Tearsheet

Transcontinental Realty Investors (TCI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $44.63 | Market Cap: $385.6 Mil
Sector: Real Estate | Industry: Real Estate Services

Transcontinental Realty Investors (TCI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $44.63
Market Cap: $385.6 Mil
Sector: Real Estate
Industry: Real Estate Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -15%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -64%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.5 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -9.9%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include ESG REITs, Building Management Systems, Show more.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.44
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 71x
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -39%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -39%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 61%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.8%
0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include ESG REITs, Building Management Systems, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -15%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -64%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.44
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.5 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -9.9%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 71x
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -39%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -39%
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 61%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.8%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TCI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Net Income Decline in Q3 2025: Transcontinental Realty Investors (TCI) reported a significant decrease in net income attributable to common shares for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, falling to $0.7 million, or $0.08 per diluted share, from $1.7 million, or $0.20 per diluted share, in the same period of 2024.

2. Reduction in Interest Income and Higher Tax Provisions: Despite an increase in revenue, the decline in net income for Q3 2025 was primarily driven by a reduction in interest income and an increase in tax provisions. These factors outweighed the positive impact of gains from real estate transactions.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TCI Return-40%62%13%-22%-14%48%10%
Peers Return9%6%-41%64%-3%66%81%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TCI Win Rate33%50%58%33%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate45%38%25%43%37%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TCI Max Drawdown-60%-20%-4%-38%-22%-13% 
Peers Max Drawdown-25%-18%-43%-8%-20%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: OPEN, GBR, GYRO, LHAI, CBRE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTCIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-41.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven71.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven677 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-59.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven149.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven550 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-55.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven124.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-58.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven141.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2936 days1480 days

Compare to OPEN, GBR, GYRO, LHAI, CBRE


In The Past

Transcontinental Realty Investors's stock fell -41.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/10/2023. A -41.8% loss requires a 71.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Transcontinental Realty Investors (TCI)

Better Bets than Transcontinental Realty Investors (TCI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TCI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
8.7%8.7%-5.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
8.7%8.7%-5.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Transcontinental Realty Investors

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TCIOPENGBRGYROLHAICBREMedian
NameTranscon.Opendoor.New Conc.Gyrodyne Linkhome CBRE  
Mkt Price45.006.940.769.5015.59162.2812.54
Mkt Cap0.45.10.00.0-48.40.4
Rev LTM464,719051538,10430
Op Inc LTM-5-204-0-311,464-1
FCF LTM-18887-0-211,1140
FCF 3Y Avg-241,349049-78549
CFO LTM-18899-0-211,4240
CFO 3Y Avg-241,374049-1,08949

Growth & Margins

TCIOPENGBRGYROLHAICBREMedian
NameTranscon.Opendoor.New Conc.Gyrodyne Linkhome CBRE  
Rev Chg LTM-0.5%-4.5%4.1%-1.2%215.1%15.0%1.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg17.9%-31.7%5.8%2.1%-7.9%5.8%
Rev Chg Q7.6%-33.6%8.1%-1.8%116.2%16.2%7.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.9%-8.9%2.0%-0.2%21.2%3.7%1.9%
Op Mgn LTM-9.9%-4.3%-166.9%-50.0%7.3%3.8%-7.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-13.1%-5.4%-141.8%-153.7%-3.5%-13.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.8%-0.4%-1.3%2.6%-2.0%0.2%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-38.9%19.1%-26.5%-43.8%5.5%3.7%-11.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-52.0%15.2%0.0%1,138.1%-3.2%3.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-38.9%18.8%-26.5%-43.8%5.5%2.9%-11.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-52.0%14.8%0.0%1,136.7%-2.3%2.3%

Valuation

TCIOPENGBRGYROLHAICBREMedian
NameTranscon.Opendoor.New Conc.Gyrodyne Linkhome CBRE  
Mkt Cap0.45.10.00.0-48.40.4
P/S8.61.338.20.2-1.11.3
P/EBIT21.7-32.7-22.9-0.5-28.5-0.5
P/E70.9-18.7-94.623.9-38.323.9
P/CFO-22.26.6-144.3-0.5-29.3-0.5
Total Yield1.4%-5.4%-1.1%4.2%-2.6%1.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-8.5%60.3%0.1%3,141.7%-2.5%2.5%
D/E0.60.30.014.6-0.20.3
Net D/E0.40.1-0.13.6-0.20.2

Returns

TCIOPENGBRGYROLHAICBREMedian
NameTranscon.Opendoor.New Conc.Gyrodyne Linkhome CBRE  
1M Rtn1.6%-8.6%-17.0%-5.1%47.1%7.7%-1.7%
3M Rtn-2.1%35.3%-21.8%-6.9%83.8%2.0%-0.0%
6M Rtn20.0%1,005.8%-22.8%15.0%-27.4%20.0%
12M Rtn56.0%221.3%-34.4%1.7%-18.3%18.3%
3Y Rtn5.4%305.8%-41.9%7.8%-104.8%7.8%
1M Excs Rtn1.6%-8.5%-17.0%-5.0%47.1%7.8%-1.7%
3M Excs Rtn-9.9%11.1%-28.7%-12.5%79.8%-5.0%-7.4%
6M Excs Rtn5.2%991.1%-37.6%0.3%-12.6%5.2%
12M Excs Rtn46.0%183.0%-50.1%-17.8%-2.4%2.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-64.4%208.5%-117.7%-66.1%-43.3%-64.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Residential Segment3518141514
Commercial Segment1516233733
Other income 3352
Total5037415748


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Residential Segment17866-9
Commercial Segment571121-16
Advisory fee to related party-9-8-12  
General and administrative-9-10-12  
Depreciation and amortization-14-10-12  
Other income 33  
Total-10-9-1628-25


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12,465
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120255.8%
Average Daily Volume1,002
Days-to-Cover Short Interest12.44
Basic Shares Quantity8,639,316
Short % of Basic Shares0.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024320202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023321202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022323202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022812202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022513202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021329202210-K 12/31/2021