Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.6%, Dividend Yield is 4.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.4%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.3%, Dist 3Y High is -3.3%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 134%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -5.7%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -61%
Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 20%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Hydrogen Economy. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production, and Hydrogen Infrastructure.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.6%, Dividend Yield is 4.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.4%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 20%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Hydrogen Economy. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production, and Hydrogen Infrastructure.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.3%, Dist 3Y High is -3.3%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -5.7%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -61%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 134%
7 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NWN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Information regarding specific stock movements for Northwest Natural (NWN) for the period from 8/31/2025 to 12/4/2025 is not available. As an AI, I do not have access to real-time or future stock market data to analyze events that have not yet occurred.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NWN Return-36%10%1%-14%7%28%-16%
Peers Return-15%27%-1%-8%20%30%52%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NWN Win Rate25%50%42%33%50%80% 
Peers Win Rate48%62%50%45%57%70% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NWN Max Drawdown-40%-8%-10%-21%-9%-3% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-5%-11%-20%-8%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: UGI, SR, ATO, NFG, SWX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNWNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-36.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven57.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven77.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven33.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven199 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-28.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2575 days1480 days

Compare to UGI, SR, ATO, NFG, SWX


In The Past

Northwest Natural's stock fell -36.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/10/2022. A -36.6% loss requires a 57.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Northwest Natural (NWN)

Better Bets than Northwest Natural (NWN)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NWN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.7%-0.7%-0.7%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.5%2.5%0.0%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.3%9.3%-3.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.7%-0.7%-0.7%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.5%2.5%0.0%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.3%9.3%-3.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Northwest Natural

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NWNUGISRATONFGSWXMedian
NameNorthwes.UGI Spire Atmos En.National.Southwes. 
Mkt Price47.8637.6483.84171.1582.5679.9081.23
Mkt Cap2.08.14.927.37.55.86.6
Rev LTM1,2667,3322,4364,6232,0695,9243,530
Op Inc LTM2541,0505441,525816563690
FCF LTM-186443-264-1,37470-197-191
FCF 3Y Avg-138231-196-705131-64-101
CFO LTM2461,2886662,032954676815
CFO 3Y Avg2431,0985952,3141,055815935

Growth & Margins

NWNUGISRATONFGSWXMedian
NameNorthwes.UGI Spire Atmos En.National.Southwes. 
Rev Chg LTM11.3%-0.5%-6.6%12.9%5.9%31.9%8.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.7%-8.1%4.6%4.9%2.0%10.8%4.8%
Rev Chg Q20.3%1.0%1.9%19.6%15.9%-11.8%8.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.2%0.2%0.3%3.1%5.1%-0.7%1.3%
Op Mgn LTM20.1%14.3%22.3%33.0%39.5%9.5%21.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg17.2%8.5%19.0%29.5%37.6%9.3%18.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%-2.3%1.5%-0.3%1.4%0.4%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM19.5%17.6%27.3%44.0%46.1%11.4%23.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg20.0%14.2%23.3%52.7%50.2%16.5%21.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-14.7%6.0%-10.8%-29.7%3.4%-3.3%-7.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-11.5%3.3%-7.6%-16.2%6.1%-0.3%-3.9%

Valuation

NWNUGISRATONFGSWXMedian
NameNorthwes.UGI Spire Atmos En.National.Southwes. 
Mkt Cap2.08.14.927.37.55.86.6
P/S1.51.11.85.33.71.01.6
P/EBIT7.49.47.915.241.59.39.3
P/E18.418.715.121.2193.812.218.6
P/CFO7.56.16.512.18.08.47.8
Total Yield9.6%9.4%10.8%5.8%2.9%11.4%9.5%
Dividend Yield4.1%4.1%4.2%1.1%2.4%3.2%3.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-8.3%3.8%-5.3%-3.2%2.5%-2.0%-2.6%
D/E1.40.91.10.40.40.60.8
Net D/E1.30.81.10.30.40.50.7

Returns

NWNUGISRATONFGSWXMedian
NameNorthwes.UGI Spire Atmos En.National.Southwes. 
1M Rtn3.4%12.4%-4.5%-0.3%3.4%-0.6%1.5%
3M Rtn17.0%12.0%13.1%4.2%-3.5%1.5%8.1%
6M Rtn23.2%8.4%16.8%13.7%2.1%12.8%13.2%
12M Rtn16.7%35.2%22.0%19.8%35.3%5.8%20.9%
3Y Rtn18.0%13.9%39.6%58.3%42.1%31.1%35.4%
1M Excs Rtn3.4%12.5%-4.5%-0.3%3.4%-0.5%1.5%
3M Excs Rtn11.1%5.2%6.4%-0.9%-9.7%-3.5%2.2%
6M Excs Rtn8.4%-6.3%2.1%-1.0%-12.6%-2.0%-1.5%
12M Excs Rtn0.8%16.2%6.0%2.1%19.1%-7.9%4.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-61.1%-58.0%-42.5%-16.6%-31.4%-42.1%-42.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Natural Gas Distribution (NGD)4,4584,3933,8463,5503,274
Other (Northwest (NW) Holdings)35629616615792
Other (Northwest (NW) Natural)5360524948
Discontinued operations    15
Total4,8674,7484,0653,7563,428


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,073,332
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-19.1%
Average Daily Volume259,748
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.13
Basic Shares Quantity41,184,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024506202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021