Olenox Industries (OLOX)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $1.01 | Market Cap: $0.4 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
Olenox Industries (OLOX)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $1.01Market Cap: $0.4 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -51%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -91% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -11 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -329% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -43%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -49%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -40% | |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% | |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -142%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -153% | |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 160% | |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 299% | |
| Key risksOLOX key risks include [1] significant financial distress, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -51%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -91% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -11 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -329% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -43%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -49%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -40% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -142%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -153% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 160% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 299% |
| Key risksOLOX key risks include [1] significant financial distress, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Persistent Unprofitability and Weak Financial Health: Olenox Industries has consistently reported substantial net losses, indicating an underlying struggle with profitability. On a trailing twelve-month basis ending September 30, 2025, the company recorded a net income of -$17.0 million and a diluted earnings per share of -$10.53, operating with a negative net profit margin of -341.2%. For the fiscal year 2024, Olenox Industries reported annual earnings of -$22.6 million.
2. Significant Share Dilution from Debt and Acquisitions: The company has experienced substantial share dilution, with its total shares outstanding increasing by 10090.6% in the past year. This dilution was driven by several events since January 2026, including the late January acquisition of CPE Gathering MidCon, LLC, a $36 million transaction paid partly through common and preferred stock, which caused an immediate 6.2% stock drop. Further dilution occurred with the settlement of $1.73 million in debt through the issuance of shares in February 2026 and a Series C funding round in March 2026 that raised approximately $718,300 in net proceeds by issuing convertible preferred stock.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OLOX | ||
| Market (SPY) | -5.3% | 17.0% |
| Sector (XLI) | 3.9% | -1.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OLOX | ||
| Market (SPY) | 0.6% | 17.0% |
| Sector (XLI) | 5.5% | -1.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OLOX | ||
| Market (SPY) | 9.8% | 17.0% |
| Sector (XLI) | 18.4% | -1.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OLOX | ||
| Market (SPY) | 69.4% | 17.0% |
| Sector (XLI) | 65.1% | -1.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| OLOX Return | - | - | - | - | - | -28% | -28% |
| Peers Return | -1% | -19% | 64% | 66% | 21% | -20% | 111% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -5% | 72% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| OLOX Win Rate | - | - | - | - | - | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 67% | 54% | 58% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| OLOX Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | -43% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -15% | -38% | -2% | -6% | -26% | -30% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -5% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: GGG, GHM, GCDT, OLOX, RYZ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/27/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
OLOX has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.
| Event | XLI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -22.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 273 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 232 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 312 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -63.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 172.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,463 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to GGG, GHM, GCDT, OLOX, RYZ
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -22.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -22.6% loss requires a 29.2% gain to breakeven.
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About Olenox Industries (OLOX)
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Michael McLaren, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman
Mr. McLaren brings over 30 years of leadership experience in the energy industry, including significant contributions to military and energy projects, field services, and mergers and acquisitions. He is the founder and CEO of Olenox Ltd., where he has led innovative energy solutions and is the developer and patent holder of Olenox technology. Mr. McLaren has also founded several startups and held various CEO, CFO, and President roles at other companies such as Cycle Energy Industries, Cycle Energy Corp., Marble Trital, American Environmental Partners, American International Holdings Corp., Xfuels, Inc., and General Cybernetics, Inc. He earned a Master's Degree in Science and a Master's Degree in Business from the University of British Columbia.
Patricia Kaelin, CPA, Chief Financial Officer
Ms. Kaelin has over 30 years of financial leadership and expertise in public company management, mergers and acquisitions, and corporate finance. She has held CFO roles across various industries including construction, manufacturing, healthcare, technology, and real estate development. Notably, she served as CIO and CFO at a billion-dollar construction company, overseeing operations across 14 locations in multiple states with over 5,000 employees. Her experience includes capital markets, IPOs, SEC compliance, and financial reporting. Ms. Kaelin is skilled in strategic planning, corporate restructuring, and investor relations. She earned her Bachelor's degree in Business Administration with a concentration in Accounting from California State University, Fullerton.
Jim Pendergast, Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Pendergast brings over 25 years of leadership in corporate operations, having served as CEO, CFO, and COO across public and private companies in the energy, construction, manufacturing, and agricultural sectors. He possesses expertise in mergers and acquisitions, corporate restructuring, and equity and debt financing. His previous roles include COO at MGO Systems Ltd., where he oversaw more than 50 construction projects, and CEO/CFO at Paramount Structures Inc., where he led its acquisition and financial restructuring. As CEO of FP Genetics Inc., he successfully refocused the company on profitable growth. Earlier in his career, he managed large-scale business development projects at Agrium Inc. and represented the company to investors. He holds an MBA in International Business and Finance from McMaster University and a BA (Honors) in Political Studies and Economics from Queen's University.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key risks to Olenox Industries (OLOX):1. Significant Financial Challenges and Going Concern Risk
Olenox Industries faces substantial financial difficulties, indicating a significant risk to its continued operations. The company has demonstrated consistently negative operating margins, meaning it expends more to operate than it generates in revenue. In 2024, the company's revenue decreased by 69.88% compared to the previous year, highlighting a severe contraction in its top-line performance. A critical concern is the company's low current ratio, ranging from 0.08 to 0.18, which suggests that its current assets are insufficient to cover short-term liabilities, raising doubts about its immediate financial liquidity and flexibility. Furthermore, Olenox has reported negative operating cash flow and free cash flow, along with significant net losses in both 2023 and 2024. These factors have led to statements expressing substantial doubt about the company's ability to continue as a going concern. The company's capacity to service its debt is also at risk, as it generates negative operating income relative to its interest expenses. Additionally, shareholders have experienced considerable dilution over the past year.
2. Highly Volatile Share Price and Poor Stock Performance
The company's stock has exhibited extreme volatility, posing a considerable risk to investors. Olenox Industries' share price has been highly unstable compared to the broader U.S. market over the last three months. Over the past year, the stock has seen a drastic decrease of 96.30%. This performance significantly lags behind both the U.S. Construction industry and the overall U.S. Market during the same period. Reflecting these concerns, a consensus of analysts has issued a "Strong sell" rating for OLOX.
3. Operational Challenges and Execution Risk in Diversified Strategy
Despite rebranding and shifting its strategic focus towards an integrated energy and infrastructure solutions platform, Olenox Industries continues to face operational hurdles and risks associated with executing its new diversified strategy. The company experienced a decline in construction services revenue in 2024. There is inherent execution risk in scaling new initiatives, such as its well revitalization programs and potential acquisitions, while also managing existing segments across modular construction, environmental solutions, healthcare, and energy. Successfully integrating and achieving profitability across these varied and complex segments presents a significant ongoing challenge for the business.
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Olenox Industries Inc. (NASDAQ: OLOX), which was formerly known as Safe & Green Holdings Corp. and previously SG Blocks, Inc., operates in several addressable markets within the United States, focusing on modular construction, medical solutions, environmental services, and energy systems. The company designs and fabricates modular structures, including those derived from cargo shipping containers, for various applications. The addressable markets for Olenox Industries' main products and services are primarily within the U.S., with several key segments showing significant market sizes: * **Modular and Prefabricated Construction (U.S. Region):** The U.S. modular construction market was valued at approximately $25.6 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $49.6 billion by 2033, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 7.6% from 2025 to 2033. More broadly, the U.S. prefabricated buildings market was valued at about $40.24 billion in 2023 and is expected to exceed $73.34 billion by 2033, demonstrating a CAGR of 6.19% from 2023 to 2033. Within this, the U.S. prefabricated panels market alone was valued at $16.06 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to $23.18 billion by 2030, with modular panels holding the largest share (50.7% in 2024). The U.S. market for modular containers, specifically, generated revenues of $7,891.4 million in 2023 and is expected to reach $14,420.8 million by 2030, with a CAGR of 9% from 2024 to 2030. The U.S. container homes market, which involves repurposing shipping containers for housing, was valued at approximately $18.82 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach around $36.79 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 6.91% from 2025 to 2034. * **Modular Healthcare Facilities (U.S. Region):** The modular healthcare facilities market in the U.S. is a significant component of the broader modular construction sector. The U.S. modular hospital market was valued at approximately $2.06 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 6.3% during the forecast period. Another estimate places the U.S. modular hospital market at $2.412 billion. Across North America, the modular hospital market was valued at $2,765.36 million in 2025 and is projected to reach $5,432.29 million by 2034, with the U.S. accounting for a substantial portion of this market. * **Medical Waste Management (U.S. Region):** The U.S. medical waste management market was estimated at approximately $15.84 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow to $35.36 billion by 2035, at a CAGR of 8.42% from 2026 to 2035. Other estimates indicate the market size of medical waste disposal services in the U.S. was $7.1 billion in 2024. * **Containerized Energy Systems (U.S. Region):** * **Modular Data Centers:** The U.S. modular data center market generated revenue of $7,214.5 million in 2024 and is expected to reach $17,811.4 million by 2030, demonstrating a CAGR of 16.3% from 2025 to 2030. In 2025, the U.S. market for modular data centers was valued at $9.3 billion and is projected to reach $33.7 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 14.94% during 2026-2034. * **Containerized Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS):** The North America containerized battery energy storage system market is expected to register the highest CAGR from 2025 to 2034. The global market for containerized BESS was valued at $11.75 billion in 2025 and is predicted to reach $99.86 billion by 2035, with North America leading this market. * **Modular Refineries:** The global modular refinery market was valued at $2.2 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach $3.6 billion by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 5.7% from 2024 to 2031. North America held the highest market share in 2021 and is projected to maintain its leading position in this market.AI Analysis | Feedback
Olenox Industries (OLOX), formerly known as Safe & Green Holdings Corp., is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several strategic initiatives following its rebranding and transformation into an integrated energy and infrastructure solutions platform.
Key drivers of future revenue growth for Olenox Industries include:
- Strategic Expansion and Acquisitions in Energy and Infrastructure: Olenox Industries is focused on executing an acquire-and-integrate growth model across the energy, technology, construction, and water systems sectors. This strategy involves acquiring, operating, and scaling businesses that provide engineered solutions, thereby expanding its market presence and revenue streams in these targeted industrial and infrastructure markets.
- Growth in Modular Construction Projects and New Applications: The company, through its subsidiary Giant Containers, continues to secure new contracts for its prefabricated modular structures. Recent engagements include the development of a new state park in New Jersey and the design and delivery of modular structures for a world-leading EV company, indicating an expansion into diverse applications and continued demand for its safe and green construction solutions.
- Increased Activity in Oilfield Services and Energy Development: Olenox has expanded its focus to include oilfield services and energy development, specifically targeting underperforming oil and gas properties in states like Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas. The company kicked off a 10-well drilling program in March 2026, which is expected to generate significant revenue from this segment.
- Leveraging and Elevating Core Commercial Brands: Olenox plans to consolidate its subsidiaries into a unified operating structure and elevate its core commercial brands, such as Giant Containers and Machfu Monitoring. This consolidation and brand focus are anticipated to enhance market penetration and capitalize on the established reputation of these brands, leading to increased sales and market share.
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Share Issuance
- Safe & Green Holdings Corp. underwent a 1-for-64 reverse stock split effective September 8, 2025, primarily to meet Nasdaq's minimum bid price requirement. The company also effected a 1-for-20 reverse stock split on May 2, 2024.
- In February 2026, Olenox Industries Inc. settled an outstanding debt of $1,732,500 with Cedar Advance LLC by issuing up to 500,000 common shares.
- Stockholders approved the issuance of up to 53,925,620 shares of common stock upon conversion of 360,000 shares of Series B Preferred Stock, issued as part of a private placement in October 2025.
Inbound Investments
- Safe & Green Holdings Corp. secured a $100 million ELOC Securities Purchase Agreement, fully accessible upon shareholder approval and S-1 effectiveness, intended to support acquisitions and technology scale-up.
- The company received an $8 million private placement with D. Boral Capital in April 2025, which was later restructured in July 2025 to reduce potential shareholder dilution by approximately 70% by eliminating Series A and B Common Stock Warrants.
- Safe & Green Holdings Corp. secured approximately $7.9 million in financing during the second quarter of 2025.
Outbound Investments
- In May 2025, Safe & Green Holdings Corp. completed a merger with New Asia Holdings, Inc., which included its subsidiaries Olenox and Machfu, accelerating growth into new business channels and leading to the rebranding as Olenox Industries Inc.
- The company acquired County Line Industrial, LLC and a majority interest in Winchester Oil and Gas, LLC by May 2025, adding over 500 wells in Texas to its portfolio.
- Safe & Green Holdings Corp. completed the strategic acquisition of Giant Containers Inc. in December 2025, a manufacturer of custom modular shipping container solutions, through a combination of cash and stock consideration.
Capital Expenditures
- For the fiscal quarter ending September 30, 2025, Safe & Green Holdings Corp. reported Cash Flow from Investing Activities of -$2.47 million.
- Olenox (a subsidiary) initiated an aggressive drilling program in Q4 2025, with plans to complete one drilling project during that quarter and an ambitious agenda for 2026 and beyond, focusing on revitalizing underdeveloped oil and gas assets.
- Since December 2025, Olenox Industries has successfully revitalized 10 wells in the Wichita field, with an additional 25 wells expected online by the end of Q1 2026, deploying a dedicated rig for these efforts.
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to OLOX.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02272026 | EFX | Equifax | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02202026 | LZ | LegalZoom.com | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.2% | 7.2% | -5.0% |
| 02132026 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.1% | 1.1% | -3.0% |
| 02132026 | TREX | Trex | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.2% | -3.2% | -5.9% |
| 02132026 | PCTY | Paylocity | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.6% | -0.6% | -4.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 21.27 |
| Mkt Cap | 7.4 |
| Rev LTM | 1,237 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3 |
| FCF LTM | 15 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 69 |
| CFO LTM | 50 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 122 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -4.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 3.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 3.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 3.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -0.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 7.4 |
| P/S | 4.9 |
| P/EBIT | 34.8 |
| P/E | 42.0 |
| P/CFO | 44.4 |
| Total Yield | 3.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.9% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -10.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -21.3% |
| 6M Rtn | -21.3% |
| 12M Rtn | -21.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | -21.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -2.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -13.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -17.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -32.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -83.1% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
External Quote Links
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