Cincinnati Financial (CINF)
Market Price (6/27/2026): $184.14 | Market Cap: $28.6 BilInvestor Relations Sector: Financials | Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance
Cincinnati Financial (CINF)
Market Price (6/27/2026): $184.14Market Cap: $28.6 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Property & Casualty Insurance
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.3%, FCF Yield is 12% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, CFO LTM is 3.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.4 Bil Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 20% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include AI in Financial Services, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include AI for Fraud Detection, and Wealth Management Technology. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% | Key risksCINF key risks include [1] stock market downturns negatively impacting its significant equity portfolio. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.3%, FCF Yield is 12% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, CFO LTM is 3.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.4 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 20% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include AI in Financial Services, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include AI for Fraud Detection, and Wealth Management Technology. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
| Key risksCINF key risks include [1] stock market downturns negatively impacting its significant equity portfolio. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Cincinnati Financial (CINF) stock has gained about 15% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Cincinnati Financial reported strong financial results for fiscal Q1 2026, significantly exceeding analyst expectations. The company posted non-GAAP operating income of $330 million, or $2.10 per share, compared to an operating loss of $37 million, or $0.24 per share, in fiscal Q1 2025. This diluted EPS of $2.10 surpassed analysts' consensus estimates of $1.93 by $0.17, representing an 8.81% positive surprise. Net income also swung to a profit of $274 million, or $1.75 per share, in fiscal Q1 2026, compared with a net loss of $90 million, or $0.57 per share, in the prior year's first quarter.
2. Improved property casualty underwriting profitability was a primary driver of the positive trend. The company's combined ratio for property casualty operations significantly improved to 95.6% in fiscal Q1 2026 from 113.3% in fiscal Q1 2025. This improvement was notably influenced by a favorable after-tax decrease of $233 million in catastrophe losses. The underlying current accident year combined ratio before catastrophes also improved to 87.5%. The increase in net income included a $326 million after-tax increase from property casualty underwriting profit.
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Cincinnati Financial (CINF) stock has gained about 15% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Cincinnati Financial reported strong financial results for fiscal Q1 2026, significantly exceeding analyst expectations. The company posted non-GAAP operating income of $330 million, or $2.10 per share, compared to an operating loss of $37 million, or $0.24 per share, in fiscal Q1 2025. This diluted EPS of $2.10 surpassed analysts' consensus estimates of $1.93 by $0.17, representing an 8.81% positive surprise. Net income also swung to a profit of $274 million, or $1.75 per share, in fiscal Q1 2026, compared with a net loss of $90 million, or $0.57 per share, in the prior year's first quarter.
2. Improved property casualty underwriting profitability was a primary driver of the positive trend. The company's combined ratio for property casualty operations significantly improved to 95.6% in fiscal Q1 2026 from 113.3% in fiscal Q1 2025. This improvement was notably influenced by a favorable after-tax decrease of $233 million in catastrophe losses. The underlying current accident year combined ratio before catastrophes also improved to 87.5%. The increase in net income included a $326 million after-tax increase from property casualty underwriting profit.
3. Increased investment income contributed to the overall gain. Cincinnati Financial reported a 14%, or $38 million, increase in fiscal Q1 2026 pretax investment income. This growth was fueled by a 12% increase in bond interest income and a 13% increase in stock portfolio dividends. Total revenues for fiscal Q1 2026 rose 11.6% year-over-year to $2.86 billion, also exceeding analyst estimates of $2.61 billion.
4. Positive analyst sentiment and increased price targets bolstered investor confidence. Following the fiscal Q1 2026 earnings report, several analysts reiterated or upgraded their ratings and raised price targets for CINF stock. For instance, BofA raised its price target to $183 from $177 in late April 2026. As of May 26, 2026, the stock had an average analyst rating of "Buy", with a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" and an average price target of $183.25 from 5 Wall Street analysts as of June 25, 2026.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 13.5% change in CINF stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 12.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6262026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 162.13 | 184.08 | 13.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 12,631 | 12,928 | 2.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 18.9% | 21.3% | 12.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 10.5 | 10.4 | -1.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 156 | 155 | 0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 13.5% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CINF | 13.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 6.6% | -0.7% |
| Sector (XLF) | 4.7% | 50.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 11.7% change in CINF stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 21.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6262026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 164.84 | 184.08 | 11.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 12,078 | 12,928 | 7.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 17.6% | 21.3% | 21.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 12.1 | 10.4 | -14.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 156 | 155 | 0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 11.7% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CINF | 11.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.3% | -2.0% |
| Sector (XLF) | 1.3% | 40.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 25.5% change in CINF stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 61.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6262026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 146.63 | 184.08 | 25.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 10,968 | 12,928 | 17.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 13.2% | 21.3% | 61.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 15.8 | 10.4 | -34.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 156 | 155 | 0.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 25.5% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CINF | 25.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 25.1% | 11.7% |
| Sector (XLF) | 6.7% | 49.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 107.0% change in CINF stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 40344.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6262026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 88.95 | 184.08 | 107.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 7,586 | 12,928 | 70.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 0.1% | 21.3% | 40344.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 3,495.7 | 10.4 | -99.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 157 | 155 | 1.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 107.0% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CINF | 107.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 81.3% | 35.7% |
| Sector (XLF) | 77.0% | 61.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CINF Return | 33% | -8% | 4% | 42% | 16% | 10% | 133% |
| Peers Return | 37% | 12% | 7% | 24% | 17% | -0% | 139% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 7% | 96% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CINF Win Rate | 67% | 50% | 50% | 75% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 58% | 60% | 65% | 62% | 47% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CINF Max Drawdown | -12% | -36% | -24% | -11% | -14% | -10% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -12% | -22% | -21% | -13% | -14% | -13% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CB, TRV, AIG, PRU, HIG. See CINF Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/26/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CINF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -23.7% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.1% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 273 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -19.4% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.0% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 62 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -40.5% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 67.9% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 394 days | 140 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -10.1% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 11.2% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 19 days | 6 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -10.0% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 11.1% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 44 days | 62 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -15.4% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.2% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 72 days | 123 days |
In The Past
Cincinnati Financial's stock fell -6.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 7.1% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | CINF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -23.7% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.1% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 273 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -40.5% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 67.9% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 394 days | 140 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -52.9% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 112.3% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 711 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
Cincinnati Financial's stock fell -6.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 7.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Cincinnati Financial (CINF)
Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF) is a diversified U.S. insurance company primarily engaged in providing a broad range of property and casualty insurance products. The company extends its offerings beyond traditional property and casualty to include life insurance and actively manages a substantial investment portfolio, which is integral to its financial operations and overall business model.
CINF caters to both commercial and individual customers with distinct product lines. Its Commercial Lines segment provides essential coverages such as commercial casualty, property, auto, and workers' compensation, alongside specialized offerings like director and officer liability insurance and surety bonds. The Excess and Surplus Lines segment addresses unique commercial risks, covering third-party liability and property damage for businesses. For individuals, the Personal Lines segment offers products like personal auto, homeowner, and umbrella liability insurance. The Life Insurance segment further expands its reach by providing various term, universal, and whole life insurance policies.
A key aspect of Cincinnati Financial's strategy involves its Investments segment, where it manages a diverse portfolio of fixed-maturity and equity investments to generate returns and support its insurance underwriting. Beyond insurance and investments, the company also provides commercial leasing and financing services, in addition to insurance brokerage services. This comprehensive approach positions Cincinnati Financial as a full-service provider predominantly serving the U.S. market.
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A comprehensive insurance provider for individuals and businesses, similar to a regional Allstate.
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- Commercial Property Casualty Insurance: Provides businesses with coverage for third-party liability, property damage, commercial auto incidents, workers' compensation, and specialized risks like director and officer liability.
- Personal Property Casualty Insurance: Offers individuals coverage for personal automobiles, homes, dwelling fires, inland marine, personal umbrella liability, and watercraft.
- Life Insurance Products: Includes various types of life insurance such as term, universal, whole, and worksite products.
- Surety and Fidelity Bonds: Guarantees contract performance for businesses and protects against financial losses due to employee dishonesty.
- Commercial Leasing and Financing Services: Provides financial solutions to businesses through leasing and direct financing.
- Insurance Brokerage Services: Facilitates the placement of insurance policies for clients as an intermediary.
