Safe Pro (SPAI)
Market Price (11/6/2026): $2.77 | Market Cap: $58.1 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense
Safe Pro (SPAI)
Market Price (11/6/2026): $2.77Market Cap: $58.1 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Aerospace & Defense
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -18% Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 93% Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -59% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity. Themes include Software Security, Network Security, and Endpoint Protection. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -12%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -119% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -14 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -485% Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 20x Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 208% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -288%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -294% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -30% High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 101% Key risksSPAI key risks include [1] significant profitability and cash flow challenges from ongoing operational losses, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -18% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 93% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -59% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity. Themes include Software Security, Network Security, and Endpoint Protection. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -12%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -119% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -14 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -485% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 20x |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 208% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -288%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -294% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -30% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 101% |
| Key risksSPAI key risks include [1] significant profitability and cash flow challenges from ongoing operational losses, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Safe Pro (SPAI) stock has lost about 30% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Miss: Safe Pro (SPAI) reported a mixed fiscal Q2 2026 earnings report on August 14, 2026. The company posted an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of -$0.15, missing the consensus analyst estimate of -$0.14 by $0.01. While revenue of $1.33 million exceeded analyst expectations of $1.22 million, the negative earnings surprise likely contributed to investor apprehension and selling pressure.
2. Persistent Unprofitability and Mixed Analyst Sentiment: Despite announcing significant year-over-year revenue growth and substantial government contract awards, Safe Pro Group has consistently operated at a loss. For fiscal Q2 2026, the company reported a negative net margin of 500.00% and a negative return on equity of 107.61%, indicating ongoing unprofitability. This fundamental weakness, coupled with a mixed consensus from analysts (ranging from "Hold" to "Strong Buy" across different sources, but with some forecasting underperformance), likely fueled investor skepticism about the company's long-term profitability and sustainable value, despite its operational achievements.
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Safe Pro (SPAI) stock has lost about 30% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Miss: Safe Pro (SPAI) reported a mixed fiscal Q2 2026 earnings report on August 14, 2026. The company posted an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of -$0.15, missing the consensus analyst estimate of -$0.14 by $0.01. While revenue of $1.33 million exceeded analyst expectations of $1.22 million, the negative earnings surprise likely contributed to investor apprehension and selling pressure.
2. Persistent Unprofitability and Mixed Analyst Sentiment: Despite announcing significant year-over-year revenue growth and substantial government contract awards, Safe Pro Group has consistently operated at a loss. For fiscal Q2 2026, the company reported a negative net margin of 500.00% and a negative return on equity of 107.61%, indicating ongoing unprofitability. This fundamental weakness, coupled with a mixed consensus from analysts (ranging from "Hold" to "Strong Buy" across different sources, but with some forecasting underperformance), likely fueled investor skepticism about the company's long-term profitability and sustainable value, despite its operational achievements.
3. Market's Discounting of Future Growth Amidst High Volatility: Even with positive announcements such as preliminary unaudited fiscal Q3 2026 revenue expectations of over $2.5 million, representing a more than 2,300% year-over-year increase, the stock continued its decline. This suggests that the market may be heavily discounting future growth prospects due to the company's current unprofitability and its inherent high volatility. As a micro-capitalization company with a market capitalization around $56 million to $64 million and a high beta of 3.60, SPAI is susceptible to magnified price movements, causing investors to prioritize risk aversion over future potential during periods of uncertainty.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -30.5% change in SPAI stock from 7/31/2026 to 11/5/2026 was primarily driven by a -60.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312026 | 11052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.97 | 2.76 | -30.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2 | 3 | 75.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 49.9 | 19.7 | -60.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 21 | 21 | 0.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -30.5% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2026 to 11/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SPAI | -30.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | -1.9% | 23.8% |
| Sector (XLI) | -9.7% | 18.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -37.1% change in SPAI stock from 4/30/2026 to 11/5/2026 was primarily driven by a -86.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302026 | 11052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.39 | 2.76 | -37.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1 | 3 | 374.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 148.7 | 19.7 | -86.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 21 | 21 | 0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -37.1% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2026 to 11/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SPAI | -37.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 2.3% | 27.3% |
| Sector (XLI) | -6.7% | 16.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -56.2% change in SPAI stock from 10/31/2025 to 11/5/2026 was primarily driven by a -69.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 11052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.30 | 2.76 | -56.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1 | 3 | 92.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 64.0 | 19.7 | -69.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 15 | 21 | -25.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -56.2% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 11/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SPAI | -56.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.4% | 29.1% |
| Sector (XLI) | 5.7% | 21.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
10/31/2023 to 11/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SPAI | ||
| Market (SPY) | 81.3% | 17.6% |
| Sector (XLI) | 71.8% | 11.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SPAI Return | - | - | - | -10% | 9% | -34% | -35% |
| Peers Return | 8% | -5% | 57% | 36% | 53% | -32% | 128% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 105% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SPAI Win Rate | - | - | - | 20% | 50% | 45% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 47% | 67% | 57% | 53% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 45% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SPAI Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | -64% | -58% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -40% | -40% | -20% | -22% | -34% | -53% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CDRE, AXON, KTOS, AVAV, MSA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 11/5/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SPAI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -60.0% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 150.3% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 104 days | 79 days |
In The Past
Safe Pro's stock fell -60.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 150.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | SPAI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -60.0% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 150.3% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 104 days | 79 days |
In The Past
Safe Pro's stock fell -60.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 150.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Safe Pro (SPAI)
Safe Pro Group Inc. (SPAI) is a safety and security technology company primarily focused on developing advanced solutions for threat detection and personal protection. A core offering is its proprietary cloud-based ecosystem for analyzing drone imagery. Through its Safe Pro AI unit, the company leverages artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning (ML), and computer vision software to enable hyper-scalable processing and object detection. This technology rapidly identifies critical items such as landmines, unexploded ordnance, contraband, and structural damage from drone-captured images, generating actionable intelligence and detailed orthomosaic maps.
In addition to its AI software, Safe Pro operates two complementary business units. Safe-Pro USA specializes in the design and manufacture of ultra-premium bullet and blast-resistant personal protection equipment. This includes complete Explosive Ordnance Disposal (EOD) systems, body armor, and ballistic plates, all designed and manufactured in the United States to meet or exceed government and NATO standards.
The third unit, Airborne Response Corp., provides mission-critical uncrewed services using drones. This encompasses "Drone as a Responder" solutions for public safety, critical infrastructure inspection (e.g., telecommunications and power grids), and aerial mapping. These services often integrate AI and machine learning for comprehensive data analysis and reporting. Safe Pro's diverse customer base spans humanitarian organizations, governments (military, state, local), enterprises (utilities, insurance), NGOs, law enforcement, and first responders, providing them with advanced tools for situational awareness and operational safety.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Safe Pro Group (SPAI):
- For its AI-powered drone imagery analysis and services, it's like a Palantir specifically for drone data, deploying AI to analyze aerial imagery and detect critical threats or infrastructure issues for governments and first responders.
- For its ballistic protective products, it's like a specialized 3M or DuPont for defense, manufacturing advanced bullet and blast resistant personal protection equipment.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- AI and Machine Learning Software: An ecosystem of AI-powered object detection and data analysis tools for hyper-scalable, cloud-based processing of drone imagery, used for detecting small objects, structural issues, or analyzing agricultural crops.
- Bullet and Blast Resistant Personal Protection Equipment: Manufacturer of ultra-premium protective equipment such as EOD systems, demining aprons, bomb blankets, body armor, and ballistic plates for military, law enforcement, and humanitarian markets.
- Aerial Managed Services and Mission-Critical Uncrewed Solutions: Provides drone-based technology services including Drone as a Responder (DaaR) solutions, critical infrastructure inspection, storm and emergency response, aerial mapping, and UAS training and consultation.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Safe Pro (SPAI) primarily sells to other organizations rather than individuals. The provided company description does not list specific customer company names. Instead, it describes categories of customers across its three business units. These major customer categories include:
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Government, Military, and Public Safety Organizations: This broad category encompasses domestic and international military entities, law enforcement agencies, state and local/municipal governments and agencies, and first responders (police, fire, and other public safety organizations). These customers utilize Safe Pro's AI/ML software for situational awareness, ballistic protective equipment, and aerial managed services for incident response and assessment.
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Enterprises: This category includes businesses operating in critical infrastructure (such as telecommunications networks, power grids, roads, and bridges), insurance companies, public utilities, and telecommunication network operators. These enterprises use Safe Pro's AI/ML software for damage detection and analysis, as well as drone-based aerial services for inspections, data capture, and analytics.
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Non-Governmental Organizations (NGOs): Safe Pro's AI data analysis tools support humanitarian efforts, and its ballistic protective equipment is utilized in humanitarian/peacekeeping markets. This indicates NGOs are a customer segment, particularly those involved in safety, security, and humanitarian aid.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Dan Erdberg - Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Erdberg has over 20 years of experience as a C-Level technology executive, having led recent NASDAQ listings in the Drone, 5G, and SatCom sectors. He assembled Safe Pro Group Inc., led its strategy, built a highly experienced team, spearheaded the acquisition and development of the company's operating units, and successfully raised over $50 million in initial growth capital. He has been involved in the operation of companies in various technology sectors, including software development, telecommunications, wireless networking, and unmanned aerial systems. As the founder and leader of multiple public and private enterprises, he has built organizations from inception and conducted business with government, military, and commercial entities.
Theresa Carlise - Chief Financial Officer, Treasurer and Assistant Secretary
Ms. Carlise brings over 30 years of experience as a Chief Financial Officer for publicly traded companies. Her expertise includes equity-based transactions, strategic and tactical financial management, accounting, financial analysis, reporting, restructuring, and planning. Previously, she served as Chief Accounting Officer, Secretary & Treasurer at NextPlat Corp (formerly Orbsat Corp), a Nasdaq-listed e-commerce technology company, and prior to that, as the Chief Financial Officer, Treasurer, and Secretary of Orbsat Corp. She has also served as Chief Financial Officer, Secretary, Treasurer, and Director of various publicly traded companies in the retail, telecommunications, distribution, transportation, mortgage banking, and construction sectors.
Pravin Borkar - Chief Technology Officer and Director
Mr. Borkar has over 30 years of experience in the design, engineering, and manufacturing of bullet and blast-resistant personal protection equipment for the U.S. Department of Defense. He has been responsible for the development and manufacture of body armor plates for military personnel and ballistic protection armor systems for Blackhawk, Chinook, and CH-53 transport helicopters for the U.S. Army, Marines, and Air Force. He is also the Founder & President of Safe-Pro USA.
Christopher Todd - President, Airborne Response
Mr. Todd is a drone industry veteran and Certified Emergency Manager (CEM®) with more than 30 years of experience. He founded Airborne Response and oversees corporate strategy, strategic partnerships, and business operations for the unit. He also serves as President of AUVSI Florida, with expertise in public safety drone deployment and emergency response.
Jonathan Leinwand, Esq. - General Counsel and Secretary
Mr. Leinwand possesses over 25 years of legal experience in Securities, Banking, and Corporate law. His expertise includes SEC reporting, Public Company Governance, Compliance, and advising both public and private companies. He earned his law degree from the University of Miami School of Law in 1995.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Dependence on Government, Military, Law Enforcement, and NGO Contracts: All three of Safe Pro's business units (Safe Pro AI, Safe-Pro USA, and Airborne Response Corp.) heavily target government, military, law enforcement, humanitarian, and NGO markets. This reliance exposes the company to risks associated with government funding cycles, budgetary constraints, political shifts, stringent procurement processes, and evolving priorities in defense and humanitarian aid. A significant reduction in spending or changes in policy by these entities could materially impact Safe Pro's revenue and profitability.
- Rapid Technological Advancement and Intense Competition: Safe Pro operates in highly dynamic and competitive sectors, including artificial intelligence/machine learning for drone imagery analysis, drone services, and advanced ballistic protection manufacturing. The rapid pace of technological innovation in AI, drone technology, and material science for protective equipment means that Safe Pro must continuously invest in research and development to maintain its competitive edge. Failure to innovate or keep pace with new technologies and solutions offered by competitors could lead to obsolescence of its products and services or loss of market share.
