SunOpta (STKL)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.745 | Market Cap: $442.5 MilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages
SunOpta (STKL)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.745Market Cap: $442.5 MilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -73%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -132% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 58% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -28% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 29x | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.1% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -28% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -73%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -132% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 58% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 29x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.1% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
STKL Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
No information was found to explain a -39.7% stock movement for SunOpta (STKL) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025. The available information for this period generally indicates positive earnings surprises and analyst ratings, with some analysts maintaining or reiterating "Buy" ratings and price targets suggesting significant upside potential. For example, SunOpta surpassed Q2 and Q3 2025 earnings and revenue estimates, and raised its revenue guidance for 2025 and provided an optimistic outlook for 2026.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| STKL Return | 367% | -40% | 21% | -35% | 41% | -52% | 46% |
| Peers Return | 15% | 9% | 12% | 23% | 9% | 27% | 138% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| STKL Win Rate | 75% | 33% | 50% | 42% | 50% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 46% | 42% | 54% | 60% | 52% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| STKL Max Drawdown | -40% | -50% | -35% | -66% | -8% | -56% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -19% | -9% | -18% | -10% | -14% | -14% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: KO, COCO, BYLT, PEP, MNST.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | STKL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -82.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 477.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -52.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 108.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 46 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -86.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 655.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 412 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -94.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1798.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 4351 days | 1480 days |
Compare to KO, COCO, BYLT, PEP, MNST
In The Past
SunOpta's stock fell -82.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/11/2021. A -82.7% loss requires a 477.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| SunOpta Stock Drop Looks Sharp, But How Deep Can It Go? | Return | ||
| SunOpta (STKL) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| SunOpta (STKL) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| SunOpta (STKL) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| SunOpta (STKL) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| SunOpta (STKL) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| SunOpta (STKL) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| SunOpta (STKL) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| Why SunOpta Stock Moved: STKL Stock Has Lost 60% Since 2022 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Unfavorable Change In Price To Sales Multiple (P/S) | |||
| Day 8 of Loss Streak for SunOpta Stock with -22% Return (vs. -33% YTD) [8/6/2025] | Notification | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| STKL Stock Down -22% after 8-Day Loss Streak | August 7th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to STKL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.8% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.1% | -2.1% | -2.1% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.2% | 7.2% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.4% | 1.4% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.8% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.1% | -2.1% | -2.1% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.2% | 7.2% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.4% | 1.4% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for SunOpta
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 70.81 |
| Mkt Cap | 72.2 |
| Rev LTM | 4,369 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,167 |
| FCF LTM | 999 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,642 |
| CFO LTM | 1,124 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,888 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 13.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 12.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 72.2 |
| P/S | 4.0 |
| P/EBIT | 28.5 |
| P/E | 26.6 |
| P/CFO | 30.1 |
| Total Yield | 2.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.9% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 4.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 14.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 14.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 20.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -0.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 0.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 0.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -48.3% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/27/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/28/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/29/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2262025 | 10-K 12/30/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11052024 | 10-Q 9/28/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/29/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/30/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8102023 | 10-Q 7/1/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 4/1/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 10-Q 10/1/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8112022 | 10-Q 7/2/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5122022 | 10-Q 4/2/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3022022 | 10-K 1/1/2022 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |