ThredUp (TDUP)
Market Price (2/3/2026): $4.995 | Market Cap: $618.9 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Broadline Retail
ThredUp (TDUP)
Market Price (2/3/2026): $4.995Market Cap: $618.9 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Broadline Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -23 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -7.8% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -49% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 48x | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, and Circular Fashion. | Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 128% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -10.0% | ||
| Key risksTDUP key risks include [1] its consistent inability to achieve profitability, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -49% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, and Circular Fashion. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -23 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -7.8% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 48x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 128% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -10.0% |
| Key risksTDUP key risks include [1] its consistent inability to achieve profitability, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Slower Projected Growth for 2026 Dampened Investor Enthusiasm. Despite ThredUp's strong performance in 2025, including a 33.6% year-over-year revenue increase in Q3 2025 and raised full-year 2025 guidance, the company's outlook for 2026 indicated a significant deceleration in revenue growth to "low double digits." This projected slowdown from the rapid expansion seen in 2025, and specifically from a projected 25% growth in Q3 2025 to 10% in Q4 2025, likely tempered investor sentiment that had fueled a considerable rally earlier in 2025.
2. Persistent Profitability Concerns and High Operating Expenses. ThredUp continued to forecast negative earnings for 2026, and analysis noted that operating expenses had risen to 84.7% of sales, exceeding forecasts. These financial metrics raised concerns among investors about the company's long-term path to sustainable profitability, contributing to a decline in stock value.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -43.1% change in TDUP stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -45.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2022026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.79 | 5.00 | -43.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 278 | 298 | 7.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 3.8 | 2.1 | -45.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 120 | 124 | -2.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -43.1% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/2/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TDUP | -43.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 2.0% | 35.3% |
| Sector (XLY) | 1.7% | 42.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -39.5% change in TDUP stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -42.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2022026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.26 | 5.00 | -39.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 267 | 298 | 11.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 3.6 | 2.1 | -42.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 117 | 124 | -5.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -39.5% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/2/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TDUP | -39.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 10.3% | 38.5% |
| Sector (XLY) | 10.4% | 37.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 128.3% change in TDUP stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/2/2026 was primarily driven by a 77.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2022026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.19 | 5.00 | 128.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 211 | 298 | 41.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.2 | 2.1 | 77.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 113 | 124 | -8.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 128.3% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/2/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TDUP | 128.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.6% | 17.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | 5.8% | 21.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 189.0% change in TDUP stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/2/2026 was primarily driven by a 247.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312023 | 2022026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.73 | 5.00 | 189.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 290 | 298 | 2.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.6 | 2.1 | 247.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 100 | 124 | -19.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 189.0% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/2/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TDUP | 189.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 77.5% | 18.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | 68.0% | 21.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TDUP Return | -36% | -90% | 72% | -38% | 360% | -21% | -75% |
| Peers Return | 8% | -59% | -14% | 107% | 17% | -5% | -13% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 1% | 85% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TDUP Win Rate | 40% | 25% | 67% | 25% | 67% | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 47% | 28% | 38% | 45% | 53% | 10% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TDUP Max Drawdown | -36% | -94% | -10% | -77% | -8% | -21% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -24% | -70% | -41% | -27% | -37% | -6% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: REAL, EBAY, ETSY, RVLV, RENT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/2/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TDUP | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -97.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 3977.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to REAL, EBAY, ETSY, RVLV, RENT
In The Past
ThredUp's stock fell -97.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/29/2021. A -97.5% loss requires a 3977.9% gain to breakeven.
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About ThredUp (TDUP)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-2 brief analogies for ThredUp (TDUP):
- Like Carvana, but for secondhand clothing and accessories.
- A more curated eBay for pre-owned fashion.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Online Secondhand Fashion Marketplace: Facilitates the buying and selling of pre-owned clothing, shoes, and accessories for consumers.
- Clean Out Kits: Provides a convenient service for individuals to declutter their closets by sending used apparel to ThredUp for resale or responsible recycling.
- Resale-as-a-Service (RaaS): Offers a platform and operational expertise to brands and retailers looking to launch and manage their own branded resale programs.
AI Analysis | Feedback
ThredUp (TDUP) primarily sells to individuals through its online consignment marketplace.
The company serves the following categories of individual customers:
- Value-Conscious Shoppers: These customers are primarily motivated by finding affordable, quality clothing options, stretching their budgets, and achieving significant savings compared to purchasing new items.
- Sustainability-Minded Consumers: This group is driven by environmental concerns, seeking to reduce textile waste, minimize their carbon footprint, and support the circular economy by choosing secondhand fashion.
- Fashion Enthusiasts & Treasure Hunters: These customers enjoy discovering unique styles, specific brands (including designer and premium labels), vintage pieces, or finding high-value items at a discounted price. They appreciate the curated selection and the "thrill of the find" that ThredUp offers.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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James Reinhart, Co-Founder & Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Reinhart co-founded ThredUp in January 2009 and has served as its Chief Executive Officer and a member of its board of directors since then. Prior to founding ThredUp, he was instrumental in developing the Pacific Collegiate School and co-founded the Beacon Education Network, a charter management organization focused on serving low-income students in California. He holds a Master of Public Administration from the Harvard Kennedy School and a Master of Business Administration from Harvard Business School.
Sean Sobers, Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Sobers has served as ThredUp's Chief Financial Officer since October 2019. From July 2016 to August 2019, he served as Chief Financial Officer of Quantenna Communications, Inc., a Wi-Fi solutions company that was acquired by ON Semiconductor Corporation in June 2019. Before that, from July 2009 to June 2016, Mr. Sobers was the Corporate Vice President of Finance of Cadence Design Systems, Inc., a publicly traded design automation software and engineering services company. He also held senior financial roles at Documentum, Inc. (acquired by EMC Corporation in 2003), EMC Corporation (acquired by Dell Technologies in 2016), and Polycom Inc.
Christopher Homer, Co-Founder & Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Homer co-founded ThredUp and has served as its Chief Operating Officer since September 2020. He previously held the role of Chief Technology Officer at ThredUp from June 2009 to September 2020. Earlier in his career, from July 2005 to August 2007, Mr. Homer was a midmarket solution advisor at Microsoft Corporation. He earned a Master of Business Administration from Harvard Business School.
Natalie Breece, Chief People & Diversity Officer
Ms. Breece has served as ThredUp's Senior Vice President of People since October 2019 and became Chief People & Diversity Officer. Her tenure at ThredUp also includes serving as Vice President of People from March 2019 to October 2019 and Director of Talent Acquisition from March 2017 to March 2019. Before joining ThredUp, Ms. Breece was a Recruiting Manager of Sales and Operations at YourPeople, Inc. dba Zenefits from March 2015 to September 2016 and a Recruiter at Automatic Data Processing, Inc. from April 2013 to March 2015.
Daniel DeMeyere, Chief Product and Technology Officer
Mr. DeMeyere has served as ThredUp's Chief Product and Technology Officer since May 2024. Prior to this, he was the Head of International from October 2021 to May 2024 and Chief Product Officer from February 2019 to October 2021. His earlier roles at ThredUp include Vice President of Engineering, Director of Engineering, and Full Stack Engineer. Before his extensive career at ThredUp, Mr. DeMeyere worked as a Web Development Consultant at Global Notion, Inc.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The public company ThredUp (TDUP) faces several key risks to its business model and long-term viability:
- Inability to Achieve and Maintain Profitability: ThredUp has consistently reported losses from continuing operations and has not yet achieved GAAP profitability. In Q2 2025, the company posted a $5.2 million operational loss, and its cash reserves face strain, leading to rising liquidity risks and potential shareholder dilution. The business model requires significant capital investment, and thin margins make profitability elusive.
- Operational Challenges and Inventory Management: A critical risk lies in ThredUp's reliance on a continuous supply of quality inventory and the challenge of acquiring and retaining consignors. There's a risk that sellers may send lower-quality or less desirable items due to delays in cash compensation from the consignment model, resulting in unresellable items and incurred processing expenses. Customers have also raised complaints regarding misrepresentation, inconsistent quality inspections, and opaque reselling practices. Higher-than-expected item return rates could further negatively impact revenue.
- Intense Competition and Economic Sensitivity: ThredUp operates in an increasingly competitive secondhand clothing market, facing rivals such as Poshmark, The RealReal, Depop, Etsy, and even direct resale programs from traditional brands. The company is also highly sensitive to economic downturns and macroeconomic pressures, including inflation and job market uncertainty, which can significantly reduce consumer discretionary spending on non-essential items like clothing. ThredUp demonstrated this sensitivity during the pandemic, when its business experienced a collapse alongside other apparel retailers. Additionally, customer acquisition costs are rising due to competition, driving up cost-per-clicks (CPCs).
AI Analysis | Feedback
The proliferation of direct-to-consumer (DTC) resale programs launched by major brands themselves (e.g., Lululemon Like New, Levi's SecondHand, Patagonia Worn Wear). These programs directly compete with ThredUp for the acquisition of high-value, desirable inventory from consumers. Brands can offer specific brand credit, unique incentives, or a more seamless and trusted channel for consumers to sell back their used items. This trend threatens ThredUp's core supply acquisition model by potentially diverting inventory that would otherwise be sent to ThredUp's marketplace, thereby impacting its ability to maintain a comprehensive and attractive selection for buyers.
AI Analysis | Feedback
ThredUp (TDUP) operates an online resale platform specializing in secondhand clothing, footwear, and accessories, including a "Resale-as-a-Service" (RaaS) offering for brands. The addressable market for these main products and services is the secondhand apparel market.
- The global secondhand apparel market is projected to reach $367 billion by 2029.
- The U.S. secondhand apparel market is expected to reach $74 billion by 2029.
- The U.S. online resale market, a key segment for ThredUp, is projected to reach $40 billion by 2029.
AI Analysis | Feedback
ThredUp (TDUP) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and strategic focuses:
-
AI-Driven Enhancements and Personalization: ThredUp is investing in and rolling out AI-powered features and products to enhance the shopping experience, improve user engagement, and boost conversion rates. These enhancements, such as the Daily Edit and Trend Report, leverage in-house AI models to personalize shopping experiences, which is expected to increase active and new buyers and drive revenue growth.
-
Customer Acquisition and Engagement: The company is focused on attracting new customers and improving the engagement of its existing buyer base. Despite some fluctuations, ThredUp has demonstrated strong new customer acquisition, and management emphasizes reinvesting profits to sustain its marketplace flywheel and achieve long-term growth targets.
-
Strategic Focus on the U.S. Core Business: ThredUp has divested its European operations (Remix) to concentrate exclusively on its U.S. business. This sharpened focus on its core market is anticipated to drive more efficient growth and allow the company to leverage its existing infrastructure and marketplace investments for improved margins.
-
Improvements in Supply Channel and Unit Economics: Growth in consignment sales, leading to a higher percentage of sales from this channel, and the robust performance of the "Premium Kit" supply channel are contributing to increased average selling prices and stronger gross margins. A healthier and more efficient supply side is crucial for a resale marketplace to expand its inventory and attract more buyers, thereby driving revenue growth.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- ThredUp has not reported any share repurchases in its annual filings (Form 10-K) for fiscal years 2022, 2023, or 2024. [cite: 5 (previous search), 6, 3, 7]
Share Issuance
- In Q2 2025, ThredUp's issuance of common equity contributed approximately $13.7 million to its cash. [cite: 11 (previous search)]
- Additional paid-in capital significantly increased from $30 million in 2020 to $612 million in 2024, indicating substantial share issuances, including those from its IPO in March 2021. [cite: 8, 16 (previous search)]
- Stock-based compensation expenses were projected to be $33.0 million for fiscal year 2024 and $18.3 million for fiscal year 2025. [cite: 13 (previous search), 28 (previous search)]
Outbound Investments
- In July 2021, ThredUp acquired Remix Global AD, a European fashion resale company, for approximately $28.5 million in consideration, plus $6.5 million in restricted stock units to the Remix management team.
- In October 2021, ThredUp made an investment in Vopero.
- ThredUp divested its European business (Remix) in late 2024 through a management buyout, making a final cash investment of $2 million into Remix before closing the transaction, while retaining a minority interest. [cite: 8 (previous search)]
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures in the last 12 months totaled -$11.21 million.
- For Q3 2025, capital expenditures were $3.7 million, with an expectation of $10 million for the full fiscal year 2025. [cite: 2 (previous search)]
- The primary focus of capital expenditures is the set-up, expansion, and automation of its distribution network, alongside investments in technology and infrastructure, including AI-powered search features. [cite: 9 (previous search), 10, 19, 24]
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| ThredUp Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Can ThredUp Stock Recover If Markets Fall? | 10/17/2025 | |
| Should You Buy ThredUp Stock? | 08/09/2025 | |
| ThredUp (TDUP) Debt Comparison | 08/09/2025 | |
| ThredUp (TDUP) EBITDA Comparison | 08/09/2025 | |
| ThredUp (TDUP) Net Income Comparison | 08/09/2025 | |
| ThredUp (TDUP) Tax Expense Comparison | 08/09/2025 | |
| ThredUp (TDUP) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 08/09/2025 | |
| ThredUp (TDUP) Operating Income Comparison | 08/09/2025 | |
| ThredUp (TDUP) Revenue Comparison | 08/09/2025 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| TDUP Stock Up 36% after 5-Day Win Streak | 08/06/2025 |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 21.27 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.8 |
| Rev LTM | 929 |
| Op Inc LTM | 21 |
| FCF LTM | 32 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 11 |
| CFO LTM | 44 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 20 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 12.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -5.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 5.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -0.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.8 |
| P/S | 2.0 |
| P/EBIT | 6.1 |
| P/E | 11.6 |
| P/CFO | 23.9 |
| Total Yield | 3.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -2.0% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -6.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 18.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 19.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 19.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 43.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -9.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 14.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 8.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 3.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -18.6% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $5.00 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.6 | |
| First Trading Date | 03/26/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -58.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $6.68 | $7.84 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | -25.1% | -36.3% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 58.5% | 80.4% |
| Downside Capture | 400.53 | 55.07 |
| Upside Capture | 58.20 | 131.13 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 35.1% | 18.1% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 3.23 | 1.79 | 1.84 | 2.22 | 0.75 | 1.35 |
| Up Beta | 4.01 | 0.18 | 0.43 | 3.35 | 1.04 | 1.29 |
| Down Beta | 1.23 | 0.65 | 1.45 | 1.94 | 0.19 | 0.67 |
| Up Capture | 155% | 39% | 47% | 88% | 160% | 704% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 13 | 22 | 50 | 119 | 350 |
| Down Capture | 735% | 448% | 324% | 240% | 65% | 110% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 25 | 36 | 68 | 123 | 370 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TDUP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TDUP | 127.3% | 80.6% | 1.34 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 5.3% | 24.2% | 0.16 | 21.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.0% | 19.2% | 0.64 | 18.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 66.9% | 23.7% | 2.11 | 7.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.0% | 16.3% | 0.23 | 8.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.9% | 16.5% | -0.00 | 9.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -19.7% | 39.9% | -0.46 | 14.9% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TDUP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TDUP | -24.2% | 109.5% | 0.25 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 8.2% | 23.8% | 0.31 | 27.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.1% | 17.1% | 0.66 | 24.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 19.9% | 16.6% | 0.97 | 4.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.4% | 18.9% | 0.49 | 8.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.5% | 18.8% | 0.15 | 18.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 20.9% | 57.6% | 0.56 | 16.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TDUP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TDUP | -12.9% | 109.5% | 0.25 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 14.1% | 21.9% | 0.59 | 27.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.9% | 17.9% | 0.76 | 24.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.0% | 15.3% | 0.81 | 4.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.3% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 8.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.8% | 20.8% | 0.25 | 18.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 71.1% | 66.4% | 1.10 | 16.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/3/2025 | -7.5% | -8.9% | -6.6% |
| 8/4/2025 | 5.7% | 1.7% | 9.1% |
| 5/5/2025 | 47.7% | 39.0% | 72.3% |
| 1/14/2025 | 45.4% | 73.8% | 102.3% |
| 11/4/2024 | 58.5% | 77.4% | 212.4% |
| 8/5/2024 | -62.7% | -62.4% | -48.6% |
| 3/4/2024 | -16.5% | -21.2% | -21.2% |
| 11/6/2023 | -33.4% | -39.8% | -35.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| # Negative | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 26.1% | 32.7% | 43.0% |
| Median Negative | -9.0% | -17.4% | -25.4% |
| Max Positive | 58.5% | 77.4% | 212.4% |
| Max Negative | -62.7% | -62.4% | -48.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/03/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/03/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/04/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/05/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/07/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/15/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/22/2022 | 10-K |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Homer, Christopher | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 12022025 | 7.42 | 68,358 | 507,326 | 8,687,480 | Form |
| 2 | Reinhart, James G | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 12022025 | 7.42 | 198,690 | 1,474,598 | 4,645,929 | Form |
| 3 | Sobers, Sean | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 12022025 | 7.42 | 51,220 | 380,134 | 3,676,186 | Form |
| 4 | Reinhart, James G | Chief Executive Officer | Trust | Sell | 11072025 | 7.95 | 200,000 | Form | ||
| 5 | Reinhart, James G | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 11072025 | 7.93 | 379,826 | 3,012,780 | 4,551,786 | Form |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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