Shimmick (SHIM)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.65 | Market Cap: $91.8 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Construction & Engineering
Shimmick (SHIM)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.65Market Cap: $91.8 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Construction & Engineering
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -38% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -108% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -54 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -10% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 20% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 51% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Wastewater Management, Show more. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -103% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -38% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 20% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Wastewater Management, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -108% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -54 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -10% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 51% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -103% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SHIM Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the approximate -10.3% movement in Shimmick (SHIM) stock between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025:
1. Overall Revenue Decline Driven by Non-Core Projects and Absence of One-Time Gain. Total revenue for Shimmick in Q3 2025 decreased by 15% year-over-year to $142 million, primarily due to a 46% reduction in revenue from non-core projects and the non-recurrence of a $31 million one-time favorable claim settlement that benefited Q3 2024 revenue.
2. Increased Net Loss. The company reported a net loss of $4 million for Q3 2025, which deepened from a net loss of $2 million in the third quarter of 2024. This resulted in a diluted loss per common share of $(0.12), compared to $(0.05) in Q3 2024.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SHIM Return | - | - | - | - | -61% | -0% | -61% |
| Peers Return | 9% | 25% | 6% | 17% | 30% | 39% | 206% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SHIM Win Rate | - | - | - | 100% | 25% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 28% | 32% | 35% | 37% | 35% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SHIM Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | -77% | -49% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -43% | -5% | -14% | -8% | -6% | -16% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DY, FLR, GVA, LGN, MGN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
SHIM has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.
| Event | XLI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -22.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 273 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 232 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 312 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -63.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 172.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1463 days | 1480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -22.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -22.6% loss requires a 29.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Shimmick Stock Drop Looks Sharp, But How Deep Can It Go? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SHIM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Shimmick
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 45.00 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.9 |
| Rev LTM | 4,236 |
| Op Inc LTM | 88 |
| FCF LTM | 123 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 124 |
| CFO LTM | 306 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 309 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 13.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 4.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 2.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 3.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.9 |
| P/S | 0.8 |
| P/EBIT | 7.0 |
| P/E | 14.2 |
| P/CFO | 14.1 |
| Total Yield | 3.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.8% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 16.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 49.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 8.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 142.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 16.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 0.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 34.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 1.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 78.2% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8142025 | 10-Q 7/4/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5142025 | 10-Q 4/4/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3202025 | 10-K 1/3/2025 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/27/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8162024 | 10-Q 6/28/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5202024 | 10-Q 3/29/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3282024 | 10-K 12/29/2023 |
| 9302023 | 12192023 | 10-Q 9/29/2023 |
| 12312022 | 10052023 | S-1 12/31/2022 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |