Tearsheet

SkyWater Technology (SKYT)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $15.69 | Market Cap: $754.5 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

SkyWater Technology (SKYT)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $15.69
Market Cap: $754.5 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -24%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -3.1 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.1%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Biotechnology & Genomics, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include AI Chips, Show more.
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 110%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -37%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.4%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 111%
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Biotechnology & Genomics, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include AI Chips, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -24%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -3.1 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.1%
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 110%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -37%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.4%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 111%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

SKYT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate 85.6% stock movement for SkyWater Technology (SKYT) from July 31, 2025, to November 18, 2025:

1. Completed Acquisition of Fab 25: SkyWater Technology completed its acquisition of Infineon's Fab 25 on June 30, 2025, just before the specified period. This strategic move is expected to double the company's annual revenue and adjusted EBITDA, significantly expanding its manufacturing capacity by approximately 400,000 wafer starts per year and strengthening its position in the U.S. semiconductor manufacturing landscape.

2. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings: On November 5, 2025, SkyWater Technology reported record financial results for the third quarter of 2025, exceeding market expectations across all metrics. The company announced earnings per share (EPS) of $0.24, significantly surpassing the consensus estimate of -$0.17, and generated $150.7 million in revenue, beating the $135.5 million consensus. This performance included a preliminary $110.8 million bargain purchase gain related to the Fab 25 acquisition.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SKYT Return---56%35%43%20%2%
Peers Return46%17%-5%13%-4%0%78%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SKYT Win Rate-50%42%50%58%40% 
Peers Win Rate52%42%32%42%35%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SKYT Max Drawdown---72%-31%-41%-58% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-12%-30%-12%-16%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: QCOM, FSLR, SLAB, POWI, AMBQ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSKYTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-86.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven653.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to QCOM, FSLR, SLAB, POWI, AMBQ


In The Past

SkyWater Technology's stock fell -86.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/7/2021. A -86.7% loss requires a 653.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About SkyWater Technology (SKYT)

Better Bets than SkyWater Technology (SKYT)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SKYT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-13.6%-13.6%-13.6%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.5%-3.5%-3.5%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.5%-4.5%-4.5%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-4.0%-4.0%-4.0%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.8%-0.8%-0.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-13.6%-13.6%-13.6%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.5%-3.5%-3.5%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.5%-4.5%-4.5%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-4.0%-4.0%-4.0%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.8%-0.8%-0.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for SkyWater Technology

Financials

SKYTQCOMFSLRSLABPOWIAMBQMedian
NameSkyWater.Qualcomm First So.Silicon .Power In.Ambiq Mi. 
Mkt Price16.61166.75253.54117.4232.2924.2674.86
Mkt Cap0.8179.827.23.91.8-3.9
Rev LTM29044,2844,34374344669594
Op Inc LTM-312,3941,362-965-381
FCF LTM3612,820-9437480-2155
FCF 3Y Avg911,277-557-165-9
CFO LTM6714,01229997100-1699
CFO 3Y Avg2712,5047621985-85

Growth & Margins

SKYTQCOMFSLRSLABPOWIAMBQMedian
NameSkyWater.Qualcomm First So.Silicon .Power In.Ambiq Mi. 
Rev Chg LTM-10.5%13.7%15.4%47.1%10.5%-13.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg22.4%1.2%20.6%-0.7%-12.3%-1.2%
Rev Chg Q-36.7%10.0%8.6%23.8%2.7%-8.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-10.6%2.4%2.0%5.6%0.7%-2.0%
Op Mgn LTM-1.1%28.0%31.3%-12.9%1.2%-54.6%0.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-2.6%25.9%22.9%-15.6%5.4%-5.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.5%-0.2%-0.9%3.2%-3.5%--0.9%
CFO/Rev LTM23.2%31.6%6.9%13.1%22.5%-22.6%17.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.8%31.5%21.7%2.8%19.4%-19.4%
FCF/Rev LTM12.4%28.9%-21.7%9.9%17.9%-29.7%11.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg2.1%28.4%-14.8%0.1%14.8%-2.1%

Valuation

SKYTQCOMFSLRSLABPOWIAMBQMedian
NameSkyWater.Qualcomm First So.Silicon .Power In.Ambiq Mi. 
Mkt Cap0.8179.827.23.91.8-3.9
P/S2.84.16.35.24.0-4.1
P/EBIT-254.613.519.7-46.9337.5-13.5
P/E-48.432.421.6-44.8100.4-21.6
P/CFO11.912.891.039.518.0-18.0
Total Yield-2.1%5.2%4.6%-2.2%3.6%-3.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.1%0.0%0.0%2.6%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.0%7.0%-2.6%-0.1%2.2%-2.0%
D/E0.10.10.00.00.0-0.0
Net D/E0.00.0-0.0-0.1-0.1--0.0

Returns

SKYTQCOMFSLRSLABPOWIAMBQMedian
NameSkyWater.Qualcomm First So.Silicon .Power In.Ambiq Mi. 
1M Rtn8.1%2.0%9.4%-13.7%-29.0%-20.1%-5.9%
3M Rtn45.8%5.5%15.6%-11.2%-29.9%-37.1%-2.9%
6M Rtn91.1%9.8%53.7%-8.1%-38.1%-9.8%
12M Rtn109.7%6.2%33.1%16.9%-45.4%-16.9%
3Y Rtn83.9%44.3%52.2%-16.5%-57.5%-44.3%
1M Excs Rtn7.9%1.9%9.2%-13.9%-29.1%-20.2%-6.0%
3M Excs Rtn49.7%3.3%16.1%-15.5%-34.3%-36.8%-6.1%
6M Excs Rtn79.3%-2.1%41.8%-20.0%-49.9%--2.1%
12M Excs Rtn91.3%-5.2%27.7%-0.6%-59.7%--0.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-24.5%-20.6%-7.2%-83.9%-125.1%--24.5%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,643,423
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-4.4%
Average Daily Volume1,865,539
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.95
Basic Shares Quantity48,091,000
Short % of Basic Shares7.6%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/6/202544.9%38.2%15.0%
5/7/20255.0%13.8%24.6%
2/26/202515.3%-2.4%-12.2%
11/7/2024-13.8%-21.2%-11.5%
8/7/202447.6%61.2%41.3%
5/8/2024-32.6%-16.4%-22.8%
2/26/2024-2.2%6.7%-8.0%
11/8/20232.4%25.9%50.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111211
# Negative767
Median Positive20.1%19.9%15.0%
Median Negative-12.7%-17.9%-22.8%
Max Positive47.6%61.2%88.0%
Max Negative-36.1%-25.3%-44.1%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025807202510-Q 6/29/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/30/2025
12312024314202510-K 12/29/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/29/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023315202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 10/1/2023
6302023811202310-Q 7/2/2023
3312023512202310-Q 4/2/2023
12312022315202310-K 1/1/2023
93020221110202210-Q 10/2/2022
6302022817202210-Q 7/3/2022
3312022518202210-Q 4/3/2022
12312021310202210-K 1/2/2022
93020211108202110-Q 10/3/2021

Insider Activity

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