Revolve (RVLV)
Market Price (4/16/2026): $25.02 | Market Cap: $1.8 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Broadline Retail
Revolve (RVLV)
Market Price (4/16/2026): $25.02Market Cap: $1.8 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Broadline Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Social Media & Creator Economy, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -5.7%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -67% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 30x Key risksRVLV key risks include [1] significant legal and regulatory challenges to its core influencer marketing model, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Social Media & Creator Economy, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -5.7%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -67% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 30x |
| Key risksRVLV key risks include [1] significant legal and regulatory challenges to its core influencer marketing model, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Negative market reaction to Q4 2025 earnings despite beats and 2026 guidance concerns.
Although Revolve reported strong financial results for Q4 2025, with an EPS of $0.26 exceeding analyst estimates of $0.16 and revenue of $324.37 million surpassing estimates of $305.83 million (a 10.4% year-over-year increase), the stock declined by 5.95% on the day the earnings were announced (February 24, 2026). This negative market reaction suggests that, despite the beats, investors may have focused on concerns such as management's reiteration of 2026 guidance being sensitive to tariffs and the timing of mitigation activities, which could impact future gross margins.
2. Persistent macroeconomic headwinds leading to weakened consumer discretionary spending.
The broader economic environment in early 2026 presented challenges for discretionary retailers. Consumer economic confidence remained relatively flat, and there was a negative net intent to spend across discretionary categories following the holiday season. Consumers were increasingly value-seeking and budgeting more, shifting their spending priorities away from expensive discretionary items, directly affecting online fashion retailers. Additionally, tariffs continued to be identified as a significant hurdle for the fashion industry in 2026.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -17.1% change in RVLV stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/15/2026 was primarily driven by a -25.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4152026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 30.19 | 25.03 | -17.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,195 | 1,226 | 2.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.6% | 5.0% | 8.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 38.8 | 28.9 | -25.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 71 | 71 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -17.1% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/15/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RVLV | -17.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 40.4% |
| Sector (XLY) | -1.0% | 55.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 17.5% change in RVLV stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/15/2026 was primarily driven by a 31.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4152026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 21.30 | 25.03 | 17.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,183 | 1,226 | 3.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.8% | 5.0% | 31.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 33.5 | 28.9 | -13.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 71 | 71 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 17.5% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/15/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RVLV | 17.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 45.7% |
| Sector (XLY) | -1.2% | 50.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 16.5% change in RVLV stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/15/2026 was primarily driven by a 14.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4152026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 21.49 | 25.03 | 16.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,130 | 1,226 | 8.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.4% | 5.0% | 14.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 30.8 | 28.9 | -6.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 71 | 71 | -0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 16.5% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/15/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RVLV | 16.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 54.6% |
| Sector (XLY) | 20.4% | 57.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -4.8% change in RVLV stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/15/2026 was primarily driven by a -12.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4152026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 26.30 | 25.03 | -4.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,101 | 1,226 | 11.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.3% | 5.0% | -5.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 32.9 | 28.9 | -12.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 73 | 71 | 2.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -4.8% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/15/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RVLV | -4.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 43.1% |
| Sector (XLY) | 61.7% | 45.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RVLV Return | 80% | -60% | -26% | 102% | -10% | -17% | -20% |
| Peers Return | -24% | -60% | 19% | 96% | 34% | -30% | -32% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 2% | 85% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RVLV Win Rate | 75% | 33% | 42% | 50% | 50% | 25% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 37% | 25% | 47% | 47% | 58% | 30% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RVLV Max Drawdown | 0% | -64% | -44% | -13% | -49% | -27% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -36% | -72% | -28% | -28% | -42% | -38% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: URBN, AEO, REAL, SFIX, RENT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/15/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RVLV | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -85.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 601.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -65.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 187.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 143 days | 148 days |
Compare to URBN, AEO, REAL, SFIX, RENT
In The Past
Revolve's stock fell -85.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/18/2021. A -85.7% loss requires a 601.2% gain to breakeven.
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About Revolve (RVLV)
AI Analysis | Feedback
- ASOS, but heavily driven by social media influencers.
- An online Nordstrom for trendy and luxury fashion.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Women's Apparel: Clothing items for women, including dresses, tops, bottoms, and outerwear.
- Footwear: A range of shoes, boots, and sandals for women.
- Accessories: Fashion accompaniments such as handbags, jewelry, sunglasses, and belts for women.
- Beauty Styles: Cosmetics, skincare, hair care, and fragrances for women.
- Luxury Brands: High-end fashion products and accessories from various luxury designers and labels.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Revolve Group, Inc. (RVLV) primarily sells its products directly to individual consumers rather than to other businesses. Based on the company's description as an "online fashion retailer" and its focus on connecting "consumers" with brands and influencers, its major customers fall into the following categories:
- Trend-following Young Adults (Millennials and Gen Z): These customers are typically digitally native, highly engaged with social media, and influenced by fashion trends and influencers. They seek stylish, contemporary, and aspirational apparel, footwear, accessories, and beauty products from a mix of emerging and established brands for both everyday wear and special occasions.
- Luxury Fashion Enthusiasts: This segment comprises consumers who prioritize high-end design, quality, and brand prestige. They are interested in investing in premium and luxury brands offered by Revolve, often seeking designer pieces for special events or to elevate their personal style.
- Occasion and Event Shoppers: These customers are specifically looking for unique and fashionable outfits for particular events such as parties, weddings, vacations, festivals, or other social gatherings. They often seek statement-making or highly trendy pieces that align with a specific dress code or theme.
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HTMLMichael Karanikolas Co-Chief Executive Officer
Mike Karanikolas is the Co-Founder and Co-Chief Executive Officer of Revolve Group, Inc., a position he has held since the company's inception in 2003. He also serves as a member and Chairman of the board of directors. Before co-founding Revolve, Karanikolas was a software engineer at NextStrat from 2000 to 2002. He holds a B.S. in engineering from Virginia Tech University. Karanikolas co-founded Revolve with Michael Mente with an initial investment of $50,000, and together they have been instrumental in growing the company into a publicly traded, billion-dollar business, pioneering data-driven retail and influencer marketing. He also co-founded Eminent, Inc., a subsidiary of Revolve Group, Inc. There is no information suggesting he sold other companies or has a pattern of managing private equity-backed companies.
Michael Mente Co-Chief Executive Officer
Michael Mente is the Co-Founder and Co-Chief Executive Officer of Revolve Group, Inc., serving since its inception in 2003. He is also a member of the company's board of directors. Prior to co-founding Revolve, Mente worked as an analyst at NextStrat from 2001 until 2002. He holds a B.S. in business administration from the University of Southern California. Mente co-founded Revolve with Mike Karanikolas, launching the business with $50,000 in initial capital. He leads fashion, design, and corporate branding for Revolve, its luxury segment FWRD, and over 20 owned brands. Mente also co-founded Stratana, an enterprise strategy software company, and Eminent, Inc., a Revolve Group subsidiary. There is no information suggesting he sold other companies or has a pattern of managing private equity-backed companies.
Jesse Timmermans Chief Financial Officer
Jesse Timmermans has served as the Chief Financial Officer of Revolve Group, Inc. since February 2017. In this role, he oversees finance, accounting, treasury, and administration, having guided the company through its 2019 IPO, the COVID-19 pandemic, and strategic M&A efforts and global expansion. Before joining Revolve, he was the CFO of Jobalign, a mobile recruiting technology company, from June 2014 to January 2017. He also spent a decade at Blue Nile, Inc., an online jewelry retailer, rising to Vice President of Finance and Controller from July 2004 to June 2014. Timmermans also previously worked at KPMG LLP as a Principal and as Manager-Financial Reporting at T-Mobile US, Inc. He is a Certified Public Accountant and holds a B.S. in accounting from Central Washington University. There is no information suggesting he sold companies or has a pattern of managing private equity-backed companies.
Raissa Gerona Chief Brand Officer
Raissa Gerona has served as Revolve's Chief Brand Officer since April 2016. She co-founded Alliance Apparel, Inc. in 2010, which was acquired by Revolve in 2014. Gerona is recognized for pioneering Revolve's influencer-driven approach and played a pivotal role in the company's successful IPO in 2019. She holds a B.A. in political science from the University of California Irvine.
Divya Mathur Chief Merchandising Officer and Fashion Director
Divya Mathur has served as Revolve's Fashion Director since October 2023 and assumed the additional responsibility as Chief Merchandising Officer in June 2024. Prior to joining Revolve, Mathur was the Chief Merchandising Officer at INTERMIX from January 2020 to January 2023. She also held roles in Buying and Merchandising at Shopbop, Michael Kors, and Saks Fifth Avenue. Mathur holds a B.A. in Economics from the University of California, Berkeley, and a minor in Business Administration from the Haas School of Business.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key risks to Revolve Group, Inc. (RVLV):
- Highly Competitive Landscape and Sensitivity to Consumer Discretionary Spending: Revolve operates in a highly competitive e-commerce fashion industry with numerous players vying for market share. As a retailer of discretionary products, the company's business is highly sensitive to overall macroeconomic conditions, including economic downturns, inflationary pressures, and shifts in consumer spending habits. These factors can significantly impact consumer demand and, consequently, Revolve's operating results and financial condition.
- Inventory Management and Rapidly Changing Fashion Trends: Revolve purchases inventory in anticipation of sales, which creates a significant risk if the company is unable to effectively manage its inventory levels. Overstocking can lead to increased markdowns and reduced profit margins, while understocking can result in lost sales and customer dissatisfaction. The online fashion industry is characterized by rapid shifts in trends, and an inability to anticipate and respond to these changing customer preferences in a timely and cost-effective manner could harm Revolve's business, financial condition, and operating results. Elevated merchandise returns, a common challenge in e-commerce, further complicate inventory management.
- Reliance on Third-Party Suppliers, Supply Chain Disruptions, and Tariffs: Revolve relies heavily on third-party suppliers and manufacturers, particularly those located in China. This dependence exposes the company to risks associated with manufacturing disruptions, quality control, ethical compliance, and broader supply chain instability. Furthermore, the company faces significant exposure to tariffs, which can act as a major cost factor and negatively impact gross margins. Management has indicated that gross margin is particularly sensitive to the timing and level of tariffs, and unfavorable outcomes or delayed mitigation could hinder sustained margin improvement.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The clear emerging threat to Revolve is the rapid growth and mainstream adoption of high-quality and luxury fashion resale platforms. These platforms offer consumers a compelling alternative to purchasing new items, providing access to designer and premium brands at reduced prices while also appealing to growing consumer demand for sustainability. As these resale markets expand in sophistication, inventory, and consumer trust, they divert spending that would otherwise go towards new apparel sold by retailers like Revolve, directly impacting their sales and market share.
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The addressable markets for Revolve Group, Inc.'s main products and services are substantial, both globally and within the United States.Global Addressable Markets:
- The global online fashion retail market was valued at approximately $776.6 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach $1,311.02 billion by 2030.
- The global women's apparel market is valued at $1.10 trillion in 2025 and is predicted to increase to approximately $1.49 trillion by 2034.
- The global e-commerce footwear market was valued at approximately $120.12 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $224.58 billion by 2033. Another source states the global e-commerce footwear market size was valued at USD 120.3 Billion in 2024, expected to reach USD 245.6 billion by 2034.
- The global e-commerce fashion accessories market was valued at USD 240.16 billion in 2024 and is poised to grow to USD 793.41 billion by 2033.
- The global online beauty and personal care market, representing online beauty sales, is projected to reach $257.5 billion in 2025.
- The global luxury women's ready-to-wear market was valued at over $55 billion in 2022.
U.S. Addressable Markets:
- The U.S. fashion e-commerce market generated an e-commerce revenue of US$233,746 million in 2025.
- The U.S. women's apparel market is projected to grow from $291,575.70 million (approximately $291.6 billion) in 2023 to an estimated $390,493.30 million by 2032.
- The U.S. footwear e-commerce market generated an e-commerce revenue of US$74,472 million in 2025.
- The U.S. e-commerce footwear market is also expected to reach a projected revenue of US$30,971.4 million by 2028.
- In the U.S., online sales for health, beauty, and personal care reached $130.50 billion in 2023.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Revolve Group, Inc. (RVLV) over the next 2-3 years:
- Expansion of Active Customer Base: Revolve continues to focus on growing its active customer count. The company reported an increase in active customers to 2.8 million in Q4 2025, representing a 6% year-over-year growth, and further increased to 2.84 million in the latest quarter. This consistent growth in its customer base is expected to drive higher sales volumes.
- International Expansion: Revolve is strategically expanding its international presence, with a particular focus on markets like China. International net sales saw a 7% year-over-year increase in Q4 2023 and a 13% rise in Q4 2025, indicating that global market penetration is a significant revenue driver for the company.
- Growth of Owned Brands: The company is placing a strong emphasis on the development and promotion of its owned brands. These brands contributed 19.8% to the REVOLVE segment's net sales in fiscal 2025, an increase from 18.2% in fiscal 2024. The recent launch of "REVOLVE Los Angeles" as its first eponymous fashion house further underscores this strategic initiative to build brand equity and drive sales.
- AI-Driven Personalization and Operational Enhancements: Revolve is leveraging artificial intelligence to enhance product discovery, personalize customer experiences, and improve operational efficiency. In fiscal 2025, AI-driven personalization and enhancements to its proprietary search algorithm generated "several million dollars" in annualized revenue gains. The integration of AI for features like virtual styling tools and back-end automation is expected to boost engagement and conversion rates, leading to increased revenue.
- Expansion into New Product Categories and Physical Retail: Revolve is broadening its product offerings, specifically investing in beauty, men's, and home categories. Beauty sales, for instance, surged by 43% in Q4 2025. Additionally, while primarily online, the company is strategically expanding with selective physical retail stores, such as the permanent location at The Grove in Los Angeles and new stores in Aspen, to deepen customer connections and extend its reach.
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Share Repurchases
- Revolve Group initiated a stock repurchase program of up to $100 million for its Class A common stock on August 2, 2023.
- In 2024, the company repurchased 767,198 shares at an average cost of $15.35 per share, leaving $57.6 million available under the program as of December 31, 2024.
- During the full year 2025, Revolve repurchased 107,195 shares of Class A common stock for a total of $2.0 million at an average cost of $18.86 per share. As of March 11, 2026, $44 million of the authorized $100 million has been deployed.
Outbound Investments
- In June 2024, Revolve Group acquired a majority stake in the French luxury fashion brand Alexandre Vauthier.
- As part of the Alexandre Vauthier acquisition, Revolve Group committed to investing 6 million euro over three years into a newly formed entity.
- In May 2025, Revolve Group reportedly acquired the intellectual property assets of the Australian luxury brand Dion Lee.
Capital Expenditures
- Revolve Group's capital expenditures were $2.20 million in 2021, $5.17 million in 2022, $4.20 million in 2023, $5.65 million in 2024, and approximately $11 million in 2025.
- The company's capital expenditures for the latest twelve months ending September 2025 were $10.14 million.
- Primary focuses for capital expenditures include investments in the technology platform to enhance customer experience and operational efficiency, and future plans for 2026 include continued investment in owned brands, physical retail expansion (with potential for 1-2 new stores), and AI integration.
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 14.96 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.5 |
| Rev LTM | 1,273 |
| Op Inc LTM | 25 |
| FCF LTM | 38 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 33 |
| CFO LTM | 53 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 44 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.3% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 36.1% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 37.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -0.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 5.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.5 |
| P/S | 0.8 |
| P/Op Inc | 3.5 |
| P/EBIT | 3.5 |
| P/E | 10.5 |
| P/CFO | 20.4 |
| Total Yield | 5.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.9% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 11.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -26.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 7.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 37.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 30.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 6.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -31.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 1.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 4.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -43.0% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $25.03 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.8 | |
| First Trading Date | 06/07/2019 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -20.4% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $24.30 | $24.02 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | 3.0% | 4.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 49.0% | 49.5% |
| Downside Capture | 0.60 | 0.65 |
| Upside Capture | 38.92 | 122.15 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 36.9% | 45.3% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.04 | 1.15 | 1.47 | 1.79 | 1.54 | 1.64 |
| Up Beta | 0.21 | 0.77 | 1.73 | 2.41 | 1.55 | 1.76 |
| Down Beta | 2.89 | 2.02 | 1.87 | 2.43 | 1.72 | 1.59 |
| Up Capture | -59% | 17% | 41% | 154% | 146% | 300% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 20 | 27 | 60 | 118 | 358 |
| Down Capture | 90% | 139% | 172% | 122% | 128% | 111% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 22 | 36 | 65 | 132 | 387 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with RVLV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RVLV | 32.9% | 49.3% | 0.74 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 25.4% | 19.4% | 1.04 | 49.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 22.0% | 12.9% | 1.36 | 46.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 49.0% | 27.5% | 1.44 | -2.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 25.0% | 16.1% | 1.38 | -4.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 17.3% | 13.7% | 0.92 | 30.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -10.4% | 42.6% | -0.14 | 21.9% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with RVLV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RVLV | -12.3% | 62.1% | 0.04 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 7.1% | 23.7% | 0.26 | 54.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 10.9% | 17.0% | 0.50 | 49.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.9% | 17.8% | 1.01 | -0.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.5% | 18.8% | 0.50 | 6.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.0% | 18.8% | 0.12 | 37.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 5.1% | 56.5% | 0.31 | 26.0% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with RVLV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RVLV | -2.5% | 67.1% | 0.23 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.8% | 22.0% | 0.53 | 51.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.8% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 47.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.3% | 15.9% | 0.75 | -1.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.7% | 17.6% | 0.41 | 13.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 37.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.8% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 21.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/24/2026 | -5.9% | -6.5% | -12.3% |
| 11/4/2025 | 11.0% | 10.0% | 30.0% |
| 8/5/2025 | -4.4% | -0.5% | 10.4% |
| 5/6/2025 | -9.9% | 7.3% | 19.2% |
| 2/25/2025 | -5.0% | -14.6% | -19.2% |
| 11/5/2024 | 27.9% | 32.1% | 39.0% |
| 8/6/2024 | 32.7% | 27.4% | 22.9% |
| 5/7/2024 | 2.5% | 7.6% | -15.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 11 | 14 |
| # Negative | 9 | 11 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 9.5% | 9.9% | 14.7% |
| Median Negative | -5.9% | -9.0% | -14.7% |
| Max Positive | 32.7% | 32.1% | 39.0% |
| Max Negative | -14.9% | -15.4% | -21.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/25/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/25/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/27/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/23/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/02/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/03/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/24/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Gross margin | 52.8% | 53.05% | 53.3% | -0.6% | -0.3% | Lowered | Actual: 53.35% for Q4 2025 |
| Q1 2026 Fulfillment expenses | 0.03 | -3.0% | -0.1% | Lowered | Actual: 0.03 for Q4 2025 | ||
| Q1 2026 Selling and distribution expenses | 0.17 | -2.8% | -0.5% | Lowered | Actual: 0.18 for Q4 2025 | ||
| Q1 2026 Marketing expenses | 0.16 | 4.7% | 0.7% | Higher New | Actual: 0.15 for Q4 2025 | ||
| Q1 2026 General and administrative expenses | 40.50 Mil | 4.6% | Higher New | Actual: 38.70 Mil for Q4 2025 | |||
| 2026 Gross margin | 53.7% | 53.95% | 54.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | Higher New | Actual: 53.5% for 2025 |
| 2026 Fulfillment expenses | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 3.1% | 0.1% | Higher New | Actual: 0.03 for 2025 |
| 2026 Selling and distribution expenses | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.17 | -0.6% | -0.1% | Lower New | Actual: 0.17 for 2025 |
| 2026 Marketing expenses | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 6.5% | 1.0% | Higher New | Actual: 0.15 for 2025 |
| 2026 General and administrative expenses | 161.00 Mil | 162.50 Mil | 164.00 Mil | 5.9% | Higher New | Actual: 153.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Effective tax rate | 24.0% | 25.0% | 26.0% | -9.1% | -2.5% | Lower New | Actual: 27.5% for 2025 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mente, Michael | CO-CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER | MMMK Development, Inc. | Sell | 12222025 | 28.41 | 88,444 | Form | ||
| 2 | Mente, Michael | CO-CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER | MMMK Development, Inc. | Sell | 12222025 | 28.78 | 78,619 | Form | ||
| 3 | Mente, Michael | CO-CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER | MMMK Development, Inc. | Sell | 12222025 | 29.67 | 63,045 | Form | ||
| 4 | Karanikolas, Michael | CO-CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER | MMMK Development, Inc. | Sell | 12222025 | 28.41 | 88,444 | Form | ||
| 5 | Karanikolas, Michael | CO-CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER | MMMK Development, Inc. | Sell | 12222025 | 28.78 | 78,619 | Form |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
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| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
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| FinViz |
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