Rent the Runway (RENT)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $8.95 | Market Cap: $50.0 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail
Rent the Runway (RENT)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $8.95Market Cap: $50.0 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Apparel Retail
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 38% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -64 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -20% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Sustainable Consumption, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -153% | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -24% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 117% | ||
| Key risksRENT key risks include [1] a history of significant losses and debt that challenge the business model's fundamental profitability, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 38% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Sustainable Consumption, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -153% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -64 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -20% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -24% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 117% |
| Key risksRENT key risks include [1] a history of significant losses and debt that challenge the business model's fundamental profitability, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
RENT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points explaining the significant movement in Rent the Runway's stock:
1. Return to Net Income Profitability: Rent the Runway reported a substantial turnaround in its financial performance, achieving a net income of $76.5 million for the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, compared to a net loss of $18.9 million in the same quarter of the previous year. This positive shift was significantly aided by a one-time gain of $96.3 million from debt restructuring.
2. Transformative Debt Restructuring and Capital Infusion: The company completed a major recapitalization plan in October 2025. This strategic move successfully reduced Rent the Runway's total outstanding debt to $120 million, extended its debt maturity date to 2029, and injected an additional $20 million in cash from investors, significantly strengthening its balance sheet and improving financial flexibility.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RENT Return | � | � | -63% | -83% | -19% | 11% | � |
| Peers Return | � | � | -68% | 34% | 116% | 109% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RENT Win Rate | � | 0% | 42% | 17% | 33% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | 47% | 23% | 52% | 48% | 65% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RENT Max Drawdown | � | � | -86% | -85% | -55% | -56% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | -74% | -16% | -31% | -34% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: URBN, RVLV, REAL, TDUP, SFIX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RENT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -97.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 4145.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to GAP, GES, ZUMZ, GCO, TJX
In The Past
Rent the Runway's stock fell -97.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/27/2021. A -97.6% loss requires a 4145.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Rent the Runway Earnings Notes | ||
| Would You Still Hold Rent the Runway Stock If It Fell 30%? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to RENT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.4% | 6.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.1% | 17.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.4% | 6.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.1% | 17.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Rent the Runway
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 11.73 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.1 |
| Rev LTM | 929 |
| Op Inc LTM | -29 |
| FCF LTM | 3 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 9 |
| CFO LTM | 19 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 20 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 13.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -4.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -10.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 3.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 0.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -1.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.1 |
| P/S | 1.2 |
| P/EBIT | -16.8 |
| P/E | -7.3 |
| P/CFO | 23.4 |
| Total Yield | 0.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -0.0% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 29.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 15.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 34.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 36.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 128.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 28.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 12.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 21.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 32.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 44.8% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 12/12/2025 | 18.1% | ||
| 9/11/2025 | -36.4% | -36.1% | -34.9% |
| 4/15/2025 | -18.2% | -25.4% | 3.7% |
| 12/9/2024 | -21.8% | -29.5% | -32.4% |
| 9/5/2024 | -27.7% | -33.8% | -38.0% |
| 4/10/2024 | 161.9% | 67.6% | 83.6% |
| 12/5/2023 | -5.9% | 17.1% | -31.6% |
| 9/8/2023 | -27.9% | -34.0% | -50.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| # Negative | 9 | 10 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 46.2% | 67.6% | 83.6% |
| Median Negative | -21.8% | -29.5% | -34.9% |
| Max Positive | 161.9% | 167.6% | 179.4% |
| Max Negative | -38.7% | -41.1% | -59.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | 12122025 | 10-Q 10/31/2025 |
| 7312025 | 9122025 | 10-Q 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6062025 | 10-Q 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 4152025 | 10-K 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12092024 | 10-Q 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9062024 | 10-Q 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6062024 | 10-Q 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 4112024 | 10-K 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12062023 | 10-Q 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9082023 | 10-Q 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6082023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 4132023 | 10-K 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12092022 | 10-Q 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9132022 | 10-Q 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6102022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 4142022 | 10-K 1/31/2022 |
External Quote Links
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