Richtech Robotics (RR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $4.43 | Market Cap: $450.0 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
Richtech Robotics (RR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $4.43Market Cap: $450.0 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -43% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -16 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -395% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics. Themes include Service Robotics, Process Automation, and Logistics Automation. | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 48x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -55%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -18% | |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -343%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -454% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12% | |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 23% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -43% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics. Themes include Service Robotics, Process Automation, and Logistics Automation. |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -16 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -395% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 48x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -55%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -18% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -343%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -454% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 23% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
RR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Richtech Robotics (RR) experienced significant activity between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, with several key developments influencing its stock. **1. Q3 2025 Earnings Report and Revenue Miss.** Richtech Robotics reported its Q3 2025 earnings on August 11, 2025, meeting EPS estimates but missing revenue expectations with $1.18 million against an estimated $1.42 million. The company recorded a net loss of $4.1 million, a deterioration from the previous quarter, and marked its fourth consecutive quarter of earnings and revenue misses. **2. Strategic Business Deals and Analyst Ratings.** Despite the Q3 loss, Richtech Robotics secured several business deals in Q3 2025, which were expected to boost Q4 revenue and drive future recurring revenue. An analyst from H.C. Wainwright reiterated a "Buy" rating on RR on September 16, 2025, with a price target of $3.50. In October, Richtech Robotics announced new partnerships, including one with the Vegas Golden Knights to explore AI and automation in fan experiences, hospitality, and live entertainment. **3. Product Innovations and R&D Investments.** The company showcased new AI-driven robots like Scorpion and ADAM at CES 2025, investing heavily in AI and robotics R&D to address labor shortages in sectors such as healthcare and hospitality. On October 28, 2025, Richtech Robotics unveiled Dex, its first mobile humanoid robot. **4. Inclusion in Russell Indices.** On July 1, 2025, Richtech Robotics announced its inclusion in the US small-cap Russell 2000® and Russell 3000® Indices, highlighting its commitment to long-term shareholder value and impact through AI-driven robotics. **5. Government Interest in Robotics Development.** Around December 3, 2025, shares of robotics companies, including Richtech Robotics, surged due to reports that the Trump administration was considering an executive order to accelerate the development of robots in the U.S. Richtech Robotics' shares gained nearly 6% on this news.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RR Return | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
| Peers Return | 17% | 14% | -9% | 52% | 40% | 11% | 186% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RR Win Rate | - | - | - | - | - | 56% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 58% | 38% | 62% | 60% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RR Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -40% | -11% | -29% | -2% | -5% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GGG, GHM, PH, ITW, GWW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
RR has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.
| Event | XLI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -22.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 273 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 232 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 312 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -63.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 172.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1463 days | 1480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -22.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -22.6% loss requires a 29.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| With Richtech Robotics Stock Surging, Have You Considered The Downside? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to RR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Richtech Robotics
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 166.51 |
| Mkt Cap | 30.1 |
| Rev LTM | 9,038 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,538 |
| FCF LTM | 928 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,003 |
| CFO LTM | 1,360 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,331 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 17.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 15.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 30.1 |
| P/S | 4.8 |
| P/EBIT | 19.3 |
| P/E | 26.3 |
| P/CFO | 22.7 |
| Total Yield | 4.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.8% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.3% |
| 3M Rtn | 7.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 17.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -7.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 65.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 0.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 2.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -21.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -5.0% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5142025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2142025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 1142025 | 10-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8152024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5152024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2142024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 1112024 | 10-K 9/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 8032023 | S-1 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 5152023 | DRS/A 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 9012023 | S-1/A 9/30/2022 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Zheng Phil | Chief Operating Officer | 9242025 | Sell | 5.11 | 100,000 | 511,000 | 5,110,000 | Form |
| 1 | Zheng Phil | Chief Operating Officer | 8282025 | Sell | 3.01 | 100,000 | 301,000 | 3,311,000 | Form |
| 2 | Zheng Phil | Chief Operating Officer | 6052025 | Sell | 2.48 | 40,000 | 99,200 | 3,111,872 | Form |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |