Tearsheet

Matador Resources (MTDR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $44.49 | Market Cap: $5.5 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Matador Resources (MTDR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $44.49
Market Cap: $5.5 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 2.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 7.4%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -71%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -100%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 59%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 66%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 2.5 Bil
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and US LNG.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 2.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 12%, FCF Yield is 7.4%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 66%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 2.5 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, and US LNG.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -71%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -100%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 59%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MTDR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Matador Resources (MTDR) experienced a stock price decline of 11.2% in the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, influenced by several key factors: 1. Q3 2025 Earnings Performance and Market Reaction. Despite Matador Resources reporting third-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings of $1.36 per share and revenues of $939.02 million, both of which surpassed analysts' consensus estimates, the stock dropped by 8.77% post-earnings. This decline was attributed to revenue falling short of internal forecasts and underlying concerns about revenue generation, even with effective cost management. Additionally, the Q3 2025 EPS was lower compared to $1.89 per share in the same quarter of the previous year.

2. Downward Revision of Analyst Price Targets. During the October and November 2025 period, several financial analysts from institutions such as Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, Mizuho, Raymond James, and UBS, lowered their price targets for Matador Resources' stock.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MTDR Return-33%207%56%1%0%-21%155%
Peers Return7%167%61%7%5%-0%413%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MTDR Win Rate58%67%67%50%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate60%63%63%53%48%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MTDR Max Drawdown-93%0%0%-26%-16%-34% 
Peers Max Drawdown-57%0%-2%-18%-17%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AR, RRC, CHRD, MUR, BSM. See MTDR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMTDRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-42.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven73.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-93.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1538.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven331 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-63.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven175.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven606 days120 days

Compare to AR, RRC, CHRD, MUR, BSM


In The Past

Matador Resources's stock fell -42.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/7/2022. A -42.2% loss requires a 73.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Matador Resources (MTDR)

Better Bets than Matador Resources (MTDR)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MTDR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%
MTDR_3312023_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03312023MTDRMatador ResourcesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
25.6%41.9%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%
MTDR_3312023_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03312023MTDRMatador ResourcesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
25.6%41.9%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Matador Resources

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MTDRARRRCCHRDMURBSMMedian
NameMatador .Antero R.Range Re.Chord En.Murphy O.Black St. 
Mkt Price44.2836.4039.8995.8732.96-39.89
Mkt Cap5.511.29.55.54.7-5.5
Rev LTM3,8254,8802,8785,1622,7464313,352
Op Inc LTM1,350733781905492278757
FCF LTM4141,180497856405224456
FCF 3Y Avg374981540891648371594
CFO LTM2,5261,5381,1322,2021,4323361,485
CFO 3Y Avg2,1711,1931,1502,0101,6644371,429

Growth & Margins

MTDRARRRCCHRDMURBSMMedian
NameMatador .Antero R.Range Re.Chord En.Murphy O.Black St. 
Rev Chg LTM14.8%19.7%24.7%8.4%-13.9%-8.5%11.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.9%-13.0%-14.5%18.1%-11.7%-16.4%-12.4%
Rev Chg Q6.4%15.2%16.1%-9.5%-4.3%1.9%4.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.5%3.2%3.3%-2.6%-1.2%0.5%1.0%
Op Mgn LTM35.3%15.0%27.2%17.5%17.9%64.3%22.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg41.0%12.2%25.1%25.4%25.4%66.2%25.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.4%2.4%1.7%-1.5%-2.1%1.0%-0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM66.0%31.5%39.3%42.7%52.1%77.9%47.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg65.9%25.5%41.6%43.6%52.6%88.7%48.1%
FCF/Rev LTM10.8%24.2%17.3%16.6%14.8%52.0%16.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg11.6%21.0%19.1%19.5%20.3%73.9%19.9%

Valuation

MTDRARRRCCHRDMURBSMMedian
NameMatador .Antero R.Range Re.Chord En.Murphy O.Black St. 
Mkt Cap5.511.29.55.54.7-5.5
P/S1.52.13.11.11.5-1.5
P/EBIT4.113.611.612.411.6-11.6
P/E7.217.615.633.328.4-17.6
P/CFO2.26.77.92.62.8-2.8
Total Yield16.1%5.7%7.1%8.9%8.0%-8.0%
Dividend Yield2.1%0.0%0.7%5.9%4.5%-2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.0%11.0%6.7%13.3%12.4%-11.0%
D/E0.60.30.20.30.5-0.3
Net D/E0.60.30.20.20.4-0.3

Returns

MTDRARRRCCHRDMURBSMMedian
NameMatador .Antero R.Range Re.Chord En.Murphy O.Black St. 
1M Rtn13.9%9.8%8.0%7.0%20.4%-9.8%
3M Rtn-8.6%14.5%16.4%-9.1%33.0%-14.5%
6M Rtn-0.0%-2.4%6.3%6.4%55.9%-6.3%
12M Rtn-23.3%13.5%14.6%-20.7%7.3%-7.3%
3Y Rtn-28.9%5.8%53.3%-20.9%-19.4%--19.4%
1M Excs Rtn13.9%9.9%8.1%7.0%20.4%-9.9%
3M Excs Rtn-16.0%6.7%9.1%-14.9%24.3%-6.7%
6M Excs Rtn-14.7%-17.1%-8.4%-8.3%41.2%--8.4%
12M Excs Rtn-37.6%-2.2%-0.9%-34.2%-6.7%--6.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-100.2%-71.4%-27.5%-93.0%-91.6%--91.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Exploration and production2,5512,8751,543773848
Midstream480390273191212
Corporate00   
Consolidations and Eliminations-225-208-153-101 
Eliminations    -77
Total2,8073,0581,663862984


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Exploration and production1,1341,698748-562227
Midstream1751631319382
Consolidations and Eliminations00   
Corporate-99-102-86-53-73
Total1,2091,759793-521235


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Exploration and production6,3864,0233,3252,7833,361
Midstream1,2581,017880837648
Corporate83515586861
Consolidations and Eliminations00   
Total7,7275,5554,2623,6874,070


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10,448,658
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120254.7%
Average Daily Volume2,085,850
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.01
Basic Shares Quantity124,396,000
Short % of Basic Shares8.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251024202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025725202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025428202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241025202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024726202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023728202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022429202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021