Tearsheet

Alto Ingredients (ALTO)


Market Price (4/15/2026): $4.85 | Market Cap: $362.7 Mil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Specialty Chemicals

Alto Ingredients (ALTO)


Market Price (4/15/2026): $4.85
Market Cap: $362.7 Mil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Specialty Chemicals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production.

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.5%, Dist 3Y High is -4.5%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 27x

Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 335%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 448%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.9%

Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 353%

Key risks
ALTO key risks include [1] significant exposure to the volatility of commodity prices for its raw materials and finished products and [2] uncertainty surrounding its ability to secure crucial tax credits, Show more.

0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production.
1 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.5%, Dist 3Y High is -4.5%
2 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 27x
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 335%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 448%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.9%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 353%
6 Key risks
ALTO key risks include [1] significant exposure to the volatility of commodity prices for its raw materials and finished products and [2] uncertainty surrounding its ability to secure crucial tax credits, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Alto Ingredients (ALTO) stock has gained about 70% since 12/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Alto Ingredients reported a significant turnaround to profitability in Q4 2025, exceeding analyst expectations. The company posted an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.19, substantially beating the consensus estimate of $0.02. Net income swung to $21.5 million ($0.28 per diluted share) in Q4 2025, a $63.5 million improvement from a $42.0 million loss in the prior-year quarter. Gross profit also climbed to $15.2 million from a $1.4 million loss, and Adjusted EBITDA jumped to $27.9 million from negative $7.7 million.

2. The company is benefiting from significantly increased 45Z Clean Fuel Production Tax Credits for 2026. Regulatory changes to the GREET model, including the removal of indirect land use change (ILUC) from carbon intensity calculations, are expected to double the 45Z tax credits. Alto Ingredients anticipates qualifying for $0.20 per gallon at its Columbia and Pekin Dry Mill facilities, projecting approximately $15 million in net 45Z credit proceeds for the full year 2026, a substantial increase from $7.5 million in 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 69.1% change in ALTO stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 69.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120254142026Change
Stock Price ($)2.884.8769.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)922918-0.5%
P/S Multiple0.20.469.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)75750.0%
Cumulative Contribution69.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 4/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ALTO69.1% 
Market (SPY)-5.4%-6.2%
Sector (XLB)14.7%-11.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 350.9% change in ALTO stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 359.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)93020254142026Change
Stock Price ($)1.084.87350.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)933918-1.6%
P/S Multiple0.10.4359.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)7575-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution350.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 4/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ALTO350.9% 
Market (SPY)-2.9%-0.4%
Sector (XLB)16.7%-0.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 327.2% change in ALTO stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 355.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120254142026Change
Stock Price ($)1.144.87327.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)965918-4.9%
P/S Multiple0.10.4355.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)7475-1.3%
Cumulative Contribution327.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2025 to 4/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ALTO327.2% 
Market (SPY)16.3%9.0%
Sector (XLB)22.8%11.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 224.7% change in ALTO stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 388.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120234142026Change
Stock Price ($)1.504.87224.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,336918-31.3%
P/S Multiple0.10.4388.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)7275-3.3%
Cumulative Contribution224.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2023 to 4/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ALTO224.7% 
Market (SPY)63.3%12.7%
Sector (XLB)36.2%18.2%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
ALTO Return-11%-40%-8%-41%85%66%-12%
Peers Return75%9%14%-38%15%27%96%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-0%81%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ALTO Win Rate33%50%50%42%50%25% 
Peers Win Rate65%57%52%30%60%75% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ALTO Max Drawdown-18%-44%-58%-55%-50%-21% 
Peers Max Drawdown-2%-15%-17%-40%-33%-8% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MGPI, GPRE, ANDE, REX, ADM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/14/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventALTOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-84.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven559.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-72.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven259.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven78 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-95.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2037.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven329 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-98.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven8013.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to MGPI, GPRE, ANDE, REX, ADM

In The Past

Alto Ingredients's stock fell -84.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/10/2021. A -84.8% loss requires a 559.0% gain to breakeven.

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About Alto Ingredients (ALTO)

Alto Ingredients, Inc. produces and markets specialty alcohols and essential ingredients in the United States. The company operates in three segments: Marketing and Distribution, Pekin Production, and Other Production. It offers specialty alcohols used in mouthwash, cosmetics, pharmaceuticals, hand sanitizers, disinfectants, and cleaners for health, home, and beauty markets; grain neutral spirits used in alcoholic beverages, flavor extracts, and vinegar, as well as corn germ used in corn oils and carbon dioxide for food and beverage markets; and essential ingredients include dried yeast, corn gluten meal, corn gluten feed, distillers grains, and liquid feed for commercial animal feed and pet food applications. The company also provides fuel-grade ethanol used as transportation fuel and distillers corn oil used as a biodiesel feedstock, as well as fuel-grade ethanol produced by third parties. In addition, it offers transportation, storage, and delivery services through third-party service providers. The company sells ethanol to integrated oil companies and gasoline marketers; essential ingredient feed products to dairies and feedlots; and corn oil to poultry and biodiesel customers. It operates five alcohol production facilities, including three plants in the Midwestern states of Illinois; and two facilities located in the Western states of Oregon and Idaho. The company was formerly known as Pacific Ethanol, Inc. and changed its name to Alto Ingredients, Inc. in January 2021. Alto Ingredients, Inc. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Pekin, Illinois.

AI Analysis | Feedback

1. Think of it as a specialized Archer Daniels Midland (ADM), focused on converting corn into a diverse array of alcohols (for fuel, beverages, health, and cleaning products) and essential animal feed ingredients.

2. Like an Ingredion, but with a stronger emphasis on producing specialty alcohols and fuel ethanol in addition to various animal feed products, all from corn.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Specialty Alcohols: Alcohols used in health, home, and beauty applications such as mouthwash, cosmetics, pharmaceuticals, and sanitizers.
  • Grain Neutral Spirits: High-purity alcohol used in alcoholic beverages, flavor extracts, and vinegar.
  • Essential Ingredients: A range of products including corn germ for corn oils, carbon dioxide for food and beverage, and various feeds (dried yeast, corn gluten meal, corn gluten feed, distillers grains, liquid feed) for commercial animal and pet food applications.
  • Fuel-Grade Ethanol: Ethanol primarily used as transportation fuel.
  • Distillers Corn Oil: Oil utilized as a feedstock for biodiesel production.
  • Logistics Services: Provides transportation, storage, and delivery services for its products.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) primarily sells its products to other companies rather than directly to individuals. The provided company description does not list specific customer company names. However, it identifies the following major categories of business customers:

  • Integrated Oil Companies and Gasoline Marketers: These entities purchase fuel-grade ethanol from Alto Ingredients for use as transportation fuel.
  • Dairies, Feedlots, and Poultry Customers: These agricultural businesses acquire essential ingredient feed products (including dried yeast, corn gluten meal, corn gluten feed, distillers grains, and liquid feed) and corn oil for commercial animal feed and pet food applications.
  • Biodiesel Customers: These companies purchase distillers corn oil from Alto Ingredients, utilizing it as a feedstock for biodiesel production.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Bryon McGregor, President, Chief Executive Officer, and Director

Bryon McGregor has over 35 years of executive leadership, industrial project management, and finance experience. He joined Alto Ingredients in 2008 as Vice President Finance/Treasurer and was appointed Chief Financial Officer in 2009. In August 2023, he was named President and Chief Executive Officer. During his tenure as CFO, Mr. McGregor led multiple financings, including raising over $640 million, integrated two acquisitions that tripled the company's production capacity, and implemented cost reduction programs. His experience also includes developing and managing capital financing for over 40 global industrial and infrastructure projects valued in excess of $12 billion. He previously served as Brokerage Treasurer for E*TRADE Financial, overseeing international and U.S. brokerage treasury operations, corporate finance, and investor relations.

Robert Olander, Chief Financial Officer

Robert Olander, CPA, possesses over 20 years of public company accounting, treasury, and finance experience. He was appointed Chief Financial Officer in August 2023. Mr. Olander has served Alto Ingredients for over 16 years, with increasing responsibilities, most recently as Vice President, Corporate Controller. His career began at Deloitte & Touche in audit and assurance, where he worked with companies such as ConAgra, Berkshire Hathaway, and Union Pacific. He also held roles as Controller and Business Manager at Hampton Distribution Companies and supervised audit and consulting at James Marta and Company.

Jim Sneed, Chief Commercial Officer

Jim Sneed has over 20 years of experience in various senior management and executive positions within the ethanol industry. He joined Alto Ingredients in 2012. Prior to his time at Alto Ingredients, Mr. Sneed served as Vice President – Ethanol Marketing & Trading for Hawkeye Gold, LLC.

Auste Graham, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary

Auste Graham brings over 15 years of legal experience across multiple industries, including chemicals, packaging, and corporate securities. She joined Alto Ingredients in 2022. Previously, Ms. Graham served as Vice President, Legal, for Essentra plc, where she was responsible for all legal and compliance affairs in the Americas.

Todd Benton, Chief Operating Officer

Todd Benton has 30 years of operations and leadership experience in corn wet milling, high-quality alcohol, and dry grind fuel ethanol production. He also has over 25 years of experience specifically at the Pekin facilities.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Alto Ingredients (ALTO) are primarily centered around the inherent volatility of its markets, the significant influence of government policies on its operations, and its financial stability given a history of losses.

  1. Commodity Price Volatility: Alto Ingredients' profitability is highly susceptible to fluctuations in the prices of its key inputs, such as corn and natural gas, and its outputs, including ethanol, specialty alcohols, and various essential ingredients like distillers grains and corn oil. Adverse movements in these commodity prices can significantly impact the company's margins and overall financial performance.
  2. Regulatory and Legislative Changes: A substantial portion of Alto Ingredients' business, particularly its renewable fuels segment, is subject to government mandates, environmental regulations, and tax incentives, such as the Renewable Fuel Standard and Section 45Z clean fuel credits. Any unfavorable changes, uncertainties, or shifts in these governmental policies or a broader move away from combustion fuels could negatively affect demand for its products, increase compliance costs, or alter the economic viability of its operations.
  3. Financial Health and Debt Obligations: While Alto Ingredients achieved a return to profitability in 2025, it has a documented history of losses and negative cash flow. Management cautions that further losses could impede business expansion and operations. Additionally, the company carries debt, primarily used for capital improvements, which could restrict its ability to pursue new opportunities, fund ongoing operations, or service its obligations if project returns do not meet expectations or if profitability is not sustained.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The rapid acceleration in the adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) and the increasing focus on other non-liquid or alternative transportation fuels poses a clear emerging threat to Alto Ingredients' fuel-grade ethanol business. As demand for gasoline declines, so too will the primary market for corn-based ethanol, potentially leading to reduced demand and pricing pressure. This represents a fundamental shift in the transportation energy landscape.

Another emerging threat is the post-pandemic normalization of demand for specialty alcohols used in hand sanitizers and disinfectants. Following a significant surge during the COVID-19 pandemic, the market for these products is likely experiencing a period of oversupply and declining demand, which could lead to reduced sales volumes and price erosion for Alto Ingredients' specialty alcohol segment.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) operates in several addressable markets with varying sizes:

  • Specialty Alcohols: The global industrial alcohol market, which includes specialty alcohols used in pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, hand sanitizers, disinfectants, and cleaners, was valued at approximately USD 168.21 billion in 2025. It is projected to reach around USD 248.25 billion by 2034, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.4% from 2025 to 2034. The Asia Pacific region holds the largest market share in this segment.
  • Grain Neutral Spirits: The global extra neutral alcohol (ENA) market, which encompasses grain neutral spirits used in alcoholic beverages, pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, and industrial applications, is projected to reach approximately USD 15.2 billion in 2024 and grow to around USD 21.7 billion by 2030, with an estimated CAGR of 6.1% over the forecast period. Separately, the global grain alcohol market was valued at about USD 13.73 billion in 2024 and is expected to surpass USD 21.97 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 4.5% from 2025 to 2034. North America is expected to dominate this market. The U.S. grain alcohol market alone is anticipated to exceed USD 4.15 billion by 2030.
  • Corn Oils (from corn germ): The global corn oil market was valued at approximately USD 6.94 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 13.94 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 8.19%. North America held the largest share of 52.57% in the global corn oil market in 2025. The U.S. corn oil market is projected to reach an estimated value of USD 3.67 billion by 2032.
  • Carbon Dioxide (for food and beverage markets): Null
  • Essential Ingredients (dried yeast, corn gluten meal, corn gluten feed, distillers grains, and liquid feed for commercial animal feed and pet food): Null
  • Fuel-Grade Ethanol: The global fuel ethanol market was valued at USD 100.9 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 144.3 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 5.1%. North America dominated the market in 2023 with a 56.4% share, and the U.S. alone accounted for 48.4% of the global market. In terms of volume, the global ethanol market size is estimated at 108.03 billion liters in 2025 and is expected to reach 140.19 billion liters by 2030, at a CAGR of 5.35%.
  • Distillers Corn Oil (biodiesel feedstock): The global distillers corn oil market is projected to grow from USD 6.12 billion in 2025 to USD 8.13 billion by 2031, with a CAGR of 4.85%. This growth is primarily driven by the increasing demand for low-carbon feedstocks in the biodiesel and renewable diesel sectors. The U.S. biodiesel market, which utilizes distillers corn oil as a feedstock, is calculated at USD 16.08 billion in 2025 and is anticipated to reach approximately USD 24.63 billion by 2034, expanding at a CAGR of 4.85%.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several strategic initiatives and market tailwinds:
  1. Strategic Shift to High-Value Specialty Alcohols and Essential Ingredients: The company is actively repositioning its product portfolio away from lower-margin commodity fuel ethanol towards higher-value specialty alcohols and essential ingredients. These include products for the health, home, beauty, food, and pharmaceutical markets, as well as essential ingredients like corn germ for corn oils and carbon dioxide for food and beverage markets. This strategic realignment aims to diversify revenue streams into more stable and profitable segments.
  2. Monetization of 45Z Clean Fuel Tax Credits: The extension of the Section 45Z tax credit through 2029 is a significant driver of future earnings. Alto Ingredients is focused on lowering its carbon intensity scores across its facilities to maximize the value of these credits. Management anticipates generating approximately $15 million in net proceeds from 45Z tax credits in 2026.
  3. Expansion of Renewable Fuel Export Sales: Alto Ingredients has seen strong performance from its renewable fuel export sales, which often command premium pricing compared to domestic sales. The company is increasing its production and sales volumes to capitalize on this higher international demand and favorable pricing.
  4. Growth in Liquid CO2 Utilization: Following the acquisition of Carbonic in early 2025, Alto Ingredients is expanding its capabilities and investments in liquid CO2 utilization. This move into a high-demand co-product market, particularly benefiting its Western segment, is expected to contribute to increased profitability and revenue.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Alto Ingredients, Inc. authorized a share repurchase program for up to $50 million of its common stock on September 12, 2022, with an initial purchase authorization of $10 million.
  • The company's lender has further limited the purchase authorization to $5 million, with amounts exceeding this requiring lender consent.
  • The share repurchase program does not have an expiration date.

Share Issuance

  • In November 2022, Alto Ingredients agreed to issue up to 1.6 million shares of common stock to Orion Infrastructure Capital (OIC) in connection with a $125 million senior secured term loan facility.

Inbound Investments

  • Alto Ingredients entered into a $125 million senior secured term loan facility with funds managed by Orion Infrastructure Capital (OIC) on November 7, 2022.
  • The term loan allows for periodic draws in an aggregate amount up to $100 million, with an additional $25 million available subject to certain conditions.
  • OIC also became a shareholder as part of this partnership.

Outbound Investments

  • Alto Ingredients acquired Kodiak Carbonic, LLC, a beverage-grade liquid carbon dioxide processor, for $7.25 million in cash plus working capital on January 1, 2025.
  • The company acquired Eagle Alcohol for $15.3 million in cash plus an earnout of up to $14.0 million (consisting of $9 million in cash and $5 million in common stock) on January 14, 2022.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures for Alto Ingredients were $1.6 million in the third quarter of 2025 and $2 million in the fourth quarter of 2025.
  • The $125 million term loan facility from OIC in November 2022 is aimed at financing capital expenditures to enhance the production of high-value, high-margin, and more sustainable products.
  • Management intends to continue prioritizing high-return projects in 2026, focusing on enhancing and expanding production capabilities, increasing renewable fuel exports, leveraging demand for liquid CO2, and monetizing 45Z tax credits.

Better Bets vs. Alto Ingredients (ALTO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

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9.8%9.8%-6.0%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ALTOMGPIGPREANDEREXADMMedian
NameAlto Ing.MGP Ingr.Green Pl.AndersonsREX Amer.Archer-D. 
Mkt Price4.8719.7215.3973.2743.0468.8431.38
Mkt Cap0.40.41.12.51.433.31.2
Rev LTM9185362,09211,00965080,2691,505
Op Inc LTM1584-84128611,42472
FCF LTM97674-56494,20462
FCF 3Y Avg-445-34308442,79945
CFO LTM131221111771185,452120
CFO 3Y Avg11103464851034,234103

Growth & Margins

ALTOMGPIGPREANDEREXADMMedian
NameAlto Ing.MGP Ingr.Green Pl.AndersonsREX Amer.Archer-D. 
Rev Chg LTM-4.9%-23.8%-14.9%-2.2%1.2%-6.2%-5.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-11.5%-10.9%-16.8%-13.6%-8.1%-7.5%-11.2%
Rev Chg Q-1.9%-23.5%-26.6%-18.8%-0.2%-13.7%-16.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.5%-7.3%-6.9%-5.1%-0.0%-3.5%-4.3%
Op Mgn LTM1.7%15.6%-4.0%1.2%9.4%1.8%1.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-0.4%20.0%-3.1%1.5%9.2%2.8%2.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.4%-3.4%1.3%0.3%0.8%-0.1%0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM1.4%22.7%5.3%1.6%18.1%6.8%6.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg1.0%15.7%1.9%3.7%14.5%4.9%4.3%
FCF/Rev LTM0.9%14.2%3.5%-0.5%7.6%5.2%4.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-0.4%7.3%-1.0%2.2%5.8%3.3%2.7%

Valuation

ALTOMGPIGPREANDEREXADMMedian
NameAlto Ing.MGP Ingr.Green Pl.AndersonsREX Amer.Archer-D. 
Mkt Cap0.40.41.12.51.433.31.2
P/S0.40.80.50.22.20.40.5
P/EBIT15.5-4.5-15.913.123.317.214.3
P/E27.3-3.9-8.825.917.130.921.5
P/CFO27.53.59.614.012.16.110.9
Total Yield3.7%-25.0%-11.3%4.9%5.8%4.7%4.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.6%0.0%1.1%0.0%1.5%0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-4.2%6.5%-4.4%17.0%2.4%9.3%4.5%
D/E0.30.60.40.40.00.30.3
Net D/E0.20.60.30.3-0.20.30.3

Returns

ALTOMGPIGPREANDEREXADMMedian
NameAlto Ing.MGP Ingr.Green Pl.AndersonsREX Amer.Archer-D. 
1M Rtn4.5%10.2%-2.7%3.9%6.7%-4.4%4.2%
3M Rtn85.9%-19.1%37.3%29.7%28.1%9.4%28.9%
6M Rtn334.8%-15.9%37.9%73.6%30.9%13.1%34.4%
12M Rtn448.4%-26.0%298.7%95.0%116.5%53.5%105.8%
3Y Rtn283.5%-79.0%-52.4%85.3%198.5%-7.1%39.1%
1M Excs Rtn-0.5%5.2%-7.7%-1.2%1.7%-9.4%-0.9%
3M Excs Rtn91.9%-20.2%44.9%33.1%28.5%11.7%30.8%
6M Excs Rtn328.5%-22.7%63.2%73.5%34.4%8.6%48.8%
12M Excs Rtn436.7%-60.5%257.4%67.5%96.5%28.0%82.0%
3Y Excs Rtn185.7%-148.5%-119.4%25.7%133.7%-73.2%-23.8%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Pekin Campus production224251257266234
Marketing and distribution10310111513089
Western production45585257102
Corporate and other30445531 
Corporate assets    51
Total401454478485477


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$4.87 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.4 
First Trading Date03/24/2005 
Distance from 52W High-4.5% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$3.67$2.15
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA32.6%126.1%
 3M1YR
Volatility128.9%95.4%
Downside Capture-1.43-0.47
Upside Capture40.08144.66
Correlation (SPY)-4.5%5.8%
ALTO Betas & Captures as of 3/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-1.08-0.07-0.58-0.050.450.73
Up Beta-15.24-0.750.792.010.250.41
Down Beta5.182.410.94-0.280.761.20
Up Capture264%144%-30%202%133%57%
Bmk +ve Days7162765139424
Stock +ve Days13212962117339
Down Capture-724%-301%-326%-358%-40%72%
Bmk -ve Days12233358110323
Stock -ve Days8203257116349

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ALTO
ALTO472.9%95.3%2.24-
Sector ETF (XLB)35.2%16.9%1.617.2%
Equity (SPY)24.2%12.9%1.495.1%
Gold (GLD)53.4%27.6%1.557.7%
Commodities (DBC)26.8%16.2%1.4713.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)18.7%13.8%1.003.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-6.8%42.9%-0.05-0.1%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ALTO
ALTO-3.4%79.0%0.34-
Sector ETF (XLB)7.6%18.9%0.3026.3%
Equity (SPY)11.1%17.0%0.5023.7%
Gold (GLD)22.5%17.8%1.037.9%
Commodities (DBC)11.7%18.8%0.5121.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.9%18.8%0.1123.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)5.8%56.5%0.3211.0%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ALTO
ALTO2.2%90.6%0.44-
Sector ETF (XLB)11.1%20.6%0.4823.6%
Equity (SPY)14.0%17.9%0.6720.4%
Gold (GLD)14.3%15.9%0.757.1%
Commodities (DBC)8.8%17.6%0.4220.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.4%20.7%0.2316.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.7%66.9%1.078.8%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date3312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1.6 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 31520263.7%
Average Daily Volume1.4 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.1 days
Basic Shares Quantity74.8 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.1%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
3/4/202654.6%76.2%79.6%
11/5/202522.4%64.2%104.3%
8/6/2025-3.8%1.9%12.5%
3/5/20256.8%-5.4%-29.9%
11/6/2024-37.6%-32.5%-22.7%
8/6/20245.8%5.8%4.3%
3/11/2024-9.5%-14.4%-7.2%
11/6/2023-60.7%-55.2%-48.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive878
# Negative101110
Median Positive11.4%8.6%12.8%
Median Negative-12.7%-12.3%-23.5%
Max Positive54.6%76.2%104.3%
Max Negative-60.7%-55.2%-50.9%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202503/13/202610-K
09/30/202511/07/202510-Q
06/30/202508/08/202510-Q
03/31/202505/09/202510-Q
12/31/202403/13/202510-K
09/30/202411/08/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q
12/31/202303/14/202410-K
09/30/202311/08/202310-Q
06/30/202308/08/202310-Q
03/31/202305/09/202310-Q
12/31/202203/14/202310-K
09/30/202211/09/202210-Q
06/30/202208/09/202210-Q
03/31/202205/10/202210-Q

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Sneed, James RChief Commercial OfficerDirectBuy81420251.063,1763,364458,038Form