Tearsheet

BlackSky Technology (BKSY)


Market Price (12/8/2025): $18.45 | Market Cap: $649.3 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Diversified Support Services

BlackSky Technology (BKSY)


Market Price (12/8/2025): $18.45
Market Cap: $649.3 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Diversified Support Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Autonomous Technologies, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -31%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -49 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -48%
1   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -13%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -36%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 214%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 105%
6   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 25%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Autonomous Technologies, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -31%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -49 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -48%
3 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -13%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -36%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 214%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 105%
8 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 25%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BKSY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why BlackSky Technology (BKSY) stock moved by approximately 4.2% during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 8, 2025: 1. Better-than-Expected Q3 2025 Earnings Per Share. On November 6, 2025, BlackSky announced its third-quarter 2025 earnings, reporting a loss per share of $0.35, which exceeded analyst consensus estimates of a $0.37 loss per share. This earnings beat, despite a revenue shortfall, likely contributed to positive investor sentiment. 2. Significant Analyst Price Target Upgrade. On October 10, 2025, HC Wainwright & Co. raised its price target for BlackSky Technology from $28.00 to $42.00, while maintaining a "buy" rating. Such a substantial increase in a price target from a research firm can significantly boost investor confidence and drive stock performance.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BKSY Return7%-57%-66%-9%-4%78%-75%
Peers Return19%25%4%33%23%-9%131%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BKSY Win Rate58%42%33%58%33%60% 
Peers Win Rate63%62%45%67%55%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BKSY Max Drawdown-7%-57%-76%-29%-64%-39% 
Peers Max Drawdown-33%-11%-17%-7%-3%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TRI, CBZ, CTAS, CPRT, LDOS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/5/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBKSYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-92.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1288.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-11.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven13.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven119 days148 days

Compare to TRI, CBZ, CTAS, CPRT, LDOS


In The Past

BlackSky Technology's stock fell -92.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/19/2021. A -92.8% loss requires a 1288.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About BlackSky Technology (BKSY)

Better Bets than BlackSky Technology (BKSY)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BKSY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.2%0.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
3.4%3.4%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.6%1.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.2%0.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
3.4%3.4%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.6%1.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for BlackSky Technology

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BKSYTRICBZCTASCPRTLDOSMedian
NameBlackSky.Thomson .CBIZ Cintas Copart Leidos  
Mkt Price18.29133.4252.44186.7538.72186.8292.93
Mkt Cap0.660.03.375.337.523.930.7
Rev LTM1027,3762,67610,5574,65517,3326,016
Op Inc LTM-492,1282132,4171,7212,0411,881
FCF LTM-361,822861,7021,4121,3381,375
FCF 3Y Avg-311,8691131,5851,1031,1491,126
CFO LTM-212,4591042,1201,8531,5061,679
CFO 3Y Avg-162,4561311,9791,6201,3121,466

Growth & Margins

BKSYTRICBZCTASCPRTLDOSMedian
NameBlackSky.Thomson .CBIZ Cintas Copart Leidos  
Rev Chg LTM-5.1%3.0%59.2%8.2%6.7%6.5%6.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg22.7%3.9%27.2%9.1%9.1%6.9%9.1%
Rev Chg Q-13.0%3.4%58.1%8.7%0.7%6.7%5.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.8%0.8%10.5%2.1%0.2%1.6%1.2%
Op Mgn LTM-48.0%28.9%7.9%22.9%37.0%11.8%17.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-58.9%26.9%9.4%21.8%37.5%10.3%16.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-4.8%2.3%-0.5%0.1%0.5%-0.1%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-20.5%33.3%3.9%20.1%39.8%8.7%14.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-17.6%34.6%7.2%20.2%37.2%8.0%14.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-35.5%24.7%3.2%16.1%30.3%7.7%11.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-33.8%26.4%6.2%16.2%25.2%7.0%11.6%

Valuation

BKSYTRICBZCTASCPRTLDOSMedian
NameBlackSky.Thomson .CBIZ Cintas Copart Leidos  
Mkt Cap0.660.03.375.337.523.930.7
P/S7.09.51.27.88.01.47.4
P/EBIT-9.529.413.434.221.811.817.6
P/E-8.039.831.744.723.517.227.6
P/CFO-34.128.431.639.020.216.124.3
Total Yield-12.5%4.0%3.2%2.6%4.3%6.7%3.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.5%0.0%0.4%0.0%0.9%0.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-17.0%2.8%3.7%2.3%2.5%6.0%2.6%
D/E0.30.00.60.00.00.20.1
Net D/E0.10.00.60.0-0.10.20.1

Returns

BKSYTRICBZCTASCPRTLDOSMedian
NameBlackSky.Thomson .CBIZ Cintas Copart Leidos  
1M Rtn8.1%-2.6%-1.2%0.9%-4.4%-5.2%-1.9%
3M Rtn12.8%-23.3%-12.4%-8.5%-20.3%4.6%-10.4%
6M Rtn41.8%-31.0%-29.2%-17.6%-22.8%26.7%-20.2%
12M Rtn70.0%-20.6%-33.5%-15.8%-37.6%15.7%-18.2%
3Y Rtn9.4%21.0%6.2%68.5%21.2%77.8%21.1%
1M Excs Rtn-3.7%-8.2%-6.6%-0.3%-8.7%-5.3%-6.0%
3M Excs Rtn4.2%-28.6%-15.2%-13.5%-26.4%-1.1%-14.4%
6M Excs Rtn27.3%-45.5%-43.7%-32.1%-37.3%12.2%-34.7%
12M Excs Rtn58.8%-31.4%-49.4%-29.0%-51.4%1.5%-30.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-31.5%-50.1%-62.8%-2.3%-52.0%9.0%-40.8%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,664,830
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202519.5%
Average Daily Volume2,096,729
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.13
Basic Shares Quantity35,194,000
Short % of Basic Shares24.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/2025-11.4%-15.7% 
8/7/2025-6.0%1.0%-11.4%
3/6/2025-24.2%-30.0%-44.6%
11/7/20241.1%-2.2%42.1%
8/8/202413.6%5.0%-16.7%
5/8/2024-7.9%-7.9%-15.0%
2/28/2024-10.4%-12.8%-16.5%
11/8/2023-4.2%4.2%11.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive344
# Negative121111
Median Positive7.7%4.6%26.9%
Median Negative-8.0%-10.5%-20.8%
Max Positive13.6%17.6%84.9%
Max Negative-24.2%-30.0%-44.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024320202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023320202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022323202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022810202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022511202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021331202210-K 12/31/2021