BellRing Brands (BRBR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $30.82 | Market Cap: $3.9 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats
BellRing Brands (BRBR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $30.82Market Cap: $3.9 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -90%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -43% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 56x |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -29% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Nutritional Supplements, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -29% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Nutritional Supplements, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -90%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -43% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 56x |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
BRBR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining BellRing Brands (BRBR) stock movement by -24.9% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. BellRing Brands reported mixed Q4 2025 financial results, with revenue exceeding expectations but non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) missing analyst estimates. This discrepancy between strong top-line growth and weaker profitability metrics contributed to a negative market reaction.
2. The company experienced significant gross margin contraction in Q4 2025, with gross profit falling to 28.9% of net sales from 36.9% in the prior year. This was primarily driven by higher input costs, particularly for whey protein, increased promotional spending to maintain market share, and expenses related to packaging redesigns.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BRBR Return | 14% | 10% | -4% | 116% | 36% | -59% | 45% |
| Peers Return | -7% | 15% | 16% | 3% | 20% | -21% | 22% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BRBR Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 33% | 75% | 58% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 38% | 46% | 52% | 60% | 52% | 38% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BRBR Max Drawdown | -32% | -7% | -24% | -2% | -12% | -66% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -33% | -9% | -16% | -16% | -15% | -31% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CALM, TR, SMPL, JJSF, BRBF.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BRBR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -40.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 66.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 183 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -38.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 62.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 260 days | 148 days |
Compare to CALM, TR, SMPL, JJSF, BRBF
In The Past
BellRing Brands's stock fell -40.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/8/2021. A -40.0% loss requires a 66.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to BRBR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.5% | 3.5% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.1% |
| 08312025 | BRBR | BellRing Brands | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -24.8% | -24.8% | -37.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.5% | 3.5% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.1% |
| 08312025 | BRBR | BellRing Brands | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -24.8% | -24.8% | -37.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for BellRing Brands
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 37.56 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.7 |
| Rev LTM | 1,525 |
| Op Inc LTM | 162 |
| FCF LTM | 113 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 128 |
| CFO LTM | 138 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 169 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 15.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 12.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 10.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.7 |
| P/S | 1.7 |
| P/EBIT | 19.0 |
| P/E | 26.3 |
| P/CFO | 15.2 |
| Total Yield | 4.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.5% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -24.1% |
| 6M Rtn | -17.9% |
| 12M Rtn | -45.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | -8.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -31.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -32.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -59.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -76.1% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2042025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11192024 | 10-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2062024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11212023 | 10-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2072023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11172022 | 10-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2042022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11192021 | 10-K 9/30/2021 |
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