Good Times Restaurants (GTIM)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.25 | Market Cap: $13.2 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants
Good Times Restaurants (GTIM)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.25Market Cap: $13.2 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Restaurants
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.7% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -101%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -123% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 214% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -32% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.4% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Experiential Retail, Show more. | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.2% |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.7% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -32% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Experiential Retail, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -101%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -123% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 214% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.4% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.2% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
GTIM Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Declining Same-Store Sales in Q3 2025. Good Times Restaurants experienced a notable decline in same-store sales for both its brands in the third fiscal quarter ended July 1, 2025, with Bad Daddy's restaurants seeing a 1.4% decrease and Good Times restaurants a more substantial 9.0% decrease compared to the same quarter in fiscal year 2024. These results, released on August 7, 2025, likely contributed to negative investor sentiment entering the specified period.
2. Revenue Contraction in Q3 2025. For the third fiscal quarter ended July 1, 2025, Good Times Restaurants reported a 2.4% decrease in total revenues, falling to $37.03 million from $37.95 million in the prior year's third quarter. This revenue decline, despite a slight increase in net income, signals a challenging operational environment and could pressure stock performance.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GTIM Return | 79% | 52% | -48% | 13% | 2% | -51% | -19% |
| Peers Return | 13% | 24% | -13% | 3% | -20% | -8% | -7% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GTIM Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 20% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 57% | 43% | 47% | 35% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GTIM Max Drawdown | -72% | -3% | -52% | 0% | -14% | -53% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -46% | -6% | -27% | -17% | -28% | -31% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MCD, CVS, TGT, WEN, JACK. See GTIM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GTIM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -63.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 173.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -74.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 295.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 246 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -71.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 255.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 615 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -88.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 733.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to MCD, CVS, TGT, WEN, JACK
In The Past
Good Times Restaurants's stock fell -63.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/5/2021. A -63.4% loss requires a 173.1% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to GTIM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Good Times Restaurants
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 47.44 |
| Mkt Cap | 21.5 |
| Rev LTM | 14,236 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,903 |
| FCF LTM | 2,944 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 3,282 |
| CFO LTM | 6,386 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 7,470 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 0.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | -1.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 6.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 21.5 |
| P/S | 0.3 |
| P/EBIT | 12.0 |
| P/E | 13.1 |
| P/CFO | 10.1 |
| Total Yield | 6.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 4.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.6% |
| D/E | 1.6 |
| Net D/E | 1.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -1.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -1.4% |
| 12M Rtn | -38.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | -43.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -6.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -16.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -52.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -117.6% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 7/1/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 4/1/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2062025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 12122024 | 10-K 9/24/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/25/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/26/2024 |
| 12312023 | 1312024 | 10-Q 12/26/2023 |
| 9302023 | 12142023 | 10-K 9/26/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/27/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/28/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2022023 | 10-Q 12/27/2022 |
| 9302022 | 12152022 | 10-K 9/27/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8112022 | 10-Q 6/28/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/29/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2032022 | 10-Q 12/28/2021 |
| 9302021 | 12162021 | 10-K 9/28/2021 |
External Quote Links
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