Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.5%, Dividend Yield is 3.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.3%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.4%, Dist 3Y High is -1.4%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 61%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -12%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -67%
 
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Smart Metering, Grid Automation, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.5%, Dividend Yield is 3.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.3%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Smart Metering, Grid Automation, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.4%, Dist 3Y High is -1.4%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -12%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -67%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 61%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

RGCO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for RGC Resources (RGCO) stock movement from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Strong Fiscal Year 2025 Earnings Performance.

RGC Resources announced consolidated company earnings of $13.3 million, or $1.29 per share, for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2025, a notable increase from $11.8 million, or $1.16 per share, in the prior fiscal year. This robust growth was driven by record levels of gas deliveries and higher operating margins. 2. Beating Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Estimates.

For the fourth quarter ended September 30, 2025, the company reported a net loss of $0.02 per share, which surpassed analysts' consensus estimates of a $0.05 loss per share. Additionally, quarterly revenue of $14.32 million exceeded analysts' expectations of $14 million.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RGCO Return-14%-0%-1%-4%3%14%-5%
Peers Return-15%27%-1%-8%20%30%52%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RGCO Win Rate58%42%33%50%50%60% 
Peers Win Rate48%62%50%45%57%70% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RGCO Max Drawdown-19%-8%-20%-27%-10%-3% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-5%-11%-20%-8%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: UGI, SR, ATO, NFG, SWX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventRGCOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-40.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-24.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-28.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-29.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven42.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven643 days1480 days

Compare to UGI, SR, ATO, NFG, SWX


In The Past

RGC Resources's stock fell -40.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/15/2021. A -40.6% loss requires a 68.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About RGC Resources (RGCO)

Better Bets than RGC Resources (RGCO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1How Low Can RGC Resources Stock Really Go?Return
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to RGCO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.7%-0.7%-0.7%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.5%2.5%0.0%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.3%9.3%-3.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.7%-0.7%-0.7%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.5%2.5%0.0%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.3%9.3%-3.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for RGC Resources

Peers to compare with:

Financials

RGCOUGISRATONFGSWXMedian
NameRGC Reso.UGI Spire Atmos En.National.Southwes. 
Mkt Price22.5537.6483.84171.1582.5679.9081.23
Mkt Cap0.28.14.927.37.55.86.6
Rev LTM947,3322,4364,6232,0695,9243,530
Op Inc LTM191,0505441,525816563690
FCF LTM7443-264-1,37470-197-95
FCF 3Y Avg-2231-196-705131-64-33
CFO LTM291,2886662,032954676815
CFO 3Y Avg221,0985952,3141,055815935

Growth & Margins

RGCOUGISRATONFGSWXMedian
NameRGC Reso.UGI Spire Atmos En.National.Southwes. 
Rev Chg LTM12.0%-0.5%-6.6%12.9%5.9%31.9%9.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.2%-8.1%4.6%4.9%2.0%10.8%4.8%
Rev Chg Q19.4%1.0%1.9%19.6%15.9%-11.8%8.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.1%0.2%0.3%3.1%5.1%-0.7%1.7%
Op Mgn LTM20.4%14.3%22.3%33.0%39.5%9.5%21.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg19.6%8.5%19.0%29.5%37.6%9.3%19.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%-2.3%1.5%-0.3%1.4%0.4%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM30.4%17.6%27.3%44.0%46.1%11.4%28.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg23.5%14.2%23.3%52.7%50.2%16.5%23.4%
FCF/Rev LTM7.8%6.0%-10.8%-29.7%3.4%-3.3%0.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-2.2%3.3%-7.6%-16.2%6.1%-0.3%-1.2%

Valuation

RGCOUGISRATONFGSWXMedian
NameRGC Reso.UGI Spire Atmos En.National.Southwes. 
Mkt Cap0.28.14.927.37.55.86.6
P/S2.51.11.85.33.71.02.1
P/EBIT9.49.47.915.241.59.39.4
P/E16.918.715.121.2193.812.217.8
P/CFO8.16.16.512.18.08.48.1
Total Yield9.5%9.4%10.8%5.8%2.9%11.4%9.5%
Dividend Yield3.6%4.1%4.2%1.1%2.4%3.2%3.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1.1%3.8%-5.3%-3.2%2.5%-2.0%-1.6%
D/E0.60.91.10.40.40.60.6
Net D/E0.60.81.10.30.40.50.5

Returns

RGCOUGISRATONFGSWXMedian
NameRGC Reso.UGI Spire Atmos En.National.Southwes. 
1M Rtn7.9%12.4%-4.5%-0.3%3.4%-0.6%1.5%
3M Rtn1.9%12.0%13.1%4.2%-3.5%1.5%3.1%
6M Rtn11.7%8.4%16.8%13.7%2.1%12.8%12.2%
12M Rtn13.8%35.2%22.0%19.8%35.3%5.8%20.9%
3Y Rtn4.1%13.9%39.6%58.3%42.1%31.1%35.4%
1M Excs Rtn7.9%12.5%-4.5%-0.3%3.4%-0.5%1.5%
3M Excs Rtn-5.3%5.2%6.4%-0.9%-9.7%-3.5%-2.2%
6M Excs Rtn-3.1%-6.3%2.1%-1.0%-12.6%-2.0%-2.5%
12M Excs Rtn-0.8%16.2%6.0%2.1%19.1%-7.9%4.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-67.3%-58.0%-42.5%-16.6%-31.4%-42.1%-42.3%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity73,028
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202510.3%
Average Daily Volume8,749
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.35
Basic Shares Quantity10,319,232
Short % of Basic Shares0.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024210202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241205202410-K 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023206202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231201202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022208202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221202202210-K 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021207202210-Q 12/31/2021
93020211202202110-K 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Furcron Thomas PatrickVP, Field Operations11052025Buy20.902143023,380Form
1Oliver Lawrence T.Senior VP and Secretary11052025Buy20.9010200501,495Form
2Miles Christen BrookeVP, Human Resources11052025Buy20.905100143,727Form