Tearsheet

Safe & Green Development (SGD)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $0.1881 | Market Cap: $0.7 Mil
Sector: Real Estate | Industry: Real Estate Development

Safe & Green Development (SGD)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $0.1881
Market Cap: $0.7 Mil
Sector: Real Estate
Industry: Real Estate Development

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 2770%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -142%
Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.2
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -93%
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -7.3 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -146%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Green Building Materials, Energy Efficient Building Materials, Show more.
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -30%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -53%
3   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 153%
4   Key risks
SGD key risks include [1] severe financial distress and substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 2770%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -93%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Green Building Materials, Energy Efficient Building Materials, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -142%
4 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.2
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -7.3 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -146%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -30%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -53%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 153%
8 Key risks
SGD key risks include [1] severe financial distress and substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SGD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For Safe & Green Development (SGD), the significant stock movement of approximately -84.6% leading up to December 18, 2025, can be attributed to several key financial and operational challenges. While the exact period specified (August 31, 2025, to today) has limited direct reporting for such a precise drop, a sharp downtrend of -84.74% was noted starting December 3, 2025, which can be understood through the company's recent financial disclosures and ongoing concerns. Here are five key points explaining the stock's movement: **1. Deteriorating Financial Performance and Widening Net Losses**

Safe & Green Development reported a net loss of $4.35 million in Q3 2025, a significant increase from a $2.34 million loss in Q3 2024. For the nine months ended September 30, 2025, the net loss widened to $12.3 million compared to $7.4 million in the prior year. Despite reporting substantial revenue growth, particularly in Q2 2025 (3,200% year-over-year) and Q3 2025 (4,200% year-over-year) due to acquisitions, this growth has not translated into profitability, raising investor concerns about the company's ability to generate net income.

**2. Substantial Debt Burden and Indicators of Financial Distress**

The company carries a significant debt burden, reported at $26.71 million with a debt-to-equity ratio of 6.34 as of its Q3 2025 report. Furthermore, an Altman Z-Score of -5.98 indicates significant financial distress, suggesting a high risk of bankruptcy. These figures highlight the company's precarious financial position and its challenges in managing liabilities.

**3. Concerns Regarding Cash Burn Rate and Liquidity**

Analysis from InvestingPro in November 2025 indicated that Safe & Green Development is rapidly burning through cash and has a concerningly low current ratio of 0.12. Earlier in February 2025, the current ratio was reported at 0.08, further emphasizing persistent liquidity issues. These metrics suggest the company may struggle to meet its short-term obligations, contributing to investor apprehension.

**4. Past and Recurring Nasdaq Listing Compliance Issues and Reverse Stock Splits**

Safe & Green Development has faced ongoing challenges in meeting Nasdaq's listing requirements. In July 2024, the company received a compliance warning and risked delisting, with its stock price already down significantly. Although it regained compliance in February 2025, Nasdaq continued to monitor its adherence to listing standards. To maintain its listing, the company initiated a 1-for-20 reverse stock split in October 2024, and shareholders approved another potential reverse split in September 2025. While reverse splits aim to boost share price to meet minimum bid requirements, they often signal underlying financial weakness and can lead to a further erosion of investor confidence.

**5. Investor Skepticism Despite Operational Improvements**

Despite announcing operational improvements, such as a 25% price increase on compost orders in December 2025 and strengthening soil processing capabilities, the stock continued its sharp decline. This suggests that positive operational news was insufficient to offset deep-seated concerns about the company's financial health, significant losses, and high debt levels, leading investors to remain skeptical about its long-term viability and the sustainability of any recovery.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SGD Return-90%-92%
Peers Return17%69%-23%73%5%1%183%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SGD Win Rate33%25%42% 
Peers Win Rate65%75%37%60%60%45% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SGD Max Drawdown-94%-92% 
Peers Max Drawdown-50%-4%-41%-0%-7%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DHI, LEN, PHM, NVR, SKY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

SGD has limited trading history. Below is the Real Estate sector ETF (XLRE) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLRES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-37.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven61.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-39.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven64.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven393 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-13.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven15.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven43 days120 days

Compare to


In The Past

Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund (The)'s stock fell -37.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -37.9% loss requires a 61.0% gain to breakeven.

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About Safe & Green Development (SGD)

Better Bets than Safe & Green Development (SGD)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Safe & Green Development Earnings Notes 
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0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SGD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-1.7%-1.7%-5.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-1.7%-1.7%-5.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Safe & Green Development

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SGDDHILENPHMNVRSKYMedian
NameSafe & G.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR Champion. 
Mkt Price0.18152.00112.23122.807,472.5586.03117.52
Mkt Cap0.045.028.724.121.54.822.8
Rev LTM534,25034,76617,62310,4762,62514,049
Op Inc LTM-74,4243,4703,3951,7822682,589
FCF LTM-33,284-7131,5521,292204748
FCF 3Y Avg-33,1542,7831,8751,4302021,652
CFO LTM-13,421-5681,6681,319248783
CFO 3Y Avg-33,3052,9181,9831,4572511,720

Growth & Margins

SGDDHILENPHMNVRSKYMedian
NameSafe & G.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR Champion. 
Rev Chg LTM2,770.1%-6.9%-4.7%1.8%3.4%12.1%2.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.9%3.0%5.4%1.4%1.0%1.4%
Rev Chg Q4,229.2%-3.2%-6.4%-1.6%-4.5%11.0%-2.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM223.6%-0.9%-1.7%-0.4%-1.2%2.6%-0.7%
Op Mgn LTM-146.2%12.9%10.0%19.3%17.0%10.2%11.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-15.4%13.6%20.6%18.4%10.8%15.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM265.6%-1.2%-1.5%-0.7%-0.6%0.0%-0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM-29.8%10.0%-1.6%9.5%12.6%9.4%9.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-9.4%8.4%11.6%14.4%11.0%11.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-52.7%9.6%-2.1%8.8%12.3%7.8%8.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-8.9%8.0%10.9%14.2%8.8%8.9%

Valuation

SGDDHILENPHMNVRSKYMedian
NameSafe & G.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR Champion. 
Mkt Cap0.045.028.724.121.54.822.8
P/S1.11.30.91.52.21.61.4
P/EBIT-10.29.37.612.214.610.2
P/E-0.412.512.09.916.119.512.3
P/CFO-3.513.1-56.715.617.517.414.4
Total Yield-264.0%9.1%10.0%10.8%6.2%5.1%7.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.1%1.6%0.7%0.0%0.0%0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-7.1%7.3%9.2%6.3%4.7%7.1%
D/E-0.10.20.10.00.00.1
Net D/E-0.10.10.0-0.0-0.10.0

Returns

SGDDHILENPHMNVRSKYMedian
NameSafe & G.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR Champion. 
1M Rtn-81.3%10.3%-1.6%8.1%4.4%10.0%6.2%
3M Rtn-86.8%-10.3%-15.2%-8.2%-8.2%12.5%-9.3%
6M Rtn-81.8%26.0%9.5%24.3%7.1%42.1%16.9%
12M Rtn-91.3%4.8%-24.6%6.8%-11.8%-14.8%-13.3%
3Y Rtn-75.1%27.1%171.6%55.2%62.0%62.0%
1M Excs Rtn-82.1%9.6%-2.4%7.3%3.7%9.2%5.5%
3M Excs Rtn-88.0%-11.5%-16.5%-9.6%-10.0%11.4%-10.7%
6M Excs Rtn-94.1%13.7%-2.9%11.9%-5.3%29.7%4.5%
12M Excs Rtn-102.9%-8.5%-37.1%-6.4%-24.1%-29.4%-26.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-13.1%-36.8%113.2%-9.6%-9.5%-9.5%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity202,094
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025132.7%
Average Daily Volume700,269
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity3,895,836
Short % of Basic Shares5.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/14/2025-3.6%-9.9% 
8/18/2025-7.6%-13.0%2.3%
11/14/2024-16.9%-44.1%-30.9%
3/28/2024-4.5%-12.5%-27.7%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive001
# Negative443
Median Positive  2.3%
Median Negative-6.1%-12.7%-29.3%
Max Positive  2.3%
Max Negative-16.9%-44.1%-30.9%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251114202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025815202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025515202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024331202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024515202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023401202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
3312023810202310-12B/A 3/31/2023
12312022912202310-12B/A 12/31/2022
9302022206202310-12B/A 9/30/2022