HF Foods (HFFG)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.52 | Market Cap: $133.5 MilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Food Distributors
HF Foods (HFFG)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.52Market Cap: $133.5 MilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Food Distributors
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 11% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -98%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -114% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 132% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Show more. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -33% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 11% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -98%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -114% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 132% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -33% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
HFFG Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, HF Foods (HFFG) stock experienced a decline of -22.9% due to several key factors:
1. Lower-than-Expected Q3 2025 Earnings
HF Foods Group reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 10, 2025, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.08, which missed analysts' forecasts of $0.09. While the company did report an increase in net revenue, this EPS miss likely contributed to investor disappointment and a negative re-evaluation of the stock.
2. Leadership Transition in Finance Department
In October 2025, HF Foods Group announced leadership changes, including the appointment of an Interim Chief Financial Officer effective October 15, 2025. Transitions in key executive positions, especially in finance, can create uncertainty among investors regarding the company's financial strategy and future stability, potentially leading to downward pressure on the stock price.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| HFFG Return | -61% | 13% | -52% | 32% | -40% | -22% | -87% |
| Peers Return | -7% | 25% | -16% | -13% | 26% | -5% | 0% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| HFFG Win Rate | 25% | 50% | 25% | 58% | 33% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 37% | 42% | 45% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| HFFG Max Drawdown | -73% | -32% | -57% | -15% | -50% | -47% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -53% | -16% | -23% | -29% | -11% | -16% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SYY, CHEF, CVGW, MTEX, FIT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | HFFG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -64.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 179.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -72.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 265.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -52.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 111.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to SYY, CHEF, CVGW, MTEX, FIT
In The Past
HF Foods's stock fell -64.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -64.2% loss requires a 179.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Is HF Foods Stock Built to Withstand a Pullback? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to HFFG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.5% | 3.5% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.5% | 3.5% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for HF Foods
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 20.24 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.4 |
| Rev LTM | 1,217 |
| Op Inc LTM | 24 |
| FCF LTM | 29 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 9 |
| CFO LTM | 31 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 18 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 3.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 3.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 1.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 0.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.4 |
| P/S | 0.5 |
| P/EBIT | 13.1 |
| P/E | 21.7 |
| P/CFO | 15.5 |
| Total Yield | 3.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.8% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.7% |
| 3M Rtn | -8.9% |
| 6M Rtn | -11.7% |
| 12M Rtn | -5.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | -38.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -15.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -26.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -15.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -113.1% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3172025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5102024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3262024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3312023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 1312023 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 1312023 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 1312023 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 1312023 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11152021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |