REX American Resources (REX)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $33.51 | Market Cap: $1.1 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
REX American Resources (REX)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $33.51Market Cap: $1.1 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -28% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 13x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.7% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production, and Eco-friendly Products. | High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 113% |
| Key risksREX key risks include [1] significant volatility in the corn-ethanol "crush spread", Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -28% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production, and Eco-friendly Products. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 13x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.7% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 113% |
| Key risksREX key risks include [1] significant volatility in the corn-ethanol "crush spread", Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
REX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. REX American Resources reported robust third-quarter 2025 earnings, significantly exceeding market expectations. The company's earnings per share (EPS) reached $0.71, compared to a forecast of $0.27, a surprise increase of 162.96%. Revenue also surpassed projections, coming in at $175.6 million against an anticipated $169 million. Following this announcement on December 4, 2025, REX's stock rose 6.42% in pre-market trading.
2. The strong Q3 2025 performance was largely attributed to increased ethanol sales volumes and a substantial rise in corn oil revenue. Ethanol sales volumes rose to 78.4 million gallons in Q3 2025, up from 75.5 million gallons in the same quarter last year. Additionally, distillers corn oil (DCO) revenue jumped 60% year-over-year in the third quarter, driven by a 36% increase in average selling price per pound and a 17% increase in DCO volume per bushel.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| REX Return | -10% | 31% | -0% | 48% | -12% | 63% | 148% |
| Peers Return | 154% | 51% | -8% | 2% | -11% | 34% | 328% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| REX Win Rate | 42% | 58% | 50% | 67% | 33% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 57% | 52% | 53% | 38% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| REX Max Drawdown | -55% | 0% | -18% | -13% | -16% | -16% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -68% | -6% | -30% | -30% | -43% | -40% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GPRE, VLO, ANDE, ALTO, GEVO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | REX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -36.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 707 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -55.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 126.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 236 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -41.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 70.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 802 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -74.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 290.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,061 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to KOP, AVD, PSX, MPC, VLO
In The Past
REX American Resources's stock fell -36.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/10/2021. A -36.0% loss requires a 56.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to REX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.2% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.7% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 27.0% | 27.0% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.5% | -5.5% | -7.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.2% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.7% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 27.0% | 27.0% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.5% | -5.5% | -7.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for REX American Resources
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 21.65 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.9 |
| Rev LTM | 1,585 |
| Op Inc LTM | 24 |
| FCF LTM | 4 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 9 |
| CFO LTM | 53 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 72 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -5.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -10.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | -0.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -0.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 2.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 0.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.9 |
| P/S | 0.4 |
| P/EBIT | 2.7 |
| P/E | 9.4 |
| P/CFO | 7.2 |
| Total Yield | -2.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -0.5% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 8.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 9.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 56.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 41.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 32.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 8.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 45.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 23.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -41.7% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 12/4/2025 | 4.7% | -0.6% | |
| 8/27/2025 | -0.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| 3/26/2025 | 5.5% | 4.9% | 10.4% |
| 12/3/2024 | -3.5% | -5.8% | -1.7% |
| 8/27/2024 | -5.6% | -10.1% | -3.9% |
| 3/28/2024 | 33.7% | 32.1% | 29.9% |
| 11/30/2023 | 32.9% | 13.1% | 28.2% |
| 8/30/2023 | -6.1% | -7.3% | -1.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 6 | 7 |
| # Negative | 9 | 12 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% |
| Median Negative | -5.6% | -6.4% | -5.8% |
| Max Positive | 33.7% | 32.1% | 29.9% |
| Max Negative | -18.2% | -18.5% | -18.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | 12042025 | 10-Q 10/31/2025 |
| 7312025 | 9022025 | 10-Q 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6042025 | 10-Q 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3282025 | 10-K 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12052024 | 10-Q 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 8302024 | 10-Q 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 5302024 | 10-Q 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3292024 | 10-K 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12042023 | 10-Q 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9012023 | 10-Q 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 5262023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3302023 | 10-K 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12052022 | 10-Q 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9012022 | 10-Q 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 5272022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 4062022 | 10-K 1/31/2022 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |