Tearsheet

Sinclair (SBGI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $15.03 | Market Cap: $1.0 Bil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Broadcasting

Sinclair (SBGI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $15.03
Market Cap: $1.0 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Broadcasting

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 6.6%, FCF Yield is 20%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -104%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 353%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -16%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Local Media & Broadcast. Themes include Local News & Information Delivery, Regional Sports Content, and Local Digital Advertising.
  
0 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 6.6%, FCF Yield is 20%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Local Media & Broadcast. Themes include Local News & Information Delivery, Regional Sports Content, and Local Digital Advertising.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -104%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 353%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -16%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SBGI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

During the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, Sinclair (SBGI) experienced a stock movement of 6.5% due to several key factors. 1. Sinclair Initiated a Strategic Review of its Broadcast Business and Explored Separating its Ventures Unit.

In mid-August 2025, Sinclair announced it was launching a comprehensive strategic review of its broadcast business, which could potentially lead to a merger. Concurrently, the company was evaluating options to spin off or split its Ventures unit. This dual-track approach aimed to optimize value creation across its portfolio by exploring transformational opportunities and separating businesses with distinct growth profiles. 2. The Company Reported Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results.

On November 5, 2025, Sinclair announced its Q3 2025 financial results, which met or exceeded guidance on all key financial metrics. The company reported adjusted EBITDA of $100 million, surpassing the guidance range, and core advertising revenue grew by 7% year-over-year. Following this announcement, the stock responded positively, rising 2.02% on November 5, 2025.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SBGI Return-1%-16%0%-48%33%-1%-43%
Peers Return-12%20%-26%-8%-45%38%-45%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SBGI Win Rate50%33%0%25%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate40%45%35%43%35%38% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SBGI Max Drawdown-63%-16%0%-62%-10%-23% 
Peers Max Drawdown-44%-4%-37%-32%-50%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SCHL, GTN, SSP, AMCX, CAST. See SBGI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSBGIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-74.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven295.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-64.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven177.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven299 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-50.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven103.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-94.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1866.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1446 days1480 days

Compare to SCHL, GTN, SSP, AMCX, CAST


In The Past

Sinclair's stock fell -74.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/11/2021. A -74.7% loss requires a 295.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Sinclair (SBGI)

Better Bets than Sinclair (SBGI)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SBGI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.9%2.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.3%1.3%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.5%-0.5%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-22.5%-22.5%-25.6%
SBGI_10312019_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312019SBGISinclairDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-55.0%-51.7%-68.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.9%2.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.3%1.3%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.5%-0.5%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-22.5%-22.5%-25.6%
SBGI_10312019_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312019SBGISinclairDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-55.0%-51.7%-68.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Sinclair

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SBGISCHLGTNSSPAMCXCASTMedian
NameSinclair Scholast.Gray Med.E W Scri.AMC Netw.FreeCast  
Mkt Price15.1629.374.824.558.97-8.97
Mkt Cap1.10.70.50.40.4-0.5
Rev LTM3,3371,6143,3482,3192,31612,318
Op Inc LTM33116625305288-14297
FCF LTM21142440122270-12167
FCF 3Y Avg16878372144289-168
CFO LTM28984545161315-12225
CFO 3Y Avg255135603200327-255

Growth & Margins

SBGISCHLGTNSSPAMCXCASTMedian
NameSinclair Scholast.Gray Med.E W Scri.AMC Netw.FreeCast  
Rev Chg LTM-1.0%1.0%-3.3%-3.3%-7.4%23.7%-2.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-8.1%-0.6%0.3%-1.0%-7.3%-5.3%-3.2%
Rev Chg Q-15.7%-4.9%-21.2%-18.6%-6.3%93.6%-11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-4.1%-0.7%-5.7%-4.9%-1.6%19.7%-2.9%
Op Mgn LTM9.9%1.0%18.7%13.1%12.5%-2,189.8%11.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.2%2.4%19.2%13.4%15.3%-2,567.0%9.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-3.7%-0.2%-3.6%-3.3%-1.4%560.7%-2.3%
CFO/Rev LTM8.7%5.2%16.3%7.0%13.6%-1,963.3%7.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.7%8.3%17.5%8.5%12.8%-8.5%
FCF/Rev LTM6.3%2.6%13.1%5.3%11.6%-1,967.6%5.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.1%4.8%10.9%6.1%11.3%-6.1%

Valuation

SBGISCHLGTNSSPAMCXCASTMedian
NameSinclair Scholast.Gray Med.E W Scri.AMC Netw.FreeCast  
Mkt Cap1.10.70.50.40.4-0.5
P/S0.30.30.20.10.2-0.2
P/EBIT3.137.80.90.83.5-3.1
P/E-23.4-50.46.09.5-2.6--2.6
P/CFO3.66.31.01.31.2-1.3
Total Yield2.3%2.2%22.5%10.6%-38.4%-2.3%
Dividend Yield6.6%4.2%5.7%0.0%0.0%-4.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg21.7%8.4%65.3%61.2%70.9%-61.2%
D/E4.00.810.112.75.5-5.5
Net D/E3.50.79.812.53.5-3.5

Returns

SBGISCHLGTNSSPAMCXCASTMedian
NameSinclair Scholast.Gray Med.E W Scri.AMC Netw.FreeCast  
1M Rtn12.8%3.1%4.8%93.6%19.6%-12.8%
3M Rtn9.5%18.1%-18.3%49.7%23.0%-18.1%
6M Rtn22.5%69.2%35.6%113.6%38.6%-38.6%
12M Rtn-8.1%16.2%19.6%113.6%-3.9%-16.2%
3Y Rtn-30.9%-20.6%-50.5%-70.1%-53.4%--50.5%
1M Excs Rtn12.8%3.1%4.8%93.6%19.6%-12.8%
3M Excs Rtn4.7%14.0%-25.4%45.8%16.5%-14.0%
6M Excs Rtn7.8%54.5%20.8%98.9%23.9%-23.9%
12M Excs Rtn-23.7%1.8%8.0%114.0%-18.3%-1.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-103.7%-94.6%-119.5%-141.6%-129.2%--119.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Local Media2,8663,193   
Tennis228217   
Other & Corporate6295481451470
Eliminations-22-59-160-116-59
Local sports 4823,0562,6861,139
Broadcast  2,757  
Broadcast (Local News and Marketing Services)   2,9222,690
Total3,1343,9286,1345,9434,240


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Local Media227591   
Tennis5052   
Eliminations00-1-6-8
Other & Corporate-6083,3413947-98
Local sports -4-317-3,60230
Broadcast  374  
Broadcast (Local News and Marketing Services)   789546
Total-3313,98095-2,772470


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Local Media4,7475,554   
Other & Corporate1,0488262,0091,8671,271
Tennis293324   
Eliminations-30-30-13-25
Broadcast  4,793  
Local sports  5,7696,62011,258
Broadcast (Local News and Marketing Services)   4,9084,866
Total6,0856,70412,54113,38217,370


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,126,320
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-6.0%
Average Daily Volume669,883
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.67
Basic Shares Quantity69,660,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021