Alto Ingredients (ALTO)


Market Price (7/30/2026): $4.31 | Market Cap: $322.3 MilSector: Materials | Industry: Specialty Chemicals

Alto Ingredients (ALTO)


Market Price (7/30/2026): $4.31
Market Cap: $322.3 Mil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Specialty Chemicals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.6%, FCF Yield is 9.4%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production.

Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -46%

Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 293%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.8%

Key risks
ALTO key risks include [1] significant exposure to the volatility of commodity prices for its raw materials and finished products and [2] uncertainty surrounding its ability to secure crucial tax credits, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.6%, FCF Yield is 9.4%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -46%
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 293%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.8%
5 Key risks
ALTO key risks include [1] significant exposure to the volatility of commodity prices for its raw materials and finished products and [2] uncertainty surrounding its ability to secure crucial tax credits, Show more.

ALTO in ETFs

Weight = ALTO's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
IWM0.01%
IWN0.02%
FNDA0.01%
VTWO0.01%
DFAS0.01%
DFAC0.00%

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 7/29/2026

Alto Ingredients (ALTO) stock has lost about 10% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Negative market reaction to strong fiscal Q1 2026 earnings report.

Despite Alto Ingredients reporting a net income of $4.0 million, or $0.05 per diluted share, for fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), which significantly beat analyst estimates of a -$0.08 loss per share, and revenue of $224.7 million surpassing expectations of $215.65 million, the stock experienced a sharp decline. Alto Ingredients' stock dropped 18.4% in the trading session following the May 6, 2026, earnings announcement, contrasting with typical market reactions to positive financial results.

2. Q1 2026 profitability boosted by non-operational gains.

The company's improved gross profit of $9.2 million in fiscal Q1 2026 was notably influenced by an $8.1 million net unrealized gain on derivatives and contributions from Section 45Z tax credits. This raised concerns among investors regarding the sustainability and durability of these gains and tax-credit benefits, rather than reflecting consistent operational improvements.

Show more
Updated on 7/29/2026

Alto Ingredients (ALTO) stock has lost about 10% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Negative market reaction to strong fiscal Q1 2026 earnings report.

Despite Alto Ingredients reporting a net income of $4.0 million, or $0.05 per diluted share, for fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), which significantly beat analyst estimates of a -$0.08 loss per share, and revenue of $224.7 million surpassing expectations of $215.65 million, the stock experienced a sharp decline. Alto Ingredients' stock dropped 18.4% in the trading session following the May 6, 2026, earnings announcement, contrasting with typical market reactions to positive financial results.

2. Q1 2026 profitability boosted by non-operational gains.

The company's improved gross profit of $9.2 million in fiscal Q1 2026 was notably influenced by an $8.1 million net unrealized gain on derivatives and contributions from Section 45Z tax credits. This raised concerns among investors regarding the sustainability and durability of these gains and tax-credit benefits, rather than reflecting consistent operational improvements.

3. Anticipated decline in ethanol prices due to increased supply.

The ethanol market faced forecasts of declining prices into mid-2026, primarily driven by increased supply from Brazil's sugarcane harvest. This surge in global ethanol production was expected to create downward pressure on prices, potentially leading to tighter margins for producers like Alto Ingredients during fiscal Q2 2026.

4. Broader volatility and cooling in the clean energy and biofuel markets.

The clean energy private equity deal value cooled significantly in fiscal Q2 2026, dropping 62.3% from fiscal Q1 2026, despite still exceeding the 2024-2025 quarterly average. Additionally, the biofuel feedstock market experienced volatility early in fiscal Q2 2026 due to geopolitical factors, such as the US-Iran conflict affecting freight rates, which likely impacted investor sentiment across the renewable fuels sector.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -9.9% change in ALTO stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -59.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120267292026Change
Stock Price ($)4.844.36-9.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)918916-0.2%
Net Income Margin (%)1.5%3.2%120.0%
P/E Multiple27.111.1-59.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)75750.0%
Cumulative Contribution-9.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 7/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ALTO-9.9% 
Market (SPY)12.2%2.8%
Sector (XLB)3.5%-3.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 51.4% change in ALTO stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 52.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120257292026Change
Stock Price ($)2.884.3651.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)922916-0.7%
P/S Multiple0.20.452.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)75750.0%
Cumulative Contribution51.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 7/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ALTO51.4% 
Market (SPY)7.3%-1.7%
Sector (XLB)14.6%-8.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 279.1% change in ALTO stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 298.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020257292026Change
Stock Price ($)1.154.36279.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)951916-3.7%
P/S Multiple0.10.4298.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)7475-1.3%
Cumulative Contribution279.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 7/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ALTO279.1% 
Market (SPY)19.1%1.5%
Sector (XLB)19.5%2.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 50.9% change in ALTO stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 123.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020237292026Change
Stock Price ($)2.894.3650.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,341916-31.7%
P/S Multiple0.20.4123.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)7475-1.3%
Cumulative Contribution50.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2023 to 7/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ALTO50.9% 
Market (SPY)70.4%10.7%
Sector (XLB)31.8%16.0%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
ALTO Return-11%-40%-8%-41%85%55%-18%
Peers Return75%9%14%-38%15%33%105%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%9%98%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ALTO Win Rate33%50%50%42%50%43% 
Peers Win Rate65%57%52%30%60%66% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%43% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ALTO Max Drawdown-45%-63%-66%-56%-58%-26% 
Peers Max Drawdown-25%-31%-27%-44%-43%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MGPI, GPRE, ANDE, REX, ADM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/29/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventALTOS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-52.7%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven111.2%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven204 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-50.3%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven101.0%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven849 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-63.4%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven173.0%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven75 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-30.7%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven44.3%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven1291 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-60.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven155.1%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven65 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-62.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven168.0%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven580 days105 days

Compare to MGPI, GPRE, ANDE, REX, ADM

In The Past

Alto Ingredients's stock fell -52.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 111.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventALTOS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-52.7%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven111.2%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven204 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-50.3%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven101.0%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven849 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-63.4%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven173.0%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven75 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-30.7%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven44.3%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven1291 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-60.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven155.1%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven65 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-62.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven168.0%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven580 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-63.5%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven174.3%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven307 days62 days
2013 Taper Tantrum
  % Loss-37.6%-0.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven60.4%0.2%
  Time to Breakeven20 days1 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-72.4%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven263.0%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven42 days123 days

Compare to MGPI, GPRE, ANDE, REX, ADM

In The Past

Alto Ingredients's stock fell -52.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 111.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Alto Ingredients (ALTO)

Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) is a U.S. company specializing in the production and marketing of specialty alcohols and essential ingredients. The company operates through three core segments: Marketing and Distribution, Pekin Production, and Other Production, reflecting its involvement from manufacturing to the delivery of its products.

ALTO's primary offerings include a diverse range of specialty alcohols used in products such as mouthwash, cosmetics, pharmaceuticals, hand sanitizers, and disinfectants for health, home, and beauty markets. It also produces grain neutral spirits for alcoholic beverages and flavor extracts. Beyond alcohols, the company supplies essential ingredients like dried yeast, corn gluten meal, and distillers grains for commercial animal feed and pet food applications. Additionally, Alto Ingredients produces fuel-grade ethanol for transportation fuel and distillers corn oil, which serves as a biodiesel feedstock.

The company serves a broad customer base across multiple industries. Specialty alcohols and grain neutral spirits are sold to manufacturers in health, beauty, and food and beverage sectors. Essential ingredient feed products are supplied to dairies, feedlots, and pet food companies. Fuel-grade ethanol is primarily sold to integrated oil companies and gasoline marketers, while corn oil is purchased by poultry and biodiesel customers. Alto Ingredients operates production facilities across Illinois, Oregon, and Idaho.

AI Analysis | Feedback

1. Think of it as a specialized Archer Daniels Midland (ADM), focused on converting corn into a diverse array of alcohols (for fuel, beverages, health, and cleaning products) and essential animal feed ingredients.

2. Like an Ingredion, but with a stronger emphasis on producing specialty alcohols and fuel ethanol in addition to various animal feed products, all from corn.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Specialty Alcohols: Alcohols used in health, home, and beauty applications such as mouthwash, cosmetics, pharmaceuticals, and sanitizers.
  • Grain Neutral Spirits: High-purity alcohol used in alcoholic beverages, flavor extracts, and vinegar.
  • Essential Ingredients: A range of products including corn germ for corn oils, carbon dioxide for food and beverage, and various feeds (dried yeast, corn gluten meal, corn gluten feed, distillers grains, liquid feed) for commercial animal and pet food applications.
  • Fuel-Grade Ethanol: Ethanol primarily used as transportation fuel.
  • Distillers Corn Oil: Oil utilized as a feedstock for biodiesel production.
  • Logistics Services: Provides transportation, storage, and delivery services for its products.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) primarily sells its products to other companies rather than directly to individuals. The provided company description does not list specific customer company names. However, it identifies the following major categories of business customers:

  • Integrated Oil Companies and Gasoline Marketers: These entities purchase fuel-grade ethanol from Alto Ingredients for use as transportation fuel.
  • Dairies, Feedlots, and Poultry Customers: These agricultural businesses acquire essential ingredient feed products (including dried yeast, corn gluten meal, corn gluten feed, distillers grains, and liquid feed) and corn oil for commercial animal feed and pet food applications.
  • Biodiesel Customers: These companies purchase distillers corn oil from Alto Ingredients, utilizing it as a feedstock for biodiesel production.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Bryon McGregor, President, Chief Executive Officer, and Director

Bryon McGregor has over 35 years of executive leadership, industrial project management, and finance experience. He joined Alto Ingredients in 2008 as Vice President Finance/Treasurer and was appointed Chief Financial Officer in 2009. In August 2023, he was named President and Chief Executive Officer. During his tenure as CFO, Mr. McGregor led multiple financings, including raising over $640 million, integrated two acquisitions that tripled the company's production capacity, and implemented cost reduction programs. His experience also includes developing and managing capital financing for over 40 global industrial and infrastructure projects valued in excess of $12 billion. He previously served as Brokerage Treasurer for E*TRADE Financial, overseeing international and U.S. brokerage treasury operations, corporate finance, and investor relations.

Robert Olander, Chief Financial Officer

Robert Olander, CPA, possesses over 20 years of public company accounting, treasury, and finance experience. He was appointed Chief Financial Officer in August 2023. Mr. Olander has served Alto Ingredients for over 16 years, with increasing responsibilities, most recently as Vice President, Corporate Controller. His career began at Deloitte & Touche in audit and assurance, where he worked with companies such as ConAgra, Berkshire Hathaway, and Union Pacific. He also held roles as Controller and Business Manager at Hampton Distribution Companies and supervised audit and consulting at James Marta and Company.

Jim Sneed, Chief Commercial Officer

Jim Sneed has over 20 years of experience in various senior management and executive positions within the ethanol industry. He joined Alto Ingredients in 2012. Prior to his time at Alto Ingredients, Mr. Sneed served as Vice President – Ethanol Marketing & Trading for Hawkeye Gold, LLC.

Auste Graham, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary

Auste Graham brings over 15 years of legal experience across multiple industries, including chemicals, packaging, and corporate securities. She joined Alto Ingredients in 2022. Previously, Ms. Graham served as Vice President, Legal, for Essentra plc, where she was responsible for all legal and compliance affairs in the Americas.

Todd Benton, Chief Operating Officer

Todd Benton has 30 years of operations and leadership experience in corn wet milling, high-quality alcohol, and dry grind fuel ethanol production. He also has over 25 years of experience specifically at the Pekin facilities.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Alto Ingredients (ALTO) are primarily centered around the inherent volatility of its markets, the significant influence of government policies on its operations, and its financial stability given a history of losses.

  1. Commodity Price Volatility: Alto Ingredients' profitability is highly susceptible to fluctuations in the prices of its key inputs, such as corn and natural gas, and its outputs, including ethanol, specialty alcohols, and various essential ingredients like distillers grains and corn oil. Adverse movements in these commodity prices can significantly impact the company's margins and overall financial performance.
  2. Regulatory and Legislative Changes: A substantial portion of Alto Ingredients' business, particularly its renewable fuels segment, is subject to government mandates, environmental regulations, and tax incentives, such as the Renewable Fuel Standard and Section 45Z clean fuel credits. Any unfavorable changes, uncertainties, or shifts in these governmental policies or a broader move away from combustion fuels could negatively affect demand for its products, increase compliance costs, or alter the economic viability of its operations.
  3. Financial Health and Debt Obligations: While Alto Ingredients achieved a return to profitability in 2025, it has a documented history of losses and negative cash flow. Management cautions that further losses could impede business expansion and operations. Additionally, the company carries debt, primarily used for capital improvements, which could restrict its ability to pursue new opportunities, fund ongoing operations, or service its obligations if project returns do not meet expectations or if profitability is not sustained.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The rapid acceleration in the adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) and the increasing focus on other non-liquid or alternative transportation fuels poses a clear emerging threat to Alto Ingredients' fuel-grade ethanol business. As demand for gasoline declines, so too will the primary market for corn-based ethanol, potentially leading to reduced demand and pricing pressure. This represents a fundamental shift in the transportation energy landscape.

Another emerging threat is the post-pandemic normalization of demand for specialty alcohols used in hand sanitizers and disinfectants. Following a significant surge during the COVID-19 pandemic, the market for these products is likely experiencing a period of oversupply and declining demand, which could lead to reduced sales volumes and price erosion for Alto Ingredients' specialty alcohol segment.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) operates in several addressable markets with varying sizes:

  • Specialty Alcohols: The global industrial alcohol market, which includes specialty alcohols used in pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, hand sanitizers, disinfectants, and cleaners, was valued at approximately USD 168.21 billion in 2025. It is projected to reach around USD 248.25 billion by 2034, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.4% from 2025 to 2034. The Asia Pacific region holds the largest market share in this segment.
  • Grain Neutral Spirits: The global extra neutral alcohol (ENA) market, which encompasses grain neutral spirits used in alcoholic beverages, pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, and industrial applications, is projected to reach approximately USD 15.2 billion in 2024 and grow to around USD 21.7 billion by 2030, with an estimated CAGR of 6.1% over the forecast period. Separately, the global grain alcohol market was valued at about USD 13.73 billion in 2024 and is expected to surpass USD 21.97 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 4.5% from 2025 to 2034. North America is expected to dominate this market. The U.S. grain alcohol market alone is anticipated to exceed USD 4.15 billion by 2030.
  • Corn Oils (from corn germ): The global corn oil market was valued at approximately USD 6.94 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 13.94 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 8.19%. North America held the largest share of 52.57% in the global corn oil market in 2025. The U.S. corn oil market is projected to reach an estimated value of USD 3.67 billion by 2032.
  • Carbon Dioxide (for food and beverage markets): Null
  • Essential Ingredients (dried yeast, corn gluten meal, corn gluten feed, distillers grains, and liquid feed for commercial animal feed and pet food): Null
  • Fuel-Grade Ethanol: The global fuel ethanol market was valued at USD 100.9 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 144.3 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 5.1%. North America dominated the market in 2023 with a 56.4% share, and the U.S. alone accounted for 48.4% of the global market. In terms of volume, the global ethanol market size is estimated at 108.03 billion liters in 2025 and is expected to reach 140.19 billion liters by 2030, at a CAGR of 5.35%.
  • Distillers Corn Oil (biodiesel feedstock): The global distillers corn oil market is projected to grow from USD 6.12 billion in 2025 to USD 8.13 billion by 2031, with a CAGR of 4.85%. This growth is primarily driven by the increasing demand for low-carbon feedstocks in the biodiesel and renewable diesel sectors. The U.S. biodiesel market, which utilizes distillers corn oil as a feedstock, is calculated at USD 16.08 billion in 2025 and is anticipated to reach approximately USD 24.63 billion by 2034, expanding at a CAGR of 4.85%.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several strategic initiatives and market tailwinds:
  1. Strategic Shift to High-Value Specialty Alcohols and Essential Ingredients: The company is actively repositioning its product portfolio away from lower-margin commodity fuel ethanol towards higher-value specialty alcohols and essential ingredients. These include products for the health, home, beauty, food, and pharmaceutical markets, as well as essential ingredients like corn germ for corn oils and carbon dioxide for food and beverage markets. This strategic realignment aims to diversify revenue streams into more stable and profitable segments.
  2. Monetization of 45Z Clean Fuel Tax Credits: The extension of the Section 45Z tax credit through 2029 is a significant driver of future earnings. Alto Ingredients is focused on lowering its carbon intensity scores across its facilities to maximize the value of these credits. Management anticipates generating approximately $15 million in net proceeds from 45Z tax credits in 2026.
  3. Expansion of Renewable Fuel Export Sales: Alto Ingredients has seen strong performance from its renewable fuel export sales, which often command premium pricing compared to domestic sales. The company is increasing its production and sales volumes to capitalize on this higher international demand and favorable pricing.
  4. Growth in Liquid CO2 Utilization: Following the acquisition of Carbonic in early 2025, Alto Ingredients is expanding its capabilities and investments in liquid CO2 utilization. This move into a high-demand co-product market, particularly benefiting its Western segment, is expected to contribute to increased profitability and revenue.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Alto Ingredients, Inc. authorized a share repurchase program for up to $50 million of its common stock on September 12, 2022, with an initial purchase authorization of $10 million.
  • The company's lender has further limited the purchase authorization to $5 million, with amounts exceeding this requiring lender consent.
  • The share repurchase program does not have an expiration date.

Share Issuance

  • In November 2022, Alto Ingredients agreed to issue up to 1.6 million shares of common stock to Orion Infrastructure Capital (OIC) in connection with a $125 million senior secured term loan facility.

Inbound Investments

  • Alto Ingredients entered into a $125 million senior secured term loan facility with funds managed by Orion Infrastructure Capital (OIC) on November 7, 2022.
  • The term loan allows for periodic draws in an aggregate amount up to $100 million, with an additional $25 million available subject to certain conditions.
  • OIC also became a shareholder as part of this partnership.

Outbound Investments

  • Alto Ingredients acquired Kodiak Carbonic, LLC, a beverage-grade liquid carbon dioxide processor, for $7.25 million in cash plus working capital on January 1, 2025.
  • The company acquired Eagle Alcohol for $15.3 million in cash plus an earnout of up to $14.0 million (consisting of $9 million in cash and $5 million in common stock) on January 14, 2022.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures for Alto Ingredients were $1.6 million in the third quarter of 2025 and $2 million in the fourth quarter of 2025.
  • The $125 million term loan facility from OIC in November 2022 is aimed at financing capital expenditures to enhance the production of high-value, high-margin, and more sustainable products.
  • Management intends to continue prioritizing high-return projects in 2026, focusing on enhancing and expanding production capabilities, increasing renewable fuel exports, leveraging demand for liquid CO2, and monetizing 45Z tax credits.

Better Bets vs. Alto Ingredients (ALTO)

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Peer Comparisons

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Financials

ALTOMGPIGPREANDEREXADMMedian
NameAlto Ing.MGP Ingr.Green Pl.AndersonsREX Amer.Archer-D. 
Mkt Price4.3618.8816.3770.1742.2280.3830.55
Mkt Cap0.30.41.12.41.438.91.3
Rev LTM9165001,93610,97764980,5841,426
Op Inc LTM316623137721,43769
FCF LTM31199-105464,79338
FCF 3Y Avg8320279463,43039
CFO LTM36241261331195,944123
CFO 3Y Avg2082724651074,82195

Growth & Margins

ALTOMGPIGPREANDEREXADMMedian
NameAlto Ing.MGP Ingr.Green Pl.AndersonsREX Amer.Archer-D. 
Rev Chg LTM-3.7%-18.0%-21.4%-2.0%1.4%-3.9%-3.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-11.7%-14.1%-19.5%-13.6%-9.1%-7.5%-12.7%
Rev Chg Q-0.8%-14.5%-25.9%-1.2%-1.2%1.6%-1.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.2%-4.1%-7.4%-0.3%-0.3%0.4%-0.3%
Op Inc Chg LTM263.9%-47.1%123.9%-27.2%11.9%-10.9%0.5%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg87.7%-19.8%33.1%-16.4%70.2%-27.8%8.4%
Op Mgn LTM3.3%13.2%1.2%1.3%11.1%1.8%2.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg0.1%18.5%-1.5%1.5%10.2%2.5%2.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.7%-1.4%5.2%0.1%1.7%0.0%0.9%
CFO/Rev LTM3.9%4.9%6.5%1.2%18.4%7.4%5.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg1.8%12.6%3.0%3.6%15.4%5.6%4.6%
FCF/Rev LTM3.4%0.2%5.1%-1.0%7.1%5.9%4.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg0.7%4.8%0.3%2.0%6.3%4.0%3.0%

