Tearsheet

RealReal (REAL)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $14.28 | Market Cap: $1.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods

RealReal (REAL)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $14.28
Market Cap: $1.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -42 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -6.7%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -57%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 69%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more.
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 105x
3  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 155%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 131%
4  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.6%
5  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%
6  Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 25%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -57%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more.
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -42 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -6.7%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 69%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 105x
6 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 155%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 131%
7 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.6%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%
9 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 25%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

REAL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining The RealReal (REAL) stock movement from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025: 1. Strong Q2 2025 Financial Performance and Raised Guidance. The RealReal announced robust second-quarter 2025 results on August 7, 2025, reporting record Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) of $504 million and total revenue of $165 million, both increasing 14% year-over-year. The company significantly narrowed its net loss to $11 million from $16 million in the prior year and achieved positive Adjusted EBITDA of $6.8 million, an improvement of $8.6 million year-over-year. This strong performance, coupled with raised full-year guidance, signaled meaningful commercial momentum and improving financial health to investors.

2. Continued Momentum with Excellent Q3 2025 Results and Further Raised Outlook. On November 10, 2025, The RealReal reported accelerating growth in its third-quarter 2025 financial results. GMV increased 20% year-over-year to $520 million, and total revenue rose 17% compared to the third quarter of 2024, reaching $174 million. Adjusted EBITDA significantly improved to $9.3 million, exceeding expectations, and the company once again raised its full-year outlook, reinforcing investor confidence in its growth trajectory.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
REAL Return4%-41%-89%61%444%30%-25%
Peers Return-1%36%-47%-3%64%3%17%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
REAL Win Rate50%50%8%42%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate67%62%21%46%67%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
REAL Max Drawdown-71%-48%-91%-18%-21%-56% 
Peers Max Drawdown-58%-6%-50%-22%-8%-35% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GIL, HBI, AGIE, JPO, MPJS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventREALS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-96.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2689.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-71.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven245.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven269 days148 days

Compare to GIL, HBI, AGIE, JPO, MPJS


In The Past

RealReal's stock fell -96.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/17/2021. A -96.4% loss requires a 2689.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About RealReal (REAL)

Better Bets than RealReal (REAL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to REAL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
9.2%9.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.4%2.4%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.1%-4.1%-4.1%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
9.2%9.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.4%2.4%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.1%-4.1%-4.1%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for RealReal

Peers to compare with:

Financials

REALGILHBIAGIEJPOMPJSMedian
NameRealReal Gildan A.Hanesbra.Angie JP Outfi.MPJS  
Mkt Price14.2158.336.47---14.21
Mkt Cap1.68.72.3---2.3
Rev LTM6373,3623,532---3,362
Op Inc LTM-42728462---462
FCF LTM-30--8----19
FCF 3Y Avg-59-255---98
CFO LTM5-23---14
CFO 3Y Avg-23-305---141

Growth & Margins

REALGILHBIAGIEJPOMPJSMedian
NameRealReal Gildan A.Hanesbra.Angie JP Outfi.MPJS  
Rev Chg LTM12.7%4.0%4.5%---4.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.2%0.7%-7.2%---0.7%
Rev Chg Q14.0%2.2%-1.0%---2.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.3%0.6%-0.2%---0.6%
Op Mgn LTM-6.7%21.7%13.1%---13.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-16.3%19.3%6.1%---6.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.7%0.4%0.4%---0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM0.8%-0.7%---0.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-4.1%-10.5%---3.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-4.6%--0.2%----2.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-10.2%-8.8%----0.7%

Valuation

REALGILHBIAGIEJPOMPJSMedian
NameRealReal Gildan A.Hanesbra.Angie JP Outfi.MPJS  
Mkt Cap1.68.72.3---2.3
P/S0.92.60.7---0.9
P/EBIT-55.812.75.7---5.7
P/E-15.418.27.1---7.1
P/CFO104.5-100.8---102.6
Total Yield-6.5%6.3%14.1%---6.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.8%0.0%---0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-22.0%-13.7%----4.2%
D/E0.90.21.1---0.9
Net D/E0.70.21.0---0.7

Returns

REALGILHBIAGIEJPOMPJSMedian
NameRealReal Gildan A.Hanesbra.Angie JP Outfi.MPJS  
1M Rtn27.0%3.2%0.0%---3.2%
3M Rtn63.7%6.3%1.7%---6.3%
6M Rtn155.1%23.4%33.4%---33.4%
12M Rtn131.1%20.1%-24.6%---20.1%
3Y Rtn766.5%113.7%1.6%---113.7%
1M Excs Rtn25.7%1.9%-1.3%---1.9%
3M Excs Rtn58.1%-0.3%-4.9%----0.3%
6M Excs Rtn139.7%8.0%17.9%---17.9%
12M Excs Rtn121.9%5.1%-40.8%---5.1%
3Y Excs Rtn774.1%47.7%-74.2%---47.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment549603   
Consignment revenue  302  
Direct revenue  1215351
Shipping services revenue  45  
Consignment and service revenue   247266
Total549603468300316


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity28,580,692
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202516.3%
Average Daily Volume6,101,055
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.68
Basic Shares Quantity114,044,057
Short % of Basic Shares25.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241104202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023301202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211108202110-Q 9/30/2021