- Regulatory and Policy Changes for Drone Operations and AI: Safe Pro's drone-based services and AI software for analyzing drone imagery are subject to evolving regulatory landscapes, including airspace restrictions, data privacy laws, export controls, and ethical considerations surrounding AI use, especially in public safety, security, and defense applications. Changes in these regulations, either domestically or internationally, could impact the company's ability to operate its drone services, develop and deploy its AI solutions, or export its protective equipment, potentially increasing compliance costs or limiting market opportunities.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The increasing accessibility, affordability, and user-friendliness of commercial-off-the-shelf ("COTS") drone technology, coupled with the maturation of regulatory frameworks and training programs, enables many of Safe Pro's potential and existing customers (including enterprises, governments, and public safety organizations) to establish and scale their own in-house drone programs. This trend poses an emerging threat to the "Aerial Managed Services and Mission-Critical Uncrewed Solutions" business unit (Airborne Response Corp.), as clients may increasingly opt to perform drone-based data collection, inspection, and response services themselves rather than contracting them out.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the addressable market sizes for Safe Pro's main products and services:
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Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning Software Technology and Photogrammetry Analysis Tools
- The global AI in Drone Market was valued at approximately USD 12.85 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach about USD 76.68 billion by 2035.
- The global UXO (Unexploded Ordnance) Detection Market, which includes AI-analytical methodologies, was valued at USD 3.69 billion in 2024 and is poised to grow to USD 13.17 billion by 2033.
- The global Mine Detection System Market was valued at USD 5.63 billion in 2023 and is expected to grow to USD 10 billion by 2032.
- The global Agricultural Drones Market, incorporating AI and machine learning for data analysis, was valued at USD 2.58 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 19.19 billion by 2033.
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Bullet and Blast Resistant Personal Protection Equipment
- The global Explosive Ordnance Disposal (EOD) Equipment Market was valued at USD 7.82 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 11.05 billion by 2030. North America held an estimated 38% share of this market in 2024.
- The global Body Armor Plates Market was valued at USD 2.48 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to reach approximately USD 4.05 billion by 2034. North America accounted for more than 32% of the revenue share in this market in 2024.
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Aerial Managed Services and Mission-Critical Uncrewed Solutions
- The global Drone Services Market was valued at USD 3.10 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 74.54 billion by 2032. North America dominated this market in 2024, accounting for a 40.57% revenue share.
- The global Drones for Emergency Responders Market was valued at USD 3.2 billion in 2023 and is estimated to reach USD 9.6 billion by 2032. North America accounts for approximately 45% of the global market share in drones for emergency response.
- The global Inspection Drones Market was valued at USD 11.75 billion in 2025 and is estimated to grow to USD 37.05 billion by 2031.
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Share Repurchases
- Safe Pro Group Inc. authorized a share repurchase program of up to $3.0 million of its common stock in December 2025.
- The repurchase program is intended to be funded from existing cash and cash equivalents and/or future cash flows.
Share Issuance
- Safe Pro Group Inc. completed its Initial Public Offering (IPO) on August 28, 2024, raising $5.1 million in gross proceeds from the issuance of 1,020,000 shares at $5.00 per share.
- The company completed a $14 million PIPE financing in Q4 2025, priced at $7 per share, through the sale of two million common shares to strategic investors including Ondas Holdings Inc. and Unusual Machines Inc.
Inbound Investments
- Safe Pro Group Inc. secured over $20 million in new strategic investments, including a $14 million equity investment at $7 per share, primarily from Ondas Holdings Inc. and Unusual Machines Inc., in Q4 2025.
- These investments, which included an earlier private placement in August 2025, were aimed at accelerating AI deployment, scaling up manufacturing, and executing government contracts.
Outbound Investments
- Safe Pro Group launched "SPAI Ventures" in December 2025 to pursue strategic investments in drone platforms, sensors, and software solutions that complement its AI and protective systems, particularly those developed in Ukraine and internationally.
- The company has a shelf registration statement for up to $100 million in securities, a portion of which may be used to support future SPAI Ventures transactions.
Capital Expenditures
- Strategic investments secured were allocated to support AI deployment and manufacturing scale-up.
- Funding from strategic investments was used for the internal development and low-rate initial production of AI processing systems for a U.S. Government subcontract.
Peer Outperformance in Aerospace & Defense
null| Industry | Names | 1Y med | 3Y med | 5Y med | Top 3 by 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marine Transportation | 5 | 25.1% | 30.2% | 102.9% | MATX 155% · KEX 103% |
| Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment | 13 | 6.3% | 55.5% | 95.0% | ALSN 255% · WAB 204% · CAT 192% |
| Construction & Engineering | 29 | -21.3% | 79.9% | 94.8% | FIX 895% · STRL 799% · AGX 526% |
| Aerospace & Defense ← | 54 | -12.6% | 55.7% | 49.5% | ATI 849% · FTAI 756% · HWM 509% |
| Trading Companies & Distributors | 19 | 5.6% | 30.7% | 33.8% | DXPE 276% · AIT 184% · URI 177% |
| Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components | 71 | 0.3% | 46.1% | 29.7% | CRS 797% · MLI 298% · SYM 249% |
| Rail Transportation | 7 | 34.9% | 53.7% | 27.8% | CSX 54% · UNP 40% · NSC 28% |
| Diversified Support Services | 33 | 14.8% | 36.8% | 21.3% | CXW 195% · OPLN 143% · CTAS 115% |
| Building Products | 34 | -6.6% | 9.3% | 10.6% | MOD 714% · GFF 345% · TT 126% |
| Cargo Ground Transportation | 16 | 27.9% | 14.6% | 4.8% | XPO 269% · R 250% · ARCB 25% |
| Industrial Conglomerates | 17 | 14.8% | -1.6% | -1.3% | CSW 103% · CSL 72% · DD 65% |
| Office Services & Supplies | 10 | 20.8% | 22.5% | -2.6% | PBI 158% · TILE 140% · HNI 40% |
| Electrical Components & Equipment | 39 | -14.2% | 56.2% | -12.1% | POWL 1360% · VRT 543% · BE 424% |
| Data Processing & Outsourced Services | 6 | -11.8% | 5.0% | -12.7% | EXLS 59% · BR 22% · G -12% |
| Research & Consulting Services | 13 | 4.9% | -15.5% | -22.6% | HURN 227% · FCN 36% · BAH 14% |
| Agricultural & Farm Machinery | 16 | 7.2% | -7.4% | -27.4% | BLBD 171% · DE 99% · TTC 15% |
| Security & Alarm Services | 9 | -51.2% | 10.7% | -28.0% | BCO 65% |
| Environmental & Facilities Services | 29 | -31.2% | 25.5% | -28.1% | GEO 163% · CLH 162% · RSG 100% |
| Passenger Airlines | 11 | 2.6% | 64.1% | -34.8% | LTM 3100% · UAL 110% · DAL 100% |
| Air Freight & Logistics | 12 | -28.8% | -7.3% | -39.1% | FDX 80% · EXPD 60% · CHRW 54% |
| Human Resource & Employment Services | 22 | 19.2% | -6.0% | -42.4% | ADP 50% · FA 22% · PAYX 13% |
| Passenger Ground Transportation | 3 | -14.1% | 42.9% | -57.4% | UBER 46% · CAR -57% · LYFT -67% |
| Airport Services | 4 | -49.1% | -62.8% | -86.2% | JOBY -47% |
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| With Safe Pro Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 68.95 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.8 |
| Rev LTM | 1,763 |
| Op Inc LTM | 23 |
| FCF LTM | 34 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 25 |
| CFO LTM | 74 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 38 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 30.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 16.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 30.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 7.2% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 10.5% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 109.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 1.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 2.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 5.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 1.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.6% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safe-Pro USA | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Airborne Response | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Safe Pro Artificial Intelligence (AI) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Airborne Response | -1 | -0 | -0 | 0 |
| Safe-Pro USA | -1 | -0 | -0 | -0 |
| Safe Pro Artificial Intelligence (AI) | -2 | -0 | -0 | 0 |
| Other | -11 | -7 | -5 | -0 |
| Total | -14 | -7 | -6 | -1 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $2.76 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 08/28/2024 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -58.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $4.07 | $4.42 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -32.2% | -37.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 110.9% | 100.6% |
