Alto Ingredients (ALTO)
Market Price (6/14/2026): $5.71 | Market Cap: $427.0 MilSector: Materials | Industry: Specialty Chemicals
Alto Ingredients (ALTO)
Market Price (6/14/2026): $5.71Market Cap: $427.0 MilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Specialty Chemicals
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.9%, FCF Yield is 7.2% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.8%, Dist 3Y High is -4.8% | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 128%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 387% Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.8% Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 98% Key risksALTO key risks include [1] significant exposure to the volatility of commodity prices for its raw materials and finished products and [2] uncertainty surrounding its ability to secure crucial tax credits, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.9%, FCF Yield is 7.2% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.8%, Dist 3Y High is -4.8% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 128%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 387% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.8% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 98% |
| Key risksALTO key risks include [1] significant exposure to the volatility of commodity prices for its raw materials and finished products and [2] uncertainty surrounding its ability to secure crucial tax credits, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Alto Ingredients (ALTO) stock has gained about 150% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Alto Ingredients achieved a significant financial turnaround in fiscal Q1 2026, reporting a net income of $4.0 million (or $0.05 per diluted share), a substantial improvement from a net loss of $12.0 million (or $0.16 per share) in fiscal Q1 2025. The company's gross profit also swung to $9.2 million from a gross loss of $1.8 million in the prior year, and Adjusted EBITDA improved to $4.7 million from a negative $4.4 million.
2. The company benefited significantly from Section 45Z clean fuel production tax credits, recognizing $3.9 million in earnings from these credits during fiscal Q1 2026. Alto Ingredients anticipates qualifying approximately 90 million gallons annually for these credits, projecting around $15 million in net proceeds for the full fiscal year 2026.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 150.4% change in ALTO stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 152.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.28 | 5.71 | 150.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 922 | 916 | -0.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.2 | 0.5 | 152.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 75 | 75 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 150.4% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ALTO | 150.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.4% | -3.8% |
| Sector (XLB) | -1.9% | -9.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 123.9% change in ALTO stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 125.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.55 | 5.71 | 123.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 922 | 916 | -0.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.2 | 0.5 | 125.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 75 | 75 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 123.9% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ALTO | 123.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.2% | 1.0% |
| Sector (XLB) | 17.9% | -1.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 515.3% change in ALTO stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 547.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 0.93 | 5.71 | 515.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 951 | 916 | -3.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.1 | 0.5 | 547.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 74 | 75 | -1.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 515.3% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ALTO | 514.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 27.3% | 2.6% |
| Sector (XLB) | 23.2% | 6.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 184.1% change in ALTO stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 321.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.01 | 5.71 | 184.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,341 | 916 | -31.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.1 | 0.5 | 321.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 74 | 75 | -1.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 184.1% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ALTO | 183.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 84.5% | 11.7% |
| Sector (XLB) | 47.5% | 17.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ALTO Return | -11% | -40% | -8% | -41% | 85% | 96% | 4% |
| Peers Return | 75% | 9% | 14% | -38% | 15% | 25% | 94% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 97% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ALTO Win Rate | 33% | 50% | 50% | 42% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 57% | 52% | 30% | 60% | 67% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ALTO Max Drawdown | -45% | -63% | -66% | -56% | -58% | -26% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -25% | -31% | -27% | -44% | -43% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MGPI, GPRE, ANDE, REX, ADM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/12/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ALTO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -52.7% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 111.2% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 204 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -50.3% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 101.0% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 849 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -63.4% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 173.0% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 75 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -30.7% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 44.3% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1291 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -60.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 155.1% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 65 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -62.7% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 168.0% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 580 days | 105 days |
In The Past
Alto Ingredients's stock fell -52.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 111.2% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | ALTO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -52.7% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 111.2% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 204 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -50.3% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 101.0% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 849 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -63.4% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 173.0% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 75 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -30.7% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 44.3% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1291 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -60.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 155.1% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 65 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -62.7% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 168.0% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 580 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -63.5% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 174.3% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 307 days | 62 days |
| 2013 Taper Tantrum | ||
| % Loss | -37.6% | -0.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 60.4% | 0.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 20 days | 1 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -72.4% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 263.0% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 42 days | 123 days |
In The Past
Alto Ingredients's stock fell -52.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 111.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Alto Ingredients (ALTO)
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Think of it as a specialized Archer Daniels Midland (ADM), focused on converting corn into a diverse array of alcohols (for fuel, beverages, health, and cleaning products) and essential animal feed ingredients.
2. Like an Ingredion, but with a stronger emphasis on producing specialty alcohols and fuel ethanol in addition to various animal feed products, all from corn.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Specialty Alcohols: Alcohols used in health, home, and beauty applications such as mouthwash, cosmetics, pharmaceuticals, and sanitizers.
- Grain Neutral Spirits: High-purity alcohol used in alcoholic beverages, flavor extracts, and vinegar.
- Essential Ingredients: A range of products including corn germ for corn oils, carbon dioxide for food and beverage, and various feeds (dried yeast, corn gluten meal, corn gluten feed, distillers grains, liquid feed) for commercial animal and pet food applications.
- Fuel-Grade Ethanol: Ethanol primarily used as transportation fuel.
- Distillers Corn Oil: Oil utilized as a feedstock for biodiesel production.
- Logistics Services: Provides transportation, storage, and delivery services for its products.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) primarily sells its products to other companies rather than directly to individuals. The provided company description does not list specific customer company names. However, it identifies the following major categories of business customers:
- Integrated Oil Companies and Gasoline Marketers: These entities purchase fuel-grade ethanol from Alto Ingredients for use as transportation fuel.
- Dairies, Feedlots, and Poultry Customers: These agricultural businesses acquire essential ingredient feed products (including dried yeast, corn gluten meal, corn gluten feed, distillers grains, and liquid feed) and corn oil for commercial animal feed and pet food applications.
- Biodiesel Customers: These companies purchase distillers corn oil from Alto Ingredients, utilizing it as a feedstock for biodiesel production.
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Bryon McGregor, President, Chief Executive Officer, and Director
Bryon McGregor has over 35 years of executive leadership, industrial project management, and finance experience. He joined Alto Ingredients in 2008 as Vice President Finance/Treasurer and was appointed Chief Financial Officer in 2009. In August 2023, he was named President and Chief Executive Officer. During his tenure as CFO, Mr. McGregor led multiple financings, including raising over $640 million, integrated two acquisitions that tripled the company's production capacity, and implemented cost reduction programs. His experience also includes developing and managing capital financing for over 40 global industrial and infrastructure projects valued in excess of $12 billion. He previously served as Brokerage Treasurer for E*TRADE Financial, overseeing international and U.S. brokerage treasury operations, corporate finance, and investor relations.
Robert Olander, Chief Financial Officer
Robert Olander, CPA, possesses over 20 years of public company accounting, treasury, and finance experience. He was appointed Chief Financial Officer in August 2023. Mr. Olander has served Alto Ingredients for over 16 years, with increasing responsibilities, most recently as Vice President, Corporate Controller. His career began at Deloitte & Touche in audit and assurance, where he worked with companies such as ConAgra, Berkshire Hathaway, and Union Pacific. He also held roles as Controller and Business Manager at Hampton Distribution Companies and supervised audit and consulting at James Marta and Company.
Jim Sneed, Chief Commercial Officer
Jim Sneed has over 20 years of experience in various senior management and executive positions within the ethanol industry. He joined Alto Ingredients in 2012. Prior to his time at Alto Ingredients, Mr. Sneed served as Vice President – Ethanol Marketing & Trading for Hawkeye Gold, LLC.
Auste Graham, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary
Auste Graham brings over 15 years of legal experience across multiple industries, including chemicals, packaging, and corporate securities. She joined Alto Ingredients in 2022. Previously, Ms. Graham served as Vice President, Legal, for Essentra plc, where she was responsible for all legal and compliance affairs in the Americas.
Todd Benton, Chief Operating Officer
Todd Benton has 30 years of operations and leadership experience in corn wet milling, high-quality alcohol, and dry grind fuel ethanol production. He also has over 25 years of experience specifically at the Pekin facilities.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Alto Ingredients (ALTO) are primarily centered around the inherent volatility of its markets, the significant influence of government policies on its operations, and its financial stability given a history of losses.
- Commodity Price Volatility: Alto Ingredients' profitability is highly susceptible to fluctuations in the prices of its key inputs, such as corn and natural gas, and its outputs, including ethanol, specialty alcohols, and various essential ingredients like distillers grains and corn oil. Adverse movements in these commodity prices can significantly impact the company's margins and overall financial performance.
- Regulatory and Legislative Changes: A substantial portion of Alto Ingredients' business, particularly its renewable fuels segment, is subject to government mandates, environmental regulations, and tax incentives, such as the Renewable Fuel Standard and Section 45Z clean fuel credits. Any unfavorable changes, uncertainties, or shifts in these governmental policies or a broader move away from combustion fuels could negatively affect demand for its products, increase compliance costs, or alter the economic viability of its operations.
- Financial Health and Debt Obligations: While Alto Ingredients achieved a return to profitability in 2025, it has a documented history of losses and negative cash flow. Management cautions that further losses could impede business expansion and operations. Additionally, the company carries debt, primarily used for capital improvements, which could restrict its ability to pursue new opportunities, fund ongoing operations, or service its obligations if project returns do not meet expectations or if profitability is not sustained.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The rapid acceleration in the adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) and the increasing focus on other non-liquid or alternative transportation fuels poses a clear emerging threat to Alto Ingredients' fuel-grade ethanol business. As demand for gasoline declines, so too will the primary market for corn-based ethanol, potentially leading to reduced demand and pricing pressure. This represents a fundamental shift in the transportation energy landscape.
Another emerging threat is the post-pandemic normalization of demand for specialty alcohols used in hand sanitizers and disinfectants. Following a significant surge during the COVID-19 pandemic, the market for these products is likely experiencing a period of oversupply and declining demand, which could lead to reduced sales volumes and price erosion for Alto Ingredients' specialty alcohol segment.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) operates in several addressable markets with varying sizes:
- Specialty Alcohols: The global industrial alcohol market, which includes specialty alcohols used in pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, hand sanitizers, disinfectants, and cleaners, was valued at approximately USD 168.21 billion in 2025. It is projected to reach around USD 248.25 billion by 2034, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.4% from 2025 to 2034. The Asia Pacific region holds the largest market share in this segment.
- Grain Neutral Spirits: The global extra neutral alcohol (ENA) market, which encompasses grain neutral spirits used in alcoholic beverages, pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, and industrial applications, is projected to reach approximately USD 15.2 billion in 2024 and grow to around USD 21.7 billion by 2030, with an estimated CAGR of 6.1% over the forecast period. Separately, the global grain alcohol market was valued at about USD 13.73 billion in 2024 and is expected to surpass USD 21.97 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 4.5% from 2025 to 2034. North America is expected to dominate this market. The U.S. grain alcohol market alone is anticipated to exceed USD 4.15 billion by 2030.
- Corn Oils (from corn germ): The global corn oil market was valued at approximately USD 6.94 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 13.94 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 8.19%. North America held the largest share of 52.57% in the global corn oil market in 2025. The U.S. corn oil market is projected to reach an estimated value of USD 3.67 billion by 2032.
- Carbon Dioxide (for food and beverage markets): Null
- Essential Ingredients (dried yeast, corn gluten meal, corn gluten feed, distillers grains, and liquid feed for commercial animal feed and pet food): Null
- Fuel-Grade Ethanol: The global fuel ethanol market was valued at USD 100.9 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 144.3 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 5.1%. North America dominated the market in 2023 with a 56.4% share, and the U.S. alone accounted for 48.4% of the global market. In terms of volume, the global ethanol market size is estimated at 108.03 billion liters in 2025 and is expected to reach 140.19 billion liters by 2030, at a CAGR of 5.35%.
- Distillers Corn Oil (biodiesel feedstock): The global distillers corn oil market is projected to grow from USD 6.12 billion in 2025 to USD 8.13 billion by 2031, with a CAGR of 4.85%. This growth is primarily driven by the increasing demand for low-carbon feedstocks in the biodiesel and renewable diesel sectors. The U.S. biodiesel market, which utilizes distillers corn oil as a feedstock, is calculated at USD 16.08 billion in 2025 and is anticipated to reach approximately USD 24.63 billion by 2034, expanding at a CAGR of 4.85%.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several strategic initiatives and market tailwinds:- Strategic Shift to High-Value Specialty Alcohols and Essential Ingredients: The company is actively repositioning its product portfolio away from lower-margin commodity fuel ethanol towards higher-value specialty alcohols and essential ingredients. These include products for the health, home, beauty, food, and pharmaceutical markets, as well as essential ingredients like corn germ for corn oils and carbon dioxide for food and beverage markets. This strategic realignment aims to diversify revenue streams into more stable and profitable segments.
- Monetization of 45Z Clean Fuel Tax Credits: The extension of the Section 45Z tax credit through 2029 is a significant driver of future earnings. Alto Ingredients is focused on lowering its carbon intensity scores across its facilities to maximize the value of these credits. Management anticipates generating approximately $15 million in net proceeds from 45Z tax credits in 2026.
- Expansion of Renewable Fuel Export Sales: Alto Ingredients has seen strong performance from its renewable fuel export sales, which often command premium pricing compared to domestic sales. The company is increasing its production and sales volumes to capitalize on this higher international demand and favorable pricing.
- Growth in Liquid CO2 Utilization: Following the acquisition of Carbonic in early 2025, Alto Ingredients is expanding its capabilities and investments in liquid CO2 utilization. This move into a high-demand co-product market, particularly benefiting its Western segment, is expected to contribute to increased profitability and revenue.
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Share Repurchases
- Alto Ingredients, Inc. authorized a share repurchase program for up to $50 million of its common stock on September 12, 2022, with an initial purchase authorization of $10 million.
- The company's lender has further limited the purchase authorization to $5 million, with amounts exceeding this requiring lender consent.
- The share repurchase program does not have an expiration date.
Share Issuance
- In November 2022, Alto Ingredients agreed to issue up to 1.6 million shares of common stock to Orion Infrastructure Capital (OIC) in connection with a $125 million senior secured term loan facility.
Inbound Investments
- Alto Ingredients entered into a $125 million senior secured term loan facility with funds managed by Orion Infrastructure Capital (OIC) on November 7, 2022.
- The term loan allows for periodic draws in an aggregate amount up to $100 million, with an additional $25 million available subject to certain conditions.
- OIC also became a shareholder as part of this partnership.
Outbound Investments
- Alto Ingredients acquired Kodiak Carbonic, LLC, a beverage-grade liquid carbon dioxide processor, for $7.25 million in cash plus working capital on January 1, 2025.
- The company acquired Eagle Alcohol for $15.3 million in cash plus an earnout of up to $14.0 million (consisting of $9 million in cash and $5 million in common stock) on January 14, 2022.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for Alto Ingredients were $1.6 million in the third quarter of 2025 and $2 million in the fourth quarter of 2025.
- The $125 million term loan facility from OIC in November 2022 is aimed at financing capital expenditures to enhance the production of high-value, high-margin, and more sustainable products.
- Management intends to continue prioritizing high-return projects in 2026, focusing on enhancing and expanding production capabilities, increasing renewable fuel exports, leveraging demand for liquid CO2, and monetizing 45Z tax credits.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Alto Ingredients Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Alto Ingredients Stock Jump Looks Great, But How Secure Is That Gain? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 30.18 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.2 |
| Rev LTM | 1,426 |
| Op Inc LTM | 74 |
| FCF LTM | 49 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 48 |
| CFO LTM | 123 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 105 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -3.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -12.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | -1.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.3% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 0.5% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 9.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 2.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 2.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.2 |
| P/S | 0.5 |
| P/Op Inc | 19.0 |
| P/EBIT | 15.4 |
| P/E | 15.1 |
| P/CFO | 10.1 |
| Total Yield | 5.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.4% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -4.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 5.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 34.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 93.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 44.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -5.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -6.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 31.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 76.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -26.9% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pekin Campus production | 591 | 586 | 721 | 747 | 688 |
| Marketing and distribution | 231 | 227 | 275 | 229 | 381 |
| Western production | 101 | 152 | 224 | 344 | 139 |
| Corporate and other | 7 | 11 | 16 | 16 | |
| Intersegment eliminations | -13 | -12 | -13 | ||
| Total | 918 | 965 | 1,223 | 1,336 | 1,208 |
| $ Mil | 2004 |
|---|---|
| Automotive | 0 |
| Medical | -0 |
| Total | 0 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pekin Campus production | 209 | 224 | 251 | 257 | 266 |
| Marketing and distribution | 104 | 103 | 101 | 115 | 130 |
| Western production | 43 | 45 | 58 | 52 | 57 |
| Corporate and other | 33 | 30 | 44 | 55 | 31 |
| Total | 389 | 401 | 454 | 478 | 485 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $5.70 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 03/24/2005 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -4.8% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $5.10 | $3.00 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 11.8% | 89.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 76.7% | 96.2% |
| Downside Capture | 187.23 | -39.13 |
| Upside Capture | 182.63 | 160.94 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 13.6% | 2.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.52 | 1.02 | -0.46 | 0.08 | 0.21 | 0.67 |
| Up Beta | -5.45 | -1.28 | -1.09 | 0.67 | 1.08 | 0.36 |
| Down Beta | -2.44 | -1.35 | -0.76 | -0.52 | -1.45 | 1.10 |
| Up Capture | 289% | 205% | 228% | 117% | 227% | 45% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 35 | 60 | 123 | 343 |
| Down Capture | 735% | 492% | -253% | -115% | -104% | 71% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 18 | 26 | 60 | 108 | 346 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ALTO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALTO | 390.3% | 96.2% | 2.06 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 21.0% | 17.5% | 0.93 | 5.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 24.9% | 12.3% | 1.52 | 1.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 25.5% | 27.4% | 0.81 | 11.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 30.1% | 19.0% | 1.25 | 19.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.5% | 13.5% | 0.69 | -0.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -41.7% | 42.2% | -1.16 | 2.9% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ALTO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALTO | -2.1% | 79.4% | 0.36 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 5.8% | 19.0% | 0.20 | 25.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.1% | 0.61 | 23.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 16.8% | 18.2% | 0.75 | 7.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.4% | 19.4% | 0.33 | 20.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.8% | 18.8% | 0.05 | 22.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 13.6% | 54.4% | 0.44 | 12.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ALTO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALTO | -1.2% | 90.6% | 0.41 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 10.4% | 20.7% | 0.45 | 23.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 17.9% | 0.73 | 20.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.5% | 16.1% | 0.64 | 7.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 6.7% | 18.0% | 0.29 | 19.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.7% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 15.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 60.3% | 66.8% | 1.00 | 9.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/8/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/6/2026 | -18.3% | -17.4% | -2.3% |
| 3/4/2026 | 54.6% | 76.2% | 79.6% |
| 11/5/2025 | 22.4% | 64.2% | 104.3% |
| 8/6/2025 | -3.8% | 1.9% | 12.5% |
| 5/7/2025 | -1.6% | 4.6% | 18.6% |
| 3/5/2025 | 6.8% | -5.4% | -29.9% |
| 11/6/2024 | -37.6% | -32.5% | -22.7% |
| 8/6/2024 | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 10 | 12 |
| # Negative | 15 | 14 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 15.4% | 8.3% | 13.7% |
| Median Negative | -9.7% | -12.6% | -23.5% |
| Max Positive | 54.6% | 76.2% | 104.3% |
| Max Negative | -60.7% | -55.2% | -50.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/08/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/13/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/13/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/14/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/14/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
Industry Resources
| Materials Resources |
| Chemical & Engineering News (C&EN) |
| Mining.com |
| Plastics News |
| Specialty Chemicals Resources |
| SpecialChem |
| Chemical Week |
| ICIS |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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