Valuation

ALTOMGPIGPREANDEREXADMMedian
NameAlto Ing.MGP Ingr.Green Pl.AndersonsREX Amer.Archer-D. 
Mkt Cap0.30.41.12.41.438.91.3
P/S0.40.80.60.22.20.50.5
P/Op Inc10.66.149.417.419.427.118.4
P/EBIT8.4-1.525.910.719.419.915.0
P/E11.1-1.7-73.018.515.136.013.1
P/CFO9.116.68.917.911.76.510.4
Total Yield9.0%-57.2%-1.4%6.5%6.6%5.3%5.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.6%0.0%1.1%0.0%2.6%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.4%3.9%-6.8%17.5%2.9%10.3%3.4%
D/E0.30.90.50.50.00.30.4
Net D/E0.20.90.40.5-0.20.30.3

Returns

ALTOMGPIGPREANDEREXADMMedian
NameAlto Ing.MGP Ingr.Green Pl.AndersonsREX Amer.Archer-D. 
1M Rtn-18.5%12.8%7.4%2.3%-5.5%4.6%3.4%
3M Rtn-17.9%-0.8%-5.1%-9.3%-12.8%8.9%-7.2%
6M Rtn67.0%-21.7%37.2%15.7%25.7%20.9%23.3%
12M Rtn292.8%-37.2%90.6%94.2%55.4%53.0%73.0%
3Y Rtn8.7%-82.8%-53.8%48.4%131.7%2.8%5.7%
1M Excs Rtn-16.8%14.5%9.1%4.0%-3.9%6.2%5.1%
3M Excs Rtn-19.9%-8.4%-5.2%-10.6%-13.2%8.7%-9.5%
6M Excs Rtn61.6%-28.0%34.2%11.6%21.3%14.6%18.0%
12M Excs Rtn261.4%-52.2%77.0%82.8%40.9%36.9%58.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-46.5%-143.3%-113.3%-8.5%73.4%-53.8%-50.2%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Pekin Campus production591586721747688
Marketing and distribution231227275229381
Western production101152224344139
Corporate and other7111616 
Intersegment eliminations-13-12-13  
Total9189651,2231,3361,208


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil2004
Automotive0
Medical-0
Total0


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Pekin Campus production209224251257266
Marketing and distribution104103101115130
Western production4345585257
Corporate and other3330445531
Total389401454478485


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$4.36 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.3 
First Trading Date03/24/2005 
Distance from 52W High-27.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$5.20$3.63
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-16.2%20.1%
 3M1YR
Volatility85.5%98.9%
Downside Capture134.91-57.65
Upside Capture26.78115.36
Correlation (SPY)-1.1%1.0%
ALTO Betas & Captures as of 6/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.320.560.770.070.240.64
Up Beta-0.78-2.04-0.240.220.770.38
Down Beta-1.65-2.11-1.57-0.42-1.221.01
Up Capture182%246%211%114%228%33%
Bmk +ve Days11244067140429
Stock +ve Days10213361123340
Down Capture105%240%224%-62%-48%73%
Bmk -ve Days10172358112321
Stock -ve Days11202961111349

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ALTO
ALTO277.9%98.8%1.76-
Sector ETF (XLB)15.4%17.7%0.651.1%
Equity (SPY)15.6%12.8%0.861.0%
Gold (GLD)21.6%28.1%0.688.3%
Commodities (DBC)31.5%19.7%1.2717.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)15.9%14.0%0.82-4.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-46.1%42.9%-1.320.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ALTO
ALTO-4.6%79.9%0.33-
Sector ETF (XLB)7.0%19.0%0.2623.9%
Equity (SPY)12.4%17.1%0.5522.5%
Gold (GLD)17.1%18.4%0.756.2%
Commodities (DBC)9.3%19.5%0.3619.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.9%18.9%0.0520.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)14.7%53.3%0.4612.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with ALTO
ALTO-3.3%90.8%0.38-
Sector ETF (XLB)9.9%20.6%0.4322.3%
Equity (SPY)14.7%17.9%0.7019.5%
Gold (GLD)11.3%16.1%0.576.9%
Commodities (DBC)7.1%18.0%0.3219.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.1%20.7%0.2115.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)57.7%66.2%0.988.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5.7 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 630202639.2%
Average Daily Volume2.3 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.5 days
Basic Shares Quantity74.8 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares7.7%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/8/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/6/2026-18.3%-17.4%-2.3%
3/4/202654.6%76.2%79.6%
11/5/202522.4%64.2%104.3%
8/6/2025-3.8%1.9%12.5%
5/7/2025-1.6%4.6%18.6%
3/5/20256.8%-5.4%-29.9%
11/6/2024-37.6%-32.5%-22.7%
8/6/20245.8%5.8%4.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive91012
# Negative151412
Median Positive15.4%8.3%13.7%
Median Negative-9.7%-12.6%-23.5%
Max Positive54.6%76.2%104.3%
Max Negative-60.7%-55.2%-50.9%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/6/2026-18.3%-17.4%-2.3%
3/4/202654.6%76.2%79.6%
11/5/202522.4%64.2%104.3%
8/6/2025-3.8%1.9%12.5%
5/7/2025-1.6%4.6%18.6%
3/5/20256.8%-5.4%-29.9%
11/6/2024-37.6%-32.5%-22.7%
8/6/20245.8%5.8%4.3%
5/6/2024-9.7%-12.8%-25.6%
3/11/2024-9.5%-14.4%-7.2%
11/6/2023-60.7%-55.2%-48.7%
8/7/202317.5%8.6%0.0%
5/8/202315.4%52.9%74.3%
3/9/2023-32.5%-35.7%-50.9%
11/7/2022-11.3%-12.3%-24.3%
8/8/2022-1.2%-1.0%-20.3%
5/9/2022-1.6%-2.2%2.2%
3/10/20225.0%1.9%13.2%
11/9/20213.0%-6.6%-15.9%
8/3/2021-14.1%-6.0%-13.3%
5/12/2021-6.6%7.9%14.3%
3/10/2021-16.8%-17.7%-28.0%
11/9/2020-0.9%-1.9%4.3%
8/11/202016.0%44.6%30.9%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive91012
# Negative151412
Median Positive15.4%8.3%13.7%
Median Negative-9.7%-12.6%-23.5%
Max Positive54.6%76.2%104.3%
Max Negative-60.7%-55.2%-50.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/08/202610-Q
12/31/202503/13/202610-K
09/30/202511/07/202510-Q
06/30/202508/08/202510-Q
03/31/202505/09/202510-Q
12/31/202403/13/202510-K
09/30/202411/08/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q
12/31/202303/14/202410-K
09/30/202311/08/202310-Q
06/30/202308/08/202310-Q
03/31/202305/09/202310-Q
12/31/202203/14/202310-K
09/30/202211/09/202210-Q
06/30/202208/09/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/08/202610-Q
12/31/202503/13/202610-K
09/30/202511/07/202510-Q
06/30/202508/08/202510-Q
03/31/202505/09/202510-Q
12/31/202403/13/202510-K
09/30/202411/08/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q
12/31/202303/14/202410-K
09/30/202311/08/202310-Q
06/30/202308/08/202310-Q
03/31/202305/09/202310-Q
12/31/202203/14/202310-K
09/30/202211/09/202210-Q
06/30/202208/09/202210-Q
03/31/202205/10/202210-Q
12/31/202103/15/202210-K
09/30/202111/12/202110-Q
06/30/202108/10/202110-Q
03/31/202105/17/202110-Q
12/31/202003/26/202110-K
09/30/202011/16/202010-Q
06/30/202008/13/202010-Q
03/31/202005/14/202010-Q
12/31/201903/30/202010-K
09/30/201911/12/201910-Q
06/30/201908/07/201910-Q

Insider Activity

Updated 5/18/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Nathan, Gilbert EDirectBuy51320264.455,00022,2503,447,597Form
2Nathan, Gilbert EDirectBuy51320264.6120,00092,2003,548,506Form
3Sneed, James RChief Commercial OfficerDirectBuy81420251.063,1763,364458,038Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Nathan, Gilbert EDirectBuy51320264.455,00022,2503,447,597Form
2Nathan, Gilbert EDirectBuy51320264.6120,00092,2003,548,506Form
3Sneed, James RChief Commercial OfficerDirectBuy81420251.063,1763,364458,038Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 7/29/2026