GPGI (GPGI)
Market Price (6/22/2026): $14.4 | Market Cap: $3.9 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
GPGI (GPGI)
Market Price (6/22/2026): $14.4Market Cap: $3.9 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -75 Mil Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is null, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -34%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -14% Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 15.77 Key risksGPGI key risks include [1] execution challenges in integrating the major Husky acquisition and company rebrand, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -75 Mil |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is null, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -34%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -14% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 15.77 |
| Key risksGPGI key risks include [1] execution challenges in integrating the major Husky acquisition and company rebrand, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
GPGI (GPGI) stock has lost about 35% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Significant GAAP Net Loss and Missed EPS in Fiscal Q1 2026.
GPGI reported a GAAP net loss of $235 million for fiscal Q1 2026, a sharp decline compared to a net income of $21.5 million in the prior year's fiscal Q1. This resulted in a basic loss per share of $0.87, contrasting with basic earnings per share of $0.21 in fiscal Q1 2025. The reported earnings per share of $0.12 significantly missed the analyst consensus estimate of $0.2581, representing a negative surprise of 53.51%. Following this announcement on May 7, 2026, the company's stock fell approximately 26%.
2. Underperformance of the Husky Technologies Segment.
The Husky Technologies segment experienced significant underperformance in fiscal Q1 2026, largely due to macroeconomic headwinds such as sharp volatility in oil and resin prices and ongoing tariff uncertainty. During this quarter, Husky's Pro Forma Adjusted Net Sales declined by 5.2% to $290.8 million, and its Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA dropped by 40.2% to $38.2 million. The segment's margin also decreased by 770 basis points to 13.2%. This segment's struggles largely offset stronger performance from GPGI's CompoSecure segment.
Show more
GPGI (GPGI) stock has lost about 35% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Significant GAAP Net Loss and Missed EPS in Fiscal Q1 2026.
GPGI reported a GAAP net loss of $235 million for fiscal Q1 2026, a sharp decline compared to a net income of $21.5 million in the prior year's fiscal Q1. This resulted in a basic loss per share of $0.87, contrasting with basic earnings per share of $0.21 in fiscal Q1 2025. The reported earnings per share of $0.12 significantly missed the analyst consensus estimate of $0.2581, representing a negative surprise of 53.51%. Following this announcement on May 7, 2026, the company's stock fell approximately 26%.
2. Underperformance of the Husky Technologies Segment.
The Husky Technologies segment experienced significant underperformance in fiscal Q1 2026, largely due to macroeconomic headwinds such as sharp volatility in oil and resin prices and ongoing tariff uncertainty. During this quarter, Husky's Pro Forma Adjusted Net Sales declined by 5.2% to $290.8 million, and its Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA dropped by 40.2% to $38.2 million. The segment's margin also decreased by 770 basis points to 13.2%. This segment's struggles largely offset stronger performance from GPGI's CompoSecure segment.
3. Analyst Downgrades and Price Target Reductions.
Analysts responded to GPGI's Q1 2026 results and the challenges in the Husky segment with downgrades and reduced price targets. For example, JPMorgan lowered its price target for GPGI from $22 to $15 on May 15, 2026, citing macro uncertainty in smaller-cap industrials and a preference for more resilient end markets. The average 12-month price target from several Wall Street analysts as of May-June 2026 ranged from $15.00 to $20.00.
4. Investigation into Potential Securities Law Violations.
Following the announcement of the fiscal Q1 2026 financial results and the subsequent drop in stock price, Robbins Geller Rudman & Dowd LLP launched an investigation into potential violations of U.S. federal securities laws involving GPGI, Inc.. This type of investigation can significantly erode investor confidence and contribute to negative stock movement.
Show less
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -35.8% change in GPGI stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/21/2026 was primarily driven by a null change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 22.45 | 14.42 | -35.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 161 | 0 | |
| P/S Multiple | 15.4 | ∞ | 9.2233720368547763E17% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 110 | 270 | -59.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GPGI | -35.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.2% | 53.9% |
| Sector (XLI) | 2.4% | 56.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -27.4% change in GPGI stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/21/2026 was primarily driven by a null change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 19.86 | 14.42 | -27.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 161 | 0 | |
| P/S Multiple | 13.6 | ∞ | 9.2233720368547763E17% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 110 | 270 | -59.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GPGI | -27.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.9% | 43.5% |
| Sector (XLI) | 18.4% | 46.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 5.2% change in GPGI stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 9.2233720368547763E17% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 13.71 | 14.42 | 5.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 376 | 0 | |
| P/S Multiple | 3.7 | ∞ | 9.2233720368547763E17% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 102 | 270 | -62.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GPGI | 5.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 28.1% | 42.9% |
| Sector (XLI) | 28.4% | 42.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 175.8% change in GPGI stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 9.2233720368547763E17% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.23 | 14.42 | 175.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 390 | 0 | |
| P/S Multiple | 0.2 | ∞ | 9.2233720368547763E17% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 18 | 270 | -93.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GPGI | 175.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 85.7% | 36.2% |
| Sector (XLI) | 95.3% | 34.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GPGI Return | -19% | -40% | 10% | 197% | 58% | -27% | 84% |
| Peers Return | 136% | 50% | 2% | 31% | 6% | 1% | 406% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GPGI Win Rate | 58% | 42% | 58% | 58% | 75% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 68% | 63% | 47% | 53% | 55% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GPGI Max Drawdown | -27% | -49% | -37% | -18% | -29% | -56% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -28% | -37% | -25% | -29% | -26% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: EQT, AR, CNX, RRC, DVN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/18/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GPGI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -29.4% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.7% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 50 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -32.6% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 48.4% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 107 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -42.0% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 72.5% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 662 days | 427 days |
In The Past
GPGI's stock fell -29.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 41.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
| Event | GPGI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -29.4% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.7% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 50 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -32.6% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 48.4% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 107 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -42.0% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 72.5% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 662 days | 427 days |
In The Past
GPGI's stock fell -29.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 41.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About GPGI (GPGI)
CompoSecure, Inc. (GPGI) is a long-standing company specializing in the design and manufacture of high-quality financial transaction cards. While offering plastic and composite ID cards, the company is particularly known for its proprietary metal card technology, providing various form factors such as embedded, metal veneer lite, metal veneer, and full metal products.
Beyond traditional payment cards, CompoSecure has expanded into the digital asset security space with its innovative Arculus Cold Storage Wallet. This solution combines a physical Arculus Key card hardware device with a companion Arculus Wallet mobile application, offering a robust three-factor authentication system to securely store private keys for cryptocurrencies and other digital assets.
The company serves a diverse range of clients globally, including major financial institutions, plastic card manufacturers, government agencies, system integrators, and security specialists, leveraging its expertise in secure and sophisticated card technologies.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are a few analogies for GPGI:
- They are the Tiffany & Co. for premium bank cards, designing and manufacturing the high-end metal credit cards issued by financial institutions.
- They are like Ledger or Trezor for cryptocurrency cold storage wallets, providing a secure hardware solution for digital assets.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Financial Transaction Cards: The company manufactures and designs metal, plastic, composite ID, and proprietary financial transaction cards.
- Arculus Cold Storage Wallet: This is a three-factor authentication solution comprising the Arculus Key card hardware device and companion Arculus Wallet mobile App for securely storing cryptocurrency and digital assets.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Major Customers of GPGI (CompoSecure, Inc.)
GPGI (CompoSecure, Inc.) sells primarily to other companies. Based on the provided description, its major customers fall into the following categories:
- Financial institutions
- Plastic card manufacturers
- Government agencies
- System integrators
- Security specialists
The provided company description does not list specific names of customer companies or their public symbols.
AI Analysis | Feedback
AI Analysis | Feedback
Thomas R. Knott, Principal Executive Officer
Mr. Knott was designated as GPGI's principal executive officer effective January 22, 2026. He also serves as the Chief Investment Officer and a board member for GPGI. Mr. Knott partnered with David Cote in the acquisition of Vertiv and has been involved with CompoSecure and Husky, suggesting a consistent approach to acquiring and growing businesses. He co-led the acquisition of majority ownership in CompoSecure through Resolute Holdings I, LP. This demonstrates a pattern of managing companies and involvement with acquisitions, often with private equity backing given Resolute Holdings Management, Inc.'s role in managing GPGI.
Kurt Schoen, Principal Financial Officer
Mr. Schoen was designated as GPGI's principal financial and accounting officer effective January 22, 2026. He also serves as the Chief Financial Officer of Resolute Holdings. His role with Resolute Holdings, which manages GPGI, Inc., indicates a pattern of managing companies backed by private equity firms.
Graham Robinson, President & Chief Executive Officer, CompoSecure, L.L.C.
Mr. Robinson was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of the CompoSecure business (an indirect, wholly-owned subsidiary and reporting segment of GPGI) effective January 22, 2026. He is a 30-year industry veteran with extensive global executive experience in the technology and industrial sectors. Most recently, he served as Operating Executive for The Carlyle Group, a private equity firm, and was SVP & Global President of Stanley Black & Decker's Industrial business from 2020 to 2025. Prior to that, he held various leadership positions at Honeywell from 2013 to 2020. His experience includes a strong background in mergers and acquisitions. His background with The Carlyle Group demonstrates a pattern of managing companies backed by private equity firms.
Mary Holt, Chief Financial Officer, CompoSecure, L.L.C.
Ms. Holt was appointed Chief Financial Officer of CompoSecure, L.L.C., effective after the filing of the company's Q3 2025 Quarterly Report (around October 2025). She brings over three decades of financial leadership experience to CompoSecure. Most recently, she served as Senior Vice President of Finance Operations, Utilities and Power SBG at Warren Equity Partners, a private equity firm. Before that, she spent over 17 years at Honeywell in senior finance roles, including Chief Financial Officer positions in multiple divisions, and also held leadership positions at Pfizer and Arthur Andersen. Her experience with Warren Equity Partners indicates a pattern of managing companies backed by private equity firms.
Greg Maes, Chief Operating Officer, CompoSecure, L.L.C.
Mr. Maes serves as the Chief Operating Officer of CompoSecure, L.L.C.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key risks to GPGI's business:
- Substantial Indebtedness and Financial Flexibility: GPGI carries substantial debt, which could limit its operational flexibility, restrict further borrowing, and expose the company to interest rate risk. Its ability to service this debt is dependent on continued strong cash flows. The recent approximately $4.976 billion acquisition of Husky Technologies was largely debt-supported.
- High Customer Concentration in the CompoSecure Segment: GPGI Inc.'s CompoSecure business, which manufactures metal payment cards and offers digital asset security solutions, relies heavily on a limited number of key customers. JPMorgan Chase and American Express, for example, comprise more than half of CompoSecure's net sales. The loss of one or more significant clients could materially impact the company's financial performance and lead to a decline in demand for its products.
- Evolving Regulatory Landscape and Technological Disruption in Digital Assets and Payment Solutions: GPGI faces risks from the rapidly changing regulatory environment surrounding digital assets, such as its Arculus Cold Storage Wallet, where uncertainties and potential changes in tax laws could impact its growth trajectory. Additionally, the payment and digital asset industries are characterized by rapid technological advancements and intense competition, requiring continuous investment in research and development to maintain its competitive edge against new market entrants and evolving consumer preferences.
AI Analysis | Feedback
AI Analysis | Feedback
GPGI (CompoSecure, Inc.) operates in two primary addressable markets:
Metal Payment Cards
The global market size for metal payment cards was estimated at approximately USD 1.82 billion in 2024. This market is projected to grow significantly, reaching an estimated value of USD 8.93 billion by 2033, exhibiting a robust Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 19.6% from 2025 to 2033.
Regionally, North America holds a dominant position in this market, accounting for over 38% of the global revenue in 2024.
Arculus Cold Storage Wallet (Cryptocurrency Cold Storage Wallets)
The global market size for crypto cold storage wallets was estimated at approximately USD 1.63 billion (USD 1634.5 million) in 2024. This market is forecast to increase to approximately USD 3.14 billion (USD 3144.8 million) by 2031, with a CAGR of 9.80% from 2024 to 2031.
North America constituted a significant portion of this market in 2024, holding more than 40% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 653.80 million.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for GPGI (CompoSecure, Inc.)
Over the next 2-3 years, GPGI (CompoSecure, Inc.) is expected to drive future revenue growth through several key initiatives:
- Sustained Domestic Demand for Metal Payment Cards: CompoSecure anticipates continued robust growth in its domestic metal payment card business. This segment has consistently demonstrated strong performance, with domestic net sales for metal payment cards increasing by 9% in Q4 2023. The company is a global leader in premium metal payment cards, maintaining relationships with top U.S. card issuers and a growing base of fintech customers. Approximately 75% of CompoSecure's revenue is recurring, stemming from replacement and reissue cycles, which underpins predictable future demand.
- Expansion of the Arculus Digital Authentication Platform: The Arculus digital authentication platform is a significant growth driver, having scaled in 2025 and becoming a growing contributor to revenue. Management expects Arculus to gain further momentum as fintech companies increasingly adopt its innovative technology for integrated security solutions and new card programs. Furthermore, Arculus Authenticate capabilities are being integrated with payment solutions, indicating potential for diversification.
- International Growth in Metal Payment Card Markets: CompoSecure is strategically focused on expanding its international presence in the metal payment card market. While international sales can be more variable, the company achieved an 11% increase in international net sales in 2024, reflecting successful market entry strategies. CompoSecure aims for international business to constitute approximately 20% of its total annual net sales mix.
- New Customer Acquisition and Program Expansions: The company's ability to continually secure new customer wins and expand existing programs with both traditional banks and fintech clients is a direct driver of revenue growth. CompoSecure has successfully launched several high-profile customer programs, including a new, limited edition payment card and the Robinhood Gold Card.
- Operational Efficiencies and Innovation in Card Constructions: While primarily impacting profitability, the implementation of the Resolute Operating System (ROS), also referred to as the CompoSecure Operating System (COS), is expected to drive operational efficiencies and improved production yields, particularly for new and innovative card constructions. These efficiencies can indirectly fuel revenue growth by enabling more competitive pricing, faster product development, and enhanced customer satisfaction, thereby leading to increased market share and adoption of their premium products. The ROS is designed to contribute to over 100 basis points of annual margin expansion and sustained double-digit EBITDA growth.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- In February 2025, CompoSecure announced an expansion of its share repurchase program, authorizing up to $100 million in repurchases.
- By November 3, 2025, CompoSecure had repurchased approximately 648,000 shares for $12.2 million.
Share Issuance
- For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, financing activities generated $120.7 million, largely from the proceeds of equity issuance.
- In December 2025, CompoSecure's stockholders approved the issuance of Class A Common Stock to facilitate the business combination with Husky Technologies.
- Upon the close of the Husky acquisition in January 2026, the combined entity was capitalized by an existing over $1 billion equity investment from Mr. Cote, Platinum Equity's $1 billion of rolled equity from Husky, and approximately $2 billion from new private investment in public equity (PIPE). Additionally, holders exercised 18.8 million warrants for about $149.5 million in cash on November 3, 2025.
Inbound Investments
- The business combination with Husky Technologies, which ultimately led to the formation of GPGI, was partly funded by a private placement of approximately $2.0 billion and an equity rollover of about $1.0 billion from Platinum Equity.
- David Cote's investment in CompoSecure, made around 2024, has been cited as a factor in the company's operational improvements.
Outbound Investments
- In November 2025, CompoSecure announced its acquisition of Husky Technologies Limited for approximately $5 billion. This transaction closed in January 2026 and led to CompoSecure rebranding as GPGI, Inc. The combined entity was valued at approximately $7.4 billion.
- CompoSecure completed the spin-off of its subsidiary, Resolute Holdings Management, Inc. (RHLD), into a separate public company on February 28, 2025.
Capital Expenditures
- As of November 2025, capital expenditures for CompoSecure Holdings (which includes Husky post-acquisition) were forecasted to be 3%-4% of revenue.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| GPGI Stock (-12%): Short Report on Husky Deal Triggers Sell-Off | 03/07/2026 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 34.80 |
| Mkt Cap | 9.4 |
| Rev LTM | 4,346 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,105 |
| FCF LTM | 1,230 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 787 |
| CFO LTM | 1,746 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,205 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 23.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -4.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 27.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 7.7% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 116.4% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 37.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 33.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 23.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 4.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 45.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 41.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 25.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.6% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Method Investment in CompoSecure Holdings, LLC | 402 | ||||
| Corporate | 60 | ||||
| Elimination of Unconsolidated Affiliate | -402 | ||||
| All others | 0 | 0 | |||
| Arculus | 11 | 2 | |||
| Payment card | 410 | 389 | |||
| Single Segment | 378 | 268 | |||
| Total | 60 | 421 | 391 | 378 | 268 |
| $ Mil | 2025 |
|---|---|
| Equity Method Investment in CompoSecure Holdings, LLC | 136 |
| Corporate | -14 |
| Elimination of Unconsolidated Affiliate | -136 |
| Total | -14 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Equity Method Investment in CompoSecure Holdings, LLC | 129 | ||
| Elimination of Unconsolidated Affiliate | -129 | ||
| Corporate | -265 | ||
| All others | -199 | 2 | |
| Arculus | -5 | -15 | |
| Payment card | 120 | 126 | |
| Total | -265 | -83 | 113 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corporate | 517 | ||
| Equity Method Investment in CompoSecure Holdings, LLC | 324 | ||
| Elimination of Unconsolidated Affiliate | -324 | ||
| All others | 272 | 28 | |
| Arculus | 6 | 3 | |
| Eliminations | -36 | -13 | |
| Payment card | 233 | 182 | |
| Total | 517 | 474 | 201 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $14.42 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 3.9 | |
| First Trading Date | 01/23/2026 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -44.5% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $13.98 | $18.88 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | 3.2% | -23.6% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 81.1% | 60.6% |
| Downside Capture | 470.69 | 246.05 |
| Upside Capture | 197.11 | 183.32 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 49.5% | 42.7% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 5.35 | 3.80 | 3.10 | 2.18 | 2.02 | 1.20 |
| Up Beta | 5.63 | 3.46 | 2.75 | 2.66 | 2.42 | 1.25 |
| Down Beta | -1.19 | -0.22 | 1.92 | 1.16 | 1.67 | 1.04 |
| Up Capture | 237% | 117% | 180% | 164% | 217% | 214% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 17 | 28 | 55 | 123 | 370 |
| Down Capture | 1238% | 963% | 417% | 245% | 174% | 106% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 24 | 35 | 68 | 123 | 362 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GPGI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPGI | 3.7% | 60.3% | 0.30 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 28.7% | 16.2% | 1.38 | 42.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 26.5% | 12.4% | 1.61 | 42.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.2% | 27.5% | 0.77 | 14.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.8% | 18.8% | 0.83 | -16.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.0% | 13.7% | 0.52 | 18.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -40.0% | 42.4% | -1.08 | 21.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GPGI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPGI | 13.4% | 50.8% | 0.43 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 13.5% | 17.5% | 0.61 | 28.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.1% | 0.62 | 29.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.1% | 18.3% | 0.76 | 7.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 19.4% | 0.29 | 1.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.9% | 18.9% | 0.00 | 18.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 11.0% | 54.2% | 0.40 | 17.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GPGI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPGI | 6.8% | 48.4% | 0.42 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 14.2% | 20.0% | 0.62 | 27.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 29.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.3% | 16.1% | 0.63 | 7.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 0.26 | 1.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.3% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 17.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 60.0% | 66.8% | 1.00 | 16.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/10/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | -25.9% | -30.5% | -31.9% |
| 3/12/2026 | -11.1% | -10.1% | -18.0% |
| 11/3/2025 | 3.4% | 4.2% | -0.5% |
| 8/7/2025 | 21.7% | 35.1% | 34.7% |
| 5/12/2025 | 3.3% | 4.1% | 15.6% |
| 3/5/2025 | -3.8% | -8.7% | -11.6% |
| 11/8/2024 | -10.8% | -10.8% | 2.3% |
| 8/7/2024 | 29.2% | 47.4% | 57.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| # Negative | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 8.5% | 5.2% | 11.6% |
| Median Negative | -7.8% | -9.7% | -10.4% |
| Max Positive | 29.2% | 47.4% | 57.0% |
| Max Negative | -25.9% | -30.5% | -31.9% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | -25.9% | -30.5% | -31.9% |
| 3/12/2026 | -11.1% | -10.1% | -18.0% |
| 11/3/2025 | 3.4% | 4.2% | -0.5% |
| 8/7/2025 | 21.7% | 35.1% | 34.7% |
| 5/12/2025 | 3.3% | 4.1% | 15.6% |
| 3/5/2025 | -3.8% | -8.7% | -11.6% |
| 11/8/2024 | -10.8% | -10.8% | 2.3% |
| 8/7/2024 | 29.2% | 47.4% | 57.0% |
| 5/6/2024 | 3.9% | -9.7% | -9.9% |
| 3/6/2024 | 26.0% | 27.7% | 46.2% |
| 11/9/2023 | -9.0% | -3.0% | -13.3% |
| 8/14/2023 | -0.3% | -3.1% | -6.0% |
| 5/3/2023 | -5.1% | -2.3% | -8.5% |
| 3/1/2023 | -5.3% | 3.1% | 7.5% |
| 11/2/2022 | 8.1% | 0.2% | 3.7% |
| 8/4/2022 | 8.5% | 5.2% | -2.3% |
| 5/9/2022 | -7.8% | -11.3% | -10.9% |
| 3/10/2022 | 13.9% | 13.7% | 0.8% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| # Negative | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 8.5% | 5.2% | 11.6% |
| Median Negative | -7.8% | -9.7% | -10.4% |
| Max Positive | 29.2% | 47.4% | 57.0% |
| Max Negative | -25.9% | -30.5% | -31.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/12/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/03/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/05/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/12/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/13/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/10/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/12/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/03/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/05/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/12/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/13/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/10/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/14/2022 | 10-K |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 6/1/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Pro Forma Adjusted Net Sales | 1.95 Bil | 2.02 Bil | 2.10 Bil | -8.2% | Lowered | Guidance: 2.21 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA | 550.00 Mil | 580.00 Mil | 610.00 Mil | -8.7% | Lowered | Guidance: 635.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Pro Forma Adjusted Free Cash Flow | 275.00 Mil | 300.00 Mil | 325.00 Mil | -14.3% | Lowered | Guidance: 350.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Non-GAAP year-end Net LTM Leverage | 3 | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 3 for 2026 | |||
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/12/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Pro Forma Adj. Net Sales | 2.18 Bil | 2.21 Bil | 2.23 Bil | 384.7% | Higher New | Actual: 455.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Pro Forma Adj. EBITDA | 620.00 Mil | 635.00 Mil | 650.00 Mil | 301.9% | Higher New | Actual: 158.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Pro Forma Adj. Free Cash Flow | 325.00 Mil | 350.00 Mil | 375.00 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Non-GAAP Year-end Net LTM Leverage | 3 | ||||||
Insider Activity
Updated 6/15/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Knott, Thomas R | See remarks | Direct | Buy | 6152026 | 11.67 | 85,250 | 994,868 | 1,508,348 | Form |
| 2 | Moriarty, Kevin M | Direct | Buy | 5282026 | 12.64 | 3,956 | 50,000 | 897,576 | Form | |
| 3 | Loree, Rebecca Corbin | Direct | Buy | 5142026 | 12.87 | 3,925 | 50,515 | 813,641 | Form | |
| 4 | Thompson, Jane J | Direct | Sell | 3182026 | 16.91 | 13,667 | 231,109 | 1,417,278 | Form | |
| 5 | Thompson, Jane J | Direct | Sell | 3182026 | 16.91 | 13,667 | 231,109 | 1,417,278 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Knott, Thomas R | See remarks | Direct | Buy | 6152026 | 11.67 | 85,250 | 994,868 | 1,508,348 | Form |
| 2 | Moriarty, Kevin M | Direct | Buy | 5282026 | 12.64 | 3,956 | 50,000 | 897,576 | Form | |
| 3 | Loree, Rebecca Corbin | Direct | Buy | 5142026 | 12.87 | 3,925 | 50,515 | 813,641 | Form | |
| 4 | Thompson, Jane J | Direct | Sell | 3182026 | 16.91 | 13,667 | 231,109 | 1,417,278 | Form | |
| 5 | Thompson, Jane J | Direct | Sell | 3182026 | 16.91 | 13,667 | 231,109 | 1,417,278 | Form | |
| 6 | Schoen, Kurt | See remarks | Direct | Buy | 3182026 | 17.00 | 3,000 | 51,000 | 51,000 | Form |
| 7 | Cote, John D | Spouse | Buy | 3182026 | 17.10 | 5,800 | 99,180 | 99,180 | Form | |
| 8 | Knott, Thomas R | See remarks | Direct | Buy | 3182026 | 17.08 | 44,000 | 751,520 | 751,520 | Form |
| 9 | Loree, Rebecca Corbin | Direct | Buy | 9022025 | 19.09 | 5,240 | 100,007 | 100,007 | Form | |
| 10 | Maes, Gregoire | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 8152025 | 19.36 | 97,226 | 1,882,295 | 15,082,640 | Form |
| 11 | Maes, Gregoire | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 8152025 | 19.26 | 19,899 | 383,255 | 15,004,734 | Form |
| 12 | Gourbault, Amanda Mandy | Chief Revenue Officer | Direct | Sell | 8142025 | 19.02 | 85,365 | 1,623,642 | 15,209,685 | Form |
| 13 | Moriarty, Kevin M | Direct | Buy | 8132025 | 19.28 | 13,000 | 250,640 | 250,640 | Form | |
| 14 | Fitzsimmons, Timothy Walter | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 8132025 | 18.74 | 100,000 | 1,874,000 | 14,238,446 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Industrials Resources |
| IndustryWeek |
| Manufacturing.net |
| Aviation Week |
| Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components Resources |
| Machine Design |
| Modern Machine Shop |
| Industrial Equipment News (IEN) |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.