Fresh Del Monte Produce (FDP)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $37.5 | Market Cap: $1.8 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Fresh Del Monte Produce (FDP)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $37.5Market Cap: $1.8 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 11% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.3%, Dist 3Y High is -3.3% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.8% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -20% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 11% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.3%, Dist 3Y High is -3.3% |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -20% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.8% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
FDP Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Fresh Del Monte Produce (FDP) stock experienced notable movement between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, with several key factors contributing to its performance, including a rise of 5.47% over the two weeks leading up to December 2, 2025.
1. Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Report. Fresh Del Monte Produce reported its third-quarter earnings for fiscal 2025 on October 29, 2025. While the company recorded a net loss of $29.1 million, it also reported adjusted net income of $33.1 million, which may have been viewed positively by investors.
2. Strategic Divestiture and Portfolio Optimization. The company announced a strategic shift with the planned divestiture of its Mann Packing business and the exit from underperforming banana operations. This move, expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, aims to enhance long-term profitability by focusing on higher-margin, value-added categories.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FDP Return | -30% | 17% | -3% | 3% | 31% | 15% | 22% |
| Peers Return | 4% | 13% | 13% | -19% | 2% | -25% | -17% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FDP Win Rate | 33% | 58% | 58% | 42% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 40% | 44% | 60% | 38% | 56% | 38% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FDP Max Drawdown | -40% | -0% | -16% | -16% | -17% | -11% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -13% | -5% | -6% | -31% | -15% | -29% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: K, GIS, FLO, WEST, BRBF.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FDP | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -41.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 69.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 637 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -43.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 76.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1729 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -61.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 158.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -66.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 201.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2212 days | 1480 days |
Compare to K, GIS, FLO, WEST, BRBF
In The Past
Fresh Del Monte Produce's stock fell -41.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/17/2021. A -41.0% loss requires a 69.6% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to FDP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.5% | 3.5% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.5% | 3.5% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Fresh Del Monte Produce
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 37.52 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.3 |
| Rev LTM | 4,725 |
| Op Inc LTM | 241 |
| FCF LTM | 251 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 194 |
| CFO LTM | 340 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 284 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -0.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 0.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 6.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.3 |
| P/S | 0.5 |
| P/EBIT | 8.7 |
| P/E | 14.2 |
| P/CFO | 7.2 |
| Total Yield | 7.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.6% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -6.0% |
| 6M Rtn | -13.3% |
| 12M Rtn | -27.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | -40.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -11.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -28.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -40.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -110.6% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10292025 | 10-Q 9/26/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 10-Q 6/27/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/28/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2242025 | 10-K 12/27/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/27/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/28/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/29/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2262024 | 10-K 12/29/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/29/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2222023 | 10-K 12/30/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 7/1/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 4/1/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2232022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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