Good Times Restaurants (GTIM)
Market Price (2/18/2026): $1.23 | Market Cap: $13.0 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants
Good Times Restaurants (GTIM)
Market Price (2/18/2026): $1.23Market Cap: $13.0 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Restaurants
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.8%, FCF Yield is 13% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -87%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -126% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 283% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Experiential Retail, Show more. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -10.0% | |
| Key risksGTIM key risks include [1] significant labor cost pressures driven by minimum wage increases in Colorado and [2] declining total revenues and same-store sales for its Bad Daddy's and Good Times brands. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.8%, FCF Yield is 13% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Experiential Retail, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -87%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -126% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 283% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -10.0% |
| Key risksGTIM key risks include [1] significant labor cost pressures driven by minimum wage increases in Colorado and [2] declining total revenues and same-store sales for its Bad Daddy's and Good Times brands. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Poor Fiscal Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Results
Good Times Restaurants reported a challenging fiscal fourth quarter ended September 30, 2025 (results released on December 23, 2025), which significantly impacted investor confidence. The company announced a 5.1% decrease in revenue, totaling $34 million, alongside a net loss of $3,000 for common shareholders. Furthermore, Adjusted EBITDA turned negative at -$74,000, a considerable drop from $1.3 million in the same quarter of the previous year. Both Bad Daddy's Burger Bar and Good Times Burgers & Frozen Custard experienced declines in same-store sales, falling by 4.6% and 6.6% respectively.
2. Escalating Operating Costs
The company faced increased pressure on its profit margins due to rising operating costs. Good Times Restaurants cited record-high ground beef prices and elevated costs for other proteins as primary drivers for increased food and beverage expenses. Additionally, labor costs rose as a percentage of sales, primarily attributed to lower team member productivity resulting from sales deleverage and general wage rate increases. These rising input costs are a broader industry trend, further compressing already tight restaurant profit margins.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -15.9% change in GTIM stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/17/2026 was primarily driven by a -13.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.45 | 1.22 | -15.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 143 | 138 | -3.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 0.9% | 0.8% | -13.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 12.2 | 12.4 | 1.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 11 | 11 | 0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -15.9% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GTIM | -15.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 0.1% | 17.5% |
| Sector (XLY) | -3.3% | 13.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -14.7% change in GTIM stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/17/2026 was primarily driven by a -11.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.43 | 1.22 | -14.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 144 | 138 | -4.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 0.8% | 0.8% | -0.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 13.9 | 12.4 | -11.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 11 | 11 | 0.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -14.7% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GTIM | -14.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.3% | 11.6% |
| Sector (XLY) | 5.0% | 3.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -52.0% change in GTIM stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/17/2026 was primarily driven by a -33.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.54 | 1.22 | -52.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 142 | 138 | -3.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.1% | 0.8% | -33.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 16.9 | 12.4 | -26.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 11 | 11 | 1.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -52.0% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GTIM | -52.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.5% | 20.6% |
| Sector (XLY) | 0.6% | 16.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -56.1% change in GTIM stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/17/2026 was primarily driven by a -62.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312023 | 2172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.78 | 1.22 | -56.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 138 | 138 | -0.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.2 | 0.1 | -62.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 12 | 11 | 17.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -56.1% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GTIM | -56.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 74.2% | 19.7% |
| Sector (XLY) | 59.8% | 15.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GTIM Return | 52% | -48% | 13% | 2% | -53% | -1% | -58% |
| Peers Return | 33% | -1% | -0% | -18% | -48% | 12% | -37% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 82% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GTIM Win Rate | 42% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 17% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 48% | 44% | 31% | 38% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GTIM Max Drawdown | -3% | -52% | 0% | -14% | -56% | -6% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -9% | -31% | -19% | -31% | -54% | -9% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MCD, WEN, JACK, RICK, CCHH. See GTIM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/17/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GTIM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -63.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 173.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -74.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 295.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 246 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -71.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 255.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 615 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -88.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 733.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1,480 days |
Compare to MCD, WEN, JACK, RICK, CCHH
In The Past
Good Times Restaurants's stock fell -63.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/5/2021. A -63.4% loss requires a 173.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Good Times Restaurants (GTIM)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Good Times Restaurants (GTIM):
- A parent company for restaurant concepts similar to Shake Shack and Red Robin, focused on premium burgers.
- A specialized mini-Yum! Brands focused only on premium burger chains.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Good Times Burgers & Frozen Custard: A quick-service restaurant concept offering a menu of burgers, chicken sandwiches, fries, and a variety of frozen custard desserts.
- Bad Daddy's Burger Bar: A full-service, upscale casual dining restaurant concept specializing in gourmet burgers, chopped salads, appetizers, and a selection of craft beers and cocktails.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Good Times Restaurants (GTIM) primarily sells its products and services directly to individuals through its restaurant operations.
The company operates two distinct restaurant brands, catering to different categories of individual customers:
Customer Categories:
-
Individuals and Families Seeking Quick, Convenient, and Value-Oriented Meals:
This category primarily consists of customers of Good Times Burgers & Frozen Custard. These diners are looking for fast service, convenience (often via drive-thru), and an affordable menu for lunch, dinner, or snacks. They value classic American fast-food items and frozen custard for a quick and satisfying experience.
-
Diners Seeking a Full-Service, Casual Dining Experience with Gourmet Burgers and Craft Beverages:
This category primarily encompasses customers of Bad Daddy's Burger Bar. These individuals and groups are looking for a more relaxed, sit-down dining experience. They appreciate the focus on gourmet burgers, fresh ingredients, customizable options, and a menu that often includes craft beers and cocktails, suitable for a casual lunch or dinner outing.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Ryan Zink, President, Chief Executive Officer, Interim Principal Financial Officer, and Principal Accounting Officer
Mr. Zink has served as President and Chief Executive Officer of Good Times Restaurants Inc. since April 2020. Prior to this, he was the company's Acting Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, roles he held concurrently starting in October 2019. He was initially appointed as Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer in July 2017. Before joining Good Times, Mr. Zink held positions with INVISTA, a subsidiary of Koch Industries Inc., as Corporate Finance Director. He also gained diverse leadership experience across accounting, finance, technology, and operations with F&H Acquisition Corp., the parent company of the Fox and Hound and Champps restaurant brands, where he served as Senior Vice President of Finance and Chief Operating Officer for the Champps concept. Mr. Zink began his career as an auditor with KPMG.
Keri A. August, Senior Vice President of Finance and Accounting and Corporate Secretary
Ms. August was appointed Senior Vice President of Finance and Accounting and Corporate Secretary on January 2, 2024. She joined Good Times Restaurants after serving as a consultant providing accounting leadership to the company from August 2023. Previously, Ms. August was employed by InfoSync Services, a firm specializing in restaurant accounting outsourcing, where her most recent role was Vice President FAO, a position she held since April 2022. She held various progressive leadership roles at InfoSync Services from September 2011 to April 2022. Her career began in public accounting with EY, and she has held various individual and supervisory finance and accounting roles within the hospitality and manufacturing industries.
Donald L. Stack, Senior Vice President of Operations for Good Times Burgers & Frozen Custard
Mr. Stack was named Senior Vice President of Operations for Good Times Burgers & Frozen Custard in February 2022, succeeding Scott LeFever. He brings 45 years of restaurant experience, starting in quick-service restaurants as a teenager. His background includes developing into a Senior Vice President of Operations at a parent company overseeing 93 restaurants across 17 states, including the Fox & Hound, Champps, and Bailey's restaurant concepts. Most recently, he served as a Regional Manager at Firebirds International, responsible for operations in five Midwest states. Mr. Stack announced his resignation effective May 31, 2025, with his responsibilities to be divided between CEO Ryan Zink and Craig Soto, who will become Director of Operations.
John Masterson, Culinary Director for Bad Daddy's Burger Bar
Mr. Masterson was appointed Culinary Director for Bad Daddy's Burger Bar in January 2024. He has a 13-year history with Bad Daddy's and has been instrumental in shaping the restaurant's culinary offerings. His journey at Bad Daddy's includes an initial role at Paco's Tacos & Tequila and a recent position as a multi-unit manager and culinary leader. His culinary philosophy is centered on expressing gratitude to the communities served, and he is known for his diverse background and passion for flavor exploration.
Dave Wallmann, Beverage Director for Bad Daddy's Burger Bar
Mr. Wallmann was appointed Beverage Director for Bad Daddy's Burger Bar in January 2024. He has been an integral part of the Bad Daddy's team for eight years. His background includes studies at Purdue University and culinary experiences in Hawai'i and elsewhere, which have fueled his passion for creating exceptional beverage experiences. Both Mr. Masterson and Mr. Wallmann have a track record of increasing revenue at the locations they oversaw.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Good Times Restaurants (GTIM) primarily revolve around increasing operational costs and challenging market conditions.
- Labor Cost Pressures: The company faces significant challenges from rising labor costs, driven by increases in minimum wages, particularly in Colorado, and higher average wage rates across its operations. These pressures directly impact the company's margins and profitability.
- Rising Commodity Costs: Good Times Restaurants is vulnerable to increases in the cost of key ingredients, such as ground beef and eggs. These escalating commodity prices can negatively affect the company's food costs and overall profit margins.
- Intense Competition and Declining Revenue: The company operates in a highly competitive quick-service restaurant (QSR) market, which often leads to discounting pressures. Recent financial reports indicate a decline in total revenues and same-store sales for both its Bad Daddy's and Good Times brands, reflecting the impact of this competitive environment on its top-line performance.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The rapid proliferation and increasing sophistication of "ghost kitchens" and virtual burger brands. These entities operate with significantly lower overhead than traditional brick-and-mortar restaurants, allowing them to potentially offer more competitive pricing or higher quality for delivery-focused consumers, directly siphoning off a growing segment of GTIM's off-premise sales.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Good Times Restaurants Inc. (GTIM) operates two main restaurant concepts: Good Times Burgers & Frozen Custard, a quick-service drive-through dining restaurant, and Bad Daddy's Burger Bar, a full-service upscale casual dining restaurant. The addressable markets for their products and services are primarily within the United States.
- U.S. Fast Casual Restaurant Market: The fast-casual restaurant market in the United States, which includes Good Times Burgers & Frozen Custard, reached approximately USD 45.58 billion in 2024. This market is projected to grow to USD 84.76 billion by 2034, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.40% between 2025 and 2034. Another estimate projects the U.S. fast-casual restaurants market to grow by USD 84.5 billion from 2024-2029, accelerating at a CAGR of 13.7%. The market is also anticipated to reach USD 121.3 billion by 2032.
- U.S. Casual Dining Market: Bad Daddy's Burger Bar operates within the casual dining sector. The global casual dining market size was valued at USD 333.02 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 575.5 billion by 2035, growing at a CAGR of 5.5% from 2025 to 2035. North America accounts for 28% of the global casual dining market share.
- U.S. Burger Restaurants Market: Encompassing both of GTIM's concepts, the burger restaurants industry in the United States is estimated to be $173.6 billion in 2025. The industry's revenue was anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 4.9% to $176.8 billion over the five years leading up to 2023. The U.S. holds a major share in the global burger market.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Good Times Restaurants Inc. (GTIM) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives across its Bad Daddy's Burger Bar and Good Times Burgers & Frozen Custard brands. Here are the expected drivers of future revenue growth: * New Unit Development and Strategic Expansion: The company plans to expand its restaurant footprint, particularly for its Bad Daddy's Burger Bar concept. Good Times Restaurants is targeting strategic market expansion in high-potential regions, with a goal of opening 3-4 new Bad Daddy's locations in 2024. The Q3 2025 earnings call transcript also indicated that new unit development, especially for Bad Daddy's, is under consideration. * Menu Price Adjustments: Good Times Restaurants has implemented menu price increases, which have partially offset sales decreases and higher commodity costs in the past. The company continues to monitor competitor pricing and may implement further limited price increases to drive revenue. * Enhancing Customer Experience and Traffic: Efforts are focused on improving the overall guest experience to drive long-term sales and customer traffic. This includes improved kitchen execution, consistency, and product quality across both brands. The company is also rolling out new burger builds, testing new burger processes, and introducing new menu items like fried ice cream to enhance value perception and guest experience. * Operational Enhancements and Technology Upgrades: Good Times Restaurants is investing in technology upgrades to improve efficiency and customer service. This includes piloting a next-generation point-of-sale (POS) system and upgrading digital menu boards in all company-owned Good Times locations. Additionally, one Good Times location is trialing an AI-enabled order taker in its drive-thru, which has significantly reduced wait times and improved customer satisfaction, aiming to increase revenue by serving more customers efficiently. The company is also shifting its marketing spend to social and digital media for more targeted advertising. * Restaurant Remodels and System Refresh: The company is undertaking a systemwide redesign of its Good Times Burgers & Frozen Custard units, with a new modernized prototype. Ten Good Times units are slated for remodels in 2025, with all locations expected to be completed by 2026. This refresh integrates modern technology and design to keep the brand competitive. Recently acquired Good Times locations are also expected to undergo remodels within the next 18 to 24 months.AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- In August 2021, Good Times Restaurants launched a tender offer of $6.5 million at $4.60 per share, resulting in the purchase of 333,241 shares for approximately $1.5 million.
- The company announced a $5 million share repurchase program in early 2022, with approximately $1.4 million remaining as of February 2024.
- As of June 2023, approximately 600,000 shares had been retired, with $2.7 million of buyback authorization remaining.
Share Issuance
- Good Times Restaurants experienced net common equity repurchases rather than issuances, with amounts of -$1 million in fiscal 2021, -$1 million in fiscal 2022, -$2 million in fiscal 2023, and -$2 million in fiscal 2024.
Inbound Investments
- In January 2023, Good Times Restaurants won a case against a private equity firm, reactivating a prior investment in its Good Times Burger brand; however, a specific new cash inflow amount within the 3-5 year window was not clearly specified.
Outbound Investments
- In June 2023, the company repurchased joint venture interests in five Bad Daddy's locations for $4.4 million.
- Good Times Restaurants acquired two previously franchised Good Times restaurants in late fiscal 2023 and an additional one from a franchisee in fiscal 2024.
- In the first quarter of fiscal 2025, the company acquired two Denver metro area Good Times restaurants from a franchisee.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for fiscal 2021 totaled approximately $508,000, including $331,000 for Good Times restaurants and $177,000 for the corporate office.
- Trailing twelve months capital expenditures were approximately $2.9 million as of June 2023, which included growth-related spending.
- Capital expenditures for each of the three years prior to February 2024 were less than $5 million.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to GTIM.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01302026 | LULU | Lululemon Athletica | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.1% | 1.1% | -2.8% |
| 01302026 | KSS | Kohl's | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 13.6% | 13.6% | -1.0% |
| 01022026 | AAP | Advance Auto Parts | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 51.3% | 51.3% | -0.4% |
| 12192025 | KTB | Kontoor Brands | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.2% | 5.2% | -10.3% |
| 12192025 | COUR | Coursera | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -21.8% | -21.8% | -24.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 14.17 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.4 |
| Rev LTM | 1,345 |
| Op Inc LTM | 204 |
| FCF LTM | 136 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 143 |
| CFO LTM | 198 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 204 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -5.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | -6.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 16.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 17.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 16.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.4 |
| P/S | 0.6 |
| P/EBIT | 5.6 |
| P/E | 12.2 |
| P/CFO | 3.9 |
| Total Yield | 8.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 8.8% |
| D/E | 3.1 |
| Net D/E | 2.8 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -3.0% |
| 6M Rtn | -30.4% |
| 12M Rtn | -49.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | -68.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -8.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -34.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -62.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -134.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $1.22 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 08/18/1995 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -51.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $1.22 | $1.51 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -0.1% | -19.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 46.1% | 56.7% |
| Downside Capture | -40.00 | 60.60 |
| Upside Capture | -59.06 | -18.98 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 10.7% | 20.0% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.40 | 0.42 | 0.50 | 0.44 | 0.59 | 0.60 |
| Up Beta | 4.54 | 3.48 | 1.70 | 1.12 | 0.56 | 0.66 |
| Down Beta | 0.08 | 1.40 | 1.21 | 1.35 | 0.93 | 0.82 |
| Up Capture | 99% | -121% | -76% | -33% | -8% | 6% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 7 | 14 | 24 | 49 | 100 | 328 |
| Down Capture | 247% | -32% | 47% | -4% | 83% | 86% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 20 | 28 | 63 | 129 | 371 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GTIM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTIM | -48.1% | 56.3% | -0.97 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 2.9% | 24.1% | 0.06 | 15.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.0% | 19.4% | 0.51 | 19.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 67.2% | 25.5% | 1.99 | 3.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.2% | 16.8% | 0.13 | 15.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 7.8% | 16.6% | 0.28 | 16.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -28.8% | 44.9% | -0.62 | 7.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GTIM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTIM | -17.5% | 52.6% | -0.17 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 7.0% | 23.7% | 0.26 | 20.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.3% | 17.0% | 0.62 | 22.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.3% | 17.1% | 1.02 | 6.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.2% | 18.9% | 0.42 | 10.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.3% | 18.8% | 0.19 | 17.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 8.2% | 57.2% | 0.36 | 12.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GTIM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTIM | -10.0% | 62.5% | 0.10 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 14.1% | 21.9% | 0.59 | 20.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.8% | 17.9% | 0.76 | 22.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.8% | 15.6% | 0.79 | -0.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.0% | 17.6% | 0.37 | 10.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.8% | 20.7% | 0.29 | 19.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.5% | 66.7% | 1.08 | 7.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 12/23/2025 | -12.7% | -6.9% | -6.2% |
| 8/7/2025 | 21.0% | 17.4% | 13.0% |
| 5/8/2025 | -7.6% | -15.7% | -14.2% |
| 2/6/2025 | -1.5% | -3.1% | -3.5% |
| 10/15/2024 | -3.1% | -1.4% | -4.7% |
| 7/9/2024 | -0.4% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| 4/11/2024 | 0.8% | -5.1% | 9.3% |
| 1/11/2024 | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 11 | 14 |
| # Negative | 9 | 11 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 5.3% | 5.9% | 11.2% |
| Median Negative | -2.3% | -3.1% | -8.0% |
| Max Positive | 29.9% | 32.9% | 48.2% |
| Max Negative | -12.7% | -15.7% | -22.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/05/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 12/29/2025 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 12/12/2024 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 01/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 12/14/2023 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 12/15/2022 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/11/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/05/2022 | 10-Q |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.