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Major Customers of Cincinnati Financial (CINF)
Cincinnati Financial Corporation serves a diverse customer base, primarily consisting of a broad range of businesses and individuals who purchase their various insurance products and financial services. The company does not publicly disclose specific major corporate customers by name. Instead, its customer base can be categorized as follows:
- Businesses: This comprehensive category includes a wide array of commercial entities, from small to medium-sized businesses, that seek coverage for commercial casualty, commercial property, commercial auto, and workers' compensation. It also encompasses businesses requiring specialized insurance products such as director and officer liability, contract and commercial surety bonds, fidelity bonds, machinery and equipment coverage, and excess and surplus lines insurance for unique or higher-risk needs. Additionally, businesses utilizing Cincinnati Financial's commercial leasing and financing services fall into this category.
- Homeowners and Drivers: This segment comprises individual customers and households purchasing personal lines of insurance. These include personal auto insurance, homeowner insurance, dwelling fire, inland marine, personal umbrella liability, and watercraft coverages.
- Life Insurance Policyholders: Individuals are also customers for Cincinnati Financial's life insurance segment, acquiring term life insurance, universal life insurance, worksite products, and whole life insurance products for personal financial planning and protection.
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Stephen M. Spray President and Chief Executive Officer
Stephen M. Spray became Chief Executive Officer of Cincinnati Financial Corporation in May 2024, having served as President since 2022. He joined Cincinnati Financial in 1991 and has held various positions of increasing responsibility, including roles in underwriting, sales/marketing, and commercial lines leadership. Mr. Spray was instrumental in the formation of The Cincinnati Specialty Underwriters Insurance Company in 2007. He led the company's commercial lines operations from 2016 to 2019 and served as chief insurance officer of the property casualty subsidiaries from 2019 to 2022.
Michael J. Sewell Chief Financial Officer, Executive Vice President and Treasurer
Michael J. Sewell serves as Chief Financial Officer, Executive Vice President, and Treasurer (Principal Accounting Officer) of Cincinnati Financial Corporation. He has been an executive officer since at least 2011. Prior to joining Cincinnati Financial, Mr. Sewell was a Partner at Deloitte & Touche LLP. He holds an undergraduate degree from the University of Dayton.
Steven J. Johnston Chairman of the Board
Steven J. Johnston is the Chairman of the Board of Cincinnati Financial Corporation. He previously served as President and Chief Executive Officer of the company, a role he assumed in May 2011. Mr. Johnston joined Cincinnati Financial in 2008 as chief financial officer, coming from State Auto Financial Corporation where he was also chief financial officer.
Steven A. Soloria Chief Investment Officer and Executive Vice President
Steven A. Soloria is the Chief Investment Officer and Executive Vice President of Cincinnati Financial Corporation.
Thomas C. Hogan Chief Legal Officer, Executive Vice President, and Corporate Secretary
Thomas C. Hogan serves as Chief Legal Officer, Executive Vice President, and Corporate Secretary for Cincinnati Financial Corporation.
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1. Catastrophic Events and Climate Change
As a property and casualty insurer, Cincinnati Financial is highly exposed to losses from natural disasters and catastrophic events, which are increasing in frequency and severity, potentially exacerbated by climate change. This trend poses a significant threat to the company's financial stability, impacting underwriting profitability and requiring continuous refinement of risk management and pricing strategies.
2. Investment Volatility
Cincinnati Financial maintains a substantial investment portfolio, including a significant allocation to equity investments. Fluctuations in the financial markets can introduce considerable volatility to the company's net income and overall profitability. While a strong market can boost returns, a significant or prolonged decline in stock market values could negatively affect its large equity portfolio and book value, leading to unpredictable swings in reported earnings.
3. Regulatory, Economic, and Social Inflationary Pressures
The insurance industry is heavily regulated, and changes in laws or regulations can significantly impact Cincinnati Financial's operations. Furthermore, the company is susceptible to broader economic fluctuations, such as interest rate changes and economic inflation, which affect investment income and claim severity. Social inflation, characterized by increasing claim settlements and litigation trends, also drives up the cost of claims, particularly in commercial and liability lines, thereby challenging profitability and necessitating continuous adjustments to underwriting and pricing models.
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The clear emerging threat to Cincinnati Financial is the rise of digitally native insurtech companies. These new entrants leverage advanced technologies such as artificial intelligence, machine learning, and big data analytics to offer more efficient, personalized, and often lower-cost insurance products across various lines, including commercial, personal, and life insurance. Their innovative distribution models, often direct-to-consumer or embedded within other services, bypass traditional agency networks and challenge established insurers' underwriting processes, claims handling, and customer experience, potentially eroding market share and profitability for companies like Cincinnati Financial.
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Cincinnati Financial Corporation's main products and services operate within the following addressable markets in the United States:
- Commercial Lines Insurance: The U.S. commercial insurance market was valued at approximately USD 294.6 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 489.1 billion by 2033. Another estimate indicates the U.S. Commercial Insurance Market was valued at USD 271.93 billion in 2025, with an expectation to reach USD 416.83 billion by 2035. Commercial lines typically account for about half of the total U.S. property/casualty insurance industry premium. Total direct written premiums for the U.S. property/casualty business reached $1.05 trillion in 2024.
- Personal Lines Insurance: The U.S. personal lines insurance market was estimated at USD 15.24 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 24.38 billion by 2032. Another source indicates that personal lines of business, including homeowners, farmowners, and private auto insurance, collectively amounted to $534.92 billion in 2024. Personal lines insurance represents over 54% of the U.S. property and casualty insurance sector's net written premiums in 2024.
- Excess and Surplus Lines Insurance: The U.S. excess and surplus (E&S) lines market surpassed $100 billion in direct premiums written in 2023, growing to approximately $131 billion in 2024. Other data suggests U.S. E&S direct premiums written were $86.47 billion in 2023 and nearly $100 billion ($98.2 billion) in 2024. E&S premiums constituted about 9.5% of the total U.S. direct premiums written in 2024.
- Life Insurance: The U.S. life insurance market generated revenue of USD 504.37 billion in 2020 and is projected to reach USD 848.14 billion by 2027. A separate estimate valued the U.S. life insurance market size at USD 1.93 trillion in 2024, with a projection to reach approximately USD 4.74 trillion by 2034. Total direct written premiums and deposits for the life insurance industry in the U.S. increased to $1.4 trillion in 2024.
- Commercial Leasing and Financing Services: The revenue for the Commercial Leasing industry in the U.S. is estimated at $276.7 billion in 2026. The broader U.S. commercial real estate market was valued at $22.5 trillion as of the fourth quarter of 2023. Commercial real estate mortgage borrowing and lending totaled an estimated $498 billion in 2024. The United States Commercial Real Estate Market size is estimated at USD 1.74 trillion in 2026.
- Insurance Brokerage Services: The United States insurance brokerage market was valued at USD 140.38 billion in 2025 and is estimated to reach USD 145.8 billion in 2026, with a forecast of USD 176.14 billion by 2031. Another source reports the market size of Insurance Brokers & Agencies in the U.S. as $261.7 billion in 2025.
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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Cincinnati Financial (CINF)
Cincinnati Financial is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:- Strategic Pricing and Rate Increases: The company is employing prudent and strategic pricing, including rate increases across its insurance lines, to boost premiums. This approach is a crucial factor in enhancing the company's top-line revenue.
- Expansion of Excess and Surplus (E&S) Lines: Cincinnati Financial is actively accelerating and expanding its Excess and Surplus lines segment, with a strategic priority for continued double-digit growth in this area. This expansion includes broadening its product offerings and geographic reach within specialty markets.
- Agency Network Expansion and New Business Growth: The company maintains an agent-focused business model, emphasizing deepening relationships with its independent agency partners and expanding its network. This strategy aims to increase market penetration and drive new business written premiums across its commercial and personal lines.
- Growth in Investment Income: Rising interest income from fixed-maturity securities and overall investment income growth are expected to significantly enhance Cincinnati Financial's net investment income, which is a substantial component of its total revenue.
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Share Repurchases
- No shares were repurchased by Cincinnati Financial during the second quarter of 2025.
- While financing cash flow for the trailing twelve months ending September 30, 2025, included outflows for share repurchases, specific dollar amounts for recent repurchases were not explicitly detailed in the available information.
Share Issuance
- Cincinnati Financial reported $0.0 in common stock issued over the last 12 months.
- The number of shares outstanding for Cincinnati Financial has seen slight declines in recent years, with a 0.06% decrease in 2025 from 2024, a 0.19% decline in 2024 from 2023, and a 0.44% decline in 2023 from 2022.
Outbound Investments
- Cincinnati Financial significantly grew its total investment portfolio, which reached $31.783 billion at year-end 2025, up from $28.378 billion a year earlier.
- The company's long-term investments for 2024 were $28.378 billion, marking an 11.91% increase from 2023.
- Active management of the investment portfolio included $492 million in fixed-maturity security purchases during the first six months of 2025, contributing to investment income growth.
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 158.99 |
| Mkt Cap | 39.1 |
| Rev LTM | 38,696 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 7,802 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 6,106 |
| CFO LTM | 7,884 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 6,196 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 22.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 21.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.0% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commercial lines insurance | 4,868 | 4,490 | 4,268 | 4,028 | 3,678 |
| Personal lines insurance | 3,204 | 2,628 | 2,048 | 1,693 | 1,546 |
| Investments | 2,607 | 2,416 | 2,021 | -686 | 3,123 |
| Other earned premiums | 893 | 844 | |||
| Excess and surplus lines insurance | 702 | 618 | 545 | 487 | 400 |
| Life insurance | 336 | 326 | 323 | 299 | 303 |
| Other revenues | 21 | 15 | 808 | 736 | 580 |
| Total | 12,631 | 11,337 | 10,013 | 6,557 | 9,630 |
| $ Mil | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Investments | 556 | ||||
| Commercial lines insurance | 345 | ||||
| Excess and surplus lines insurance | 51 | 30 | 14 | -1 | 6 |
| Life insurance | -2 | -5 | 9 | -3 | -3 |
| Personal lines insurance | -12 | 10 | 33 | -43 | -181 |
| Other revenues | -57 | -59 | -60 | -59 | -59 |
| Commercial lines insurance (P. C. I) | 146 | 186 | 181 | -101 | |
| Investment operations | 599 | 532 | 491 | 514 | |
| Total | 881 | 721 | 714 | 566 | 176 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Investments | 31,199 | 27,887 | 24,999 | 1,518 | 24,481 |
| Property casualty insurance | 6,916 | 5,927 | 5,294 | 903 | 4,421 |
| Life insurance | 1,695 | 1,658 | 1,562 | 5,178 | 1,590 |
| Other | 1,192 | ||||
| Other revenues | 1,029 | 914 | 22,133 | 895 | |
| Total | 41,002 | 36,501 | 32,769 | 29,732 | 31,387 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $184.08 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 28.6 | |
| First Trading Date | 03/26/1990 | |
| Distance from 52W High | 0.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $165.07 | $160.79 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 11.5% | 14.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 19.1% | 20.1% |
| Downside Capture | -94.80 | 5.93 |
| Upside Capture | 17.09 | 35.21 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -4.1% | 12.1% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.03 | 0.36 | 0.33 | 0.18 | 0.34 | 0.56 |
| Up Beta | 0.72 | 0.69 | 0.37 | 0.49 | 0.63 | 0.66 |
| Down Beta | -1.10 | -1.51 | 0.01 | -0.07 | -0.01 | 0.60 |
| Up Capture | -32% | 17% | 22% | 5% | 26% | 23% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 23 | 32 | 64 | 136 | 409 |
| Down Capture | 44% | 76% | 61% | 28% | 47% | 68% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 18 | 31 | 60 | 114 | 339 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CINF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CINF | 31.1% | 20.1% | 1.23 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 5.5% | 14.5% | 0.15 | 48.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 21.2% | 12.4% | 1.26 | 10.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.8% | 27.7% | 0.70 | -9.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 21.8% | 18.6% | 0.92 | -16.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 16.1% | 13.6% | 0.85 | 42.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -44.7% | 42.5% | -1.27 | 10.2% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CINF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CINF | 12.9% | 25.7% | 0.46 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 10.7% | 18.6% | 0.44 | 65.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.4% | 17.1% | 0.61 | 46.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.8% | 18.3% | 0.79 | -0.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.4% | 19.5% | 0.28 | 9.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.4% | 18.9% | 0.08 | 46.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 10.7% | 54.0% | 0.39 | 13.9% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CINF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CINF | 13.2% | 28.8% | 0.48 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.3% | 22.1% | 0.55 | 69.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.2% | 18.0% | 0.72 | 56.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.8% | 16.1% | 0.60 | -0.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 0.26 | 16.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 54.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 54.6% | 66.4% | 0.95 | 10.6% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/3/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/27/2026 | -0.4% | -3.7% | -1.6% |
| 2/9/2026 | -3.3% | -1.6% | -2.8% |
| 10/27/2025 | -3.7% | -2.5% | 6.8% |
| 7/28/2025 | 3.6% | 1.8% | 4.4% |
| 4/28/2025 | 2.9% | 5.9% | 8.8% |
| 2/10/2025 | 2.8% | 0.7% | 3.2% |
| 10/24/2024 | 2.2% | 1.9% | 13.2% |
| 7/25/2024 | 3.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 14 | 16 |
| # Negative | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 3.3% | 2.4% | 7.1% |
| Median Negative | -3.9% | -3.1% | -3.5% |
| Max Positive | 10.7% | 10.3% | 20.9% |
| Max Negative | -13.9% | -14.8% | -9.3% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/27/2026 | -0.4% | -3.7% | -1.6% |
| 2/9/2026 | -3.3% | -1.6% | -2.8% |
| 10/27/2025 | -3.7% | -2.5% | 6.8% |
| 7/28/2025 | 3.6% | 1.8% | 4.4% |
| 4/28/2025 | 2.9% | 5.9% | 8.8% |
| 2/10/2025 | 2.8% | 0.7% | 3.2% |
| 10/24/2024 | 2.2% | 1.9% | 13.2% |
| 7/25/2024 | 3.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% |
| 4/25/2024 | -6.4% | -1.9% | -0.6% |
| 2/6/2024 | -4.5% | -2.2% | 4.6% |
| 10/26/2023 | -2.1% | 0.2% | 2.8% |
| 7/27/2023 | 6.9% | 6.6% | 1.6% |
| 4/27/2023 | 2.7% | 0.4% | -5.1% |
| 2/6/2023 | 10.7% | 10.3% | 1.5% |
| 10/31/2022 | -4.0% | -0.9% | 7.4% |
| 7/27/2022 | -13.9% | -14.8% | -9.3% |
| 4/28/2022 | -9.8% | -7.5% | -5.6% |
| 2/15/2022 | 6.2% | 1.4% | 10.2% |
| 10/27/2021 | 4.1% | 2.9% | -3.2% |
| 7/28/2021 | 3.5% | 1.9% | 7.8% |
| 4/28/2021 | 4.4% | 10.2% | 13.2% |
| 2/10/2021 | 2.6% | 6.3% | 20.9% |
| 10/26/2020 | -3.9% | -6.0% | 3.6% |
| 7/27/2020 | 1.2% | -4.9% | -3.8% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 14 | 16 |
| # Negative | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 3.3% | 2.4% | 7.1% |
| Median Negative | -3.9% | -3.1% | -3.5% |
| Max Positive | 10.7% | 10.3% | 20.9% |
| Max Negative | -13.9% | -14.8% | -9.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/27/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/23/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/27/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/28/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/28/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/24/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/24/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/25/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/25/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/26/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/26/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/23/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/31/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/27/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/27/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/23/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/27/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/28/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/28/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/24/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/24/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/25/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/25/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/26/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/26/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/23/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/31/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/27/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 04/28/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/24/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 10/27/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 07/28/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 04/28/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/25/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 10/26/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 07/27/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 04/27/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/25/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 10/25/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 07/30/2019 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Updated 6/10/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Debbink, Dirk J | Trust | Buy | 2122026 | 162.58 | 1,000 | 162,580 | 9,845,784 | Form | |
| 2 | Wilkins, Edward Scott | Direct | Buy | 12042025 | 163.77 | 140 | 22,928 | 22,928 | Form | |
| 3 | Debbink, Dirk J | Trust | Buy | 10292025 | 153.98 | 1,000 | 153,980 | 9,005,020 | Form | |
| 4 | Schiff, Charles Odell | Charitable Foundation | Sell | 8182025 | 153.54 | 3,500 | 537,404 | 27,799,927 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Debbink, Dirk J | Trust | Buy | 2122026 | 162.58 | 1,000 | 162,580 | 9,845,784 | Form | |
| 2 | Wilkins, Edward Scott | Direct | Buy | 12042025 | 163.77 | 140 | 22,928 | 22,928 | Form | |
| 3 | Debbink, Dirk J | Trust | Buy | 10292025 | 153.98 | 1,000 | 153,980 | 9,005,020 | Form | |
| 4 | Schiff, Charles Odell | Charitable Foundation | Sell | 8182025 | 153.54 | 3,500 | 537,404 | 27,799,927 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Property & Casualty Insurance Resources |
| Insurance Journal |
| Business Insurance |
| PropertyCasualty360 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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