| Downside Capture | 110.51 | 307.22 |
| Upside Capture | -133.59 | 192.57 |
| Correlation (S&P 500) | 10.7% | 27.7% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.31 | 1.96 | 2.07 | 2.00 | 2.23 | -0.55 |
| Up Beta | -2.78 | 2.71 | 5.00 | 1.37 | 2.48 | 0.47 |
| Down Beta | 2.95 | 4.26 | 6.19 | 2.55 | 1.82 | -0.21 |
| Up Capture | -198% | -47% | -6% | 173% | 262% | 296% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 18 | 28 | 62 | 130 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 6 | 13 | 21 | 49 | 113 | 236 |
| Down Capture | 307% | 294% | 120% | 207% | 171% | 112% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 25 | 36 | 64 | 121 | 325 |
| Stock -ve Days | 13 | 26 | 38 | 70 | 125 | 293 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SPAI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPAI | -50.4% | 100.6% | -0.25 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 7.4% | 17.8% | 0.24 | 20.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 9.5% | 13.6% | 0.41 | 28.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 3.6% | 28.7% | 0.11 | 23.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 37.7% | 21.2% | 1.40 | 2.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.0% | 14.2% | 0.55 | -1.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -20.8% | 43.3% | -0.42 | 22.8% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SPAI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPAI | -7.8% | 138.0% | 0.46 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 10.8% | 17.7% | 0.45 | 11.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.3% | 17.3% | 0.48 | 17.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.5% | 19.1% | 0.74 | 7.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.0% | 19.6% | 0.29 | 2.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.2% | 18.9% | -0.05 | 0.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 5.9% | 51.5% | 0.29 | 14.6% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SPAI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPAI | -4.0% | 138.0% | 0.46 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 12.9% | 20.1% | 0.56 | 11.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.9% | 18.0% | 0.70 | 17.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.0% | 16.5% | 0.59 | 7.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.6% | 18.1% | 0.33 | 2.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.7% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 0.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 61.3% | 66.2% | 1.01 | 14.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 11/6/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/7/2026 | 14.9% | -11.0% | -25.6% |
| 8/14/2026 | 37.7% | 16.1% | -1.1% |
| 5/15/2026 | -1.4% | -4.8% | 10.7% |
| 11/14/2024 | -1.5% | 122.4% | 107.5% |
| 9/26/2024 | 2.1% | -2.3% | -30.3% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| # Negative | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Median Positive | 14.9% | 69.2% | 59.1% |
| Median Negative | -1.4% | -4.8% | -25.6% |
| Max Positive | 37.7% | 122.4% | 107.5% |
| Max Negative | -1.5% | -11.0% | -30.3% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/7/2026 | 14.9% | -11.0% | -25.6% |
| 8/14/2026 | 37.7% | 16.1% | -1.1% |
| 5/15/2026 | -1.4% | -4.8% | 10.7% |
| 11/14/2024 | -1.5% | 122.4% | 107.5% |
| 9/26/2024 | 2.1% | -2.3% | -30.3% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| # Negative | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Median Positive | 14.9% | 69.2% | 59.1% |
| Median Negative | -1.4% | -4.8% | -25.6% |
| Max Positive | 37.7% | 122.4% | 107.5% |
| Max Negative | -1.5% | -11.0% | -30.3% |
Insider Activity
Updated 9/25/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erdberg, Daniyel | Chairman and CEO | Direct | Sell | 9112026 | 4.00 | 1,000,000 | 4,000,000 | 14,996,232 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erdberg, Daniyel | Chairman and CEO | Direct | Sell | 9112026 | 4.00 | 1,000,000 | 4,000,000 | 14,996,232 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Industrials Resources |
| IndustryWeek |
| Manufacturing.net |
| Aviation Week |
| Aerospace & Defense Resources |
| Defense News |
| FlightGlobal |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.