Sadot (SDOT)
Market Price (12/22/2025): $1.94 | Market Cap: $1.7 MilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Agricultural Products & Services
Sadot (SDOT)
Market Price (12/22/2025): $1.94Market Cap: $1.7 MilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Agricultural Products & Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Supply Chain Digitization, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -140%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -169% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -28 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5.9% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 658% | ||
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -100% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.4%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.4% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 438% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -781% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 1045% | ||
| Key risksSDOT key risks include [1] its precarious financial position and severe liquidity crunch, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Supply Chain Digitization, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -140%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -169% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -28 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5.9% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 658% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -100% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.4%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.4% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 438% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -781% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 1045% |
| Key risksSDOT key risks include [1] its precarious financial position and severe liquidity crunch, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SDOT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why Sadot (SDOT) stock moved by -79% during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 22, 2025: 1. Drastic Decline in Q3 2025 Revenue and Expected Operating Loss: Sadot Group projected preliminary unaudited revenue for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, to be approximately $0.3 million, a substantial drop from $200.9 million a year earlier. The company also forecast an operating loss of about $14.3 million for Q3 2025, in stark contrast to an operating income of $2.5 million in the prior-year period. 2. Severe Insufficient Working Capital and Liquidity Strain: The significant decline in Q3 2025 revenue and the anticipated operating loss were primarily attributed to insufficient working capital, which severely constrained Sadot's operational activities. Furthermore, delays in collecting major receivables within its Latin American (LATAM) division exacerbated liquidity issues, leading to a negative working capital position.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SDOT Return | � | -59% | 26% | -56% | -5% | -95% | � |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | 63% | -47% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SDOT Win Rate | 60% | 25% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | 57% | 53% | 37% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SDOT Max Drawdown | � | -61% | -57% | -57% | -44% | -98% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | -17% | -62% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FAT, GTIM, ANDE, SG, CAVA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SDOT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -89.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 874.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -68.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 213.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
Compare to BG, DAR, LMNR, AFRI, AGRZ
In The Past
Sadot's stock fell -89.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/12/2021. A -89.7% loss requires a 874.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Sadot Earnings Notes | ||
| Sadot Stock Plummets -47% With 7-Day Losing Streak | Notification | |
| Would You Still Hold Sadot Stock If It Fell Another 30%? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SDOT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.9% | -0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.2% | -6.2% | -7.5% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.3% | 10.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.8% | 5.8% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.2% | -5.2% | -5.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.9% | -0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.2% | -6.2% | -7.5% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.3% | 10.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.8% | 5.8% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.2% | -5.2% | -5.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Sadot
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 4.39 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.4 |
| Rev LTM | 630 |
| Op Inc LTM | -13 |
| FCF LTM | -7 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -5 |
| CFO LTM | 2 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 11 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 15.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | -1.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -2.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -0.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 0.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -1.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -1.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.4 |
| P/S | 0.1 |
| P/EBIT | 5.5 |
| P/E | 5.4 |
| P/CFO | 5.7 |
| Total Yield | -6.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -3.7% |
| D/E | 1.8 |
| Net D/E | 1.7 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -19.3% |
| 6M Rtn | -36.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -66.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | -46.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -24.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -50.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -80.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -123.1% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/14/2025 | -1.6% | -4.3% | -11.3% |
| 3/11/2025 | 5.2% | -3.7% | -26.0% |
| 11/12/2024 | -6.1% | -20.3% | 2.1% |
| 8/13/2024 | 9.9% | 4.6% | -17.7% |
| 3/20/2024 | -15.3% | -26.0% | -32.6% |
| 12/20/2023 | -3.2% | -4.3% | -20.8% |
| 10/3/2023 | -3.9% | 22.2% | 10.8% |
| 7/24/2023 | 5.8% | -19.1% | -21.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| # Negative | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 5.5% | 10.7% | 31.0% |
| Median Negative | -5.6% | -14.6% | -20.8% |
| Max Positive | 18.0% | 26.7% | 145.2% |
| Max Negative | -15.3% | -26.0% | -52.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11192025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8142025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5142025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3112025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8132024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5152024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3202024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11142023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3212023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8112022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5122022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3172022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Roper Michael John | Chief Governance & Compliance | 10212025 | Sell | 5.83 | 479 | 2,794 | 79,883 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Agricultural Products & Services Resources |
| AgFunder Network Partners |
| The Packer |
| CropLife |
| Agri-Pulse |
| USDA Data |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |