REX American Resources (REX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $34.88 | Market Cap: $1.2 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
REX American Resources (REX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $34.88Market Cap: $1.2 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -18% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 27x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 23x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.3% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production, and Eco-friendly Products. | High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 113% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -18% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production, and Eco-friendly Products. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 27x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 23x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.3% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 113% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
REX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
REX American Resources (REX) experienced a 7.1% stock movement between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, driven by several key factors.
1. Strong Fiscal Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Beat. REX American Resources reported fiscal third-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.71, significantly exceeding analyst expectations of $0.27. Revenue also topped consensus estimates, reaching $175.6 million against a projected $169 million. This strong performance, primarily attributed to robust ethanol production, led to an initial rise of 1.55% in pre-market trading following the announcement on December 4, 2025.
2. Q3 2025 Net Income and Revenue Growth. For the third quarter ended October 31, 2025, the company reported a net income of $0.71 per diluted share, an increase from $0.69 a year earlier. Net sales and revenue for the quarter also rose to $175.6 million.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| REX Return | -10% | 31% | -0% | 48% | -12% | 62% | 147% |
| Peers Return | -27% | 23% | 47% | 21% | -23% | 21% | 49% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| REX Win Rate | 42% | 58% | 50% | 67% | 33% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 45% | 53% | 60% | 57% | 37% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| REX Max Drawdown | -55% | 0% | -18% | -13% | -16% | -16% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -63% | -5% | -10% | -20% | -26% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: KOP, AVD, MPC, VLO, PSX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | REX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -36.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 707 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -55.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 126.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 236 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -41.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 70.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 802 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -74.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 290.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1061 days | 1480 days |
Compare to KOP, AVD, MPC, VLO, PSX
In The Past
REX American Resources's stock fell -36.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/10/2021. A -36.0% loss requires a 56.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to REX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.5% | 22.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.4% | -0.4% | -5.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.5% | 22.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.4% | -0.4% | -5.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for REX American Resources
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 86.67 |
| Mkt Cap | 27.9 |
| Rev LTM | 62,497 |
| Op Inc LTM | 954 |
| FCF LTM | 723 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,054 |
| CFO LTM | 1,780 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,093 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -9.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -7.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | -1.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 3.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 5.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 4.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 27.9 |
| P/S | 0.4 |
| P/EBIT | 13.5 |
| P/E | 32.7 |
| P/CFO | 9.6 |
| Total Yield | 4.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.1% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 7.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 24.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 16.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 49.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 0.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 9.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 2.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -28.5% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 9022025 | 10-Q 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6042025 | 10-Q 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3282025 | 10-K 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12052024 | 10-Q 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 8302024 | 10-Q 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 5302024 | 10-Q 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3292024 | 10-K 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12042023 | 10-Q 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9012023 | 10-Q 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 5262023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3302023 | 10-K 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12052022 | 10-Q 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9012022 | 10-Q 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 5272022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 4062022 | 10-K 1/31/2022 |
| 10312021 | 12032021 | 10-Q 10/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |