SkyWater Technology (SKYT)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $15.69 | Market Cap: $754.5 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors
SkyWater Technology (SKYT)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $15.69Market Cap: $754.5 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductors
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -24% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -3.1 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.1% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Biotechnology & Genomics, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include AI Chips, Show more. | Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 110% | |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -37% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.4% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 111% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Biotechnology & Genomics, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include AI Chips, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -24% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -3.1 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.1% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 110% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -37% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.4% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 111% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
SKYT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the approximate 85.6% stock movement for SkyWater Technology (SKYT) from July 31, 2025, to November 18, 2025:
1. Completed Acquisition of Fab 25: SkyWater Technology completed its acquisition of Infineon's Fab 25 on June 30, 2025, just before the specified period. This strategic move is expected to double the company's annual revenue and adjusted EBITDA, significantly expanding its manufacturing capacity by approximately 400,000 wafer starts per year and strengthening its position in the U.S. semiconductor manufacturing landscape.
2. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings: On November 5, 2025, SkyWater Technology reported record financial results for the third quarter of 2025, exceeding market expectations across all metrics. The company announced earnings per share (EPS) of $0.24, significantly surpassing the consensus estimate of -$0.17, and generated $150.7 million in revenue, beating the $135.5 million consensus. This performance included a preliminary $110.8 million bargain purchase gain related to the Fab 25 acquisition.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SKYT Return | - | - | -56% | 35% | 43% | 20% | 2% |
| Peers Return | 46% | 17% | -5% | 13% | -4% | 0% | 78% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 107% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SKYT Win Rate | - | 50% | 42% | 50% | 58% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 42% | 32% | 42% | 35% | 47% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SKYT Max Drawdown | - | - | -72% | -31% | -41% | -58% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -27% | -12% | -30% | -12% | -16% | -25% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: QCOM, FSLR, SLAB, POWI, AMBQ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SKYT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -86.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 653.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to QCOM, FSLR, SLAB, POWI, AMBQ
In The Past
SkyWater Technology's stock fell -86.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/7/2021. A -86.7% loss requires a 653.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Is SkyWater Technology Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | Return | |
| Day 8 of Gains Streak for SkyWater Technology Stock with 57% Return (vs. 12% YTD) [9/22/2025] | Notification |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SKYT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -13.6% | -13.6% | -13.6% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.5% | -3.5% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.5% | -4.5% | -4.5% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -4.0% | -4.0% | -4.0% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.8% | -0.8% | -0.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -13.6% | -13.6% | -13.6% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.5% | -3.5% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.5% | -4.5% | -4.5% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -4.0% | -4.0% | -4.0% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.8% | -0.8% | -0.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for SkyWater Technology
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 74.86 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.9 |
| Rev LTM | 594 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1 |
| FCF LTM | 55 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 9 |
| CFO LTM | 99 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 85 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 13.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 5.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 17.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.9 |
| P/S | 4.1 |
| P/EBIT | 13.5 |
| P/E | 21.6 |
| P/CFO | 18.0 |
| Total Yield | 3.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.0% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -5.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -2.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 9.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 16.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 44.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -6.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -6.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -2.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -0.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -24.5% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/6/2025 | 44.9% | 38.2% | 15.0% |
| 5/7/2025 | 5.0% | 13.8% | 24.6% |
| 2/26/2025 | 15.3% | -2.4% | -12.2% |
| 11/7/2024 | -13.8% | -21.2% | -11.5% |
| 8/7/2024 | 47.6% | 61.2% | 41.3% |
| 5/8/2024 | -32.6% | -16.4% | -22.8% |
| 2/26/2024 | -2.2% | 6.7% | -8.0% |
| 11/8/2023 | 2.4% | 25.9% | 50.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 12 | 11 |
| # Negative | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 20.1% | 19.9% | 15.0% |
| Median Negative | -12.7% | -17.9% | -22.8% |
| Max Positive | 47.6% | 61.2% | 88.0% |
| Max Negative | -36.1% | -25.3% | -44.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/29/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/30/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3142025 | 10-K 12/29/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/29/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5102024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3152024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 10/1/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8112023 | 10-Q 7/2/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5122023 | 10-Q 4/2/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3152023 | 10-K 1/1/2023 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 10-Q 10/2/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8172022 | 10-Q 7/3/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5182022 | 10-Q 4/3/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3102022 | 10-K 1/2/2022 |
| 9302021 | 11082021 | 10-Q 10/3/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |