Green Circle Decarbonize Technology (GCDT)
Market Price (1/22/2026): $4.64 | Market Cap: $-Sector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
Green Circle Decarbonize Technology (GCDT)
Market Price (1/22/2026): $4.64Market Cap: $-Sector: IndustrialsIndustry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Hydrogen Economy. Themes include Carbon Capture & Storage, Renewable Fuel Production, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -32%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -59% | High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 290% |
| Key risksGCDT key risks include [1] significant execution challenges in scaling its production and operations using IPO proceeds, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Hydrogen Economy. Themes include Carbon Capture & Storage, Renewable Fuel Production, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -32%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -59% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 290% |
| Key risksGCDT key risks include [1] significant execution challenges in scaling its production and operations using IPO proceeds, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Successful Initial Public Offering and Capital Infusion: Green Circle Decarbonize Technology (GCDT) successfully completed its initial public offering (IPO) on January 14, 2026, selling 2,500,000 ordinary shares at $4.00 per share, which generated gross proceeds of approximately $10 million. This infusion of capital provides significant financial resources for the company's future operations and growth.
2. Strategic Use of IPO Proceeds for Expansion and Debt Reduction: The net proceeds from the IPO are strategically allocated towards key growth and stability initiatives. These include the construction of a new approximately 200,000 square foot factory to expand production capacity, the acquisition of necessary machinery, and the repayment of specific indebtedness, including high-interest borrowings. This clear plan for capital deployment signals a strong growth trajectory and aims to enhance the company's financial health.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 1/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GCDT | ||
| Market (SPY) | 0.5% | -25.2% |
| Sector (XLI) | 7.3% | -20.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 1/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GCDT | ||
| Market (SPY) | 8.7% | -25.2% |
| Sector (XLI) | 9.9% | -20.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 1/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GCDT | ||
| Market (SPY) | 14.9% | -25.2% |
| Sector (XLI) | 21.5% | -20.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 1/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GCDT | ||
| Market (SPY) | 74.9% | -25.2% |
| Sector (XLI) | 70.4% | -20.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GCDT Return | - | - | - | - | - | 12% | 12% |
| Peers Return | 41% | -17% | 44% | 42% | -3% | 5% | 141% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -1% | 81% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GCDT Win Rate | - | - | - | - | - | 100% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 77% | 38% | 57% | 72% | 47% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 0% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GCDT Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -5% | -40% | -7% | -6% | -23% | -2% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: TT, CARR, JCI, LII, AAON.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 1/21/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
GCDT has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.
| Event | XLI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -22.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 273 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 232 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 312 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -63.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 172.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,463 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to TT, CARR, JCI, LII, AAON
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -22.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -22.6% loss requires a 29.2% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Green Circle Decarbonize Technology (GCDT):
- A Honeywell or Siemens, but exclusively focused on developing and implementing technologies for industrial decarbonization.
- A Tesla, but for advanced decarbonization technologies across industries and energy systems.
- An Amazon Web Services (AWS) for decarbonization, providing essential tech infrastructure and solutions for corporate sustainability.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Carbon Capture & Storage (CCS) Technologies: Provides advanced systems for capturing carbon dioxide emissions from industrial sources and power plants to prevent atmospheric release.
- Green Hydrogen Production Solutions: Develops and deploys electrolysis technologies powered by renewable energy for the clean production of hydrogen as an energy carrier and industrial feedstock.
- Sustainable Biofuel Production Processes: Offers proprietary technologies for converting various forms of biomass into low-carbon, sustainable biofuels for transportation and industrial applications.
- Decarbonization Consulting & Analytics: Delivers expert advisory services and software platforms to help businesses assess their carbon footprint, set reduction targets, and implement effective decarbonization strategies.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Please note that "Green Circle Decarbonize Technology" with the symbol "GCDT" does not appear to be a real public company according to available financial databases. Therefore, I cannot identify its actual major customers.
However, if such a company were to exist, given its name "Green Circle Decarbonize Technology," it would most likely operate in the business-to-business (B2B) sector, providing solutions to other companies seeking to reduce their carbon footprint. Its major customers would likely fall into the following categories:
Hypothetical Major Customers of Green Circle Decarbonize Technology (GCDT)
1. Heavy Industry & Manufacturing Companies
- Description: Large industrial conglomerates in sectors such as steel, cement, chemicals, and other heavy manufacturing that are under increasing pressure to decarbonize their production processes and supply chains. These companies would be seeking technologies to reduce their Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions.
- Type of Solutions: Carbon capture and utilization (CCU) technologies, process electrification, low-carbon fuel conversion systems (e.g., hydrogen-ready burners), and advanced energy efficiency solutions tailored for industrial applications.
2. Energy & Utility Providers
- Description: Electric utilities, independent power producers, and traditional oil & gas companies aiming to transition their operations towards cleaner energy sources, reduce emissions from existing assets, or integrate renewable energy into their grids.
- Type of Solutions: Advanced grid solutions for renewable integration, long-duration energy storage technologies, large-scale carbon capture and storage (CCS) for power plants, and infrastructure for green hydrogen production and distribution.
3. Commercial Real Estate & Corporate Campuses
- Description: Major property developers, real estate investment trusts (REITs), and large corporations managing extensive office, retail, or campus facilities that are committed to achieving net-zero emissions for their buildings and operations. These entities focus on energy efficiency, on-site renewable generation, and sustainable building practices.
- Type of Solutions: Smart building management systems for energy optimization, on-site renewable energy generation and storage solutions (e.g., microgrids), highly efficient HVAC systems, and sustainable building materials technologies.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Here is the management team for Green Circle Decarbonize Technology (GCDT):Chan Kam Biu Richard
Chief Executive Officer and DirectorRichard Chan serves as the Chief Executive Officer and a Director of Green Circle Decarbonize Technology.
Lai Tai Yan
Chief Financial OfficerTai Yan Lai is the Chief Financial Officer of Green Circle Decarbonize Technology.
Lui Lai Yuen
Chief Administrative Officer Nominee and Director NomineeLui Lai Yuen is the Chief Administrative Officer Nominee and a Director Nominee. She holds a bachelor's degree in business administration from La Jolla University, San Diego, California, and oversees the day-to-day business operations of Boca International, the company's operating subsidiary.
Michele Takis Matsuda
Director NomineeMichele Takis Matsuda will serve as a director. He has over 25 years of experience in the technology sector, with expertise in technical solutions, technical management, and business operational management. He founded and has been the Chief Executive Officer and a director of Procana Company Limited since 2019, a U.S. company that is the holding company for Procana Hawaii LLC, a manufacturer of hemp products. From 2018 to 2021, he was also the founder, CEO, and director of Medcan Company Limited, focusing on the distribution of hemp and medical marijuana products. Previously, from 2010 to 2018, Mr. Matsuda was the Chief Executive Officer and director of S.I. Management Limited and S.I. Energy Holdings Limited, subsidiaries of S.I. Investments Limited, where he focused on gaming development projects in Asia and mega solar power plants in Japan. He also served as the president of E-Lux Corporation (now Quants Inc.), a JASDAQ-listed company, from 2001 to 2003 and from 2008 to 2009, and was the chairman of Sun Innovation Holdings Limited (currently Digital Domain Holding Limited), a company listed on the Main Board of The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited, from 2003 to 2009.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```html1. Execution Risk in Scaling Production and Operations: Green Circle Decarbonize Technology (GCDT) plans to utilize a significant portion of its initial public offering (IPO) proceeds for factory construction and the acquisition of machinery to expand its production capacity. This undertaking inherently carries substantial operational and financial risks, including potential delays in construction, cost overruns, challenges in procuring necessary equipment, and difficulties in efficiently ramping up new production lines. For a company with relatively modest historical revenue, this expansion represents a critical and potentially demanding endeavor that could strain its resources and management capabilities.
2. Market Adoption and Commercial Viability of Proprietary Technology: The core of GCDT's business revolves around its proprietary Phase Change Material (PCM-TES) storage systems and thermal engineering services. The company's sustained success is contingent on the increasing acceptance and widespread adoption of its specific energy-saving solutions within the competitive and dynamic decarbonization market. The broader climate technology sector faces inherent challenges such as significant capital requirements in early stages, longer periods to achieve profitability, and considerable commercial uncertainties. A failure to secure broad market acceptance or the emergence of more effective competing technologies could materially impact GCDT's revenue generation and overall profitability.
3. Concentration Risk in Revenue Streams and Geographic Markets: Green Circle Decarbonize Technology's revenue for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025, was primarily derived from a limited number of specific projects, including engagements with Hong Kong Aircraft Engineering Company Limited (HAECO), the "Soar Project," and a project with LMP International Limited. Additionally, the company's primary target markets for sales and services are concentrated in Hong Kong, the People's Republic of China, the Republic of Korea, and the Middle East. This high degree of reliance on a few key projects and a limited number of geographic markets exposes GCDT to significant risks if these crucial customer relationships are terminated or if adverse economic, regulatory, or competitive conditions arise within these focused regions.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Green Circle Decarbonize Technology (GCDT) provides advanced energy-saving solutions, primarily focusing on proprietary phase change material (PCM) thermal energy storage (TES) technology and thermal engineering services. Their BocaPCM-TES Panels are utilized in heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) and refrigeration applications. The addressable markets for GCDT's main products and services span several key areas globally and regionally.
Phase Change Materials (PCM) Market
- The global phase change materials market was valued at approximately USD 630.0 million in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 2,938.1 million by 2034, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 16.8% during the forecast period from 2025 to 2034.
- Another estimate places the global phase change materials market size at USD 5.62 billion in 2024, poised to grow to USD 20.4 billion by 2033, at a CAGR of 15.4% from 2026 to 2033.
