Sinclair (SBGI)
Market Price (4/29/2026): $15.71 | Market Cap: $1.1 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Broadcasting
Sinclair (SBGI)
Market Price (4/29/2026): $15.71Market Cap: $1.1 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Broadcasting
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 6.3%, FCF Yield is 11% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Local Media & Broadcast. Themes include Local News & Information Delivery, Regional Sports Content, and Local Digital Advertising. | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -100% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 334% Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -17% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.8% Key risksSBGI key risks include [1] high cyclicality and volatility from its significant political advertising revenue and [2] a substantial variable-rate debt load that exposes the company to interest rate fluctuations and higher service costs. |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 6.3%, FCF Yield is 11% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Local Media & Broadcast. Themes include Local News & Information Delivery, Regional Sports Content, and Local Digital Advertising. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -100% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 334% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -17% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.8% |
| Key risksSBGI key risks include [1] high cyclicality and volatility from its significant political advertising revenue and [2] a substantial variable-rate debt load that exposes the company to interest rate fluctuations and higher service costs. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Sinclair's Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Significantly Beat Analyst Expectations.
On February 25, 2026, Sinclair reported a GAAP profit of $1.55 per share for Q4 2025, vastly exceeding Wall Street's consensus estimate of a $0.25 per share loss. Additionally, the company's adjusted EBITDA reached $168 million, which was 13.2% above analyst expectations. This strong bottom-line performance, despite a 16.7% year-over-year decline in revenue to $836 million (which was in line with estimates), propelled the stock to jump 21.2% in the morning session on February 26, 2026.
2. The Company Provided an Optimistic 2026 Financial Outlook and Advanced Strategic Initiatives.
Sinclair issued full-year 2026 guidance projecting total company revenue between $3.4 billion and $3.54 billion, and adjusted EBITDA ranging from $700 million to $740 million. This outlook included an expectation of at least $333 million in political advertising revenue, surpassing the 2022 midterm cycle. Management also highlighted a strategic focus on mergers and acquisitions, portfolio optimization, and deleveraging, noting the successful refinancing of debt that extended the nearest maturity to December 2029.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 4.4% change in SBGI stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/28/2026 was primarily driven by a 10.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 15.04 | 15.71 | 4.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,337 | 3,169 | -5.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.3 | 0.3 | 10.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 70 | 70 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 4.4% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SBGI | 4.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.2% | 15.5% |
| Sector (XLC) | -1.4% | 30.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 7.5% change in SBGI stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/28/2026 was primarily driven by a 18.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 14.61 | 15.71 | 7.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,481 | 3,169 | -9.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.3 | 0.3 | 18.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 70 | 70 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 7.5% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SBGI | 7.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.0% | 9.5% |
| Sector (XLC) | -1.6% | 19.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 5.5% change in SBGI stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/28/2026 was primarily driven by a 24.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 14.89 | 15.71 | 5.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,548 | 3,169 | -10.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.3 | 0.3 | 24.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 66 | 70 | -4.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 5.5% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SBGI | 5.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 29.3% | 31.3% |
| Sector (XLC) | 21.5% | 36.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -27.1% change in SBGI stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/28/2026 was primarily driven by a -19.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 21.56 | 15.71 | -27.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,928 | 3,169 | -19.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.4 | 0.3 | -9.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 70 | 70 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -27.1% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SBGI | -27.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 81.5% | 27.6% |
| Sector (XLC) | 106.3% | 29.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SBGI Return | -16% | 0% | -48% | 33% | 1% | 5% | -39% |
| Peers Return | 21% | -20% | -7% | -15% | 43% | 5% | 15% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 5% | 91% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SBGI Win Rate | 33% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 38% | 47% | 52% | 57% | 55% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SBGI Max Drawdown | -16% | 0% | -62% | -10% | -23% | -14% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -4% | -33% | -26% | -33% | -15% | -14% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: NXST, GTN, SSP, FOXA, CMCSA. See SBGI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/28/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SBGI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -74.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 295.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -64.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 177.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 299 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -50.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 103.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -94.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1866.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,446 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to NXST, GTN, SSP, FOXA, CMCSA
In The Past
Sinclair's stock fell -74.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/11/2021. A -74.7% loss requires a 295.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Sinclair (SBGI)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Imagine an iHeartMedia, but instead of owning hundreds of local radio stations, Sinclair owns and operates hundreds of local TV stations, delivering local news, sports, and popular syndicated shows.
Think of it as a smaller, more locally-focused Paramount Global, concentrating on owning and operating local broadcast TV stations and delivering regional news and sports across the U.S.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Local Television Broadcasting: Sinclair distributes a wide range of content, including local news, original programming, and college sports, through its owned and operated local television stations.
- Digital Media Platforms: The company offers digital media products and services that complement its portfolio of television station related digital properties.
- Broadcast Technology Solutions: Sinclair owns and operates companies that provide technical and software services, as well as intellectual property, for advancing broadcast technology.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Sinclair, Inc. (SBGI) primarily sells its services to other companies, rather than directly to individual consumers. Its major customers fall into two main categories:
- Multichannel Video Programming Distributors (MVPDs) and Virtual MVPDs (vMVPDs): These are cable, satellite, and streaming television providers that pay Sinclair retransmission consent fees to carry its local television stations and regional sports networks. Key companies in this category include:
- Advertisers: Various businesses, ranging from local enterprises to national corporations and political campaigns, purchase advertising time on Sinclair's television stations and digital platforms to reach their target audiences. This constitutes a significant portion of Sinclair's revenue, though the specific companies are numerous and diverse rather than a few major identifiable entities.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- The Walt Disney Company (DIS)
- Paramount Global (PARA)
- Fox Corporation (FOXA)
- Comcast Corporation (CMCSA)
- Nexstar Media Group (NXST)
- Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Chris Ripley
President and Chief Executive Officer
Chris Ripley has served as President and Chief Executive Officer of Sinclair, Inc. since January 2017. He initially joined Sinclair in April 2014 as Chief Financial Officer. Prior to his tenure at Sinclair, Mr. Ripley was a managing director and head of the Los Angeles office for UBS Investment Bank's Global Media Group, where he was responsible for advising on and structuring various financings and merger and acquisition transactions within the entertainment and broadcast sectors. Earlier in his career, he was a principal at Prime Ventures and an analyst at Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette.
Narinder Sahai
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Narinder Sahai was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Sinclair, Inc., effective July 7, 2025. He brings over 20 years of financial leadership experience in both publicly traded and private equity-backed companies. Most recently, Mr. Sahai served as CFO at Arcis Golf, a leisure and hospitality operator. His previous roles include CFO at RumbleOn, Inc., where he was involved in transformative acquisitions, and Head of Worldwide Go-to-Market Finance for Compute and AI/Machine Learning services at Amazon Web Services (AWS). He also held senior finance positions at Target Hospitality Corp., FMC Technologies, Inc., TechnipFMC plc, and Delphi Corporation.
David D. Smith
Executive Chairman
David D. Smith has served as Executive Chairman of Sinclair, Inc. since January 2017 and as Chairman of the Board since September 1990. He previously held the roles of President and Chief Executive Officer from 1988 until January 2017. Mr. Smith was instrumental in the formation of Sinclair in 1986, building upon the company founded by his father, Julian Sinclair Smith. He also founded Comark Communications, Inc., a company specializing in the manufacture of high-power transmitters for UHF television stations. In January 2024, Mr. Smith acquired The Baltimore Sun.
Robert D. Weisbord
Chief Operating Officer and President of Local Media
Robert D. Weisbord was elevated to Chief Operating Officer of Sinclair, Inc. and President of Local Media in February 2022. In this role, he oversees operations for the company's owned and operated television stations, regional sports networks, national networks, multicast networks, and all digital and streaming platforms. Mr. Weisbord joined Sinclair in 1997 and has held various executive management positions, including Chief Revenue Officer, Chief Operating Officer of Sinclair Digital Group, Vice President of New Media, and Director of Digital Interactive Marketing. He began his broadcasting career in the radio industry in 1985.
Scott Shapiro
Executive Vice President, Corporate Development and Strategy
Scott Shapiro serves as Executive Vice President, Corporate Development and Strategy for Sinclair, Inc., a position he was promoted to in December 2022. He joined Sinclair in 2011 and established the Corporate Development team in 2015. Mr. Shapiro's experience includes serving as Senior Vice President, Chief Development Officer, and CFO/COO of Diamond Sports Group, a Sinclair subsidiary. He played a key role in strategic initiatives such as the acquisition of regional sports networks from Disney and the development of platforms like Marquee Sports Network and Bally Sports+. Prior to Sinclair, he worked in Institutional Equity Research at Morgan Stanley and Prudential Equity Group, and also has a background in audit and tax from KPMG LLP and PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Sinclair, Inc. (SBGI) primarily stem from the evolving media landscape, its financial structure, and the regulatory environment for broadcasters.
-
Declining Traditional Television Viewership and Advertising Revenue
Sinclair's core business of local television broadcasting faces significant headwinds from the accelerating trend of "cord-cutting," where consumers abandon traditional cable and satellite services in favor of over-the-top (OTT) and direct-to-consumer (DTC) streaming platforms. This shift directly threatens Sinclair's primary revenue streams: retransmission fees from distributors and advertising revenue. The company has explicitly identified the decline in traditional distributor service subscribers and the shift to OTT and DTC services as a threat to revenue. Local TV stations, including Sinclair's, have been severely impacted by the growth of cord-cutting and a subsequent drop in advertising revenues. This industry disruption, driven by rapid technological changes and the rising popularity of OTT platforms, poses a significant challenge to traditional broadcasters like Sinclair, necessitating adaptation to changing consumer preferences and investment in new technologies.
-
Substantial Debt Burden and Financial Leverage
Sinclair operates with a significant debt burden, which poses a material risk to its financial health and operational flexibility. The company has acknowledged increased financial leverage resulting from its acquisitions and investments. Financial reports indicate a substantial debt load, with figures around $4.1 billion to $4.59 billion, and high leverage ratios (e.g., 6x to 8x net-debt-to-EBITDA). This high level of debt exposes Sinclair to interest rate risks and can hinder future investment and growth opportunities. While the company has undertaken debt restructuring efforts to manage maturities, the ongoing servicing of this debt remains a critical financial consideration.
-
Regulatory and Competitive Pressures
Sinclair operates within a highly regulated industry, and changes in Federal Communications Commission (FCC) regulations, particularly those concerning retransmission consent and ownership rules, could negatively affect its business operations and financial condition. The media company also faces intense competition from a broad spectrum of media and technology companies, including large tech firms with considerably greater resources. Furthermore, past controversies surrounding Sinclair's corporate-mandated content and perceived political biases have drawn scrutiny and could impact its reputation, potentially affecting viewer trust and advertising appeal. The FCC's role in broadcast ownership regulations is critical, and current rules may limit local stations' ability to achieve the scale necessary to compete effectively with major digital platforms.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The accelerated shift in consumer media consumption from traditional linear broadcast and cable television to diverse streaming platforms (including subscription video on-demand, advertising-supported video on-demand, and free ad-supported streaming TV channels) represents a clear emerging threat. This trend directly challenges Sinclair's core business model, which relies heavily on local television stations and broadcast distribution for advertising revenue and carriage fees. As audiences and advertising dollars increasingly migrate to streaming-first platforms, the traditional linear broadcast ecosystem faces erosion of its viewership and economic viability.
AI Analysis | Feedback
For Sinclair, Inc. (symbol: SBGI), the addressable markets for its main products and services in the U.S. are substantial and continue to evolve with shifts in media consumption:
- Local TV Advertising Market: The U.S. local TV advertising market, encompassing linear TV, TV Digital, and connected TV (CTV)/over-the-top (OTT) platforms, is projected to reach approximately $21 billion in 2025, excluding political advertising. Separately, local TV advertising in the U.S. is forecast at $17.27 billion in 2025. Traditional TV over-the-air (OTA) revenue for local TV was approximately $16.5 billion in 2024 (including political advertising).
- Digital Advertising Market: The U.S. digital advertising market was valued at USD 315.3 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow significantly, reaching USD 974.5 billion by 2032, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.3% between 2025 and 2032. Other projections estimate the U.S. digital advertising market will reach $243.2 billion by 2030, rising at a CAGR of 12.9%.
- Over-the-Top (OTT) / Video Streaming Market: The U.S. OTT market size is estimated at USD 63.72 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 115.13 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 12.56%. Another estimate projects the United States OTT market size to reach USD 136.67 billion in 2026 and further climb to USD 234.73 billion by 2031. More specifically, local CTV/OTT ad spending in the U.S. is projected to reach $2.8 billion in 2025.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Sinclair, Inc. (SBGI) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key areas:
-
Political Advertising Revenue: Sinclair anticipates significant revenue contributions from political advertising, particularly with the 2026 election cycle. The company's management has expressed expectations for a robust mid-term political cycle in 2026, with guidance for at least $333 million in political advertising revenue for that year.
-
Core Advertising Growth: The company projects continued growth in core advertising, which excludes political spending. This growth is primarily fueled by strong demand for live sports content and an increase in digital revenue, including contributions from acquisitions like Digital Remedy. Sinclair saw a 14% year-over-year increase in core advertising in Q4 2025.
-
Distribution Revenue Stabilization: While subscriber churn in the industry has been a factor, Sinclair has observed early signs of stabilization in MVPD (Multichannel Video Programming Distributor) subscriber churn across its key partners. This moderation is expected to contribute to steady gross distribution revenue.
-
Growth of the Ventures Portfolio and Digital Initiatives: The company's Ventures portfolio, which includes various media and non-media related businesses and assets such as the Tennis Channel and other digital initiatives, is a source of growth. The Tennis Channel, for example, has consistently exceeded revenue and Adjusted EBITDA expectations, with growth in direct-to-consumer subscribers and increased minutes viewed. Additionally, Sinclair is expanding its digital presence through initiatives like podcasts and live experiences.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Capital Allocation Decisions (2021-2025)
Share Repurchases
- In 2021, Sinclair repurchased approximately 2.4 million shares for $61 million.
- As of January 13, 2023, Sinclair had repurchased approximately 5.3 million shares for roughly $120 million, with $704 million remaining on the authorized share repurchase program.
- The company has demonstrated a focus on reducing shares outstanding, having retired nearly 40% of its shares over the three years leading up to January 2023.
Share Issuance
- Sinclair issued 60,732 shares in 2022, 80,496 shares in 2023, and 113,658 shares in 2024, primarily related to stock-based compensation plans.
Inbound Investments
- No individually significant inbound investments by third-parties into the company were identified for the period.
Outbound Investments
- In 2025, Sinclair Ventures, LLC (Ventures) made approximately $50 million in minority investments and received approximately $104 million in cash distributions.
- For the full year 2024, Ventures received $209 million in cash from its minority investments, of which $64 million was reinvested, while also investing approximately $9 million in the fourth quarter.
- The company's investment portfolio, managed by Ventures, focuses on areas such as real estate, private equity, venture capital funds, and direct investments in companies involved in advertising, media technology, sports betting, and e-sports.
Capital Expenditures
- Annual capital expenditures were $156 million in 2021, $80 million in 2022, and $105 million in 2023.
- For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, Sinclair anticipates capital expenditures to be between $83 million and $86 million.
- Expected capital expenditures for 2026 are projected to be between $75 million and $80 million. The primary focus of these expenditures is on station technical, maintenance, and building projects, as well as investments in new technology initiatives like NextGen TV and digital platforms.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Sinclair Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| How Low Can Sinclair Stock Really Go? | 10/17/2025 | |
| Sinclair (SBGI) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Sinclair (SBGI) Debt Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Sinclair (SBGI) EBITDA Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Sinclair (SBGI) Net Income Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Sinclair (SBGI) Revenue Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Sinclair (SBGI) Operating Income Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Sinclair (SBGI) Tax Expense Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| SBGI Dip Buy Analysis | 07/10/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to SBGI.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03272026 | META | Meta Platforms | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.8% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| 03062026 | CARG | CarGurus | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.2% | 1.2% | -8.3% |
| 02132026 | YELP | Yelp | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 17.9% | 17.9% | -5.7% |
| 02132026 | TRIP | Tripadvisor | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.9% | 10.9% | -3.9% |
| 02062026 | OMC | Omnicom | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.9% | 8.9% | -3.7% |
| 10312019 | SBGI | Sinclair | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -55.0% | -51.7% | -68.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 21.68 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.6 |
| Rev LTM | 4,060 |
| Op Inc LTM | 638 |
| FCF LTM | 462 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 631 |
| CFO LTM | 590 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 805 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -9.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -2.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | -15.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -4.4% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -42.9% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -2.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 15.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 17.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -4.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 12.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 9.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.6 |
| P/S | 0.6 |
| P/Op Inc | 6.0 |
| P/EBIT | 4.3 |
| P/E | 0.5 |
| P/CFO | 6.4 |
| Total Yield | 0.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 4.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 14.1% |
| D/E | 2.6 |
| Net D/E | 2.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 13.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 3.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 15.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 33.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | -15.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 0.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 9.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 5.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -85.8% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Local Media | 2,866 | 3,193 | |||
