 billion by 2033.
  • Within commercial lines, specific product market sizes for 2024 include:
    • **Commercial Auto Insurance:** Direct premiums written were $70.94 billion in 2024.
    • **Workers' Compensation Insurance:** Direct premiums written were $55.42 billion in 2024.
    • **Commercial Property Lines:** The combination of allied lines, fire, and commercial multi-peril (non-liability) reached $103.97 billion in direct premiums in 2024.
  • **Specialty Insurance:** This segment, which includes lines such as marine, healthcare, and Excess & Surplus (E&S) insurance, is generally considered part of the broader commercial insurance market. While a distinct overall market size for "specialty insurance" was not found separate from general commercial lines, specialty lines are forecast to grow at a 5.60% CAGR through 2030.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Hanover Insurance Group (THG) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through a combination of strategic pricing, focused expansion in specialty markets, leveraging its independent agent channel, and investing in technology. Here are the key drivers:
  • Strategic Pricing and Prudent Pricing Segmentation: The Hanover Insurance Group is actively implementing price increases and prudent pricing segmentation across its business segments. For instance, in the third quarter of 2025, the company reported renewal price increases of 10.5% in Personal Lines, 9.9% in Core Commercial, and 8.3% in Specialty. These initiatives are designed to capture margin and contribute to overall revenue growth.
  • Expansion of Specialty Business: A significant focus for THG is the expansion of its Specialty business. The company aims to achieve approximately 10% compound annual growth in Specialty written premiums over the next five years. This includes enhancing existing offerings, selectively expanding its risk appetite, and expanding its Business Owner's Advantage product to serve a wider range of life sciences organizations.
  • Growth within the Independent Agent Channel for Personal and Core Commercial Lines: The Hanover maintains a strong commitment to the independent agent channel, which is crucial for growth in its Personal Lines and Core Commercial segments. The strategy involves providing distribution partners with products and services that meet evolving customer needs, pursuing new customer segments, and growing its presence in under-penetrated geographic markets. Recent performance shows strong growth in Personal Lines.
  • Technological Investment and Innovation: The company is investing in technology to enhance its capabilities and streamline operations, which is expected to support revenue growth. This includes upgrading front-end capabilities, utilizing generative AI and automation to improve workflows, and developing tools to help agents attract and serve new customers more efficiently. A specific example is the July 2025 launch of Workers' Comp Advantage on its business submission platform to expedite quoting and binding for small commercial clients.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Hanover Insurance Group (THG) has made the following capital allocation decisions over the last 3-5 years:

Share Repurchases

  • On May 11, 2021, the Board of Directors increased the company's existing share repurchase authorization by $400 million, bringing the total authorization to $1.3 billion, with $435 million remaining under the expanded program.
  • Between July 1, 2025, and October 27, 2025, the company repurchased 323,000 shares for $55 million.
  • As of the fourth quarter of 2024, approximately $303 million remained under the existing share repurchase program, following the repurchase of approximately 170,000 shares for $26.7 million during that quarter.

Share Issuance

  • The company's 2022 Stock Plan and 2023 Employee Stock Purchase Plan (ESPP Plan) authorize the issuance of shares for equity awards. As of December 31, 2024, 2,352,468 shares were available for grants under the 2022 Stock Plan and 1,223,023 shares were available for grant under the ESPP Plan.
  • No significant public share issuances for capital-raising purposes were identified.

Inbound Investments

  • No significant large-scale inbound investments made in the company by third-parties were identified in the provided information.

Outbound Investments

  • In 2021, The Hanover entered into an agreement to transfer its Excess and Casualty Reinsurance Association (ECRA) pool participations to a third-party reinsurer via a 100% reinsurance arrangement for claim liability participations. [cite: 1 (from previous search)]
  • In 2022, the company sponsored its first catastrophe bond, securing $150 million in occurrence coverage for named storm events in the Northeast for a three-year period.
  • In 2024, investment management services for the company's investment-grade fixed maturity portfolio were transferred to an external asset manager, resulting in approximately 95% of total investment holdings being managed externally.

Capital Expenditures

  • Specific aggregate dollar values for routine capital expenditures for the purchase of property and equipment were not consistently disclosed in the provided summaries of financial reports for each year within the last 3-5 years.
  • The company has highlighted the implementation of critical technology initiatives as part of its strategic progress, indicating ongoing investment in technology and talent.

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to THG.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
FDS_1302026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01302026FDSFactSet Research SystemsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-18.8%-18.8%-25.3%
PFSI_1302026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy01302026PFSIPennyMac Financial ServicesDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.9%-6.9%-9.3%
ALLY_1302026_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V201302026ALLYAlly FinancialInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
-1.9%-1.9%-5.5%
FIS_1232026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01232026FISFidelity National Information ServicesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-18.9%-18.9%-22.6%
MORN_1022026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy01022026MORNMorningstarDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-18.1%-18.1%-26.8%
THG_3312020_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield03312020THGHanover InsuranceDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
2.9%46.4%-6.6%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

THGTRVCBHIGCINFALLMedian
NameHanover .Traveler.Chubb Hartford.Cincinna.Allstate  
Mkt Price180.63308.64340.86140.83163.98214.52197.57
Mkt Cap6.567.9135.439.625.556.448.0
Rev LTM6,48348,82858,90027,69212,63166,20638,260
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM1,00410,60613,3215,8653,0928,6367,250
FCF 3Y Avg7119,13013,4094,9222,5846,8555,888
CFO LTM1,01310,60613,3215,9883,1128,8267,407
CFO 3Y Avg7229,13013,4095,1092,6047,0836,096

Growth & Margins

THGTRVCBHIGCINFALLMedian
NameHanover .Traveler.Chubb Hartford.Cincinna.Allstate  
Rev Chg LTM5.2%5.2%6.7%6.9%11.4%6.9%6.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.9%9.8%12.2%8.6%25.7%10.1%10.0%
Rev Chg Q6.2%3.5%8.2%6.4%21.8%3.4%6.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.5%0.9%2.2%1.6%4.6%0.9%1.6%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM15.6%21.7%22.6%21.6%24.6%13.3%21.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.6%20.0%24.8%19.6%22.8%11.4%19.8%
FCF/Rev LTM15.5%21.7%22.6%21.2%24.5%13.0%21.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg11.4%20.0%24.8%18.9%22.7%11.0%19.4%

Valuation

THGTRVCBHIGCINFALLMedian
NameHanover .Traveler.Chubb Hartford.Cincinna.Allstate  
Mkt Cap6.567.9135.439.625.556.448.0
P/S1.01.42.31.42.00.91.4
P/EBIT7.78.310.38.68.45.18.3
P/E10.210.814.011.110.76.710.7
P/CFO6.46.410.26.68.26.46.5
Total Yield11.8%10.0%8.2%10.5%11.4%16.6%11.0%
Dividend Yield2.0%0.7%1.1%1.5%2.1%1.8%1.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.6%17.0%12.4%15.4%12.1%14.0%13.3%
D/E0.20.10.10.10.00.10.1
Net D/E-0.6-1.3-0.2-0.4-0.7-0.0-0.5

Returns

THGTRVCBHIGCINFALLMedian
NameHanover .Traveler.Chubb Hartford.Cincinna.Allstate  
1M Rtn5.4%9.4%12.3%7.8%3.5%8.7%8.2%
3M Rtn-2.1%5.8%15.5%3.2%-1.6%1.2%2.2%
6M Rtn5.2%14.6%24.7%7.3%7.9%5.9%7.6%
12M Rtn11.1%23.1%22.6%21.9%16.1%12.1%19.0%
3Y Rtn39.4%76.5%68.7%90.7%46.8%77.5%72.6%
1M Excs Rtn6.8%10.9%13.7%9.2%4.9%10.1%9.7%
3M Excs Rtn-3.8%3.8%13.2%1.1%-3.8%-0.3%0.4%
6M Excs Rtn-1.7%8.2%19.5%0.6%1.5%0.1%1.0%
12M Excs Rtn-0.9%10.6%10.7%8.4%4.2%0.6%6.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-34.3%3.2%-2.7%21.1%-30.3%0.3%-1.2%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Property and Casualty14,52613,91114,14713,33412,388
Assets of discontinued business8784107110103
Total14,61313,99514,25413,44412,490


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$180.63 
Market Cap ($ Bil)6.5 
First Trading Date10/11/1995 
Distance from 52W High-3.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$176.34$173.33
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA2.4%4.2%
 3M1YR
Volatility18.6%22.3%
Downside Capture-20.7428.42
Upside Capture-34.0734.04
Correlation (SPY)-12.5%33.1%
THG Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.37-0.17-0.100.110.410.44
Up Beta1.090.990.790.670.410.46
Down Beta-0.48-0.44-0.59-0.260.490.49
Up Capture-100%-51%-2%14%29%16%
Bmk +ve Days11223471142430
Stock +ve Days10223570133389
Down Capture-17%10%-19%9%40%63%
Bmk -ve Days9192754109321
Stock -ve Days10192655118359

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with THG
THG14.6%22.5%0.53-
Sector ETF (XLF)2.2%19.8%-0.0055.2%
Equity (SPY)16.5%19.4%0.6632.9%
Gold (GLD)81.3%25.7%2.29-0.7%
Commodities (DBC)13.4%16.9%0.585.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)7.3%16.6%0.2544.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-20.2%44.9%-0.374.8%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with THG
THG11.9%22.7%0.46-
Sector ETF (XLF)11.3%18.8%0.4859.7%
Equity (SPY)13.6%17.0%0.6338.7%
Gold (GLD)23.5%17.1%1.12-2.7%
Commodities (DBC)10.6%19.0%0.447.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.1%18.8%0.1840.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.5%57.0%0.3011.4%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with THG
THG11.2%23.9%0.45-
Sector ETF (XLF)13.8%22.2%0.5767.4%
Equity (SPY)15.4%17.9%0.7453.1%
Gold (GLD)15.3%15.6%0.82-2.6%
Commodities (DBC)8.7%17.6%0.4117.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.6%20.7%0.2853.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)66.2%66.8%1.069.8%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date2132026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity0.8 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 13120266.5%
Average Daily Volume0.4 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.0 days
Basic Shares Quantity35.8 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.3%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/4/2026   
10/29/20251.1%4.5%10.4%
7/31/2025-1.6%-1.2%1.1%
4/30/2025-0.3%0.5%5.9%
2/4/20254.8%5.1%10.7%
10/30/2024-2.0%3.7%9.0%
7/18/20240.8%-1.9%1.1%
5/1/2024-0.4%3.3%0.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111416
# Negative1297
Median Positive2.1%3.0%6.7%
Median Negative-1.6%-1.9%-2.4%
Max Positive4.9%5.9%15.8%
Max Negative-4.0%-9.4%-7.1%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202510/30/202510-Q
06/30/202507/31/202510-Q
03/31/202505/01/202510-Q
12/31/202402/24/202510-K
09/30/202410/31/202410-Q
06/30/202408/01/202410-Q
03/31/202405/02/202410-Q
12/31/202302/22/202410-K
09/30/202311/02/202310-Q
06/30/202308/04/202310-Q
03/31/202305/03/202310-Q
12/31/202202/23/202310-K
09/30/202211/02/202210-Q
06/30/202208/03/202210-Q
03/31/202205/04/202210-Q
12/31/202102/25/202210-K

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Lowsley, DeniseExecutive Vice PresidentDirectSell11132025181.471,619293,800637,231Form
2Lowsley, DeniseExecutive Vice PresidentDirectSell8052025168.155,626946,012860,765Form
3Carlin, Jane D DirectSell5232025167.81977  Form
4Salvatore, Bryan JExecutive Vice PresidentDirectSell5082025166.6010,5261,753,6054,308,808Form
5Roche, John CPresident and CEODirectSell4022025175.178,9061,560,06421,793,549Form