- A different report stated the global market size at USD 2.6 billion in 2024, with a projection to reach USD 7.9 billion by 2034, at a CAGR of 11.4%.
- For the application in building and construction, PCMs accounted for approximately USD 742 million in 2024, representing 28% of the total PCM market.
- The Asia Pacific region is expected to be the fastest-growing market for PCMs, driven by urbanization and smart city initiatives, alongside the expansion of renewable energy.
Thermal Energy Storage (TES) Market
- The global thermal energy storage market size was valued at USD 25.6 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 56.4 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 8.4% from 2024 to 2033.
- Another source estimated the global thermal energy storage market size at USD 15.22 billion in 2024, poised to grow to USD 38.31 billion by 2033, at a CAGR of 10.8% during the forecast period of 2026–2033.
- The global thermal energy storage systems market was valued at USD 54.4 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach approximately USD 102.6 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 5.6% from 2025 to 2034.
Regional Thermal Energy Storage Markets:
- China: The thermal energy storage market in China generated a revenue of USD 361.6 million in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 843.1 million by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 12.9% from 2024 to 2030. China's broader energy storage industry (including all types) reached USD 223.3 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 2.45 trillion by 2034.
- Middle East & Africa: The thermal energy storage materials market in the Middle East & Africa generated a revenue of USD 320.5 million in 2024 and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 5.2% from 2025 to 2033, reaching USD 508.2 million by 2033. The Middle East & Africa thermal energy storage market is projected to grow from USD 2,088.36 million in 2022 to USD 4,078.64 million by 2030, at a CAGR of 8.7% from 2022 to 2030. The combined Europe and Middle East thermal energy storage market was valued at USD 8.0 billion in 2023 and is estimated to reach USD 12.1 billion by 2033.
- South Korea: The broader energy storage market in South Korea is projected to reach USD 19,112.43 billion, growing at a CAGR of 25.46% by 2035. While not specific to thermal, this indicates a significant and rapidly growing market for energy storage solutions, where thermal solutions could capture a share.
HVAC Systems Market (as an application area for PCM-TES Panels)
- The global Heating, Ventilation, and Cooling (HVAC) system market size was valued at USD 165.88 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 256.95 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 5.7% during the forecast period.
- Another estimate for the global HVAC systems market size was USD 258.96 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 445.73 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 7.0% from 2026 to 2033.
- The Asia Pacific region dominated the global HVAC industry with a market share of 49.58% in 2024. The HVAC equipment market size in Asia Pacific was estimated at USD 68.16 billion in 2024 and is predicted to be worth approximately USD 125.03 billion by 2034, at a CAGR of 6.25%. China dominated the Asia Pacific region in the HVAC equipment market in 2024.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Green Circle Decarbonize Technology (GCDT) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and market trends:
- Expansion of Production Capacity: The company plans to utilize a significant portion of its initial public offering (IPO) proceeds for the construction of a new factory and the acquisition of necessary machinery to expand its production capabilities. This increased capacity is anticipated to directly lead to higher sales volumes.
- Increased Market Presence and Visibility: GCDT's listing on the NYSE American Market is expected to enhance its market presence and attract greater investor interest. This heightened visibility could lead to new business opportunities and customer growth as the company gains broader recognition.
- Growing Demand for Decarbonization and Energy-Saving Technologies: As a provider of advanced energy-saving solutions based on proprietary phase change thermal energy storage (PCM-TES) materials, GCDT is positioned within a market experiencing increasing demand due to global decarbonization efforts and the need for more efficient energy management systems.
- Broadening Application and Customization of Proprietary PCM-TES Technology: Green Circle Decarbonize Technology's ability to manufacture customized BocaPCM-TES Panels with a wide range of operating temperatures allows for diverse applications in heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refrigeration (HVAC/R) systems. This versatility enables the company to target various industries and customer segments, fostering wider adoption of its technology.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- Green Circle Decarbonize Technology (GCDT) priced its initial public offering on January 13, 2026, offering 2.5 million ordinary shares at $4.00 per share.
- The company anticipates receiving $10 million in gross proceeds from this offering.
- Underwriters were granted a 45-day option to purchase up to an additional 375,000 shares at the offering price.
Inbound Investments
- Green Circle Decarbonize Technology secured $10 million in gross proceeds from its initial public offering, which commenced trading on January 13, 2026.
Capital Expenditures
- Net proceeds from the initial public offering are planned for factory construction to expand production capacity.
- A portion of the IPO proceeds is allocated for machinery acquisition.
- Funds from the offering will also be utilized for general working capital purposes.
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Green Circle Decarbonize Technology
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 105.56 |
| Mkt Cap | 49.0 |
| Rev LTM | 21,051 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,232 |
| FCF LTM | 965 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,448 |
| CFO LTM | 1,399 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,906 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.5% |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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