Tearsheet

Allstate (ALL)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $208.62 | Market Cap: $54.9 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance

Allstate (ALL)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $208.62
Market Cap: $54.9 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Transformation in Insurance, Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Climate & Catastrophe Risk Management. Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Transformation in Insurance, Fintech & Digital Payments, AI in Financial Services, and Climate & Catastrophe Risk Management. Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ALL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The approximate 3% movement in Allstate's (ALL) stock price during the recent period can be attributed to several key factors based on available financial reports and market sentiment: 1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Exceeded Expectations.

Allstate reported robust financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $11.17, significantly surpassing the average analyst estimate of $7.54. Revenue also climbed to $17.3 billion, exceeding the $16.9 billion consensus, indicating strong overall performance. 2. Significant Reduction in Catastrophe Losses.

A major positive driver was the marked easing of catastrophe losses in the third quarter of 2025, which totaled $558 million. This represents a substantial decrease compared to $1.99 billion in the second quarter of 2025 and $1.70 billion in Q3 2024, contributing significantly to improved profitability.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ALL Return-0%10%18%6%41%10%115%
Peers Return-10%39%13%5%25%9%103%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ALL Win Rate42%42%75%67%58%60% 
Peers Win Rate58%63%58%60%65%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ALL Max Drawdown-35%-6%-2%-24%0%-6% 
Peers Max Drawdown-54%-2%-10%-21%-1%-9% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TRV, MET, AIG, HIG, PRU. See ALL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventALLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-28.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven150 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-41.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven71.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven400 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven219 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-78.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven362.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2067 days1480 days

Compare to TRV, MET, AIG, HIG, PRU


In The Past

Allstate's stock fell -28.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/6/2023. A -28.4% loss requires a 39.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Allstate (ALL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ALL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Allstate

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ALLTRVMETAIGHIGPRUMedian
NameAllstate Traveler.MetLife American.Hartford.Prudenti. 
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Growth & Margins

ALLTRVMETAIGHIGPRUMedian
NameAllstate Traveler.MetLife American.Hartford.Prudenti. 
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Valuation

ALLTRVMETAIGHIGPRUMedian
NameAllstate Traveler.MetLife American.Hartford.Prudenti. 
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Returns

ALLTRVMETAIGHIGPRUMedian
NameAllstate Traveler.MetLife American.Hartford.Prudenti. 
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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Property-Liability51,89846,63846,03038,84838,587
Protection Services2,7732,4872,3611,9221,649
Allstate Health and Benefits2,3782,2592,2611,1801,240
Corporate and Other18317611110694
Intersegment eliminations-138-149-175-147-154
Allstate Annuities    1,276
Allstate Life    1,983
Total57,09451,41150,58841,90944,675


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Property-Liability88,56882,74484,84669,17167,243
Protection Services7,2926,9226,9096,1775,746
Allstate Health and Benefits4,0323,7524,0152,9052,915
Corporate and Other3,4704,5713,6705,6032,361
Assets held for sale   42,131 
Allstate Annuities    26,914
Allstate Life    14,771
Total103,36297,98999,440125,987119,950


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,318,042
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202518.2%
Average Daily Volume1,488,733
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.23
Basic Shares Quantity263,100,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024224202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022216202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021218202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0WILSON THOMAS JChairman, President & CEO11192025Sell213.1215,3703,275,59134,749,931Form
1WILSON THOMAS JChairman, President & CEO11042025Sell188.735,9301,119,17235,727,343Form