Tearsheet

Sidus Space (SIDU)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.7798 | Market Cap: $14.3 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Sidus Space (SIDU)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.7798
Market Cap: $14.3 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -55%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -137%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -172%
Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.8
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -20 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -468%
2   Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 7.6x
3   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.6%
4   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -384%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -569%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -72%
6   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 249%
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -55%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -137%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -172%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
4 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.8
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -20 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -468%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 7.6x
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.6%
8 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -384%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -569%
9 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -72%
10 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 249%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SIDU Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points highlighting factors that contributed to a significant decline in Sidus Space (SIDU) stock during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Poor Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: Sidus Space reported its Third Quarter 2025 financial results on November 14, 2025, indicating a 31% decrease in revenue compared to Q3 2024, a gross loss of ($1.3 million), and a net loss of $6 million, which was an increase from $3.9 million in the prior year. This financial performance likely signaled a lack of profitability and revenue challenges to investors.

2. Increased Operational Costs and Widening Losses: The company experienced a significant rise in its cost of revenue by 42% in Q3 2025, primarily due to increased satellite and software depreciation, as well as higher material and labor costs. Additionally, selling, general, and administrative expenses rose by $3.1 million, driven by strategic headcount additions and expanded employee benefits, further contributing to the widening net loss.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SIDU Return---90%-92%-44%-87%-100%
Peers Return-11%-2%-3%14%-2%47%40%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SIDU Win Rate- 25%17%33%40% 
Peers Win Rate8%8%10%12%5%31% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SIDU Max Drawdown---91%-97%-87%-86% 
Peers Max Drawdown-15%-5%-7%-0%-2%-0% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FLY, ATRO, BETA, DFSC, PEW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSIDUS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-99.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven33855.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to FLY, ATRO, BETA, DFSC, PEW


In The Past

Sidus Space's stock fell -99.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/14/2021. A -99.7% loss requires a 33855.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Sidus Space (SIDU)

Better Bets than Sidus Space (SIDU)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SIDU. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Sidus Space

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SIDUFLYATROBETADFSCPEWMedian
NameSidus Sp.Firefly .AstronicsBETA Tec.DEFSEC T.GrabAGun. 
Mkt Price0.7718.5551.7229.503.543.5611.05
Mkt Cap0.0-1.8---0.9
Rev LTM4101831-4-52
Op Inc LTM-20-21150--9--14
FCF LTM-24-19951--9--16
FCF 3Y Avg-21-8--11--11
CFO LTM-16-16574--9--12
CFO 3Y Avg-14-22--10--10

Growth & Margins

SIDUFLYATROBETADFSCPEWMedian
NameSidus Sp.Firefly .AstronicsBETA Tec.DEFSEC T.GrabAGun. 
Rev Chg LTM-2.6%-6.2%-166.4%-6.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.2%-19.5%-94.3%-19.5%
Rev Chg Q35.9%-3.8%-330.2%-35.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM8.6%-0.9%-35.8%-8.6%
Op Mgn LTM-467.8%-209.3%6.0%--209.1%--209.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-326.4%-2.2%--699.5%--326.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM4.3%-1.7%-86.7%-4.3%
CFO/Rev LTM-383.8%-164.1%8.9%--212.3%--188.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-290.5%-2.5%--716.7%--290.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-568.9%-197.5%6.1%--216.3%--206.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-436.9%-0.8%--777.8%--436.9%

Valuation

SIDUFLYATROBETADFSCPEWMedian
NameSidus Sp.Firefly .AstronicsBETA Tec.DEFSEC T.GrabAGun. 
Mkt Cap0.0-1.8---0.9
P/S7.6-1.9---4.8
P/EBIT-1.6-32.3---15.4
P/E-1.5--523.2----262.3
P/CFO-2.0-22.0---10.0
Total Yield-68.2%--0.2%----34.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%-0.0%---0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-161.0%--0.5%----80.8%
D/E0.3-0.2---0.3
Net D/E0.2-0.2---0.2

Returns

SIDUFLYATROBETADFSCPEWMedian
NameSidus Sp.Firefly .AstronicsBETA Tec.DEFSEC T.GrabAGun. 
1M Rtn-28.1%-22.0%6.1%--10.6%-20.0%-20.0%
3M Rtn-35.9%-58.2%40.5%-19.6%-33.0%-33.0%
6M Rtn-48.0%-61.1%---6.5%
12M Rtn-45.4%-215.2%---84.9%
3Y Rtn-99.6%-466.5%---183.5%
1M Excs Rtn-28.1%-22.0%6.1%--10.6%-20.0%-20.0%
3M Excs Rtn-40.1%-62.0%27.1%-13.0%-42.0%-40.1%
6M Excs Rtn-62.7%-46.4%----8.2%
12M Excs Rtn-62.2%-206.7%---72.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-172.4%-493.7%---160.7%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,344,025
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025147.9%
Average Daily Volume1,323,714
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.77
Basic Shares Quantity18,320,025
Short % of Basic Shares12.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025515202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024331202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024819202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024520202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023327202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023512202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022315202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022812202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022513202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021405202210-K 12/31/2021
1231202012142021424B4 12/31/2020