Tearsheet

ThredUp (TDUP)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $7.68 | Market Cap: $951.6 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Broadline Retail

ThredUp (TDUP)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $7.68
Market Cap: $951.6 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Broadline Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -23 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -7.8%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, and Circular Fashion.
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 3.9x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 92x
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 405%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 272%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.3%
5   Key risks
TDUP key risks include [1] its consistent inability to achieve profitability, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, and Circular Fashion.
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -23 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -7.8%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 3.9x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 92x
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 405%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 272%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.3%
8 Key risks
TDUP key risks include [1] its consistent inability to achieve profitability, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TDUP Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, ThredUp (TDUP) experienced a stock price decline of 29.6% due to several factors: 1. Negative Investor Reaction to Q3 2025 Earnings: Despite ThredUp surpassing revenue and EPS forecasts for Q3 2025, its stock dropped 5.06% in after-hours trading following the earnings release on November 3, 2025. This negative reaction, even with an earnings beat, suggests underlying investor concerns possibly related to broader economic uncertainties or apprehensions about the company's future growth prospects.

2. Concerns from Q2 2025 Financial Outlook: While ThredUp reported strong Q2 2025 revenue on August 4, 2025, and raised its full-year outlook, it also projected decreasing adjusted EBITDA margins for Q4 2025. This anticipated decline in profitability, with margins expected to drop to approximately 3.0%, likely raised concerns among investors about the company's operational efficiency and future profitability during the latter half of the year.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TDUP Return-90%72%-38%454%
Peers Return-59%-14%107%13%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TDUP Win Rate33%25%67%25%75% 
Peers Win Rate47%28%38%45%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TDUP Max Drawdown-94%-10%-77%-8% 
Peers Max Drawdown-70%-41%-27%-37% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: REAL, EBAY, ETSY, RVLV, RENT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTDUPS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-97.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3977.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to MELI, M, BBBY, BGO, AMZN


In The Past

ThredUp's stock fell -97.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/29/2021. A -97.5% loss requires a 3977.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About ThredUp (TDUP)

Better Bets than ThredUp (TDUP)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TDUP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.0%13.0%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.4%6.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.0%13.0%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.4%6.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for ThredUp

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TDUPREALEBAYETSYRVLVRENTMedian
NameThredUp RealReal eBay Etsy Revolve Rent the. 
Mkt Price7.6214.7182.7152.8627.428.7421.07
Mkt Cap0.91.238.15.32.00.01.6
Rev LTM29866310,4702,8541,195314929
Op Inc LTM-23-352,23839465-6421
FCF LTM2-181,40963563-7632
FCF 3Y Avg-14-491,76266436-7811
CFO LTM13151,91269174-244
CFO 3Y Avg-3-142,24470943-520

Growth & Margins

TDUPREALEBAYETSYRVLVRENTMedian
NameThredUp RealReal eBay Etsy Revolve Rent the. 
Rev Chg LTM41.7%14.3%2.7%2.0%9.2%2.9%6.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.6%4.3%1.5%4.9%3.5%3.3%3.9%
Rev Chg Q33.6%17.5%6.1%2.4%4.4%15.4%10.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM7.4%4.1%1.5%0.6%1.1%3.9%2.7%
Op Mgn LTM-7.8%-5.3%21.4%13.8%5.4%-20.3%0.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-14.9%-14.1%21.2%13.2%4.1%-21.4%-5.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.8%1.3%-1.0%-0.2%0.5%-0.0%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM4.3%2.3%18.3%24.2%6.2%-0.7%5.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-0.3%-2.7%22.1%25.4%3.8%-1.6%1.7%
FCF/Rev LTM0.5%-2.7%13.5%22.3%5.3%-24.3%2.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-4.5%-8.5%17.4%23.8%3.2%-25.6%-0.6%

Valuation

TDUPREALEBAYETSYRVLVRENTMedian
NameThredUp RealReal eBay Etsy Revolve Rent the. 
Mkt Cap0.91.238.15.32.00.01.6
P/S3.91.94.02.31.30.12.1
P/EBIT-56.9-15.115.923.3-15.5
P/E-32.2-17.219.236.227.42.610.9
P/CFO91.679.621.99.520.7-12.521.3
Total Yield-3.1%-5.8%6.5%2.8%3.7%38.5%3.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%1.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.7%-6.0%9.7%2.7%-4.4%
D/E0.0-0.20.50.0-0.1
Net D/E0.0-0.10.2-0.2-0.0

Returns

TDUPREALEBAYETSYRVLVRENTMedian
NameThredUp RealReal eBay Etsy Revolve Rent the. 
1M Rtn2.6%3.7%1.0%-3.2%32.8%95.5%3.1%
3M Rtn-27.1%40.8%-7.7%-12.8%14.7%90.6%3.5%
6M Rtn-9.4%188.4%7.4%-4.4%31.3%95.1%19.4%
12M Rtn404.6%54.7%30.7%-13.3%-24.9%11.7%21.2%
3Y Rtn282.9%965.9%113.7%-58.2%13.4%-85.8%63.5%
1M Excs Rtn1.8%3.0%0.3%-4.0%32.1%94.8%2.4%
3M Excs Rtn-29.9%36.0%-8.7%-19.8%12.5%91.9%1.9%
6M Excs Rtn-21.8%176.0%-5.0%-16.8%18.9%82.8%7.0%
12M Excs Rtn400.3%56.3%20.5%-21.5%-37.1%-3.4%8.6%
3Y Excs Rtn307.8%874.8%32.0%-127.6%-63.6%-152.6%-15.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Single Segment259   
Consignment revenue 175186138
Product revenue 1136648
Total259288252186


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil2024202320222021
Single Segment-71   
Total-71   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity16,507,053
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520252.0%
Average Daily Volume1,721,092
Days-to-Cover Short Interest9.59
Basic Shares Quantity123,903,000
Short % of Basic Shares13.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/3/2025-7.5%-8.9%-6.6%
8/4/20255.7%1.7%9.1%
5/5/202547.7%39.0%72.3%
1/14/202545.4%73.8%102.3%
11/4/202458.5%77.4%212.4%
8/5/2024-62.7%-62.4%-48.6%
3/4/2024-16.5%-21.2%-21.2%
11/6/2023-33.4%-39.8%-35.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive9810
# Negative786
Median Positive26.1%32.7%43.0%
Median Negative-9.0%-17.4%-25.4%
Max Positive58.5%77.4%212.4%
Max Negative-62.7%-62.4%-48.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251103202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025804202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025505202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241104202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024805202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024506202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023305202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022307202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022815202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021322202210-K 12/31/2021