SkyWater Technology (SKYT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $18.64 | Market Cap: $896.4 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors
SkyWater Technology (SKYT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $18.64Market Cap: $896.4 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductors
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -3.1 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.1% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 7.6% | Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 122% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Biotechnology & Genomics, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include AI Chips, Show more. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -37% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.7% | |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 112% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 7.6% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Biotechnology & Genomics, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include AI Chips, Show more. |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -3.1 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.1% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 122% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -37% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.7% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 112% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SKYT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The period from August 31, 2025, to today (December 4, 2025) is in the future. Therefore, it is not possible to provide an analysis of historical stock movement for this specific timeframe. However, based on the most recent available information leading up to December 4, 2025, several key developments could influence SkyWater Technology (SKYT) stock performance. 1. 1. Record Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: SkyWater Technology reported record third-quarter 2025 results on November 5, 2025. The company exceeded its revenue guidance, with a reported revenue of $150.7 million, and achieved a record for quantum computing customer revenues. Adjusted EBITDA was also significantly above expectations at $25.8 million. 2. 2. Strong Growth in Quantum Computing Sector: SkyWater Technology has demonstrated strong momentum in quantum computing, signing four new Advanced Technology Services (ATS) engagements with quantum computing companies, including Silicon Quantum Computing and QuamCore, since the second quarter of 2025. The company expects to exceed 30% revenue growth in quantum computing-related revenues for fiscal year 2025. 3.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SKYT Return | - | - | -56% | 35% | 43% | 22% | 4% |
| Peers Return | 46% | 17% | -5% | 13% | -4% | 5% | 85% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SKYT Win Rate | - | 50% | 42% | 50% | 58% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 42% | 32% | 42% | 35% | 47% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SKYT Max Drawdown | - | - | -72% | -31% | -41% | -58% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -27% | -12% | -30% | -12% | -16% | -26% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: QCOM, FSLR, SLAB, POWI, AMBQ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SKYT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -86.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 653.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to QCOM, FSLR, SLAB, POWI, AMBQ
In The Past
SkyWater Technology's stock fell -86.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/7/2021. A -86.7% loss requires a 653.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Can SkyWater Technology Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn? | Return | |
| Day 8 of Gains Streak for SkyWater Technology Stock with 57% Return (vs. 12% YTD) [9/22/2025] | Notification |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SKYT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for SkyWater Technology
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 86.94 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.5 |
| Rev LTM | 594 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1 |
| FCF LTM | 55 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 9 |
| CFO LTM | 99 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 85 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 13.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 5.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 17.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.5 |
| P/S | 5.0 |
| P/EBIT | 13.5 |
| P/E | 18.8 |
| P/CFO | 22.4 |
| Total Yield | 2.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.0% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 7.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 18.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 22.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 47.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 0.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 3.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 10.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -18.2% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/29/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/30/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3142025 | 10-K 12/29/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/29/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5102024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3152024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 10/1/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8112023 | 10-Q 7/2/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5122023 | 10-Q 4/2/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3152023 | 10-K 1/1/2023 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 10-Q 10/2/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8172022 | 10-Q 7/3/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5182022 | 10-Q 4/3/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3102022 | 10-K 1/2/2022 |
| 9302021 | 11082021 | 10-Q 10/3/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |