Good Times Restaurants (GTIM)
Market Price (4/15/2026): $1.25 | Market Cap: $13.2 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants
Good Times Restaurants (GTIM)
Market Price (4/15/2026): $1.25Market Cap: $13.2 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Restaurants
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.8%, FCF Yield is 13% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Experiential Retail, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -85%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -121% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 276% Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -10.0% Key risksGTIM key risks include [1] significant labor cost pressures driven by minimum wage increases in Colorado and [2] declining total revenues and same-store sales for its Bad Daddy's and Good Times brands. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.8%, FCF Yield is 13% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Experiential Retail, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -85%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -121% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 276% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -10.0% |
| Key risksGTIM key risks include [1] significant labor cost pressures driven by minimum wage increases in Colorado and [2] declining total revenues and same-store sales for its Bad Daddy's and Good Times brands. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Stable Profitability Metrics Despite Revenue Decline. Good Times Restaurants reported stable net income attributable to common shareholders of $0.2 million, or $0.02 per share, and maintained an adjusted EBITDA of $1.3 million for the first fiscal quarter of 2026 (ended December 30, 2025), consistent with the prior year's quarter, despite a 10% decrease in total revenues to $32.7 million. This stability in key profitability indicators, amidst a challenging revenue environment, likely reassured investors about the company's operational resilience.
2. Optimistic Outlook and Strategic Operational Improvements. Management expressed optimism about sales projections and the ability to meaningfully improve profit measures during fiscal year 2026. The company highlighted operational enhancements, including improved labor cost management and menu innovations for both Bad Daddy's Burger Bar and Good Times Burgers & Frozen Custard. Specifically, Bad Daddy's shifted its promotional strategy to a single monthly food feature starting in March, expected to increase guest frequency and provide greater value and variety.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 3.3% change in GTIM stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 4.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.21 | 1.25 | 3.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 142 | 138 | -2.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 0.7% | 0.8% | 4.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 12.5 | 12.7 | 1.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 11 | 11 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 3.3% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GTIM | 3.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 44.6% |
| Sector (XLY) | -2.5% | 32.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -23.3% change in GTIM stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -13.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.63 | 1.25 | -23.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 143 | 138 | -3.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 0.9% | 0.8% | -13.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 13.7 | 12.7 | -7.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 11 | 11 | 0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -23.3% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GTIM | -23.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 15.5% |
| Sector (XLY) | -2.6% | 11.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -49.2% change in GTIM stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -52.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.46 | 1.25 | -49.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 146 | 138 | -5.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.6% | 0.8% | -52.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 11.3 | 12.7 | 12.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 11 | 11 | 1.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -49.2% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GTIM | -49.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 22.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | 18.6% | 17.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -54.2% change in GTIM stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -59.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.73 | 1.25 | -54.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 139 | 138 | -0.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.2 | 0.1 | -59.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 12 | 11 | 14.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -54.2% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GTIM | -54.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 18.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | 59.3% | 13.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GTIM Return | 52% | -48% | 13% | 2% | -53% | 4% | -56% |
| Peers Return | 33% | -1% | -0% | -18% | -48% | -7% | -47% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 81% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GTIM Win Rate | 42% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 17% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 48% | 44% | 31% | 38% | 45% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GTIM Max Drawdown | -3% | -52% | 0% | -14% | -56% | -7% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -9% | -31% | -19% | -31% | -54% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MCD, WEN, JACK, RICK, CCHH. See GTIM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/14/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GTIM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -63.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 173.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -74.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 295.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 246 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -71.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 255.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 615 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -88.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 733.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1,480 days |
Compare to MCD, WEN, JACK, RICK, CCHH
In The Past
Good Times Restaurants's stock fell -63.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/5/2021. A -63.4% loss requires a 173.1% gain to breakeven.
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About Good Times Restaurants (GTIM)
AI Analysis | Feedback
GTIM is like a smaller, regional company that owns two different burger restaurant concepts: one a quick-service chain similar to Shake Shack, and the other a full-service casual dining experience akin to Red Robin.
Think of GTIM as a company that operates both a quick-service burger and frozen custard chain (like a regional Culver's) and a sit-down, upscale burger bar (similar to a smaller Red Robin).
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Good Times Burgers & Frozen Custard: Offers an upscale quick-service drive-through dining experience, primarily serving burgers and frozen custard.
- Bad Daddy's Burger Bar: Provides a full-service upscale casual dining experience, featuring gourmet burgers and a diverse menu.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Major Customers of Good Times Restaurants (GTIM)
Good Times Restaurants Inc. operates and franchises restaurants that sell food and beverages directly to individual consumers. Therefore, its major customers are individuals and groups of diners rather than other companies.
Based on the company's two distinct restaurant concepts, the primary categories of customers served are:
- Individuals and families seeking convenient, high-quality quick-service meals: These customers are primarily drawn to Good Times Burgers & Frozen Custard for its fast, drive-through service and specific menu items like burgers, fries, and frozen custard. They value speed, convenience, and a reliable meal option for individuals on the go or families looking for a quick and easy dining solution.
- Individuals, couples, and groups seeking a full-service, upscale casual dining experience: These customers frequent Bad Daddy's Burger Bar for its more relaxed, sit-down atmosphere, gourmet burger selections, and broader menu including alcoholic beverages. They are often looking for a social dining experience, a date night, or a family meal where they can enjoy a higher-end, customizable burger in a casual setting.
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Ryan M. Zink, President and Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Zink was appointed to the Board of Directors in September 2021 and has served as the Company's President and Chief Executive Officer since April 2020. Prior to his current roles, he served as Acting Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer beginning in October 2019, having initially been appointed Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer in July 2017. Before joining Good Times Restaurants Inc. in 2017, Mr. Zink was the Corporate Finance Director and Reporting Leader for INVISTA, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Koch Industries Inc. He also held various positions with F&H Acquisition Corp., parent of the Fox and Hound and Champps restaurant brands, including Senior Vice President of Finance and Chief Operating Officer for its Champps concept. Mr. Zink began his career as an auditor with KPMG. He holds a Bachelor of Science in Business Administration from Wichita State University with concentrations in Accounting and Economics.
Keri A. August, Chief Accounting Officer and Senior Vice President of Finance and Accounting
Ms. August was named Chief Accounting Officer and Corporate Secretary on January 2, 2026. She served as Senior Vice President of Finance and Accounting and Corporate Secretary since January 2, 2024, and prior to that, she was a consultant to the Company providing accounting services from August 2023. Before her tenure at Good Times Restaurants Inc., Ms. August was employed by InfoSync Services, a restaurant-focused accounting outsourcing services firm, where she was most recently Vice President FAO since April 2022, having held progressive leadership roles there from September 2011 to April 2022. She previously held individual and supervisory finance and accounting roles within the hospitality and manufacturing industries and began her career in public accounting with EY.
Charles E. Jobson, Chairman of the Board
Mr. Jobson serves as the Chairman of the board for Good Times Restaurants Inc. From 2021 to 2023, he was the CEO and a director of Thrive Acquisition, a special purpose acquisition company. He has extensive investment experience in hedge funds and private equity. In 2019, Mr. Jobson partnered with PAI Partners, a private equity firm, to take Ecotone (formerly Wessanen) private. He was the founder and portfolio manager at Delta Partners, a long-short hedge fund, from 1999-2019, managing assets that peaked at $2.9 billion. Earlier in his career, he was a Vice President and a member of an investment committee at Baring Asset Management and an equity analyst with State Street Research & Management, Inc. Mr. Jobson holds an undergraduate degree from Northwestern University and an MBA from Duke University Fuqua School of Business.
Jason S. Maceda, Director
Mr. Maceda is a director for Good Times Restaurants Inc. He currently holds the position of Chief Portfolio Officer for Inspire Brands. Previously at Inspire Brands, he served as Chief Development Officer from January 2024 until December 2025, Senior Vice-President Franchise Development from October 2022 to January 2024, and President of Baskin-Robbins from December 2020 to October 2022. From July 2017 to December 2020, he was Senior Vice President, Baskin Robbins U.S. and Canada.
Jennifer C. Stetson, Director
Ms. Stetson is a director for Good Times Restaurants Inc. She is the Chief Financial Officer for US Restaurant Properties, a privately-owned landlord of chain restaurant properties, a position she has held since January 2023.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Good Times Restaurants (GTIM) include challenges related to declining customer traffic and intense competition, the persistent pressures of wage and commodity inflation, and the inherent operational volatility stemming from its limited scale and geographic concentration.
- Traffic Softness and Intense Competition: Good Times Restaurants has experienced "continued traffic softness" across both its Bad Daddy's Burger Bar and Good Times Burgers & Frozen Custard brands. This issue is compounded by competitive pressures, including "competitive openings in core markets" which have further reduced demand. Investors remain cautious due to these concerns over traffic and competitive intensity.
- Wage and Commodity Inflation & Supply Chain Constraints: The company faces significant headwinds from "ongoing wage and commodity inflation," which can adversely impact its profit margins if customer traffic does not substantially recover. Additionally, the business is exposed to the "impact and duration of staffing constraints and wage increases" for employees, as well as broader "supply chain constraints and the current inflationary environment."
- Limited Scale and Geographic Concentration: Given Good Times Restaurants' "limited scale and geographic concentration," operational fluctuations and sales inconsistencies can have a disproportionately large impact on its overall consolidated financial results.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Good Times Restaurants Inc. (GTIM) operates in the United States within the quick-service and full-service restaurant sectors, with its main products and services catering to the burger and frozen custard markets. The addressable markets for their offerings in the U.S. are as follows:
Good Times Burgers & Frozen Custard (Upscale Quick-Service Drive-Through Dining Restaurant)
This brand operates within the broader U.S. quick-service restaurant (QSR) and fast-casual restaurant markets, and specifically within the burger segment.
- The U.S. quick-service restaurant market was valued at approximately USD 447.20 billion in 2025 and is estimated to grow to USD 491.65 billion in 2026. Projections indicate it will reach USD 789.65 billion by 2031, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 9.94% from 2026 to 2031. Another report states the U.S. QSR market size was USD 1,064.44 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 2,462.71 billion by 2035, with a CAGR of 8.75% during the forecast period of 2026–2035. The U.S. quick-service restaurant market is also projected to reach an estimated value of USD 599.87 billion by 2032.
- The U.S. fast-casual restaurant market reached approximately USD 48.50 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 90.19 billion by 2035, at a CAGR of 6.40% between 2026 and 2035. Another source indicates the market was valued at USD 45.58 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 84.76 billion by 2034 with a CAGR of 6.40% between 2025 and 2034. The market size is also projected to reach USD 115.5 billion by 2026 and USD 121.3 billion by 2032. One report valued the fast casual restaurant market at $124.50 billion in 2022, estimated to reach $337.8 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 10.4%.
- The burger restaurants market in the U.S. was estimated at $173.6 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach $177.7 billion in 2026. This segment is expected to grow at a CAGR of 3.3% to $173.6 billion over the five years to 2025.
Bad Daddy's Burger Bar (Full-Service Upscale Casual Dining Restaurant)
This brand operates within the U.S. full-service restaurant market, which encompasses casual dining establishments, and also within the burger segment.
- The U.S. full-service restaurant market was valued at USD 362.15 billion in 2025 and is estimated to grow to USD 405.28 billion in 2026, reaching USD 685.11 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 11.07% during the forecast period (2026-2031). Other data indicates the market is predicted to be US$ 371.9 billion in 2025 and reach US$ 715.8 billion at a CAGR of 12.7% by 2032. Additionally, the U.S. Full Service Restaurants Sector is likely to grow from USD 336.22 billion in 2024 to USD 807.83 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 10.23% from 2025 to 2033.
- The U.S. burger restaurant market data, as mentioned above, also applies to Bad Daddy's Burger Bar. The market was estimated at $173.6 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach $177.7 billion in 2026.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Good Times Restaurants Inc. (GTIM) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through a multi-faceted approach focusing on enhancing its existing brands and strategic expansions.
Here are 5 expected drivers of future revenue growth:
- Restaurant Remodels and Modernization for Good Times Burgers & Frozen Custard: The company is undertaking a system-wide redesign of its Good Times Burgers & Frozen Custard restaurants, with a goal for completion by 2026. This initiative involves modernizing the brand's physical footprint and updating infrastructure to enhance the customer experience, thereby aiming to attract more customers and increase sales at existing locations. As of July 2024, five locations had been updated, one was in progress, and ten were scheduled for 2025.
- Targeted Unit Expansion for Bad Daddy's Burger Bar: Good Times Restaurants plans to expand the footprint of its Bad Daddy's Burger Bar concept through targeted unit growth. The company anticipates opening one new location every 12 months, with a specific new Bad Daddy's restaurant projected to open in the Greater Charlotte area between late fiscal Q2 and early fiscal Q3 of 2025.
- Strategic Acquisitions of Franchised Good Times Locations: The company is actively pursuing strategic acquisitions to grow its corporate-owned portfolio. In October 2024, Good Times Restaurants acquired two franchised Good Times Burgers & Frozen Custard locations in Colorado. These newly acquired locations are slated for remodeling within the subsequent 18 to 24 months, indicating a strategy to integrate and enhance these units for future revenue generation.
- Menu Price Increases: Good Times Restaurants has implemented and plans for ongoing menu price adjustments to drive revenue growth. For the first fiscal quarter of 2025, the average menu price was 4.5% higher compared to the first quarter of 2024. Looking ahead, the company expected an average price increase of approximately 1.7% for the first fiscal quarter of 2026.
- Product Innovation and Menu Enhancements: Both the Good Times and Bad Daddy's brands are supported by a strong product development pipeline. This includes the testing of new menu items, such as the West Slope burger at Good Times, and the expansion of successful offerings like the smash patty lineup at Bad Daddy's Burger Bar. Such innovations are designed to attract new customers and encourage repeat visits, contributing to overall revenue growth.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Good Times Restaurants announced a share repurchase program on February 3, 2022, authorizing the repurchase of up to $5,000,000 of its common stock.
- The share repurchase program is intended to return capital to shareholders while supporting reinvestment in existing restaurants and disciplined growth for the Bad Daddy's brand.
- Treasury Shares increased from $1.6 million in 2021 to $7.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2025.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures were reported as -$1.84 million in the last 12 months, with operating cash flow at $3.55 million, yielding a free cash flow of $1.71 million.
- The company's capital allocation strategy prioritizes debt reduction and liquidity following improvements in operating cash flow.
- Good Times Restaurants plans to invest in modern human resource and financial planning systems to enhance operational value.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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| 03272026 | PATK | Patrick Industries | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 9.28 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.2 |
| Rev LTM | 1,345 |
| Op Inc LTM | 204 |
| FCF LTM | 139 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 141 |
| CFO LTM | 197 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 202 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -5.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | -5.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 15.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 17.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 16.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.2 |
| P/S | 0.6 |
| P/EBIT | 6.8 |
| P/E | 12.7 |
| P/CFO | 4.1 |
| Total Yield | 6.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 9.5% |
| D/E | 3.0 |
| Net D/E | 2.8 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -6.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -2.9% |
| 6M Rtn | -20.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -41.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | -64.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -11.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -26.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -73.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -134.4% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $1.25 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 08/18/1995 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -38.4% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $1.20 | $1.41 |
| DMA Trend | down | indeterminate |
| Distance from DMA | 4.2% | -11.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 32.6% | 55.2% |
| Downside Capture | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| Upside Capture | 140.46 | -10.26 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 43.0% | 17.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.20 | 1.17 | 1.16 | 0.69 | 0.66 | 0.58 |
| Up Beta | 1.54 | 1.50 | 2.21 | 1.77 | 0.52 | 0.62 |
| Down Beta | 1.34 | 1.77 | 1.25 | 1.57 | 1.18 | 0.91 |
| Up Capture | 193% | 132% | 122% | -31% | -4% | 4% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 17 | 25 | 50 | 98 | 324 |
| Down Capture | 73% | 64% | 72% | 41% | 87% | 80% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 18 | 28 | 58 | 128 | 368 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GTIM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTIM | -35.6% | 54.9% | -0.61 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 24.8% | 19.4% | 1.02 | 11.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 24.2% | 12.9% | 1.49 | 17.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 53.4% | 27.6% | 1.55 | -1.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 26.8% | 16.2% | 1.47 | 9.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 18.7% | 13.8% | 1.00 | 11.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -6.8% | 42.9% | -0.05 | 7.2% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GTIM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTIM | -22.4% | 50.7% | -0.32 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 6.9% | 23.7% | 0.25 | 19.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.1% | 17.0% | 0.50 | 21.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.5% | 17.8% | 1.03 | 4.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.7% | 18.8% | 0.51 | 9.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.9% | 18.8% | 0.11 | 17.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 5.8% | 56.5% | 0.32 | 11.2% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GTIM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTIM | -9.8% | 61.8% | 0.09 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.7% | 22.0% | 0.53 | 20.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 22.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.3% | 15.9% | 0.75 | 0.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.8% | 17.6% | 0.42 | 10.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 19.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.7% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 7.1% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 12/23/2025 | -12.7% | -6.9% | -6.2% |
| 8/7/2025 | 21.0% | 17.4% | 13.0% |
| 5/8/2025 | -7.6% | -15.7% | -14.2% |
| 2/6/2025 | -1.5% | -3.1% | -3.5% |
| 10/15/2024 | -3.1% | -1.4% | -4.7% |
| 7/9/2024 | -0.4% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| 4/11/2024 | 0.8% | -5.1% | 9.3% |
| 1/11/2024 | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 11 | 14 |
| # Negative | 9 | 11 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 5.3% | 5.9% | 11.2% |
| Median Negative | -2.3% | -3.1% | -8.0% |
| Max Positive | 29.9% | 32.9% | 48.2% |
| Max Negative | -12.7% | -15.7% | -22.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/05/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 12/29/2025 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 12/12/2024 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 01/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 12/14/2023 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 12/15/2022 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/11/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/05/2022 | 10-Q |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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