| Tennis | 228 | 217 | |||
| Other & Corporate | 62 | 95 | 481 | 451 | 470 |
| Eliminations | -22 | -59 | -160 | -116 | -59 |
| Local sports | 482 | 3,056 | 2,686 | 1,139 | |
| Broadcast | 2,757 | ||||
| Broadcast (Local News and Marketing Services) | 2,922 | 2,690 | |||
| Total | 3,134 | 3,928 | 6,134 | 5,943 | 4,240 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Local Media | 227 | 591 | |||
| Tennis | 50 | 52 | |||
| Eliminations | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6 | -8 |
| Other & Corporate | -608 | 3,341 | 39 | 47 | -98 |
| Local sports | -4 | -317 | -3,602 | 30 | |
| Broadcast | 374 | ||||
| Broadcast (Local News and Marketing Services) | 789 | 546 | |||
| Total | -331 | 3,980 | 95 | -2,772 | 470 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Local Media | 4,747 | 5,554 | |||
| Other & Corporate | 1,048 | 826 | 2,009 | 1,867 | 1,271 |
| Tennis | 293 | 324 | |||
| Eliminations | -3 | 0 | -30 | -13 | -25 |
| Broadcast | 4,793 | ||||
| Local sports | 5,769 | 6,620 | 11,258 | ||
| Broadcast (Local News and Marketing Services) | 4,908 | 4,866 | |||
| Total | 6,085 | 6,704 | 12,541 | 13,382 | 17,370 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $15.71 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 06/07/1995 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -6.9% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $14.52 | $14.26 |
| DMA Trend | up | indeterminate |
| Distance from DMA | 8.2% | 10.1% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 53.3% | 50.1% |
| Downside Capture | 0.43 | 0.30 |
| Upside Capture | 88.73 | 52.06 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 16.4% | 18.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.20 | 0.44 | 0.34 | 0.22 | 0.86 | 0.99 |
| Up Beta | 1.32 | -0.56 | -0.08 | 0.35 | 0.82 | 0.93 |
| Down Beta | 0.37 | 1.63 | 1.11 | 0.86 | 1.20 | 1.30 |
| Up Capture | -152% | 4% | -23% | -16% | 41% | 35% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 17 | 28 | 56 | 121 | 337 |
| Down Capture | 118% | 41% | 42% | 6% | 83% | 101% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 14 | 25 | 35 | 69 | 129 | 367 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SBGI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SBGI | 13.8% | 50.0% | 0.41 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLC) | 24.3% | 13.2% | 1.39 | 26.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 31.5% | 12.5% | 1.92 | 18.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 38.6% | 27.2% | 1.18 | -3.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 45.9% | 18.0% | 1.95 | -6.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 14.4% | 13.4% | 0.75 | 19.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -19.0% | 42.1% | -0.39 | 6.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SBGI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SBGI | 1.1% | 56.5% | 0.23 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLC) | 9.9% | 20.7% | 0.39 | 29.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.9% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 28.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.2% | 17.8% | 0.92 | 3.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 14.8% | 19.1% | 0.63 | 8.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.4% | 18.8% | 0.09 | 32.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.3% | 56.2% | 0.35 | 12.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SBGI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SBGI | 1.3% | 52.2% | 0.23 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLC) | 9.6% | 22.3% | 0.51 | 34.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.9% | 17.9% | 0.71 | 36.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.4% | 15.9% | 0.70 | -0.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.9% | 17.7% | 0.46 | 19.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 36.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.8% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 9.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/25/2026 | 17.5% | 12.4% | -3.4% |
| 11/5/2025 | 17.9% | 22.2% | 9.3% |
| 8/6/2025 | -12.6% | 4.4% | -0.3% |
| 5/7/2025 | -4.8% | 0.7% | -14.6% |
| 1/27/2025 | -1.1% | -2.5% | -2.6% |
| 11/6/2024 | -2.8% | -8.0% | 5.3% |
| 8/7/2024 | 2.8% | -3.4% | 3.2% |
| 5/8/2024 | 22.4% | 8.5% | -4.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 6 | 7 | 4 |
| # Negative | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 17.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% |
| Median Negative | -3.8% | -5.7% | -4.4% |
| Max Positive | 34.3% | 27.3% | 30.5% |
| Max Negative | -12.6% | -9.1% | -14.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/10/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/29/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/01/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/10/2022 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keith, Daniel C | The Daniel C. Keith and Jessica P. Keith Trust | Sell | 4022026 | 13.10 | 22,613 | 296,287 | 327,916 | Form | |
| 2 | Keith, Daniel C | The Daniel C. Keith and Jessica P. Keith Trust | Sell | 4022026 | 13.10 | 1,398 | 18,314 | 624,084 | Form | |
| 3 | Keith, Daniel C | The Daniel C. Keith and Jessica P. Keith Trust | Sell | 4022026 | 13.10 | 17,989 | 235,722 | 642,579 | Form | |
| 4 | Weisbord, Robert | COO & President of Local Media | Direct | Sell | 3172026 | 13.97 | 3,672 | 51,298 | 3,923,516 | Form |
| 5 | Weisbord, Robert | COO & President of Local Media | Direct | Sell | 3172026 | 15.70 | 10,000 | 157,000 | 4,467,042 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.